Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · DJI
Djibouti
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-19 09:07 UTC · run 2026-07-19T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No significant new developments in the last 60 days (roughly mid-May to mid-July 2026) appear to alter Djibouti's baseline youth instability picture (76.1% male youth unemployment ages 15-24 nationally in 2025 data; national instability fuse score at 100.0/100).**[[1]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Djibouti/youth_unemployment/) **Youth unemployment data:** No new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth (or specifically male) unemployment rates for Djibouti were identified in recent searches. Existing modeled estimates remain consistent with the high baseline: - Youth unemployment (ages 15-24, total) around 76.3% in 2024 (up slightly from 76.27% in 2023).[[1]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Djibouti/youth_unemployment/) - Projected figures near 76.5–76.8% for 2025.[[2]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/dji/djibouti/youth-unemployment-rate) - One 2025 ILO-sourced figure at 72.7%.[[3]](https://africa-api.com/data/djibouti/youth-unemployment) Older structural analyses (e.g., IMF 2024) highlight persistently high unemployment, low formal employment (~10% of working-age population), and weak school-to-work transitions, but provide no 2026 updates.[[4]](https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2024/149/article-A001-en.xml) **Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35):** The April 10, 2026, presidential election (outside the 60-day window) saw incumbent Ismaïl Omar Guelleh re-elected to a sixth term with ~97% of the vote amid opposition boycotts or limited participation, following a 2025 constitutional amendment allowing him to run despite prior age limits.[[5]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Djiboutian_presidential_election)[[6]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgj0wg423n6o) Pre-election analyses noted succession uncertainties and risks of instability, but no post-election protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment drives, or youth-specific economic shocks were reported in the recent period. Broader regional Gen Z protest activity in 2025–2026 (e.g., Tanzania, Kenya) has not extended to Djibouti in available reporting.[[7]](https://africacenter.org/spotlight/en-elections-2026/djibouti/) **NGO/academic reports on youth (2025):** No notable new publications specifically on Djibouti's youth situation from 2025 or early 2026 were surfaced in searches. Broader reports (e.g., BTI 2026) discuss restricted political space, low political competition, and continuity under Guelleh but do not highlight fresh youth unemployment or instability metrics.[[8]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/DJI) **Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No reported shutdowns, major rollouts, or coverage changes specific to Djibouti in 2026. General African internet disruption trends in 2025 did not include Djibouti examples.[[9]](https://adf-magazine.com/2026/05/internet-shutdowns-spread-in-africa/) **Overall assessment:** The baseline of extremely elevated youth unemployment and maximum instability risk remains unchanged by any fresh data or events in the review period. High structural unemployment and limited political openness continue to define the context, with no indicators of acute deterioration or improvement. Sources checked include World Bank/ILO-linked data portals, recent election reporting, and targeted searches for unrest or infrastructure issues.
Source discovery
**Here are relevant non-inference data sources for Djibouti (focusing on labor/unemployment, economic/youth indicators, and related instability factors), based on targeted searches.** These supplement the already-used sources like World Bank, ACLED, etc. Details on API, frequency, and auth are based on available site information and descriptions (many small/national sources offer downloads rather than full APIs). - **Institut National de la Statistique de Djibouti (INSTAD / INSD)**: http://www.instad.dj or https://instad.dj/ — National statistics bureau. Provides official data including population, labor, and economic indicators (via portal or downloads; some integration on opendataforafrica.org). No public API identified (primarily downloads/portal). Update frequency: Periodic (e.g., census results, surveys). Auth: None (public access).[[1]](https://www.oicstatcom.org/databases-nso-detail.php?c_code=16) - **Banque Centrale de Djibouti (BCD)**: https://banque-centrale.dj/ — Central bank site with key economic indicators (GDP growth estimates, inflation/CPI, bancarisation/financial inclusion rates, exchange rates, reserves). Annual reports, financial statements, and macroeconomic forecasts (PDF downloads). No API. Update frequency: Annual reports + some monthly/periodic indicators (e.g., CPI). Auth: None (public).[[2]](https://banque-centrale.dj/) - **African Development Bank (AfDB) Socio-Economic Database / Open Data Portal**: https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ (Djibouti country data) or https://www.afdb.org/en/countries/east-africa/djibouti — Regional (Africa-wide, including MENA overlaps) database with country breakdowns on economic, social, labor, and development indicators. API support noted on the platform. Update frequency: Ongoing/annual updates. Auth: None (free public access).[[3]](https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/nbyenxf/afdb-socio-economic-database-1960-2020) - **UN ESCWA Arab Development Portal (ADP)**: https://data.unescwa.org/ (includes Djibouti country page and data catalog) — Regional (Arab/MENA, covering relevant countries) interactive data hub with SDG, economic, social, and trade indicators; country-specific breakdowns and visualizations. Data API support available. Update frequency: Ongoing (multiple sources aggregated). Auth: None (public).[[4]](https://data.unescwa.org/) - **Global Voices (Djibouti section RSS)**: https://globalvoices.org/-/world/sub-saharan-africa/djibouti/ (RSS feeds available) — Independent media/NGO-style coverage of local issues, including social/economic topics. RSS feed for automated pulls. No dedicated data API. Update frequency: As published (irregular but reliable for context). Auth: None.[[5]](https://globalvoices.org/feeds/) - **NewsNow Djibouti feed**: https://www.newsnow.com/us/World/Africa/Djibouti — Aggregated reliable news feed covering politics, economy, and regional developments. RSS-style feed option. No data API. Update frequency: Continuous. Auth: None.[[6]](https://www.newsnow.com/us/World/Africa/Djibouti) **Notes**: National sources like INSTAD appear limited in digital/API maturity (common for smaller countries; data often flows through IMF e-GDDS or international portals). Regional sources (AfDB, ESCWA) are strong for breakdowns. No prominent free public APIs were identified for local NGOs/think tanks specifically on crisis/poverty tracking for Djibouti beyond the above. Verify current access and formats directly, as portals evolve.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025