Europe & Central Asia · BIH
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-23 18:00 UTC · run 2026-06-23T18
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth (or male-specific 15-24) unemployment for Bosnia and Herzegovina appear in the last 60 days (roughly April–June 2026).** Available modeled ILO/World Bank data remains anchored to 2025 figures, with total youth unemployment (15-24) at approximately 28.2% for 2025.[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSBIH)[[2]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/811689/youth-unemployment-rate-in-bosnia-and-herzegovina/?srsltid=AfmBOooFBu8PokttJusITtWJSlX5rHxcs0n21yGdl_QKD7o6Qc-wESsW) Earlier quarterly national data (e.g., Youthwiki updates referencing Q1 2025 at 30.2% and Q3 2025 at ~33.5%) align closely with the provided baseline of 26.5% for males.[[3]](https://national-policies.eacea.ec.europa.eu/youthwiki/chapters/bosnia-and-herzegovina/31-general-context) No 2026 LFS youth-specific figures have been prominently released or cited in recent sources. The instability fuse score baseline (43.2/100) shows no direct updates. **No significant political, security, or economic events targeting or disproportionately affecting young men (18-35) were identified in the period.** Ongoing structural tensions persist, including Republika Srpska secessionist rhetoric under President Milorad Dodik, legal challenges, and sanctions, but these are long-standing rather than acute new developments.[[4]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/BIH) - A tram accident in Sarajevo (February 2026) sparked protests in March 2026, outside the 60-day window.[[5]](https://china-cee.eu/2026/03/13/bosnia-and-herzegovina-monthly-briefing-tragedy-in-the-center-of-sarajevo-responsibility-protests-and-politics/)[[6]](https://ba.usembassy.gov/demonstration-alert-u-s-embassy-sarajevo-bosnia-and-herzegovina-thursday-march-5-2026/) - Early April 2026 saw positive street celebrations in Sarajevo following Bosnia and Herzegovina’s World Cup qualification (penalty shootout win over Italy), providing a rare unifying moment amid political stagnation rather than unrest.[[7]](https://balkaninsight.com/2026/04/01/world-cup-qualification-brings-rare-sense-of-hope-to-bosnia/bi/) - A high-level UN peacebuilding conference in Sarajevo on June 22, 2026, emphasized youth inclusion in multilateral efforts but framed it positively.[[8]](https://bosniaherzegovina.un.org/en) No reports of coup attempts, militia recruitment, economic shocks, or currency crises emerged. Broader economic and demographic challenges (high youth unemployment, brain drain, NEET rates around 22%) continue as structural issues.[[9]](https://national-policies.eacea.ec.europa.eu/youthwiki/chapters/bosnia-and-herzegovina/41-general-context) **Notable 2025 NGO/academic or institutional reports on youth (published or referencing 2025 data) include the BTI 2026 Country Report and UN Bosnia and Herzegovina Annual Results Report 2025 (released ~June 2026).** These highlight persistent high youth unemployment (~27–31% range in recent estimates), NEET challenges, migration pressures, and limited labor market integration but do not indicate sharp deteriorations beyond the baseline.[[4]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/BIH)[[8]](https://bosniaherzegovina.un.org/en) Youthwiki updates (Feb 2026) similarly note ongoing barriers without new crisis signals.[[9]](https://national-policies.eacea.ec.europa.eu/youthwiki/chapters/bosnia-and-herzegovina/41-general-context) **No changes to internet/mobile infrastructure access (shutdowns, major rollouts, or coverage shifts) were reported for BIH.** General 2026 coverage guides describe reliable nationwide 4G/5G from providers like BH Telecom, with no incidents noted (unlike shutdowns reported elsewhere globally).[[10]](https://sparkroam.com/bosnia-and-herzegovina-mobile-network-coverage/) **Overall assessment:** Nothing identified in the last 60 days would significantly shift the youth instability picture from the given baseline. Unemployment metrics remain consistent with 2025 levels around 28%, political tensions are chronic rather than escalating acutely for youth, and positive or neutral events (e.g., sports celebrations, peacebuilding forums) predominate over instability triggers. Continued monitoring of quarterly LFS releases and RS-related political developments is recommended. Sources include World Bank/FRED data portals, BTI Project, UN Bosnia site, Youthwiki, and news aggregators.
Source discovery
**• Agency for Statistics of Bosnia and Herzegovina (BHAS) – Labor/unemployment data (LFS, registered unemployment, wages, employment by activity):** https://bhas.gov.ba/?lang=en; No API; Monthly (registered unemployment, employment) / quarterly or annual (LFS-based rates); None (PDF press releases, some tables; machine-readable downloads limited or absent).[[1]](https://bhas.gov.ba/?lang=en) **• Labor and Employment Agency of Bosnia and Herzegovina (ARZ) – Registered unemployment and labor market reviews:** https://arz.gov.ba/ (statistika section); No API; Monthly; None (reports/tables, often HTML/PDF).[[2]](https://national-policies.eacea.ec.europa.eu/youthwiki/chapters/bosnia-and-herzegovina/31-general-context) **• Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina (CBBH) Statistics Web Portal – Economic/monetary indicators, inflation, external sector, lending surveys (relevant to youth employment/economic context):** https://www.cbbh.ba/content/read/915 (dashboard access); No dedicated public API; Monthly/quarterly; None (interactive portal with data exports, likely Excel/PDF; release calendar available).[[3]](https://www.cbbh.ba/content/read/915) **• UNECE Statistical Database / Data Portal – Country-level breakdowns for Europe & Central Asia (labor market, unemployment, demographics, economy for BiH):** https://w3.unece.org/ or https://w3.unece.org/PXWeb/; Partial (PXWeb-based; some query/export capabilities, not full modern REST API); Varies by indicator (annual/periodic); None (free access/downloads).[[4]](https://w3.unece.org/) **• ILOSTAT – Europe & Central Asia labor statistics (youth unemployment, employment, NEET proxies for BiH and region):** https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/; Yes (data explorer, bulk downloads, some programmatic tools); Annual/periodic updates with latest modeled/national estimates; None (free).[[5]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/) **• News RSS feeds (reliable BiH coverage for instability/youth context monitoring):** Multiple sources via aggregators like https://rss.feedspot.com/bosnia_and_herzegovina_news_rss_feeds/ (e.g., Mondo, Nezavisne novine, Fokus, Slobodna Bosna, Haber.ba); RSS available on most; Varies (daily/near real-time); None (public RSS).[[6]](https://rss.feedspot.com/bosnia_and_herzegovina_news_rss_feeds/) **• Humanitarian Data Exchange (HDX) – BiH-specific humanitarian, poverty, crisis, and development datasets (country group filter):** https://data.humdata.org/group/bih; Partial (bulk downloads, some datasets support API-like access via CKAN); Varies by dataset (frequent updates for crises); None (free registration optional for some features).[[7]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/?q=Human+Development+Indicators+by+Country&groups=bih&page=2) **• International Crisis Group (CrisisWatch) – Conflict/instability monitoring with BiH entries (early warning for youth instability tracker):** https://www.crisisgroup.org/ (CrisisWatch section); No dedicated data API (narrative + structured situation reports); Monthly; None (free access).[[8]](https://www.crisisgroup.org/) Note: No strong evidence of full public REST APIs or open bulk CSV/JSON repositories for the national statistical office or central bank (primarily PDF/table releases or interactive portals). Regional sources like UNECE/ILOSTAT provide the most structured country breakdowns. All listed are publicly accessible without paid tiers based on current information.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025