Europe & Central Asia · ARM

Armenia

32
Composite priority
23.4%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
3.09M
Population · 2025
66.6%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
2.2 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

40.16°, 44.51° · ISO ARM / AMOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment23.4%· 61p
2025
Intentional homicides2.2 per 100k· 6p
2023
Internet access81.3%· 21p
2024
Mobile subscriptions134.9 per 100· 35p
2024
Phone ownership79.8%· 38p
2024
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2024
AI usage20.3%· 21p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

2015–2026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse↓ 13.1p vs 2021
48
Access gap↑ 0.1p vs 2021
23
Impact↓ 4.2p vs 2021
33

Latest signals

2026-08-21 09:07 UTC · run 2026-08-21T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major shifts to the youth instability baseline (23.4% male youth unemployment 15-24 in 2025; national instability fuse score 47.6/100) from developments in the ~last 60 days (roughly late June–August 21, 2026).** Recent data and events show continuity rather than escalation, with persistent challenges around job quality, youth political disengagement, and economic vulnerabilities, but no new spikes in unemployment figures, large-scale protests, security incidents, or infrastructure disruptions targeting or disproportionately affecting young men (18-35).[[1]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/armenia/publication/armenia-s-economic-pulse)[[1]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/armenia/publication/armenia-s-economic-pulse)

**1. Youth/male unemployment data releases (ILO/World Bank/government):**  
No new Armenia-specific ILO or World Bank releases on youth (15-24) or male youth unemployment in the last 60 days. The World Bank’s *Armenia’s Economic Pulse* (Summer 2026 edition, published July 24, 2026) highlights that the core challenge is **job quality** (low-productivity, low-paying, informal work) rather than outright job creation, with poverty declining but many households vulnerable to shocks; it notes persistent youth unemployment and labor underutilization issues without providing updated percentage figures.[[1]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/armenia/publication/armenia-s-economic-pulse)[[1]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/armenia/publication/armenia-s-economic-pulse)[[2]](https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/fea6e2a4-49ee-46b6-8a8d-b4eb16e76b10) Earlier modeled ILO estimates place total youth unemployment around 26.2% (2025) or 26.24% (2024), consistent with the male-specific baseline.[[3]](https://tradingeconomics.com/armenia/unemployment-youth-total-percent-of-total-labor-force-ages-15-24-wb-data.html)[[4]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Armenia) Overall unemployment was reported at 12.8% in Q1 2026 (down from 13.9% in Q1 2025).[[5]](https://caspianpost.com/opinion/armenia-s-re-export-boom-is-fading-what-comes-next-for-the-economy)

**2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35):**  
- **June 7, 2026 parliamentary elections** (first regular ones in nearly a decade): Civil Contract (Pashinyan) won with ~49.8% of the vote (preliminary/final figures around 49.7–56.7% depending on reporting), securing a majority; main opposition Strong Armenia took ~23.2%; turnout ~58.8–59%. Youth (18-35) represent nearly 30% of the electorate but showed notable apathy—49% of 18-35 voters described themselves as “uninterested in politics” (IRI poll, May 2026). Only ~20% of Pashinyan supporters were in the 18-25 group; 42% of 18-25 voters were undecided pre-election. Young voters leaned pro-Western (58% favoring that foreign policy direction per the same IRI poll). No reports of major post-election protests, violence, coup attempts, or militia activity linked to youth.[[6]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Armenian_parliamentary_election)[[7]](https://www.reuters.com/world/armenias-ruling-party-leads-parliamentary-vote-with-57-early-results-2026-06-07/)[[8]](https://evnreport.com/elections/armenias-youth-political-vacuum/)[[8]](https://evnreport.com/elections/armenias-youth-political-vacuum/)
- Economic context: Growth slowed (Q1 2026 GDP growth 4.0% real vs. higher prior years); re-export boom fading; inflation pressures rising (consumer prices +4.2% YoY in Q1; producer prices +9.2%). No currency crisis or acute shocks reported. Labor market showed salaried employment growth over longer term but ongoing quality issues.[[5]](https://caspianpost.com/opinion/armenia-s-re-export-boom-is-fading-what-comes-next-for-the-economy)

**3. NGO/academic reports on youth situation (published 2025 or later):**  
- BTI 2026 Armenia Country Report (Bertelsmann Transformation Index) covers broader governance, economic, and social issues, noting challenges like polarization and youth-related themes indirectly through democratic participation.[[9]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/ARM)
- June 16, 2026 reporting on education reforms highlighted persistent inequalities (e.g., only 17.2% of poor hold higher education degrees; heavy reliance on tuition fees; declining academic freedom index).[[10]](https://armenianweekly.com/2026/06/16/armenias-education-reforms-fall-short-as-system-continues-to-fail/)
- A new Youth Policy Law was enacted March 5, 2025, providing a legal framework for youth participation and development (not a 2025 publication per se).[[11]](https://csometer.info/updates/armenia-new-law-youth-policy-significant-step-youth-development-and-participation)
No reports in results flagged acute new instability hotspots for youth.

