Europe & Central Asia · ALB

Albania

34
Composite priority
25.4%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
2.38M
Population · 2024
66.2%
Ages 15-64 · 2024
1.4 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

41.33°, 19.82° · ISO ALB / ALOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment25.4%· 66p
2025
Intentional homicides1.4 per 100k· 3p
2023
Internet access85.9%· 15p
2024
Mobile subscriptions89.1 per 100· 72p
2024
Phone ownership
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2023
AI usage21.5%· 15p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 2.4p vs 2021
45
Access gap 3.5p vs 2021
25
Impact 3.2p vs 2021
34

Latest signals

2026-06-23 06:00 UTC · run 2026-06-23T06

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major new official data releases from the Albanian government, ILO, or World Bank specifically on youth (15-24) or male youth unemployment in the last 60 days (roughly late April–June 23, 2026).**[[1]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=AL)[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSALB)

Modeled ILO/World Bank estimates for total youth unemployment (15-24) remain around 25.57% for 2025 (close to the 25.4% male baseline figure), with minimal change from 2024.[[3]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/alb/albania/youth-unemployment-rate)[[3]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/alb/albania/youth-unemployment-rate) Quarterly national estimates (INSTAT via Trading Economics) show lower figures, rising to 16.9% in Q1 2026 from 15.1% in Q4 2025.[[4]](https://tradingeconomics.com/albania/youth-unemployment-rate) A May 8, 2026, opposition-linked report claimed a 31% youth unemployment “historic high,” but this appears unverified against official modeled data and is not corroborated in recent institutional releases.[[5]](https://www.tiranatimes.com/at-31-albanias-youth-unemployment-hits-historic-high-_116755/) Overall unemployment trends (total ~8.3–10%) reflect population decline and labor force shifts rather than sharp youth-specific deterioration. No evidence of a significant shift from the 25.4% baseline yet.

**Significant political events center on the ongoing “Flamingo Revolution” (also called 2026 Zvërnec protests), a large-scale, youth/Gen Z-led movement that began on May 23, 2026, and remains active as of June 23.**[[6]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Zv%C3%ABrnec_protests)[[6]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Zv%C3%ABrnec_protests)

Triggered by government approval of luxury resort developments (including projects linked to Jared Kushner/Affinity Partners) in protected coastal areas like Vjosa-Narta Lagoon and Sazan Island—threatening flamingo and other wildlife habitats—the protests quickly broadened into anti-government demonstrations. Key demands include PM Edi Rama’s resignation, reversal of protected-area law changes, anti-corruption measures (e.g., SPAK investigations), and limits on strategic foreign investments.[[6]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Zv%C3%ABrnec_protests)

- Scale: Daily protests in Tirana and other cities (Durrës, Vlorë, etc.) with tens of thousands of participants; larger rallies reached ~100k–200k on June 13 and over 250k estimated on June 20. Diaspora actions occurred in multiple countries.[[6]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Zv%C3%ABrnec_protests)
- Youth role: Prominently youth- and student-led (“Gen Z protests”), with participants citing lack of jobs, emigration pressures, poor governance, and “Albania is not for sale” sentiments. Protesters include young men alongside broader demographics; some clashes with private security/police (e.g., May 30 in Zvërnec) led to injuries, arrests (~dozens reported), and use of tear gas/pepper spray.[[6]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Zv%C3%ABrnec_protests)[[7]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/22/albania-protests-jared-kushner-ivanka-trump-resort-sazan-island-anger-government)
- Context: Builds on economic grievances (youth joblessness, brain drain) and has drawn international attention. This represents notable youth mobilization and heightened political instability, potentially elevating the national instability fuse score beyond the 45.3/100 baseline if sustained.

**Notable 2025 reports (published or covering 2025 data) include:**
- Western Balkans Democracy Foundation (WFD) “Researching Migration Trends in Albania” (2026 report with Dec 2025–Jan 2026 fieldwork): Highlights structural youth emigration, selective outflows of educated young people, labor shortages, and limited use of diaspora savings for domestic investment—exacerbating demographic decline and economic pressures on youth.[[8]](https://www.wfd.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/researching_migration_trends_in_albania.pdf)
- UNICEF Albania Annual Report 2025 (released ~Feb 2026): Notes government progress on youth policies amid ongoing challenges.[[9]](https://open.unicef.org/download-pdf?country-name=Albania&year=2025)
- WHO Europe “Albania: country profile for child and adolescent health” (Oct 27, 2025).[[10]](https://www.who.int/europe/publications/i/item/WHO-EURO-2025-12775-52549-81249)
- “Youth Policy Watch Albania 2026” initiatives by NGOs like Beyond Barriers.[[11]](https://www.instagram.com/beyondbarriersngo/reel/DW_OKgECNNR/?hl=zh-cn)

These reinforce baseline concerns around youth economic marginalization and emigration but do not introduce dramatic new quantitative shifts.

