Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · AFG-KBL · Metro of Afghanistan
KabulMetro
Location
Structural indicators below are national values for Afghanistan. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Kabul specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: Post-2021 regime, youth male unemployment near 100% in segments
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-24 00:00 UTC · run 2026-06-24T00
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new Kabul metro-specific labor market or unemployment statistics were identified in the last 60 days (roughly late April–June 2026).** National/urban figures and anecdotal reports continue to highlight elevated youth joblessness, consistent with (but not updating) the 15.8% national baseline for males aged 15-24.[[1]](https://8am.media/eng/taliban-rule-and-the-grip-of-poverty-nearly-70-of-the-population-unemployed/)[[2]](https://8am.media/eng/kabul-youth-unemployment-job-opportunities/) A May 18, 2026, report from 8am.media (Hasht-e Subh) specifically on Kabul youth described shrinking job opportunities, rising unemployment, nepotism in hiring, and frustration among young people in the city. It referenced World Bank data noting that unemployment in Afghanistan has doubled overall, with one in four young people jobless. Young Kabul residents interviewed complained of limited prospects, particularly for educated youth.[[2]](https://8am.media/eng/kabul-youth-unemployment-job-opportunities/)[[3]](https://pajhwok.com/2025/08/28/afghanistan-faces-highest-unemployment-rate-citizens-seek-jobs/) Older references (e.g., ILO via UNDP) cite urban youth unemployment exceeding 30%, with services and construction sectors hit hard, but these predate the period.[[1]](https://8am.media/eng/taliban-rule-and-the-grip-of-poverty-nearly-70-of-the-population-unemployed/) **No significant new political, security, militia, protest, or mass-layoff events specifically targeting or occurring in Kabul metro and directly affecting young men (18-35) were reported in the last 60 days.** Cross-border tensions with Pakistan and protests/crackdowns (e.g., in Herat in June 2026) were noted elsewhere, with limited direct spillover to Kabul in available reporting.[[4]](https://www.hrw.org/news/2026/06/11/afghanistan-taliban-use-excessive-force-against-protesters)[[5]](https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/war-afghanistan) Earlier incidents (e.g., January 2026 ISKP attack in Kabul) fall outside the window. Economic stagnation, high poverty, and returnee-driven labor market pressure remain background factors that could exacerbate youth instability nationally and in urban centers like Kabul, but no acute shocks were flagged.[[6]](https://www.worldbank.org/ext/en/country/afghanistan) **No new NGO or think-tank reports focused specifically on Kabul’s youth situation and published in 2025 (or early 2026) were identified in targeted searches.** Broader 2025 reports (e.g., World Bank Afghanistan Development Updates, UNESCO/UNICEF Education Situation Report 2025) address national youth employment challenges, high NEET rates (42% of adolescents not in education, employment, or training, with girls disproportionately affected at 68%), skills mismatches, and education/livelihood barriers, with urban implications. These align with baseline concerns but are not Kabul-metro specific or newly published in the tracking window.[[7]](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/777eab7b5ab9802aa3535f1e73fa1456-0310012025/original/Afghanistan-Development-Update-April-2025.pdf)[[8]](https://articles.unesco.org/sites/default/files/medias/fichiers/2025/10/Afghanistan%20Education%20Situation%20Report%202025.pdf) **Internet/mobile infrastructure developments in Kabul:** In May 2026 (reports dated around May 11–17), sources indicated Taliban authorities ordered cuts or restrictions to residential fibre-optic internet access in Kabul, following the major nationwide fibre-optic and mobile shutdown of late September–early October 2025 (which affected Kabul and lasted ~48 hours before partial restoration). These measures were reportedly linked to preventing “immorality” or for security/intelligence reasons and could limit youth access to information, remote work, or online opportunities.[[9]](https://www.afintl.com/en/202605112124)[[10]](https://8am.media/eng/taliban-digital-prison-internet-shutdown/)[[9]](https://www.afintl.com/en/202605112124) **Overall assessment:** Developments remain consistent with the baseline (high national youth unemployment at 15.8% for the specified group; national instability fuse at 43/100), with persistent Kabul-specific anecdotal evidence of youth frustration and job scarcity, plus renewed/recent fibre-optic restrictions in the capital. No data points indicate a significant upward or downward shift in the local instability picture for Kabul metro. All sources are national or urban-focused where Kabul is mentioned; truly granular provincial/city-level statistics remain scarce in open reporting.
