Sub-Saharan Africa · BWA
Botswana
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-08-06 09:10 UTC · run 2026-08-06T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank data releases on youth (15-24) or male unemployment in Botswana appear in the last 60 days (roughly June 6–August 6, 2026).** The baseline 41.3% figure (2025, 15-24 male national) remains the most recent specific reference; other sources cite broader youth rates around 28.9–38% from 2024/early 2025 data or estimates, with some variation by age group or survey (e.g., Statistics Botswana QMTS or BMTHS).[[1]](https://www.facebook.com/BotswanaParliament/posts/%F0%9D%97%95%F0%9D%97%A2%F0%9D%97%A7%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%AA%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%94-%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A7%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A2%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%9F-%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%98%F0%9D%97%A0%F0%9D%97%95%F0%9D%97%9F%F0%9D%97%AC-%F0%9D%97%A4%F0%9D%97%A8%F0%9D%97%98%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%A7%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A2%F0%9D%97%A1-%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%AA%F0%9D%97%98%F0%9D%97%A5-%F0%9D%97%A7%F0%9D%97%9B%F0%9D%97%A8%F0%9D%97%A5%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%97%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%AC-%F0%9D%9F%AE%F0%9D%9F%AF%F0%9D%97%A5%F0%9D%97%97-%F0%9D%97%9D%F0%9D%97%A8%F0%9D%97%9F%F0%9D%97%AC-%F0%9D%9F%AE%F0%9D%9F%AC%F0%9D%9F%AE%F0%9D%9F%B2-%F0%9D%97%A4%F0%9D%98%82%F0%9D%97%B2%F0%9D%98%80%F0%9D%98%81%F0%9D%97%B6%F0%9D%97%BC%F0%9D%97%BB-%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%BC%F0%9D%9F%B0%F0%9D%9F%B4/1629282149204939/)[[2]](https://dailynews.gov.bw/news-detail/91013) The World Bank’s *Botswana Economic Update – Seizing the Moment* (published July 15, 2026) reports ongoing economic contraction (−2.8% in 2024, −0.7% in 2025) due to weaker diamond revenues, fiscal pressures, and limited diversification, with public debt rising to nearly 40% of GDP by 2025. It emphasizes skills reforms, apprenticeships/internships via the HRDF, and TVET alignment to boost youth employment and private-sector job creation but provides no updated unemployment percentages.[[3]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/botswana/publication/botswana-economic-update-seizing-the-moment-how-botswana-can-turn-crisis-into-opportunity)[[3]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/botswana/publication/botswana-economic-update-seizing-the-moment-how-botswana-can-turn-crisis-into-opportunity) **No significant political, security, or economic events targeting or disproportionately affecting young men (18-35) were identified in Botswana during the period.** Broader African “Gen Z protests” or youth-led unrest occurred elsewhere (e.g., Kenya, Uganda references in 2025–2026 coverage), but Botswana-specific mentions are limited to earlier youth electoral influence (e.g., 2024–2025 context) or general economic hardship pushing people toward menial jobs. No reports of protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or currency crises in Botswana.[[4]](https://www.asisonline.org/security-management-magazine/latest-news/today-in-security/2025/october/gen-z-protests/)[[5]](https://www.facebook.com/ACLEDINFO/posts/protest-movements-continued-to-gain-ground-worldwide-in-2025-surpassing-148000-d/1306507778162866/) **Notable 2025/2026 NGO/academic or policy reports** (mostly pre-dating the last 60 days): - Botswana adopted the revised **National Youth Policy 2026–2036** and implementation plan around April 2026, addressing education-labor market misalignment amid ~38% youth unemployment (2024 reference).[[6]](https://www.facebook.com/61579069192436/posts/%F0%9D%90%80-%F0%9D%90%A6%F0%9D%90%9A%F0%9D%90%A3%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%AB-%F0%9D%90%A6%F0%9D%90%A2%F0%9D%90%A5%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%AC%F0%9D%90%AD%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%A7%F0%9D%90%9E-%F0%9D%90%9F%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%AB-%F0%9D%90%B2%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%AE%F0%9D%90%AD%F0%9D%90%A1-%F0%9D%90%9D%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%AF%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%A5%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%A9%F0%9D%90%A6%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%A7%F0%9D%90%AD-%F0%9D%90%A2%F0%9D%90%A7-%F0%9D%90%81%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%AD%F0%9D%90%AC%F0%9D%90%B0%F0%9D%90%9A%F0%9D%90%A7%F0%9D%90%9Aparliament-has-today-voted-un/122155917110968973/)[[2]](https://dailynews.gov.bw/news-detail/91013) - UNDP’s 4th National Human Development Report (NHDR) on youth employment incorporates an early-2025 youth survey and highlights challenges for ages 15–35 (~38% unemployment cited in related coverage); the full report is available via UNDP.