Sub-Saharan Africa · AGO

Angola

72
Composite priority
27.8%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
37.89M
Population · 2024
52.8%
Ages 15-64 · 2024
4.1 per 100k
Homicides · 2016

Location

-8.81°, 13.24° · ISO AGO / AOOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment27.8%· 73p
2025
Intentional homicides4.1 per 100k· 12p
2016
Internet access40.7%· 71p
2024
Mobile subscriptions69.7 per 100· 87p
2024
Phone ownership55.5%· 100p
2023
Electricity access51.1%· 72p
2023
AI usage10.2%· 71p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 8.3p vs 2021
58
Access gap 3.3p vs 2021
80
Impact 6.2p vs 2021
68

Latest signals

2026-06-07 12:00 UTC · run 2026-06-07T12

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major new developments in the last 60 days (roughly early April to early June 2026) significantly alter Angola’s youth instability baseline (youth unemployment 15-24 male national: 27.8% in 2025; national instability fuse score: 58.2/100).**[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSAGO)[[2]](https://tradingeconomics.com/angola/youth-unemployment-rate)

Key findings by category (focused on recency, specificity, and sources):

**1. Government/ILO/World Bank data on youth or male unemployment**  
- No new ILO or World Bank modeled estimates released in the period. The latest modeled youth unemployment (total 15-24, ILO estimate) remains ~27.2% for 2025 (FRED/World Bank data, updated February 2026). This is consistent with the male-specific baseline of 27.8%.[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSAGO)[[3]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=AO)  
- Angola’s National Institute of Statistics (INE) released updated national labor market data on or around May 12, 2026, showing youth unemployment at 43.3–43.6% in Q4 2025 (down from 48.7% in Q3 2025) under a revised methodology aligned with ILO standards. Informal employment accounts for ~79% of total jobs. This reflects persistent high national figures (distinct from modeled ILO estimates) but no 2026 updates.[[2]](https://tradingeconomics.com/angola/youth-unemployment-rate)[[4]](https://www.ecofinagency.com/news-services/1205-55499-nearly-half-of-young-angolans-remained-unemployed-at-end-of-2025)  
- Earlier 2026 references (e.g., April 2026) cited youth unemployment around 51.8% (15-24) or noted projections, but these predate the INE release and align with the pattern of elevated national vs. modeled rates.[[5]](https://360mozambique.com/world/angola/angola-national-institute-of-statistics-projects-unemployment-rate-to-drop-to-28-3-by-2025/)  
- World Bank support via the $250 million Angola Youth Employment Opportunities Project (approved March 2025, targeting 500,000 youth aged 16-35) continues but had no new announcements in the period.[[6]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2025/03/21/world-bank-boosts-support-to-enhance-employment-opportunities-for-500-000-young-people-in-afe-angola)

**2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35)**  
- No reports of new protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or major economic shocks/currency crises in the last 60 days.  
- Earlier 2025 unrest (July 2025 fuel subsidy cuts/protests in Luanda and other provinces) involved significant youth participation, with 22–30 deaths, hundreds injured, and 1,200+ arrests; these remain a reference point for risks but fall well outside the recent window.[[7]](https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/east-and-southern-africa/angola)[[8]](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/5/in-oil-rich-angola-poverty-hunger-and-deadly-unrest-over-fuel-price-hikes)[[9]](https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2026/country-chapters/angola)  
- The BTI 2026 Angola Country Report (released ~2026) notes ongoing youth activist potential for mobilization and risks of future protests (e.g., around 2027 elections), alongside economic pressures, but highlights no acute 2026 incidents.[[10]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/AGO)[[10]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/AGO)

**3. Notable NGO or academic reports on Angola’s youth situation (2025–2026)**  
- BTI 2026 Angola Country Report discusses youth groups’ protest mobilization capacity amid socioeconomic challenges.[[10]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/AGO)  
- Mastercard Foundation’s *Africa Youth Employment Outlook 2026* (Feb 10, 2026) provides regional context (high informality ~90%, agriculture dominance, NEET rates) without Angola-specific 2026 updates.[[11]](https://mastercardfdn.org/en/our-research/africa-youth-employment-outlook-2026/)  
- UNDP Angola 2025 Annual Report and related 2026 summaries highlight youth skills/training programs (e.g., tech/AI skills for 150+ young Angolans) and entrepreneurship support.[[12]](https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2026-04/undp_angola-2025_annual_report.pdf)  
- Other 2025/early 2026 outputs (e.g., UNICEF Angola 2025 report, UN Doha Programme national report March 2026, WHO Angola 2025 report) address broader youth issues like NEET (~26.4% in one reference) or health but do not indicate sharp deterioration.[[13]](https://www.un.org/ohrlls/sites/www.un.org.ohrlls/files/doha_angola_reporting_2026_march_17.pdf)  
No reports in the last 60 days flag acute new instability drivers.

