Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · DJI

Djibouti

70
Composite priority
76.1%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
1.18M
Population · 2025
66.2%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
Homicides ·

Location

11.58°, 43.14° · ISO DJI / DJOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment76.1%· 100p
2025
Intentional homicides
Internet access65.3%· 41p
2024
Mobile subscriptions48.5 per 100· 100p
2023
Phone ownership74.2%· 57p
2023
Electricity access69.2%· 49p
2024
AI usage16.3%· 41p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 0.0p vs 2021
100
Access gap 4.1p vs 2021
57
Impact 2.7p vs 2021
76

Latest signals

2026-07-19 09:07 UTC · run 2026-07-19T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No significant new developments in the last 60 days (roughly mid-May to mid-July 2026) appear to alter Djibouti's baseline youth instability picture (76.1% male youth unemployment ages 15-24 nationally in 2025 data; national instability fuse score at 100.0/100).**[[1]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Djibouti/youth_unemployment/)

**Youth unemployment data:** No new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth (or specifically male) unemployment rates for Djibouti were identified in recent searches. Existing modeled estimates remain consistent with the high baseline:
- Youth unemployment (ages 15-24, total) around 76.3% in 2024 (up slightly from 76.27% in 2023).[[1]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Djibouti/youth_unemployment/)
- Projected figures near 76.5–76.8% for 2025.[[2]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/dji/djibouti/youth-unemployment-rate)
- One 2025 ILO-sourced figure at 72.7%.[[3]](https://africa-api.com/data/djibouti/youth-unemployment)

Older structural analyses (e.g., IMF 2024) highlight persistently high unemployment, low formal employment (~10% of working-age population), and weak school-to-work transitions, but provide no 2026 updates.[[4]](https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2024/149/article-A001-en.xml)

**Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35):** The April 10, 2026, presidential election (outside the 60-day window) saw incumbent Ismaïl Omar Guelleh re-elected to a sixth term with ~97% of the vote amid opposition boycotts or limited participation, following a 2025 constitutional amendment allowing him to run despite prior age limits.[[5]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Djiboutian_presidential_election)[[6]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgj0wg423n6o) Pre-election analyses noted succession uncertainties and risks of instability, but no post-election protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment drives, or youth-specific economic shocks were reported in the recent period. Broader regional Gen Z protest activity in 2025–2026 (e.g., Tanzania, Kenya) has not extended to Djibouti in available reporting.[[7]](https://africacenter.org/spotlight/en-elections-2026/djibouti/)

**NGO/academic reports on youth (2025):** No notable new publications specifically on Djibouti's youth situation from 2025 or early 2026 were surfaced in searches. Broader reports (e.g., BTI 2026) discuss restricted political space, low political competition, and continuity under Guelleh but do not highlight fresh youth unemployment or instability metrics.[[8]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/DJI)

**Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No reported shutdowns, major rollouts, or coverage changes specific to Djibouti in 2026. General African internet disruption trends in 2025 did not include Djibouti examples.[[9]](https://adf-magazine.com/2026/05/internet-shutdowns-spread-in-africa/)

**Overall assessment:** The baseline of extremely elevated youth unemployment and maximum instability risk remains unchanged by any fresh data or events in the review period. High structural unemployment and limited political openness continue to define the context, with no indicators of acute deterioration or improvement. Sources checked include World Bank/ILO-linked data portals, recent election reporting, and targeted searches for unrest or infrastructure issues.
Source discovery
**Here are relevant non-inference data sources for Djibouti (focusing on labor/unemployment, economic/youth indicators, and related instability factors), based on targeted searches.** These supplement the already-used sources like World Bank, ACLED, etc. Details on API, frequency, and auth are based on available site information and descriptions (many small/national sources offer downloads rather than full APIs).

- **Institut National de la Statistique de Djibouti (INSTAD / INSD)**: http://www.instad.dj or https://instad.dj/ — National statistics bureau. Provides official data including population, labor, and economic indicators (via portal or downloads; some integration on opendataforafrica.org). No public API identified (primarily downloads/portal). Update frequency: Periodic (e.g., census results, surveys). Auth: None (public access).[[1]](https://www.oicstatcom.org/databases-nso-detail.php?c_code=16)

- **Banque Centrale de Djibouti (BCD)**: https://banque-centrale.dj/ — Central bank site with key economic indicators (GDP growth estimates, inflation/CPI, bancarisation/financial inclusion rates, exchange rates, reserves). Annual reports, financial statements, and macroeconomic forecasts (PDF downloads). No API. Update frequency: Annual reports + some monthly/periodic indicators (e.g., CPI). Auth: None (public).[[2]](https://banque-centrale.dj/)

- **African Development Bank (AfDB) Socio-Economic Database / Open Data Portal**: https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ (Djibouti country data) or https://www.afdb.org/en/countries/east-africa/djibouti — Regional (Africa-wide, including MENA overlaps) database with country breakdowns on economic, social, labor, and development indicators. API support noted on the platform. Update frequency: Ongoing/annual updates. Auth: None (free public access).[[3]](https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/nbyenxf/afdb-socio-economic-database-1960-2020)

- **UN ESCWA Arab Development Portal (ADP)**: https://data.unescwa.org/ (includes Djibouti country page and data catalog) — Regional (Arab/MENA, covering relevant countries) interactive data hub with SDG, economic, social, and trade indicators; country-specific breakdowns and visualizations. Data API support available. Update frequency: Ongoing (multiple sources aggregated). Auth: None (public).[[4]](https://data.unescwa.org/)

- **Global Voices (Djibouti section RSS)**: https://globalvoices.org/-/world/sub-saharan-africa/djibouti/ (RSS feeds available) — Independent media/NGO-style coverage of local issues, including social/economic topics. RSS feed for automated pulls. No dedicated data API. Update frequency: As published (irregular but reliable for context). Auth: None.[[5]](https://globalvoices.org/feeds/)

- **NewsNow Djibouti feed**: https://www.newsnow.com/us/World/Africa/Djibouti — Aggregated reliable news feed covering politics, economy, and regional developments. RSS-style feed option. No data API. Update frequency: Continuous. Auth: None.[[6]](https://www.newsnow.com/us/World/Africa/Djibouti)

**Notes**: National sources like INSTAD appear limited in digital/API maturity (common for smaller countries; data often flows through IMF e-GDDS or international portals). Regional sources (AfDB, ESCWA) are strong for breakdowns. No prominent free public APIs were identified for local NGOs/think tanks specifically on crisis/poverty tracking for Djibouti beyond the above. Verify current access and formats directly, as portals evolve.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
70.575.881.12014202576.1%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
No data

Internet access

%
13.141.169.22014202465.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
27.038.550.02014202348.5

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
58.164.070.02014202469.2%

AI usage

%
3.310.317.32014202416.3%

Population

people
988208.31093396.51198584.7201420251184076.0

Working-age share

%
60.963.866.72014202566.2%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.