Europe & Central Asia · ARM

Armenia

34
Composite priority
23.4%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
3.03M
Population · 2024
67.1%
Ages 15-64 · 2024
2.2 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

40.16°, 44.51° · ISO ARM / AMOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment23.4%· 61p
2025
Intentional homicides2.2 per 100k· 6p
2023
Internet access81.3%· 21p
2024
Mobile subscriptions134.9 per 100· 35p
2024
Phone ownership77.5%· 49p
2023
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2023
AI usage20.3%· 21p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 13.1p vs 2021
48
Access gap 2.4p vs 2021
25
Impact 2.5p vs 2021
35

Latest signals

2026-06-23 00:00 UTC · run 2026-06-23T00

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No significant new official data releases on youth (or male-specific) unemployment in the last 60 days (roughly late April–June 23, 2026).** The most recent modeled ILO/World Bank youth unemployment (total, ages 15-24) figure remains the 2025 annual estimate of 26.24% (FRED/World Bank data, updated February 2026).[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSARM)[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSARM) National estimate data on the World Bank site extends only to 2023 (with ILO-sourced access noted as of March 30, 2026).[[2]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.NE.ZS?locations=AM)[[2]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.NE.ZS?locations=AM)

Earlier context includes Q3 2024 overall unemployment at 13.3% (World Bank, reported February 2025), with government plans (Employment Strategy 2025-2031) targeting reductions below 10%, including support for youth.[[3]](https://alphanews.am/en/armenias-unemployment-rate-rose-to-13-3-world-bank/) No 2026 quarterly or male-specific (15-24) updates appear in recent searches. The baseline male youth rate of 23.4% (2025) is thus unchanged in available sources. An ILO global trends report (2026) notes projected slight youth unemployment declines in upper-middle-income countries but provides no Armenia-specific figures.[[4]](https://researchrepository.ilo.org/view/pdfCoverPage?instCode=41ILO_INST&filePid=13147301370002676&download=true)

**Major political developments center on the June 7, 2026 parliamentary elections and their aftermath.** The ruling Civil Contract party retained a working majority but fell short of a constitutional two-thirds threshold. Opposition forces (including Strong Armenia Alliance, Armenia Alliance, Prosperous Armenia, and others) rejected the results, citing alleged systemic violations, administrative resource misuse, pressure on voters/state employees, arrests/detentions of activists, and selective invalidation of polling stations.[[5]](https://armenianweekly.com/2026/06/17/parliamentary-elections-widen-armenias-political-crisis/)[[5]](https://armenianweekly.com/2026/06/17/parliamentary-elections-widen-armenias-political-crisis/)

Post-election (as of mid-June 2026 reports), Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan escalated rhetoric against opposition figures (e.g., referencing Robert Kocharyan, Samvel Karapetyan, and Gagik Tsarukyan) and issued a direct challenge for dissenters to attempt a revolution if they disputed legitimacy. Legal/administrative actions followed, including probes against opposition leaders, travel restrictions, and a proposed bill limiting voting rights for those abroad less than 183 days/year.[[5]](https://armenianweekly.com/2026/06/17/parliamentary-elections-widen-armenias-political-crisis/)[[5]](https://armenianweekly.com/2026/06/17/parliamentary-elections-widen-armenias-political-crisis/) Pre-election context included ongoing opposition arrests (e.g., Karapetyan’s house arrest extended in April 2026) and tensions involving the Armenian Apostolic Church.[[6]](https://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/academic/EPRS_BRI%282026%29789318?utm_source=openai)

These events directly implicate young men (18-35) via potential protest mobilization, political repression risks, or recruitment into opposition activities amid heightened polarization. No reports of militia formation, coup attempts, or currency/economic shocks in the period. The baseline instability fuse score (47.6/100) could shift upward if post-election tensions escalate into sustained protests or unrest.[[7]](https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe/caucasus/armenia)

**Notable 2025 youth-focused reports and initiatives (with some 2026 activity):**
- UNICEF Armenia Annual Report 2025 (released ~February 2026) highlights the country’s first Youth Policy Law (defining youth as ages 13–35) and related programming.[[8]](https://open.unicef.org/download-pdf?country-name=Armenia&year=2025)
- Armenian Progressive Youth NGO activities, including the 2025 Annual Youth Forum (over 150 participants) and openings of new regional youth centers (announced May 28, 2026) focused on non-formal education, psychosocial support, and empowerment (in partnership with UNICEF, Ministry of Education, and Japan funding).[[9]](https://yeu-international.org/new-youth-centers-expand-opportunities-for-young-people-in-armenias-regions/)
- An education sector report by expert Serob Khachatryan (referenced in June 2026 coverage) details challenges like low higher education funding rankings, high tuition dependence, and declining academic freedom.[[10]](https://armenianweekly.com/2026/06/16/armenias-education-reforms-fall-short-as-system-continues-to-fail/)

These represent continuity in positive youth programming rather than new crisis signals.