[[7]](https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2025-06/58996-undp-botswana-nhdr-report-summary-final-v2.pdf) - ILO supported finalization of Botswana’s National Youth Employment Strategy (YES) around April 2026, aligned with the youth policy review and other reforms.[[8]](https://www.ilo.org/resource/news/ilo-supports-botswana-finalise-youth-employment-strategy) **No changes to internet/mobile infrastructure access** (shutdowns, major coverage shifts, or rollouts) reported for Botswana in the period. It appears on general 2026 election/internet-shutdown watchlists but without specific incidents or risks flagged; African shutdowns in 2025 were concentrated in other countries (e.g., Tanzania). A minor positive note: Orange Botswana partnered on connectivity for a June 2026 event.[[9]](https://www.accessnow.org/campaign/2026-elections-and-internet-shutdowns-watch/)[[10]](https://adf-magazine.com/2026/05/internet-shutdowns-spread-in-africa/) **Overall assessment**: No developments in the last 60 days appear to significantly shift the instability picture from the provided baseline (high youth unemployment + elevated fuse score). Economic contraction and skills/employment policy focus continue, but without acute triggers like new data spikes, unrest, or digital disruptions. Key sources include the World Bank update (worldbank.org link above) and policy announcements on gov.bw/dailynews.gov.bw. Further monitoring of Statistics Botswana or ILO releases is recommended for future updates.
Source discovery
**Statistics Botswana (National statistics bureau)** - Name/URL: Statistics Botswana Data Portals (Statistical Data Portal: http://botswana.opendataforafrica.org; Microdata Portal: https://microdata.statsbots.org.bw; main site https://www.statsbots.org.bw/) - API: Partial (web services for automated data sharing mentioned alongside interactive access and metadata) - Update frequency: Quarterly (e.g., labour/unemployment via Quarterly Multi-Topic Survey) and monthly/annual releases - Auth required: None for aggregate data portal; registration/login for microdata access **Bank of Botswana (Central bank economic/financial data)** - Name/URL: Bank of Botswana Statistics section (https://www.bankofbotswana.bw/content/statistics; economic/financial data at https://www.bankofbotswana.bw/content/economic-and-financial-data) - API: No - Update frequency: Regular (monetary policy reports, economic bulletins, advance release calendar; covers employment-related economic indicators) - Auth required: None (tables, charts, and downloads available) **African Development Bank (AfDB) Statistical Data Portal (Regional Sub-Saharan Africa database with country breakdowns)** - Name/URL: AfDB Statistical Data Portal / Open Data for Africa (https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/; Botswana-specific data available) - API: Yes (programmatic access via SDMX/web services; developer documentation available) - Update frequency: Ongoing/annual updates across socio-economic indicators (including youth/employment-relevant metrics for African countries) - Auth required: None (free/open access) **Botswana news outlets (Local/regional RSS feeds)** - Name/URL: Multiple Botswana news RSS feeds (e.g., Mmegi Online, The Voice BW, Sunday Standard, Botswana Guardian; aggregated lists at https://rss.feedspot.com/botswana_news_rss_feeds/) - API: No (RSS feeds; general news APIs like NewsData.io or NewsAPI can supplement with Botswana coverage) - Update frequency: Daily/real-time (news on economy, youth, instability) - Auth required: None for RSS; free/paid tiers for commercial news APIs **AfDB-related platforms (Additional regional coverage)** - Note: Overlaps with the main AfDB portal above; includes socio-economic databases with Botswana breakdowns (no separate API details beyond the primary portal). These sources focus on direct, machine-readable or downloadable data (prioritizing APIs/web services where available) beyond the listed existing pulls. No prominent free public APIs were identified from the finance ministry or specific youth-focused NGOs/think tanks for Botswana.[[1]](https://www.statsbots.org.bw/sector-and-key-indicators/labour)[[2]](https://www.statsbots.org.bw/data-portal-0)[[3]](https://www.bankofbotswana.bw/content/statistics)[[4]](https://www.re3data.org/repository/r3d100011929)[[5]](https://rss.feedspot.com/botswana_news_rss_feeds/)
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025