Europe & Central Asia · BIH
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-08-25 09:07 UTC · run 2026-08-25T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth (15-24) or male-specific unemployment in BIH were identified in the last ~60 days (post ~June 26, 2026).**[[1]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=BA) The most recent modeled ILO/World Bank estimates (accessed January 2026) show total youth unemployment (15-24) at 28.201% for 2025 (FRED/World Bank data, updated February 2026), up slightly from 27.334% in 2024.[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSBIH) This aligns closely with the baseline male figure of 26.5% (2025) without indicating a significant shift. Earlier data points include 27.3% youth unemployment in 2023 (BTI 2026 report) and 30.2% in Q1 2025 (national policies source).[[3]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/BIH)[[4]](https://national-policies.eacea.ec.europa.eu/youthwiki/chapters/bosnia-and-herzegovina/31-general-context) No male-specific updates or 2026 quarterly/national estimates surfaced. **No significant political, security, or economic events specifically affecting young men (18-35) — such as protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or acute shocks — were identified in the last 60 days.**[[3]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/BIH) Persistent structural issues continue, including Republika Srpska (RS) President Milorad Dodik’s ongoing secessionist rhetoric, challenges to state institutions, his 2024+ trial for noncompliance with High Representative decisions, and U.S. sanctions on him and associates for corruption/patronage (detailed in the BTI 2026 Bosnia report, covering developments into 2026). EU accession talks opened in 2024 amid slow reform progress. A Westminster Foundation for Democracy (WFD) update (August 13, 2026) highlights ongoing youth barriers like insecure/low-wage work, expensive housing, and emigration pressures, alongside positive institutional steps such as increased Federation funding for youth organizations (nearly doubled to BAM 1 million in the 2026 budget) and a new inter-ministerial Council for Youth (with ≥50% youth membership) to coordinate policy.[[5]](https://www.wfd.org/story/turning-youth-priorities-political-action-bosnia-and-herzegovina) Broader Gen Z protest trends (e.g., in Serbia or elsewhere) were noted globally but not linked to new BIH-specific youth mobilization in the period. Older references (e.g., March 2026 Sarajevo events or 2018 protests) do not indicate recent escalation.[[6]](https://china-cee.eu/2026/03/13/bosnia-and-herzegovina-monthly-briefing-tragedy-in-the-center-of-sarajevo-responsibility-protests-and-politics/) **Notable NGO/academic reports on BIH youth from 2025 (none newly published or highlighted in the last 60 days):** UNICEF “Voices of Youth 2024” (May 2025 survey of 2,163 young people on education, employment, mental health, etc.); UNDP/UNFPA meta-analysis of 2021–2024 studies (August 2025) on aspirations, frustrations, and futures; and related WFD work on youth priorities.[[7]](https://www.unicef.org/bih/en/reports/voices-youth-2024-insights-bosnia-and-herzegovina)[[8]](https://bosniaherzegovina.un.org/en/299689-youth-bosnia-and-herzegovina-aspirations-frustrations-and-futures) **Internet/mobile infrastructure:** A notable recent development is a significant connectivity drop/outage in BIH detected starting August 21, 2026 (ongoing as of late August per IODA monitoring), with another reported around August 5. These appear tied to infrastructure/power issues rather than deliberate government shutdowns (no shutdowns flagged in broader Q2 2026 reports).[[9]](https://voidly.ai/incident/BA-2026-0062)[[9]](https://voidly.ai/incident/BA-2026-0062) Mobile 4G coverage remains high (~97%), with 5G at ~22% (Internet Society data). No widespread or intentional disruptions reported. **Overall assessment:** No developments in the last 60 days appear to significantly shift the baseline youth instability picture (stable unemployment estimates around the 26.5–28% range; ongoing but non-acute political tensions; incremental positive youth policy steps amid persistent challenges). The recent internet outage warrants monitoring if prolonged, as it could temporarily affect youth information flows or coordination. Sources include World Bank/FRED data portals, BTI 2026 report (bti-project.org), WFD (wfd.org), and IODA outage tracking.
Source discovery
**BHAS (Agency for Statistics of Bosnia and Herzegovina) – main national stats office** - URL: https://bhas.gov.ba/ (with entity breakdowns via fzs.ba and similar) - API: No (website releases and downloads only) - Update frequency: Monthly (registered unemployment/wages); quarterly/annual (Labour Force Survey/LFS on employment/unemployment rates, youth-relevant breakdowns) - Auth: None (free public downloads in Excel/PDF; machine-readable Excel available)[[1]](https://bhas.gov.ba/data/Dokumenti/Izvjesca/BHAS_Izvjestaj-o-radu_2025_EN.pdf)[[2]](https://bhas.gov.ba/data/Publikacije/Saopstenja/2026/LAB_03_2026_01_1_HR.pdf) **CBBH (Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina) – economic/financial indicators** - URL: https://www.cbbh.ba/ (statistical tables/reports; SDDS/NSDP portal at cbbh.ba/Content/Read/1133; older portal statistics.cbbh.ba) - API: No dedicated public REST API (table downloads and reports) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly (monetary aggregates, wages/earnings, employment-related in bulletins/reports); annual comprehensive tables - Auth: None (free XLS/PDF downloads)[[3]](https://www.cbbh.ba/Home/GetTableAttachment?contentId=9f738fd5-ed4c-4437-abf8-3f420d280f49&lang=en)[[4]](https://cbbh.ba/Content/Read/1133) **Eurostat – regional ECA/EU-candidate data (includes BiH breakdowns)** - URL: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/ (databrowser; e.g., une_rt_m, yth_empl_*, lfsi_neet_*, tespm080) - API: Yes (public dissemination API supporting JSON/SDMX; filters for geo=BA/Bosnia and Herzegovina) - Update frequency: Varies (monthly/quarterly for unemployment; annual for youth employment/NEET/LFS-derived indicators) - Auth: None (free/open)[[5]](https://data.europa.eu/data/datasets/wuyekuejftmgolvxob44q?locale=en)[[6]](https://data.europa.eu/data/datasets/r93au4ipyptayethor90xq?locale=en) **SEE Jobs Gateway Database (World Bank + wiiw) – Western Balkans labor focus (includes BiH)** - URL: https://wiiw.ac.at/see-jobs-gateway-database-ds-5.html - API: No (dashboard/database with downloads) - Update frequency: Quarterly and annual (harmonized LFS-based labor market indicators, youth unemployment, employment by age/education) - Auth: None or free registration (public access to data)[[7]](https://wiiw.ac.at/see-jobs-gateway-database-ds-5.html) **FZS (Federalni zavod za statistiku – Federation entity stats office)** - URL: https://fzs.ba/ (labor market section) - API: No (category releases with downloads) - Update frequency: Monthly (employment, wages by activity; Excel/PDF) - Auth: None (free machine-readable Excel)[[8]](https://fzs.ba/index.php/category/mjesecni)[[9]](https://fzs.ba/index.php/category/statisticki-standardi/trziste-rada/) These complement the listed global sources (World Bank, ACLED, etc.) with BiH-specific or ECA-granular labor/youth/economic data. BHAS and CBBH provide primary national figures (often aligned with Eurostat standards); Eurostat offers the strongest API option for programmatic access. No prominent public APIs were identified for local news RSS or specific NGO/think-tank crisis/poverty trackers focused on BiH.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2025
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025