Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · DJI
Djibouti
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-09-14 09:07 UTC · run 2026-09-14T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank data releases on youth (or male youth) unemployment in Djibouti appear in the last 60 days (mid-July to mid-September 2026).** Existing modeled ILO/World Bank estimates remain extremely high and consistent with the baseline of 76.1% for males aged 15-24 (national, 2025). Recent aggregates show total youth unemployment (15-24) at 76.77–76.8% for 2025, up slightly from 76.49% in 2024.[[1]](https://statisticsoftheworld.com/ranking/youth-unemployment)[[2]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Djibouti/youth_unemployment/) A May 2026 World Bank Economic Monitor (Djibouti) details severe labor market challenges, including a national unemployment rate of 36.2%, youth (under 35) rates of 48.1% for young men and 53.5% for young women, and 46.2% of 16–24 year-olds NEET (higher for women). It notes stark urban-rural and gender gaps, with educated youth unemployment especially high in Djibouti City.[[3]](https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099209305122650698/pdf/IDU-3d483253-60ba-4a4c-b634-fc8f02408c05.pdf)[[3]](https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099209305122650698/pdf/IDU-3d483253-60ba-4a4c-b634-fc8f02408c05.pdf) These figures align with and reinforce the baseline without indicating improvement. Earlier 2026 initiatives (e.g., June labor code revisions and a draft 2027–2035 national employment policy prioritizing youth/women; April IGAD-backed training for 4,000 youth) predate the 60-day window and have not been updated with new outcome data.[[4]](https://www.ecofinagency.com/news-services/0806-56246-djibouti-revises-labor-code-steps-up-drive-to-formalize-employment) **Significant political, security, or economic events directly tied to young men (18-35) are limited in the last 60 days.** No reports of protests, coup attempts, or militia recruitment emerged. Notable recent developments include: - Mid-September 2026 influx of ~1,400–2,000+ Yemeni refugees (including vulnerable groups) arriving in Obock over a short period amid Houthi advances in Yemen. This adds humanitarian and resource pressures in a country already hosting tens of thousands of refugees/asylum seekers (e.g., ~36,000 registered earlier in 2026, mostly from Somalia, Ethiopia, and Yemen). It could indirectly affect local youth labor markets or stability but does not yet show quantified youth-specific impacts.[[5]](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/13/1400-yemenis-flee-to-djibouti-within-24-hours)[[6]](https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/world/2026/09/13/more-than-2-000-fled-yemen-fighting-to-djibouti) - September 9, 2026: Internal revolt in the Djibouti Football Federation, with 27 clubs demanding the president's removal over governance, transparency, and other issues. This draws presidential attention but has no explicit youth instability link.[[7]](https://africasoccer.com/djibouti-fa-faces-revolt-as-clubs-seek-presidents-removal/) A September 13, 2026, op-ed referenced broader sectarian tensions and past FRUD-related clashes with alleged internet impacts, but details point to earlier periods rather than fresh 2026 events.[[8]](https://somalilandpost.news/djibouti-is-experiencing-significant-political-and-security-turmoil/) Economic reporting highlights Djibouti's role in Ethiopian freight (96.7% share as of late August 2026) and routine diplomatic cooperation, without new shocks.[[9]](https://fr.apanews.net/category/djibouti/page/2/) **Notable 2025 NGO/academic reports** (published before the window) include IGAD coverage of the Taalo Saan youth-led initiative (launched ~April 2025) on creative mobilization against gender-based violence, reaching hundreds of young participants (including those with disabilities) across Djibouti-Ville, Balbala, Dikhil, and Tadjourah.[[10]](https://igad.int/youth-led-creative-mobilization-for-the-prevention-of-gender-based-violence-in-djibouti-the-experience-of-taalo-saan/) A May 2026 UNDP annual report and other 2025 items (e.g., IOM youth climate conference) also predate the period. No new 2025-dated reports surfaced in the searches. **Internet/mobile infrastructure shows no major changes, shutdowns, or new rollouts in the last 60 days.** Data indicates 0 shutdowns in the prior 12 months. Ongoing/planned initiatives like the Ethiopia-Djibouti-Sudan Horizon terrestrial fiber corridor (pre-commercial phase discussions in 2026) build on earlier agreements but are not a recent rollout. Coverage remains uneven (stronger in Djibouti City via Djibouti Telecom/Evatis 4G; patchy outside urban centers).[[11]](https://pulse.internetsociety.org/en/reports/dj/)[[12]](https://birrmetrics.com/ethiopia-fibre-corridor-red-sea-internet-cable/) **Overall assessment:** Nothing identified would significantly shift the baseline picture of extreme youth unemployment (~76%) and maximal instability fuse score. Persistent structural issues dominate, with the recent Yemeni refugee arrivals as the primary new development warranting monitoring for secondary effects on resources or local tensions. Sources are primarily World Bank/ILO aggregates, Ecofin Agency, Al Jazeera, and regional reporting.
