Sub-Saharan Africa · COG
Congo, Rep.
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-29 12:00 UTC · run 2026-06-29T12
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new data releases or acute events in the last ~60 days (late April–June 29, 2026) that significantly alter the baseline of 41.6% youth unemployment (15-24 male, national, 2025) or the maximum instability fuse score (100/100).** Ongoing structural issues—high youth unemployment (around 40–42%), oil dependence, poverty, and limited opportunities—are consistently highlighted in recent reports, with post-election analysis underscoring youth discontent but without reports of widespread protests, coups, militia activity, or economic shocks specific to young men in Congo, Rep. (COG).[[1]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/COG)[[2]](https://theconversation.com/congo-brazzaville-election-boycotts-blackouts-and-growing-dissent-but-denis-sassou-nguesso-held-on-to-power-279539) **1. Unemployment data/releases:** No new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth or male unemployment appear in the period. Modeled ILO/World Bank estimates (via FRED, updated Feb 2026) show total youth unemployment (15-24) at 40.501% for 2025 (down slightly from 40.581% in 2024). The baseline male-specific figure (41.6%) aligns closely with these totals. The Bertelsmann Transformation Index (BTI) 2026 country report notes youth unemployment rose to 42% (context from recent review period data, e.g., around 2023 figures cited alongside other metrics) and flags it as rising alongside poverty (46.8% of population affected) and debt distress, posing risks to stability. WFP also cites ~42% youth unemployment.[[3]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSCOG)[[1]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/COG)[[4]](https://www.wfp.org/countries/congo) **2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35):** The March 15, 2026, presidential election (Sassou Nguesso reelected with 94.9% in the first round, turnout ~84.65%; results validated late March) featured reported internet blackouts and opposition boycotts/dissent. An April 16, 2026, analysis links this to growing youth frustration over chronic unemployment and lack of prospects, citing an Afrobarometer survey (youth top concern: job creation; 41% of young Congolese report being unemployed and job-seeking). No new protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or major economic shocks (e.g., currency crises) reported for COG in April–June 2026. Broader context includes oil dependence and vulnerability to price volatility, with no acute shocks noted recently. Most security-related results in searches pertained to the neighboring DRC.[[2]](https://theconversation.com/congo-brazzaville-election-boycotts-blackouts-and-growing-dissent-but-denis-sassou-nguesso-held-on-to-power-279539)[[5]](https://www.inafran.ru/en/node/1749) **3. NGO/academic reports on youth (2025 publications or later):** - BTI 2026 report (covering recent period): Emphasizes rising youth unemployment (~42%), deepening poverty, low Human Capital Index (0.42), and threats to political stability/economic transformation due to limited diversification and opportunities.[[1]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/COG) - Mastercard Foundation *Africa Youth Employment Outlook 2026* (Feb 2026): Regional overview; COG not singled out for new data in summaries.[[6]](https://mastercardfdn.org/en/our-research/africa-youth-employment-outlook-2026/) - Earlier Afrobarometer dispatch (Sep 2024, still cited in 2026 analyses): Unemployment tops youth concerns; young people more educated but more unemployed than elders.[[7]](https://www.afrobarometer.org/publication/ad856-unemployment-tops-the-list-of-youth-concerns-in-congo-brazzaville/) No major new 2025-dated NGO/academic reports surfaced specifically for the 2026 window. **4. Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No new shutdowns, rollouts, or coverage changes reported in the last 60 days. A nationwide internet/mobile shutdown occurred during the March 15, 2026, election (traffic near zero for ~60 hours; partial restoration after results), consistent with prior election patterns. Early January 2026 saw temporary disruptions from WACS submarine cable damage (resolved by early Jan). No recent updates.[[8]](https://blog.cloudflare.com/q1-2026-internet-disruption-summary/)[[9]](https://www.accessnow.org/campaign/2026-elections-and-internet-shutdowns-watch/) **Overall assessment:** The picture remains consistent with the high baseline instability. Youth unemployment hovers in the low-to-mid 40s percent range with no fresh official updates, and the recent election highlighted (but did not appear to escalate into) youth-linked discontent. Continued monitoring of oil prices, debt, and any post-election fallout is warranted. Sources include World Bank/FRED data portals, BTI Project, Access Now/Cloudflare reports on connectivity, and analyses from The Conversation and Al Jazeera.
