Europe & Central Asia · ALB

Albania

34
Composite priority
25.4%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
2.35M
Population · 2025
65.8%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
1.4 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

41.33°, 19.82° · ISO ALB / ALOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment25.4%· 66p
2025
Intentional homicides1.4 per 100k· 3p
2023
Internet access85.9%· 15p
2024
Mobile subscriptions89.1 per 100· 72p
2024
Phone ownership
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2024
AI usage21.5%· 15p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 2.4p vs 2021
45
Access gap 3.5p vs 2021
25
Impact 3.2p vs 2021
34

Latest signals

2026-07-04 12:00 UTC · run 2026-07-04T12

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**Recent developments (last ~60 days, ~May–early July 2026) show mixed signals on youth instability in Albania, with a major youth-led protest movement as the standout event.**[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flamingo_Revolution)[[2]](https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2026/06/jared-kushner-ivanka-trump-albania-luxury-resort-protest-movement-overthrow-albanian-socialist-prime-minister-corrupt-government/)

**1. Youth unemployment data releases**  
No new ILO or World Bank modeled estimates specifically for male youth (15-24) unemployment were released in the period. Annual modeled ILO/World Bank figures for overall youth (15-24) unemployment remained around 25.6% for 2025 (close to the 25.4% male baseline).[[3]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=AL)[[4]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSALB)

Albania’s INSTAT released Q1 2026 Labour Force Survey data in mid-June 2026 (publication ~June 10). Overall unemployment fell to 8.4%; youth unemployment (noted in sources as 15-29 bracket) reached 16.9% (down 1 percentage point year-on-year from Q1 2025). A separate quarterly youth rate (likely 15-24) was reported at 16.90% in Q1 2026 (up from 15.10% in Q4 2025).[[5]](https://tradingeconomics.com/albania/youth-unemployment-rate)[[6]](https://seenews.com/news/albanias-unemployment-rate-ticks-down-in-q1-1296246)[[7]](https://en.ata.gov.al/2026/06/10/unemployment-rate-dropped-to-8-4-in-first-quarter-of-2026/)

A World Bank Western Balkans report (Spring 2026) referenced youth unemployment at 21.5% (above the EU average of 14.7%).[[8]](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/3a8f6f353a496e481b3065a8e084552f-0080012026/original/WB29-FC-EN-02-ALB.pdf) These survey-based figures are lower than the annual modeled baseline, suggesting possible improvement or methodological differences, but no male-specific breakdown for 15-24 was detailed in recent releases. No major economic shocks or currency issues reported.

**2. Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35)**  
The dominant development is the **“Flamingo Revolution”** (also called youth-led “Gen Z protests”), a large-scale, mostly peaceful anti-government protest movement that began on 23 May 2026 in Zvërnec near the Narta Lagoon. It was initially triggered by opposition to a multibillion-dollar luxury resort project on protected coastal land, backed by Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump (via Affinity Partners), with concerns over environmental damage, transparency, and corruption.[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flamingo_Revolution)[[9]](https://www.facebook.com/groups/msnbcnewsjunkies/posts/3485061694989016/)

Protests rapidly expanded nationwide (centered in Tirana’s Skanderbeg Square and other sites), evolving into broader demands for Prime Minister Edi Rama’s resignation over corruption and governance issues. Key features:  
- **Youth/Gen Z prominence**: Tens to hundreds of thousands participated in peak events (e.g., ~100,000–200,000+ on weekends; one June 20 event estimated at >250,000 by Albanian media). Chants like “Çohuni nga kafja!” (“Get up from the cafes!”) highlighted youth mobilization. Protesters included young workers, students, and influencers.[[10]](https://wagingnonviolence.org/2026/06/inside-albania-flamingo-revolution-kushner/)[[2]](https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2026/06/jared-kushner-ivanka-trump-albania-luxury-resort-protest-movement-overthrow-albanian-socialist-prime-minister-corrupt-government/)  
- Timeline: Started late May; daily demonstrations through June 2026 with larger nationwide/diaspora actions (e.g., June 10, 13, 20). Clashes led to arrests (dozens reported, e.g., 13+ on one day; multiple criminal proceedings in June), but the movement remained largely decentralized and non-violent.[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flamingo_Revolution)  
- Scale: Described as the largest protests since the 1991 communist collapse, uniting youth across political lines with environmentalists and others.[[11]](https://europeanwesternbalkans.com/2026/06/16/a-turning-point-for-civic-consciousness-in-albania/)

This represents a **significant potential upward shift in the instability picture** from the 45.3/100 baseline, given the scale of youth (including young men) participation and direct challenge to authority amid economic grievances. No reports of coup attempts, militia recruitment, or other security escalations.

**3. NGO/academic reports on youth (published 2025 or relevant recent context)**  
- February 2026 Westminster Foundation for Democracy (WFD) report on migration trends (data through 2025/early 2026): Highlights ongoing youth brain drain and emigration as a structural issue, with young people (15–29, ~24% of population) disproportionately affected by selective outflows to OECD countries. Focuses on circular/seasonal migration and policy needs.[[12]](https://www.wfd.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/researching_migration_trends_in_albania.pdf)  
- July 2025 “Youth Attitudes in Albania” research report exploring opportunities and challenges.  
- Other recent/ongoing: World Vision Albania involvement in revising the Youth Law (youth input led to measures for education, employment, and leadership for >430,000 young people).[[13]](https://www.facebook.com/WorldVisionInternational/posts/-real-change-happens-when-youth-lead-the-way-albania-just-took-a-huge-step-for-i/1159368272895746/)

No major new 2025-dated NGO reports surfaced specifically in the last 60 days beyond contextual references.

