Djibouti

**No major shifts from the baseline (youth unemployment ~76.1% for males 15-24 nationally in 2025 data; instability fuse score at 100/100) in the last ~60 days (late April–June 2026).** High youth unemployment and related labor market challenges persist without new government/ILO/World Bank releases altering the figures significantly.[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSDJI)[[2]](https://www.dawan.africa/news/djibouti-seeks-expanded-ilo-partnership-on-youth-employment)

**1. Unemployment data/releases:**  
Recent modeled ILO/World Bank estimates remain consistent with the baseline. FRED data shows youth unemployment (15-24 total) at 76.766% for 2025 (updated Feb 2026). Other sources cite ~76.3–76.5% for 2024.[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSDJI)[[3]](https://tradingeconomics.com/djibouti/unemployment-youth-total-percent-of-total-labor-force-ages-15-24-wb-data.html)[[4]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Djibouti/youth_unemployment/)  

The World Bank’s *Djibouti Economic Monitor: Labor Market Structure and the School-to-Work Transition* (Spring 2026 edition, released May 7, 2026) draws on Djibouti’s first nationally representative Labor Force Survey. It confirms persistently high unemployment among young people and women, with nearly 46% of youth aged 16–24 classified as NEET (Not in Education, Employment, or Training). More than half of the working-age population is outside the labor force; informal employment is widespread. The economy showed resilience with 6.5% real GDP growth in 2025 (driven by logistics/trade services), low inflation, and a budget surplus, but external risks (maritime disruptions, energy prices) persist. No updated male-specific 15-24 national figure was released.[[5]](https://reliefweb.int/report/djibouti/djibouti-economy-monitor-labor-market-structure-and-school-work-transition-spring-2026)[[5]](https://reliefweb.int/report/djibouti/djibouti-economy-monitor-labor-market-structure-and-school-work-transition-spring-2026)  

On June 5, 2026, Djibouti sought an expanded ILO partnership on youth employment, referencing ~76.5% youth unemployment (2024 modeled data).[[2]](https://www.dawan.africa/news/djibouti-seeks-expanded-ilo-partnership-on-youth-employment)

**2. Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35):**  
The April 10, 2026, presidential election saw incumbent Ismaïl Omar Guelleh re-elected to a sixth term with ~97% of the vote (preliminary results ~97.8%; final confirmed ~97.01% on April 21). Turnout was reported around 80%. The election was largely uncontested (one minor challenger), with no reported protests, violence, or instability in the immediate aftermath or through June 2026.[[6]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Djiboutian_presidential_election)[[7]](https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/djibouti-president-wins-election-with-978-vote-state-media-says-2026-04-11/)[[8]](https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20260421-djibouti-president-re-election-confirmed-with-97-of-vote)  

No reports of coup attempts, militia recruitment drives, major economic shocks, or currency crises in the period. Broader analyses note ongoing challenges like high youth unemployment (~73% cited in some pre-election outlooks), poverty (~34%), and debt exposure, but these predate the last 60 days and align with the baseline.[[9]](https://africacenter.org/spotlight/en-elections-2026/djibouti/)

**3. NGO/academic reports on youth (published 2025):**  
- Mastercard Foundation *Africa Youth Employment Outlook 2026* (published Feb 10, 2026) includes Djibouti among countries analyzed for youth employment trends.[[10]](https://mastercardfdn.org/en/our-research/africa-youth-employment-outlook-2026/)  
- UNDP Djibouti Annual Report 2025 highlights youth-focused programs (e.g., internships for 66 young people including those with disabilities; 38% received job offers; skills training and inclusion efforts).[[11]](https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2026-04/undp_djibouti_annual_report2025.pdf)  
- BTI 2026 Country Report (covering through early 2025) discusses labor market and governance issues but notes no major recent changes. Other 2025 reports (e.g., US State Department Investment Climate Statement) reiterate youth unemployment estimates of 75–80%.[[12]](https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/638719_2025-Djibouti-Investment-Climate-Statement.pdf)

