Sub-Saharan Africa · BWA

Botswana

50
Composite priority
41.3%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
2.52M
Population · 2024
63.8%
Ages 15-64 · 2024
11.4 per 100k
Homicides · 2021

Location

-24.65°, 25.92° · ISO BWA / BWOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment41.3%· 100p
2025
Intentional homicides11.4 per 100k· 35p
2021
Internet access57.5%· 50p
2024
Mobile subscriptions164.0 per 100· 12p
2024
Phone ownership90.6%· 18p
2023
Electricity access76.0%· 36p
2023
AI usage14.4%· 50p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 0.0p vs 2021
78
Access gap 4.5p vs 2021
33
Impact 3.3p vs 2021
51

Latest signals

2026-06-05 06:00 UTC · run 2026-06-05T06

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major shifts from the baseline (youth unemployment ~41.3% for males 15-24 nationally in 2025; national instability fuse score 78.2/100) in the last ~60 days (early April–early June 2026).** Unemployment remains structurally high with ongoing policy responses but no reported protests, security incidents, economic shocks, currency crises, militia activity, or internet disruptions affecting young men (18-35).[[1]](https://www.ilo.org/resource/news/ilo-supports-botswana-finalise-youth-employment-strategy)[[2]](https://dailynews.gov.bw/news-detail/91032)

### 1. Unemployment Data Releases (Government/ILO/World Bank)
- **ILO (April 30, 2026)**: Youth unemployment (broadly defined) stood at **38.2%** at the time of National Youth Employment Strategy (YES) finalization support; NEET rate reached **41.2%**. High informal employment (>75%) noted as a parallel challenge. This aligns closely with baseline figures but reflects total youth rather than male 15-24 specifically.[[1]](https://www.ilo.org/resource/news/ilo-supports-botswana-finalise-youth-employment-strategy)
- **Modeled ILO/World Bank data (updated/referenced into 2026)**: Youth unemployment (15-24, total) at **46.004%** for 2025 (FRED/World Bank modeled estimate); earlier 2024 figure ~43.86%. National unemployment referenced at ~27.6% in Bank of Botswana Monetary Policy Statement (Feb 2025 context, carried forward).[[3]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSBWA)[[4]](https://www.ceicdata.com/en/botswana/employment-and-unemployment/bw-unemployment-modeled-ilo-estimate-youth--of-total-labour-force-aged-1524)
- **UNDP Botswana 4th National Human Development Report (youth employment focus, data through ~2024/early 2025, referenced 2025–2026)**: Youth (15-35) unemployment ~**38%** (up from 34% in 2022); NEET share even higher, disproportionately affecting women. National unemployment context ~28%. No newer 2026 government quarterly update identified in searches.[[5]](https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2025-06/58996-undp-botswana-nhdr-report-summary-final-v2.pdf)
- Botswana Parliament references (recent sessions) cite older BMTHS 2024/25 preliminary data: national unemployment ~**21.0%** (up 3.4 pp from 2015/16). No fresh male-specific 15-24 breakdowns in the period.[[6]](https://www.facebook.com/BotswanaParliament/posts/%F0%9D%97%95%F0%9D%97%A2%F0%9D%97%A7%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%AA%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%94-%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A7%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A2%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%9F-%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%98%F0%9D%97%A0%F0%9D%97%95%F0%9D%97%9F%F0%9D%97%AC-%F0%9D%97%A2%F0%9D%97%A5%F0%9D%97%97%F0%9D%97%98%F0%9D%97%A5-%F0%9D%97%A3%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A3%F0%9D%97%98%F0%9D%97%A5-%F0%9D%97%A0%F0%9D%97%A2%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%97%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%AC-%F0%9D%9F%AE%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%97-%F0%9D%97%A0%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A5%F0%9D%97%96%F0%9D%97%9B-%F0%9D%9F%AE%F0%9D%9F%AC%F0%9D%9F%AE%F0%9D%9F%B2-%F0%9D%97%A4%F0%9D%97%A8%F0%9D%97%98%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%A7%F0%9D%97%9C%F0%9D%97%A2%F0%9D%97%A1-%F0%9D%97%94%F0%9D%97%A1%F0%9D%97%A6%F0%9D%97%AA%F0%9D%97%98%F0%9D%97%A5%F0%9D%97%A4%F0%9D%98%82%F0%9D%97%B2%F0%9D%98%80/1495504539249368/)

These figures indicate persistence rather than acute worsening or improvement.

### 2. Political/Security/Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35)
- No reports of protests, unrest, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or major economic shocks/currency crises in Botswana during the period. Gen Z-related protests noted elsewhere in Africa (e.g., 2025 context), but Botswana’s recent election youth mobilization (prior period) did not extend to instability here.[[7]](https://www.asisonline.org/security-management-magazine/latest-news/today-in-security/2025/october/gen-z-protests/)[[8]](https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/gen-z-protests-have-spread-to-seven-countries-what-do-they-all-have-in-common/)
- Youth “hustling” (informal side hustles, micro-enterprises) highlighted in May 2026 media as a coping response to ~38–40% youth joblessness, with no escalation to organized unrest.[[9]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GY3T15JoFtk)
- Policy activity: Revised **National Youth Policy 2026–2036** and implementation plan adopted by Parliament (**April 16, 2026**), emphasizing STEAM/TVET, AI/innovation skills, entrepreneurship, and governance participation. ILO-backed **National Youth Employment Strategy (YES)** finalized around **April 30, 2026** (Mahalapye), involving UNICEF/IOM.[[2]](https://dailynews.gov.bw/news-detail/91032)[[1]](https://www.ilo.org/resource/news/ilo-supports-botswana-finalise-youth-employment-strategy)
- Ongoing initiatives (Youth Development Fund, budget consultations) continue without reported disruptions.