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes**  
- No internet or mobile shutdowns reported for Angola (0 incidents noted in available 12-month data through mid-2025, with no contrary 2026 reports).[[14]](https://pulse.internetsociety.org/en/reports/AO)  
- Ongoing/prior expansions under the national digital strategy (e.g., fiber optic rollout, targets for 3G ~93%, 4G ~32%, 5G ~21% coverage by 2027) continue without major new announcements or disruptions in the period.[[15]](https://globalvalidity.com/angola-national-strategy-expands-internet-access-and-digital-inclusion/)  
- 2026 coverage overviews note strong Unitel nationwide performance and ~44.8% internet penetration (end-2025 data); mobile broadband connections remain high relative to population.[[16]](https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2026-angola)[[17]](https://sparkroam.com/angola-mobile-network-coverage/)

**Assessment of shifts from baseline**: None identified. Unemployment data remains consistent with the provided 2025 figures (modeled ILO estimates stable near baseline; national rates elevated but directionally stable or slightly improved in latest quarterly data). No acute events, infrastructure disruptions, or reports in the window suggest escalation. Persistent structural issues (high informality, youth NEET, past protest risks) continue to underpin the instability fuse score but show no recent intensification. Sources are primarily World Bank, INE (via Trading Economics/Ecofin), BTI, and UN-related reports.
Source discovery
**National statistics bureau (INE - Instituto Nacional de Estatística):**  
- **Name/URL**: INE Angola (https://www.ine.gov.ao/). No public API; machine-readable downloads (e.g., Excel/CSV via publications and surveys like Inquérito ao Emprego / employment survey). Update frequency: Quarterly (e.g., unemployment, PIB, inflation indicators) to annual. Auth: None (public site with publications and key indicators).[[1]](https://www.ine.gov.ao/)

**Central bank (Banco Nacional de Angola - BNA):**  
- **Name/URL**: Banco Nacional de Angola (https://www.bna.ao/). No dedicated public statistical API (open banking APIs not available); statistics section offers downloadable data on monetary/financial indicators, external stats, prices/national accounts (youth/economic proxies via labor force or related). Update frequency: Monthly (e.g., credit, exchange rates, monetary stats). Auth: None for public downloads; third-party exchange rate APIs exist but not official.[[2]](https://www.bna.ao/)

**Regional databases (AfDB / Africa Information Highway):**  
- **Name/URL**: Angola Data Portal (part of AfDB Africa Information Highway; https://angola.opendataforafrica.org/ or https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/). API: Yes (open data platform supports programmatic access/downloads). Update frequency: Regular (country-specific socio-economic, employment, economic indicators with Sub-Saharan breakdowns). Auth: None (free/open).[[3]](https://www.afdb.org/en/knowledge/statistics/africa-information-highway-aih)

**Local/regional news RSS feeds:**  
- **Name/URL**: Club-K RSS, Correio da Kianda RSS, Notícias de Angola RSS, Folha 8 RSS, O País RSS (examples from aggregated lists; https://rss.feedspot.com/angola_news_rss_feeds/). API: No (RSS feeds only). Update frequency: Daily/as published. Auth: None.[[4]](https://rss.feedspot.com/angola_news_rss_feeds/)

**NGO/think tank data APIs:**  
- Limited dedicated public APIs identified beyond the AfDB portal above (already covers Angola-specific open data). Broader platforms like ILOSTAT or UN sources exist but are not Angola-exclusive. No high-profile crisis/poverty-specific Angola API found matching the criteria.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
26.331.436.52014202527.8%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
3.64.35.0201520164.1

Internet access

%
19.831.042.32014202440.7%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
40.356.372.32014202469.7

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
30.541.552.62014202351.1%

AI usage

%
4.87.810.72014202410.2%

Population

people
26302762.632523309.038743855.42014202437885849.0

Working-age share

%
51.552.453.32014202452.8%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.