**Internet/mobile infrastructure:** Team Telecom Armenia completed a full 2G network shutdown on April 10, 2026—the first such move in the country—as part of a shift to 4G/5G technologies.[[11]](https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/team-telecom-armenia-completes-2g-shutdown/) No internet or mobile shutdowns, coverage reductions, or major disruptions reported in Armenia during the period (unlike isolated cases elsewhere globally). This represents a modernization step with potential neutral-to-positive implications for access.

**Summary flag:** The dominant recent development is the contested June 7 elections and ensuing political confrontation, which introduces heightened risks of instability and direct impacts on young men through political engagement or repression. Unemployment metrics show no material change. Youth policy efforts continue positively. Monitor for post-election protest escalation, which could meaningfully alter the baseline instability picture. Sources primarily include World Bank/FRED data portals, Armenian Weekly, Crisis Group, and related reports (accessed via searches as of June 2026).
Source discovery
**Armstat (Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia)**  
- Name: Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia (Armstat)  
- URL: https://armstat.am/ (databases section; labor/unemployment/wages under socio-economic and population stats)  
- API: No (machine-readable downloads via databases, e.g., Excel/CSV for indicators like average wages, economic activity, population)  
- Update frequency: Monthly (key indicators like wages, CPI); quarterly/annual for labor/employment data  
- Auth required: None (public)[[1]](https://armstat.am/)[[1]](https://armstat.am/)

**Central Bank of Armenia (CBA) Data**  
- Name: Central Bank of Armenia (CBA) statistical data / Open Data Armenia aggregator  
- URL: https://data.opendata.am/ (mentions CBA); CBA main site for reports/downloads  
- API: Partial (SOAP API endpoints noted for CBA data; primarily downloads)  
- Update frequency: Varies (economic/financial indicators, some employment-related proxies)  
- Auth required: None (public domain noted)[[2]](https://data.opendata.am/en/organization/opendataam?tags=API&tags=Central+Bank)

**ILOSTAT (Europe & Central Asia regional labor database)**  
- Name: ILOSTAT (International Labour Organization)  
- URL: https://ilostat.ilo.org/ (ECA subset and country pages for Armenia)  
- API: Yes (SDMX REST API; also bulk downloads, R package support)  
- Update frequency: Regular (annual/quarterly/monthly labor stats, including youth employment/unemployment by country)  
- Auth required: None (free/open access)[[3]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/)[[4]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/)

**Armenia News RSS Feeds (reliable local/regional sources)**  
- Name: News.am RSS / 1in.am RSS / PanARMENIAN.net RSS (examples of reliable English-language feeds)  
- URL: https://news.am/eng/rss/ ; http://en.1in.am/feed ; others via aggregator lists  
- API: No (RSS feeds available; no dedicated data APIs)  
- Update frequency: Real-time/daily (news coverage of economy, youth, instability)  
- Auth required: None (public RSS)[[5]](https://rss.feedspot.com/armenia_news_rss_feeds/)[[6]](https://github.com/yavuz/news-feed-list-of-countries)

**Global Voices Armenia (regional NGO/news aggregator with RSS)**  
- Name: Global Voices (Armenia section)  
- URL: https://globalvoices.org/-/world/central-asia-caucasus/armenia/ (RSS via main feeds)  
- API: No (RSS feeds; no data API)  
- Update frequency: Regular (citizen media on social/economic issues)  
- Auth required: None (public)[[7]](https://globalvoices.org/feeds/)

These complement the listed sources (e.g., Armstat/ILOSTAT for primary labor/youth employment data; RSS for qualitative monitoring). No strong Armenia-specific NGO/think-tank public data APIs were identified beyond the above; regional ECA coverage is strongest via ILO.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
22.727.933.22014202523.4%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
1.22.43.6201420232.2

Internet access

%
52.568.083.52014202481.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
116.3126.3136.320142024134.9

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
99.299.8100.520142023100.0%

AI usage

%
13.217.020.82014202420.3%

Population

people
2955740.02997500.03039260.0201420243033500.0

Working-age share

%
66.668.269.82014202467.1%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.