### 3. NGO/Academic Reports (2025–2026)
- **UNDP 4th NHDR (youth employment)**: Key recent analysis; highlights ~38% youth unemployment (15-35), rising NEET, skills gaps (e.g., 63% young women lacking marketable skills per some references), and calls for coordinated action. Survey of youth voices included.[[5]](https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2025-06/58996-undp-botswana-nhdr-report-summary-final-v2.pdf)[[5]](https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2025-06/58996-undp-botswana-nhdr-report-summary-final-v2.pdf)
- No other major new NGO/academic reports specifically published in the narrow window; policy documents (Youth Policy 2026–2036) incorporate 2025 inputs.

### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure
- No shutdowns, restrictions, or coverage reductions reported for Botswana. Positive developments: Orange Botswana 4G/5G rollout and digital services events in villages (e.g., Natale, May 2026) as part of World Telecommunication & Information Society Day activities. Broader African shutdown concerns (e.g., elections elsewhere) do not apply here.[[10]](https://www.facebook.com/orangebotswana/posts/this-world-telecommunication-information-society-day-2026-orange-botswana-joins-/1385941923563069/)[[11]](https://simology.io/blog/best-esim-botswana-safari-connectivity-guide-2026)

**Overall assessment**: High youth unemployment persists at levels consistent with or slightly below the 41.3% male baseline (total youth ~38%), with active but incremental policy responses (new strategy and policy in April 2026). No destabilizing events flagged that would materially elevate the instability picture in the short term. Continued monitoring of implementation outcomes recommended. All sources drawn from web searches with specific dates and URLs as cited.
Source discovery
**Statistics Botswana (National Statistics Bureau)**  
- **URL**: https://www.statsbots.org.bw/ (Data Portal and Government Data Portal sections)  
- **API**: Partial (web services for automated data sharing; interactive portals with metadata)  
- **Update frequency**: Quarterly (e.g., Quarterly Multi-Topic Survey for labor/unemployment data)  
- **Auth required**: None for public downloads/portals; web services likely none or free registration  

**Bank of Botswana (Central Bank)**  
- **URL**: https://www.bankofbotswana.bw/  
- **API**: No (RSS feeds available for publications and key releases)  
- **Update frequency**: Varies; annual reports, monetary policy statements, and economic/financial statistics (includes employment and economic indicators)  
- **Auth required**: None (public data and RSS)  

**African Development Bank (AfDB) Open Data Platform / Africa Information Highway (AIH)**  
- **URL**: https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ (AfDB Statistical Data Portal)  
- **API**: Yes (SDMX-native Open Data Platform 2.0 with data submission/dissemination tools; supports automated access)  
- **Update frequency**: Regular (country-level breakdowns for Sub-Saharan Africa, including Botswana economic, social, and labor-related indicators)  
- **Auth required**: None (public open data platform)  

**Mmegi Online (Local News RSS)**  
- **URL**: https://www.mmegi.bw/rss (or main site RSS)  
- **API**: No (RSS feed only)  
- **Update frequency**: Daily/as published (reliable coverage of Botswana news, including economic/youth issues)  
- **Auth required**: None  

**Other Botswana News RSS Feeds (e.g., The Voice BW, Sunday Standard, Botswana Guardian)**  
- **URL**: Various (e.g., https://news.thevoicebw.com/feed/; see aggregators like rss.feedspot.com/botswana_news_rss_feeds)  
- **API**: No (RSS feeds)  
- **Update frequency**: Daily/as published (local/regional coverage of Botswana)  
- **Auth required**: None  

**Botswana Labour Market Observatory (Think Tank/NGO-related)**  
- **URL**: https://www.botswanalmo.org.bw/ (references Statistics Botswana data)  
- **API**: No (primarily static reports and summaries)  
- **Update frequency**: Irregular (labor statistics summaries)  
- **Auth required**: None  

No strong evidence of fully public, dedicated APIs from the central bank/finance ministry beyond RSS or from specific Botswana-focused NGOs/think tanks with machine-readable APIs for youth/poverty/crisis data. Regional AfDB and national Stats Botswana portals are the strongest non-inference options with machine-readable elements. All listed are free/public where accessible.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
30.636.342.12014202541.3%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
8.810.411.92020202111.4

Internet access

%
35.147.359.62014202457.5%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
140.1161.0181.920142024164.0

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
58.768.077.32014202376.0%

AI usage

%
8.711.815.02014202414.4%

Population

people
2144116.42346591.52549066.6201420242521139.0

Working-age share

%
61.663.064.32014202463.8%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.