Source discovery
**Here are Congo, Rep.-specific (Congo-Brazzaville, COG) non-inference data sources identified via targeted searches, focusing on the requested categories.** These complement the listed existing sources (e.g., World Bank, ACLED). Details are based on official sites and data portals; most emphasize downloads over APIs.[[1]](https://ins-congo.cg/publication/)[[2]](https://ins-congo.cg/) - **Institut National de la Statistique (INS) Congo-Brazzaville** (national statistics bureau): https://ins-congo.cg/ (publications and data sections at /publication/, with subpages for employment/labor force, national accounts, prices, households). No public API (downloads/PDFs and tables; some indicators like inflation, GDP growth, population). Updates: Frequent (e.g., monthly INHPC inflation bulletins, quarterly GDP, recent EHCVM household survey reports). Auth: None (free public access).[[2]](https://ins-congo.cg/) - **Banque des États de l’Afrique Centrale (BEAC)** (central bank for CEMAC, including Congo Rep.; economic/monetary indicators, youth-relevant macro data): https://www.beac.int/ (statistics section). No public API noted (data tables/downloads available via country pages or reports). Updates: Periodic (economic statistics, national accounts). Auth: None (free).[[3]](https://afi-global.org/institutions/banque-des-etats-de-lafrique-centrale-beac/) - **African Development Bank (AfDB) Data Portals** (regional Sub-Saharan Africa database with Congo Rep. breakdowns; includes economic, infrastructure, youth/jobs strategy data): https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ or AfDB country pages/statistics repository. Partial API (primarily downloads/visualization; some structured datasets). Updates: Regular (country reports, indicators like employment/poverty). Auth: None (free access).[[4]](https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ydixvvd) - **Global Voices RSS feeds** (reliable regional news coverage for Republic of Congo): https://globalvoices.org/feeds/ (country-specific RSS under Sub-Saharan Africa/Republic of Congo). No API (RSS feeds for aggregation). Updates: As published (ongoing). Auth: None (free).[[5]](https://globalvoices.org/feeds/) - **Afrobarometer** (NGO/think tank; public attitude surveys on youth unemployment, employment concerns, poverty, governance in Congo-Brazzaville): https://www.afrobarometer.org/ (country page and data sets for Round 9/10, e.g., 2023–2024 SAV files on economy/jobs). No public API (direct dataset downloads, questionnaires, codebooks). Updates: Periodic survey rounds (latest 2024 data available). Auth: None (free registration sometimes required for full access).[[6]](https://www.afrobarometer.org/survey-resource/congo-brazzaville-round-10-data-2024/)[[7]](https://www.afrobarometer.org/countries/congo-brazzaville/) - **Humanitarian Data Exchange (HDX) – Congo (COG) datasets** (NGO/humanitarian crisis/poverty tracking with country breakdowns): https://data.humdata.org/group/cog. Partial API (humanitarian API access for some datasets; bulk downloads). Updates: As contributed (frequent for crisis data). Auth: None (free).[[8]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/?sort=if%28gt%28last_modified%2Creview_date%29%2Clast_modified%2Creview_date%29+desc&ext_page_size=25&groups=cog&force_layout=desktop&page=3) Additional notes: National INS and BEAC sites prioritize reports/bulletins over machine-readable APIs or frequent structured downloads. AfDB and Afrobarometer offer stronger structured options for youth/economic indicators. No dedicated public APIs were identified for local news beyond RSS or for most national sources. Verify current status directly, as availability can change.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025