Source discovery
**INSTAD (Institut National de la Statistique / Institut de la Statistique de Djibouti)** - URL: https://instad.dj/ (publications and data section; Statistical Yearbook PDFs and survey results like EDST labor force data) - API: No (primarily PDF yearbooks and tables; some structured data extracts possible via manual download) - Update frequency: Annual (e.g., Annuaire Statistique 2024 with employment/unemployment tables by region/sex); quarterly or periodic for surveys like EDST - Auth: None (public downloads)[[1]](https://instad.dj/)[[2]](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/instad-dj.appspot.com/o/Annuaire%20statistique%2F2024%2FAnnuaire_Statistique_E2024_VF.pdf?alt=media&token=8b8ff01b-c4da-4737-a11d-6e84c87ff00c) **Banque Centrale de Djibouti (Central Bank)** - URL: https://banque-centrale.dj/ (annual reports, key indicators like inflation, banking stats, balance of payments) - API: No (PDF annual reports and selected indicators on site) - Update frequency: Annual reports (e.g., 2024); some monthly/quarterly indicators (e.g., IPC, bancarisation) - Auth: None (public)[[3]](https://banque-centrale.dj/)[[4]](https://banque-centrale.dj/rapports-annuel-de-la-banque/) **African Development Bank (AfDB) Data Portal** - URL: http://dataportal.afdb.org/ or https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ (country profiles, socio-economic indicators, projects for Djibouti and region) - API: Partial (data portal supports queries/visualization/downloads; SDMX access noted in documentation; some third-party wrappers exist but not official public REST API for all endpoints) - Update frequency: Varies (annual or as updated for indicators like macro, social, infrastructure) - Auth: None (public access)[[5]](https://back.nber.org/africa/display/1004)[[6]](https://www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/Generic-Documents/Open_Data_Platform_for_Africa_-_User_Manual.pdf) **ESCWA (UN Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia) Data Portal** - URL: https://data.unescwa.org/ (regional database with country breakdowns including Djibouti; social, economic, gender, SDG indicators) - API: No (web portal with search, visualizations, tables, and downloads) - Update frequency: Periodic/as data reported by member states (Djibouti is a member) - Auth: None (public)[[7]](https://www.unescwa.org/portal/data)[[8]](https://unstats.un.org/wiki/spaces/HSO/pages/74187577/ESCWA+card) **La Nation (Djibouti local/regional news)** - URL: https://www.lanation.dj/ (covers national politics, economy, labor/employment topics) - API/RSS: Likely RSS feeds (standard for news sites; check site footer or /rss paths) - Update frequency: Daily or near-daily - Auth: None (public)[[9]](https://www.lanation.dj/djibouti-et-loit-posent-les-bases-dun-systeme-integre-dinformation-sur-le-marche-du-travail/) **Notes**: No strong evidence of public machine-readable APIs or bulk downloads for unemployment/labor data from INSTAD beyond PDFs/yearbooks (recent EDST surveys provide relevant youth/employment breakdowns). Central bank focuses on macro/financial reports rather than granular youth employment. AfDB and ESCWA offer the strongest regional coverage with Djibouti disaggregations. News RSS provides timely qualitative context. No prominent NGO/think tank public APIs specific to Djibouti crisis/poverty tracking were identified beyond broader sources already in use. Verify current access and formats directly, as portals evolve.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2025
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025