**No reported internet/mobile shutdowns, major coverage changes, or infrastructure disruptions in Albania during the period.**[[12]](https://pulse.internetsociety.org/en/shutdowns/) General 4G/5G rollout continues in urban areas with stable nationwide coverage noted in 2025–2026 assessments; protests have featured internet activism without platform restrictions.[[13]](https://sparkroam.com/albania-mobile-network-coverage/)

**Overall assessment:** Unemployment indicators show continuity with the baseline (no confirmed major deterioration in male youth rates). However, the Flamingo Revolution protests constitute a significant development—large-scale, sustained youth-led unrest tied to governance, environment, and economic frustrations—that could meaningfully increase instability risks for young men (18–35) and warrant close monitoring for escalation or broader mobilization. Sources include World Bank/ILO data portals, INSTAT-linked reports, Al Jazeera, Wikipedia (protest page with primary references), The Guardian, and WFD.
Source discovery
**INSTAT (Institute of Statistics of Albania) – Labour Market and related data (unemployment, employment, LFS, wages, poverty, etc.)**  
- URL: https://www.instat.gov.al/en/ (main site) and statistical database https://databaza.instat.gov.al:8083/pxweb/en/DST/  
- API: No (public REST API not documented); supports machine-readable downloads (tables, CSV/Excel via PX-Web interface).  
- Update frequency: Quarterly (e.g., Labour Force Survey unemployment/employment) and annual; releases follow a published calendar.  
- Auth required: None (public access).[[1]](https://www.instat.gov.al/en/home/)[[1]](https://www.instat.gov.al/en/home/)

**Bank of Albania – Monetary, financial, banking statistics and linked employment/income indicators**  
- URL: https://www.bankofalbania.org/Statistics/ (and specific sections like Banking Statistics).  
- API: No dedicated public API identified; data available via downloads/tables on the site (often links to or mirrors INSTAT).  
- Update frequency: Quarterly/monthly for financial stats; employment/income indicators aligned with INSTAT (quarterly/annual).  
- Auth required: None (public).[[2]](https://www.bankofalbania.org/Statistics/)

**UNECE Statistical Database – Unemployment rates, labour market, and other ECA indicators with Albania country breakdowns**  
- URL: https://w3.unece.org/pxweb/ (or https://w3.unece.org/).  
- API: No dedicated REST API noted; PX-Web interface supports data extraction and downloads (tables, CSV/Excel).  
- Update frequency: Annual or as national data become available (covers unemployment and broader ECA aggregates).  
- Auth required: None (public).[[3]](https://w3.unece.org/pxweb/)[[4]](https://w3.unece.org/PXWeb2015/pxweb/en/STAT/STAT__20-ME__3-MELF/40_en_MEUnRateY_r.px/)

**Balkan Insight – Regional news coverage including dedicated Albania section**  
- URL: https://balkaninsight.com/category/bi/albania/feed/ (RSS feed).  
- API: RSS feed available (no full REST news API from the outlet itself).  
- Update frequency: Ongoing/daily or as published.  
- Auth required: None (public RSS).[[5]](https://balkaninsight.com/rss-feeds/)

**Additional notes on other categories**:  
- No prominent Albania-specific central bank or finance ministry public API beyond the Bank of Albania site (which defers to INSTAT for labor/youth employment details).  
- Regional ECA databases are limited beyond UNECE/Eurostat-style sources (World Bank and others already covered); EBRD or similar do not appear to offer granular public youth data APIs.  
- News APIs (e.g., World News API or NewsData.io) aggregate Albanian sources but are third-party/commercial.  
- NGO/think tank sources (e.g., HDX for humanitarian/poverty datasets or UNICEF SDG data for Albania) primarily offer downloads rather than dedicated public APIs.[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/m/dataset/?vocab_Topics=poverty&license_id=other-pd-nr&sort=metadata_modified+desc&groups=alb)

These focus on direct, accessible, non-modeled sources suitable for youth instability tracking (labor, economic, and contextual signals). Verify current endpoints and formats directly, as availability can evolve.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
22.133.544.92014202525.4%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
0.93.05.1201420231.4

Internet access

%
51.870.188.42014202485.9%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
86.3107.1128.02014202489.1

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
99.4100.0100.520142023100.0%

AI usage

%
13.017.622.12014202421.5%

Population

people
2345396.92575447.52805498.1201420242377128.0

Working-age share

%
65.767.469.02014202466.2%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.