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes:**  
- Positive development: On June 23, 2026, Telecom Armenia and Azertelecom signed agreements for mutual routing of internet traffic (up to 100 Gbps via infrastructure), expanding connectivity options as part of broader regional dynamics—no shutdowns involved.[[12]](https://sovanews.tv/en/2026/06/23/armenia-and-azerbaijan-sign-internet-traffic-transit-agreement/)[[13]](https://oc-media.org/armenia-and-azerbaijan-sign-internet-traffic-transit-agreement/)
- 2G network shutdown completed by Team Telecom Armenia on April 10, 2026 (outside the 60-day window; shift toward 4G/5G).[[14]](https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/team-telecom-armenia-completes-2g-shutdown/)
No shutdowns, coverage losses, or negative access changes reported in the period.

**Summary flag:** Nothing in the last 60 days indicates a significant worsening of the instability picture. Youth political disengagement and job quality concerns remain relevant themes, but the June elections occurred without major youth-driven unrest, and economic reporting emphasizes resilience alongside structural issues. Continued monitoring of post-election dynamics and any Q2/Q3 2026 labor data would be warranted. Sources include World Bank, IRI polls, election commission reporting via Reuters/EVN Report/Wikipedia, and others as cited.
Source discovery
**Armstat (Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia)**  
- **URL**: https://armstat.am/en/ (databases/time series at armstat.am/en/?nid=13 or similar; SDG portal sdg.armstat.am; microdata library)  
- **API**: No (primarily web downloads, time series tables, CSV/Excel exports on SDG pages and reports)  
- **Update frequency**: Monthly/quarterly releases for labor/unemployment (e.g., quarterly averages); annual reports  
- **Auth required**: None (public downloads)  

**Central Bank of Armenia (CBA)**  
- **URL**: https://www.cba.am/ (statistical data/reports section; exchange rates retrieval)  
- **API**: Partial (exchange rates via SOAP/REST endpoints like api.cba.am; other stats via Excel downloads and reports)  
- **Update frequency**: Daily/periodic for rates; quarterly/annual for economic/labor indicators (unemployment data often referenced)  
- **Auth required**: None (public)  

**ADB Key Indicators – Armenia**  
- **URL**: https://data.adb.org/dataset/armenia-key-indicators (or kidb.adb.org)  
- **API**: No (XLSX/PDF downloads)  
- **Update frequency**: Annually (covers 2000–2024; includes labor force, employment, poverty indicators)  
- **Auth required**: None (public, CC-BY license)  

**Open Data Armenia / opendata.am**  
- **URL**: https://data.opendata.am/ (aggregates Armstat/World Bank indicators; some CSV/XML/Excel)  
- **API**: Partial (dataset-level downloads; limited structured API noted)  
- **Update frequency**: Varies by source (Armstat-aligned indicators)  
- **Auth required**: None (public)  

**Humanitarian Data Exchange (HDX) – Armenia**  
- **URL**: https://data.humdata.org/group/arm  
- **API**: Partial (HDX platform supports API access for many datasets; browse/search/download primary)  
- **Update frequency**: Varies (crisis/poverty/humanitarian datasets from multiple orgs)  
- **Auth required**: None (public; some datasets may require registration)  

**Armenia News RSS Feeds (e.g., PanARMENIAN.Net, Hetq, 1in.am, Armenian Weekly)**  
- **URL**: Various (e.g., via rss.feedspot.com/armenia_news_rss_feeds/ or direct site feeds)  
- **API**: No (standard RSS/Atom feeds)  
- **Update frequency**: As published (daily/ongoing news coverage)  
- **Auth required**: None (public feeds)  

These focus on direct, machine-readable or downloadable sources beyond the listed global ones (World Bank, ACLED, etc.). Armstat and CBA provide the most relevant labor/economic granularity for Armenia; regional (ADB) adds ECA/Central Asia context. Verify current endpoints and licenses directly, as structures can evolve.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
22.727.933.22014202523.4%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
1.22.43.6201420232.2

Internet access

%
52.568.083.52014202481.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
116.3126.3136.320142024134.9

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
99.299.8100.520142024100.0%

AI usage

%
13.217.020.82014202420.3%

Population

people
2951484.03024100.03096716.0201420253086700.0

Working-age share

%
66.168.069.82014202566.6%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.