Sub-Saharan Africa · AGO
Angola
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-03 06:00 UTC · run 2026-07-03T06
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new developments in the last 60 days (roughly May–early July 2026) appear to significantly shift Angola’s youth instability baseline (youth unemployment 15-24 male national 27.8% in 2025; national instability fuse score 58.2/100).** Persistent structural challenges remain evident in available data and reports, but there are no reported new protests, security incidents, economic shocks, or infrastructure disruptions specifically tied to young men (18-35) in this narrow window.[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/angola/youth-unemployment-rate)[[2]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/AGO) ### 1. Government/ILO/World Bank Data on Youth or Male Unemployment - No fresh ILO or World Bank modeled estimates released in the last 60 days. The latest modeled ILO youth unemployment (15-24 total, ages 15-24) for Angola stands at ~27.23% for 2025 (up slightly from 26.74% in 2024), consistent with the baseline (male-specific national estimates align closely with this figure in prior data).[[3]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSAGO)[[4]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/ago/angola/youth-unemployment-rate) - National estimates from Angola’s Instituto Nacional de Estatística (INE) show higher figures: youth unemployment (15-24) fell to 40.70% in Q1 2026 from 43.40% in Q4 2025 (quarterly series; source cited via Trading Economics). Earlier 2025 references note rates around 51.8% or higher under different methodologies, with youth disproportionately affected amid ~78% informal employment overall.[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/angola/youth-unemployment-rate)[[5]](https://www.ecofinagency.com/news-services/1602-52925-angola-reports-1-1-million-formal-job-gains-between-2018-and-2025) - Broader context from a March 2025 World Bank project ($250 million for the Angola Youth Employment Opportunities Project targeting 500,000 youth aged 16-35) continues, but no updates in the recent period.[[6]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2025/03/21/world-bank-boosts-support-to-enhance-employment-opportunities-for-500-000-young-people-in-afe-angola) ### 2. Political, Security, or Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35) - No reports of new protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or currency crises in May–July 2026. Earlier 2025 events (e.g., July 2025 fuel price protests involving youth-led actions, with 22–29 deaths, hundreds injured, and over 1,200 arrests in Luanda and other provinces) are referenced in 2026 reports but predate the window.[[7]](https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2026/country-chapters/angola)[[8]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_2025_Angolan_protests) - BTI 2026 Angola Country Report notes ongoing risks of social unrest from marginalized urban youth frustration but states that “Angola currently experiences very few” such incidents.[[2]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/AGO) - Economic pressures (high informality, poverty, and youth integration challenges) persist without acute shocks reported recently. ### 3. NGO or Academic Reports on Angola’s Youth Situation (2025 Publications) - Relevant 2025/early 2026 reports include the Mastercard Foundation’s *Africa Youth Employment Outlook 2026* (Feb 10, 2026), highlighting high informality (90% of employed African youth), agriculture dominance, and gender gaps in NEET rates, with Sub-Saharan context applicable to Angola.[[9]](https://mastercardfdn.org/en/our-research/africa-youth-employment-outlook-2026/) - Angola-specific: UN Angola National Report 2026 notes youth (15-34) at 34.6% of population (2024 Census), NEET rate ~26.4% (2024), and youth unemployment challenges (with methodology shifts noted post-2025); over 100,000 youth benefited from vocational training by 2026.[[10]](https://www.un.org/ohrlls/sites/www.un.org.ohrlls/files/doha_angola_reporting_2026_march_17.pdf) - AfDB Implementation Progress Report on Angola Youth Employment Project (Projecto Crescer, May 2026 update) and BTI 2026 report provide ongoing monitoring but no dramatic new findings.[[11]](https://www.afdb.org/en/documents/angola-youth-employment-project-projecto-crescer-ipr-may-2026-0) ### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure Changes - No shutdowns or coverage reductions reported for Angola (unlike election-related incidents in Uganda or Republic of Congo in early 2026).[[12]](https://blog.cloudflare.com/q1-2026-internet-disruption-summary/) - Positive/ongoing trends: Mobile infrastructure expansion continues, with 4G in major cities (Luanda, Benguela, etc.) via operators like Unitel, Africell, and Movicel; 5G access at ~8% nationally (per mid-2025 data); satellite initiatives (e.g., Infrasat eyeing regional rollouts, April 2026).[[13]](https://sparkroam.com/angola-internet-speed-guide/)[[14]](https://pulse.internetsociety.org/en/reports/ao/) **Summary assessment**: The instability picture remains largely unchanged from baseline. National statistics indicate elevated youth unemployment (40%+ range recently), exceeding modeled ILO figures, but without fresh escalatory events or data releases in the last 60 days. Continued monitoring of INE quarterly releases and any Q2/Q3 2026 economic indicators is recommended. Key sources include World Bank Data, Trading Economics/INE, BTI Project, and HRW/UN reports.
Source discovery
**INE Angola (Instituto Nacional de Estatística)**: https://www.ine.gov.ao/ - API: No (site primarily hosts publications, indicators, and survey results; no public API documented). - Update frequency: Quarterly (e.g., employment survey/Inquérito ao Emprego data, with recent Q1 2026 unemployment figures highlighted). - Auth required: None (public access to latest publications and key socio-economic indicators like unemployment, poverty, and labor-related surveys). Machine-readable downloads (e.g., via publications or data tables) appear available for labor data.[[1]](https://www.ine.gov.ao/) **Banco Nacional de Angola (BNA)**: https://www.bna.ao/ (statistics section) - API: Partial/no dedicated public statistical API (exchange rates accessible via third-party APIs; site offers data downloads including CSV for select indicators like inflation). - Update frequency: Monthly or as released (e.g., credit statistics, inflation, monetary/financial stats; calendario de divulgação for schedule). - Auth required: None (free public access to estatísticas monetárias/financeiras, externas, and preço/contas nacionais sections with downloads).[[2]](https://www.bna.ao/) **African Development Bank (AfDB) Statistical Data Portal (Africa Information Highway / Open Data for Africa)**: https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ (includes AFDB Socio-Economic Database) - API: Partial (open data platform with export tools; supports downloads in multiple formats; country-level breakdowns for Sub-Saharan Africa including Angola; some programmatic access via the portal ecosystem). - Update frequency: Regular updates (socio-economic indicators, labor/youth employment-related data through 2026 in database). - Auth required: None (free public access for African countries with visualizations, exports, and country filters).[[3]](https://www.re3data.org/repository/r3d100011929) **Additional notes on coverage**: These sources provide Angola-specific labor, employment, economic, and youth-relevant indicators (e.g., unemployment from INE surveys, financial/monetary stats from BNA, broader socio-economic/youth entrepreneurship data from AfDB) beyond the already-used global APIs. No prominent local/regional news RSS APIs or additional NGO/think-tank public data APIs specific to Angola crisis/poverty tracking were identified in searches that offer reliable, machine-readable feeds beyond existing sources like ACLED or HDX. Regional options like AfDB best address Sub-Saharan breakdowns. Verify current portal features for downloads/APIs directly, as sites evolve.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025