Source discovery
**Here is a bullet list of relevant Kabul-specific (city/provincial) non-inference data sources, based on public web searches (focusing on machine-readable or downloadable data where possible).** Many Afghan official sources emphasize reports/surveys over live APIs due to the context, with limited real-time municipal data portals. Granularity is often provincial (Kabul Province) or city/district level within Kabul.[[1]](https://ghdx.healthdata.org/organizations/national-statistic-and-information-authority-nsia-afghanistan)[[2]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-afg) - **National Statistics and Information Authority (NSIA, formerly CSO)**: https://nsia.gov.af/ — No public API (primarily reports/downloads); irregular/survey-based updates (e.g., Afghanistan Living Conditions Survey/ALCS with provincial labor/unemployment, population, and socio-economic data disaggregated to Kabul Province); auth none (public downloads); granularity provincial (Kabul Province) and some urban/rural splits.[[3]](https://washdata.org/sites/default/files/documents/reports/2018-07/Afghanistan%20ALCS%202016-17%20Analysis%20report.pdf)[[4]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Statistics_and_Information_Authority) - **Kabul Municipality (KM) official site and databases**: https://km.gov.af/english (and linked portals like https://kmplan.km.gov.af, https://rfq.km.gov.af, http://km.cyberaan.com/public/reports/violations) — No dedicated statistics API; partial machine-readable elements (e.g., violation graphs, tender lists, city plans); updates as available (news/tenders ongoing); auth none; granularity Kabul city/district (nahia) level for urban projects, violations, and plans.[[5]](https://km.gov.af/english) - **Afghanistan Subnational Administrative Boundaries (COD-AB) via HDX**: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-afg — No API (GeoJSON, shapefiles, Excel downloads); static with periodic updates (latest version ~2026); auth none; granularity admin level 1 (34 provinces, including Kabul) and level 2 (401 districts) for filtering events or data to Kabul Province/city.[[2]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-afg)[[2]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-afg) - **ACLED Afghanistan data (with Kabul-specific coding)**: acleddata.com (country page/explorer; data export) — API available (commercial/research access); near real-time to weekly updates; auth free tier or paid for full/export; granularity event-level with geoprecision codes, district/province names, and improved Kabul city coding—filterable to Kabul via location or admin codes (pairs with HDX boundaries).[[6]](https://acleddata.com/methodology/acleds-methodology-afghanistan)[[7]](https://acleddata.com/update-log/data-update-improved-location-coding-kabul-city-acleds-afghanistan-dataset) - **Pajhwok Afghan News RSS feed**: https://pajhwok.com/feed/ (or site feeds) — RSS feed (no dedicated API); daily updates; auth none; granularity national with strong Kabul coverage (Dari/Pashto/English local news on events, economy, youth issues).[[8]](https://rss.feedspot.com/afghanistan_news_rss_feeds/) - **Afghanistan Analysts Network (AAN) reports**: https://www.afghanistan-analysts.org/ (reports/dossiers archive) — No API (PDF/HTML report downloads); irregular (multiple reports per year on Kabul-specific topics like urban life, governance, poverty); auth none; granularity Kabul city/province focus in many analyses (think tank crisis/urban monitoring).[[9]](https://www.afghanistan-analysts.org/en/category/reports/) **Notes**: Sub-national labor/unemployment data is mainly available via NSIA ALCS surveys (provincial disaggregation, not always city-specific or annual). Think tank/NGO outputs (e.g., AAN, AREU) are mostly qualitative/report-based rather than structured datasets. Local-language feeds are RSS-heavy; municipal stats remain limited post-2021. No prominent paid city-level APIs identified beyond general news or ACLED tiers. Cross-reference with your existing country-level sources (e.g., ACLED national).
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025