Cabo Verde

**No major negative developments in the last 60 days (roughly April–early June 2026) significantly worsen the youth instability picture in Cabo Verde beyond the provided baseline (male youth unemployment 15-24 at 24.8% for 2025; national instability fuse score 54.6/100).** Some data suggest possible improvement in headline unemployment figures, alongside a stable political transition.[[1]](https://cabo-verde.cv/cape-verde-unemployment-hits-4-9-as-job-market-expands/)[[1]](https://cabo-verde.cv/cape-verde-unemployment-hits-4-9-as-job-market-expands/)

### 1. Youth/Male Unemployment Data Releases (Government, ILO, World Bank)
- **National Statistics Institute (INE) Continuous Multi-Objective Survey (Nov–Dec 2025 data, released ~April 28, 2026)**: National unemployment fell to 4.9% (down 2.4 pp from 2024; 11,043 unemployed, -29.7% YoY). Active population grew 4.4% to 226,360; activity rate rose to 60.4%. Male unemployment: 4.8%; female: 4.9%. Youth (15-24) unemployment: 15.9%. NEET rate (15-35): 19.9% (~34,077 people). Informal employment: ~45% of workforce (96,508 people). Services sector dominated (70.6% of jobs). Source: https://cabo-verde.cv/cape-verde-unemployment-hits-4-9-as-job-market-expands/.[[1]](https://cabo-verde.cv/cape-verde-unemployment-hits-4-9-as-job-market-expands/)
  - This youth figure (15.9% total) is notably lower than the baseline male-specific 24.8% (2025), though definitions, gender focus, and survey timing differ; it points to labor market tightening rather than deterioration.
- Older modeled estimates (World Bank/ILO via FRED/Trading Economics/Statista, updated into 2026 but reflecting 2024–2025 data): Youth (15-24) total unemployment ~28.1–28.4% for 2024–2025. AfDB 2025 fact sheet: 23.9% youth unemployment and 35.4% NEET (earlier baseline data). No new ILO or World Bank country-specific releases identified for Cabo Verde in the period.[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSCPV)[[3]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/811740/youth-unemployment-rate-in-cabo-verde/?srsltid=AfmBOoppjPu2xUqXwm3ZtO7oaBTJbRgZIao6ux5LQwLpfvUSB0c8KSy4)

**Flag**: The April INE data could modestly ease the instability assessment if sustained, as it shows broad improvement (including near gender parity) despite persistent youth challenges. No upward revision or crisis signals.

### 2. Political, Security, or Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35)
- **May 17, 2026 parliamentary election**: Peaceful vote; opposition PAICV won a majority (37/72 seats, ~48% vote share per partial/official results), unseating the ruling MpD after a decade. New Prime Minister: Francisco Carvalho (PAICV). Campaign centered on economic frustration, rising living costs, and **youth unemployment** as key issues, with young voters emphasizing jobs and training. No reports of protests, violence, coups, militia activity, or unrest. Transition described as reinforcing Cabo Verde’s democratic stability. Sources: Reuters (May 18), DW (May 13 pre-election analysis), Wikipedia summary.[[4]](https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/cape-verde-ruling-party-unseated-election-partial-results-show-2026-05-18/)[[5]](https://www.dw.com/en/cape-verde-election-2026-is-democracy-on-the-line/video-77150486)
- No evidence of economic shocks, currency issues, or recruitment concerns in the period. Broader context (e.g., IMF Feb 2026 Article IV) notes ongoing high youth unemployment and informality needs but highlights stability and reform priorities like vocational training.[[6]](https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2026/053/article-A001-en.xml)
- Positive youth angle: Ongoing football development (World Cup participation) cited for creating opportunities and steering youth from negative influences.

**Flag**: None. Election focused on youth issues but occurred without instability; outcome was a standard democratic shift.

### 3. NGO/Academic Reports on Youth Situation (Published 2025)
- AfDB Country Focus Report/Fact Sheet 2025: Youth unemployment 23.9%; NEET 35.4%; emphasizes need for policies to address youth joblessness alongside diaspora role and human capital.[[7]](https://adf.afdb.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Fact-sheet-Cap-Vert-ok.pdf)
- UNICEF Cabo Verde Annual Report 2025: Summarizes programme results (details in PDF; focuses on child/youth programming).[[8]](https://open.unicef.org/download-pdf?country-name=Cabo%20Verde&year=2025)
- Other 2025 references (e.g., Global Partnership for Education, NDC consultations) note youth inclusion in education/climate efforts but predate the last 60 days.

No brand-new 2026 NGO/academic reports flagged in searches.

### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure Changes
- **5G developments**: Government plans and pilots advancing into 2026 (initial tests in Praia/São Vicente tech parks, University of Cabo Verde, Sal airport in H1 2026; broader commercial deployment targeted for 2027). Builds on 2025 strategy presentation. Aims to support digital hub ambitions. Current (early 2025 baseline): ~73.5% internet penetration; strong 2G/3G/4G coverage (99.3%/95.3%/88.5%). No shutdowns or negative coverage changes reported. Sources: Telecompaper (Feb 2026), earlier 2025 announcements.[[9]](https://www.telecompaper.com/news/cape-verde-to-pilot-5g-in-2026--1562337)
- Positive for youth connectivity/employment opportunities (digital economy).

**Overall Assessment**: Recent data (esp. April INE) indicate labor market gains that could temper youth instability relative to the 2025 baseline, with no security or access disruptions. The May election highlighted youth concerns but reinforced stability. Monitor post-election policy on jobs/training for future shifts. All details drawn from cited public sources with concrete dates/numbers.

**INE Cabo Verde (Instituto Nacional de Estatística)**  
- **URL**: https://ine.cv/ (labor market/employment section: https://ine.cv/ine_quadros_category/mercado-de-trabalho/)  
- **API**: No (machine-readable tables, Excel/CSV downloads, and PDFs available on site).  
- **Update frequency**: Varies; labor/employment statistics often quarterly or annual (e.g., Continuous Multi-Objective Survey data referenced in profiles).  
- **Auth required**: None (public access).[[1]](https://ine.cv/)

**Banco de Cabo Verde (BCV) Statistics / Quadros Estatísticos**  
- **URL**: https://www.bcv.cv/en/Estatisticas/Quadros%20Estatisticos/Paginas/QuadrosEstatisticos.aspx (and sub-pages for monetary, external sector, inflation, etc.).  
- **API**: No (statistical tables, Excel/PDF downloads; combines BCV, INE, and Ministry of Finance data).  
- **Update frequency**: Regular (e.g., monthly/quarterly for monetary and inflation indicators; annual for broader economic).  
- **Auth required**: None (public).[[2]](https://www.bcv.cv/en/Estatisticas/Quadros%20Estatisticos/Paginas/QuadrosEstatisticos.aspx)

**African Development Bank (AfDB) Statistical Data Portal / Socio-Economic Database**  
- **URL**: https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ (AfDB Socio Economic Database section; country breakdowns for Cabo Verde available).  
- **API**: Partial (open data portal with downloads; some indicators support API-like queries via the platform; also referenced in country reports).  
- **Update frequency**: Annual or as updated (1960–present time series for socio-economic indicators including employment-related).  
- **Auth required**: None (public/free).[[3]](https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/nbyenxf/afdb-socio-economic-database-1960-2020)

**AfDB Cabo Verde Country Focus Reports / Economic Outlook**  
- **URL**: https://www.afdb.org/en/countries/west-africa/cabo-verde (and specific reports, e.g., Country Focus Report 2025).  
- **API**: No (PDF reports with tables/data extracts on youth employment, unemployment, macro indicators).  
- **Update frequency**: Periodic (annual or biennial reports with latest available data).  
- **Auth required**: None (public).[[4]](https://www.afdb.org/en/countries/west-africa/cabo-verde)

**ILOSTAT Cabo Verde Country Profile** (supplements labor data)  
- **URL**: https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/country-profiles/cpv/  
- **API**: Partial (ILOSTAT bulk downloads and API access available for labor force/unemployment/youth indicators).  
- **Update frequency**: Annual or as new household survey data released (latest referenced: 2019 survey).  
- **Auth required**: None (public; ILO data often free).[[5]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/country-profiles/cpv/)

**Global Voices Cabo Verde RSS Feed** (regional news coverage)  
- **URL**: https://globalvoices.org/-/world/sub-saharan-africa/cape-verde/ (RSS available via site feeds).  
- **API**: RSS feed (no full REST API).  
- **Update frequency**: As published (irregular but reliable coverage of Cabo Verde).  
- **Auth required**: None.[[6]](https://globalvoices.org/feeds/)

**AfDB RSS Feeds** (news/events with Cabo Verde coverage)  
- **URL**: https://www.afdb.org/en/rss-feeds (e.g., News & Events feed).  
- **API**: RSS feeds.  
- **Update frequency**: As published.  
- **Auth required**: None.[[7]](https://www.afdb.org/en/rss-feeds)

**Notes**: No Cabo Verde-specific public APIs were identified for national stats or central bank data beyond general downloads/tables (consistent with many small-island developing states). Regional portals like AfDB provide the strongest structured, country-breakdown options. Cabo Verde has an open data policy commitment, but no dedicated public data portal/API was located in searches. Local news RSS options are limited; Global Voices and AfDB provide the most accessible feeds. All listed sources are free/public and non-inference/raw or official statistics.