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure**  
No shutdowns, restrictions, or negative coverage changes reported. Positive developments include:  
- One Albania new roaming-inclusive plans (launched May 20, 2026) enabling EU-wide internet/calls, aligning with EU integration.[[14]](https://albaniandailynews.com/news/stay-connected-across-europe-one-albania-introduces-new-roaming-inclusive-plans)  
- High baseline access (end-2025): ~88.4% internet penetration, 3.49 million mobile connections (126% of population), ~88.5% broadband-capable. Good 4G/5G coverage nationwide.[[15]](https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2026-albania)[[16]](https://sparkroam.com/albania-mobile-network-coverage/)  
- WiFi4WB free public Wi-Fi rollout across 61 municipalities (earlier 2026 launch).[[17]](https://www.eeas.europa.eu/delegations/albania/wifi4wb-initiative-launched-albania-bringing-free-public-wi-fi-61-municipalities_en)

**Overall assessment**: The Flamingo Revolution protests mark the most notable shift, with substantial youth engagement signaling heightened discontent that could pressure the instability fuse score upward if sustained or escalated. Unemployment data from INSTAT shows some quarterly improvement in broader youth metrics, though modeled annual figures align closely with baseline. No infrastructure disruptions. Sources include INSTAT, World Bank, Trading Economics, Wikipedia summaries of events, and news outlets (e.g., Al Jazeera references in protest coverage). Data current as of early July 2026.
Source discovery
**INSTAT (Institute of Statistics of Albania) Labour Market / LFS data**  
- URL: https://www.instat.gov.al/en/ (Labour Market section) and statistical database https://databaza.instat.gov.al:8083/pxweb/en/DST/  
- API: Partial (PxWeb interface supports table generation and file exports; national open data portal https://opendata.gov.al/ offers CSV/XML downloads)  
- Update frequency: Quarterly (Labour Force Survey) + annual/other releases  
- Auth required: None (free downloads)[[1]](https://www.instat.gov.al/en/statistical-literacy/the-labour-market-statistics/)[[2]](https://www.instat.gov.al/en/)

**Bank of Albania – Monetary, financial, banking, and related economic statistics (references INSTAT employment/income tables)**  
- URL: https://www.bankofalbania.org/Statistics/  
- API: No (primarily tables and reports; some data overlap with INSTAT)  
- Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly/annual (e.g., financial soundness indicators)  
- Auth required: None (free access/downloads)[[3]](https://www.bankofalbania.org/Statistics/Monetary_Financial_and_Banking_statistics/Banking_Statistics.html?evb=agregate&evn=agregate_detaje&cregtab_id=285&periudha_id=5)[[4]](https://www.bankofalbania.org/Statistics/)

**ILOSTAT (ILO) – Europe & Central Asia labour statistics (country breakdowns including Albania youth/unemployment indicators)**  
- URL: https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/ and Albania country profile https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/country-profiles/alb/  
- API: Yes (bulk downloads + SDMX/API access available via ILOSTAT)  
- Update frequency: Varies by indicator (often annual/quarterly; latest LFS-based)  
- Auth required: None (free)[[5]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/)[[6]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/country-profiles/alb/)

**Balkan Insight – Albania RSS feed (reliable regional news coverage)**  
- URL: https://balkaninsight.com/category/bi/albania/feed/  
- API: No (standard RSS feed)  
- Update frequency: Ongoing/as published (daily/weekly)  
- Auth required: None (free)[[7]](https://balkaninsight.com/rss-feeds/)

**World News API / NewsData.io – Albania news sources (monitors ~69+ Albanian outlets)**  
- URL: https://worldnewsapi.com/docs/news-sources/albania-news-api/ or https://newsdata.io/  
- API: Yes (REST API for search/historical news)  
- Update frequency: Real-time/daily (hundreds of articles)  
- Auth required: Free tier or paid API key[[8]](https://worldnewsapi.com/docs/news-sources/albania-news-api/)

**Albanian Open Data Portal (national portal aggregating public datasets, including statistics)**  
- URL: https://opendata.gov.al/  
- API: Partial (machine-readable CSV/XML downloads; browseable by theme/institution)  
- Update frequency: Varies by dataset (government releases)  
- Auth required: None (free)[[9]](https://data.europa.eu/en/news-events/news/albania-opens-exploring-national-open-data-portal)

**Notes**: No prominent public APIs were identified for the Finance Ministry or specific NGO/think-tank crisis/poverty trackers with Albania coverage (most rely on INSTAT/World Bank or offer only reports). Regional ECA sources (e.g., beyond ILO/World Bank) are limited in the results. All listed sources emphasize direct data access without inference.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
22.133.544.92014202525.4%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
0.93.05.1201420231.4

Internet access

%
51.870.188.42014202485.9%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
86.3107.1128.02014202489.1

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
99.4100.0100.520142024100.0%

AI usage

%
13.017.622.12014202421.5%

Population

people
2315645.02561673.52807702.0201420252349580.0

Working-age share

%
65.367.169.02014202565.8%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.