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure:**  
No shutdowns, major rollouts, or coverage changes reported in the last 60 days. End-2025 data showed ~65% internet penetration (772k users) and ~52% mobile connections. An earlier cyberattack-related disruption (impacting Djibouti Telecom) occurred February–May 2026 but was not active in the recent period.[[13]](https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2026-djibouti)

**Overall assessment:** Unemployment and labor market challenges remain entrenched at baseline levels, with confirmatory data from the May 2026 World Bank Monitor but no deterioration or improvement in headline figures. The peaceful (if uncontested) April 2026 election outcome and economic resilience do not indicate an escalation in instability risks for young men. No developments appear to warrant adjusting the maximum instability fuse score. Primary sources include World Bank/ReliefWeb releases and contemporaneous election reporting.

**INSTAD (Institut National de la Statistique de Djibouti) / National Institute of Statistics**  
- URL: https://instad.dj/ (or historical http://www.instad.dj); data often surfaced via aggregators like djibouti.opendataforafrica.org  
- API: No (or none publicly documented; site has shown limited/no content in recent checks)  
- Machine-readable downloads: Partial/unknown for unemployment/labor (INSTAD conducts labor force surveys; latest mentions of 2025 survey dissemination); primarily reports or limited tables  
- Update frequency: Irregular/survey-based (e.g., labor force surveys planned for 2025 dissemination)  
- Auth required: None (public site)  

**Banque Centrale de Djibouti (Central Bank of Djibouti)**  
- URL: https://banque-centrale.dj/  
- API: No  
- Downloads: Yes (PDF reports on macroeconomic indicators, monetary/financial sector, annual reports, forecasts; includes economic data relevant to employment/youth indicators indirectly)  
- Update frequency: Annual or as released (e.g., 2024/2025 reports)  
- Auth required: None (free PDF downloads)  

**African Development Bank (AfDB) Statistical Data Portal / Open Data for Africa**  
- URL: https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ (Djibouti-specific dashboards and AFDB Socio-Economic Database)  
- API: Partial (portal supports data queries/downloads; SDMX or export formats available in broader AfDB systems)  
- Downloads: Yes (country breakdowns for economic, social, labor-related indicators across Africa)  
- Update frequency: Annual or periodic (1960–2024+ coverage)  
- Auth required: None (free registration sometimes for full access)  

**ESCWA / UN Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia – Arab Development Portal / Statistics Portal**  
- URL: https://data.unescwa.org/ or https://djibouti.unescwa.org/ (Djibouti dashboards and Arab Official Statistics)  
- API: Partial (data portal with query/export capabilities for regional Arab/MENA data with country breakdowns)  
- Downloads: Yes (SDG, economic, social, unemployment/poverty indicators with Djibouti specifics)  
- Update frequency: Periodic/annual updates  
- Auth required: None (free public access)  

**Global Voices Djibouti RSS feeds**  
- URL: https://globalvoices.org/-/world/sub-saharan-africa/djibouti/ (or main feeds page)  
- API: No (RSS feeds available)  
- Update frequency: As published (reliable regional coverage)  
- Auth required: None  

**Newsdata.io Djibouti News API**  
- URL: https://newsdata.io/ (Djibouti-specific news sources/endpoints)  
- API: Yes (REST API for headlines/updates from curated sources)  
- Update frequency: Real-time  
- Auth required: Free tier (API key; paid for higher limits)  

**Additional notes**: No dedicated public API or comprehensive machine-readable labor/unemployment downloads were identified directly from INSTAD or the Central Bank beyond PDF reports. Regional portals (AfDB, ESCWA) provide the strongest structured, downloadable country-level data for MENA/Arab region breakdowns. News sources are limited but RSS/API options exist for monitoring. All listed are distinct from the already-used sources (World Bank, ACLED, etc.). Data availability for Djibouti remains sparse overall, with many indicators relying on modeled or infrequent survey estimates.