Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · EGY-CAI · Metro of Egypt, Arab Rep.
CairoMetro
Location
Structural indicators below are national values for Egypt, Arab Rep.. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Cairo specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: 21M+ metro; Egypt youth unemployment masked in national figures
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-21 09:07 UTC · run 2026-07-21T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No significant new developments identified in Cairo metro area (last ~60 days from ~May 22–July 21, 2026) that would materially shift the baseline youth instability picture (national male 15-24 unemployment 12.9% in 2025; national instability fuse score 18.4/100).** Searches yielded primarily national-level or older data; Cairo/governorate-specific labor statistics, recent youth-focused events, 2025 NGO/think-tank reports on Cairo youth, or infrastructure changes were not found in public sources.[[1]](https://www.facebook.com/EgyptTodayMag/posts/egypts-unemployment-rate-declined-to-6-of-the-total-labor-force-during-the-first/1444268531048798/)[[2]](https://9cv9recruitment.agency/103-recruitment-in-egypt-statistics-data-trends-for-2026/) **1. Local labor market/unemployment data (Cairo metro/governorate-specific):** No CAPMAS or other reports with Cairo-specific youth (15-24 or 18-35) unemployment or labor force figures for 2025–2026. National Q1 2026 data (released ~May 2026) shows overall unemployment at 6.0% (down from 6.2% in Q4 2025), with urban unemployment at 8.4% (down from 9.7%). Labor force grew to 35.412 million. Youth data remains at older national levels (e.g., ~15.3% for ages 18–29 per 2025 CAPMAS references in secondary sources; male rates lower than female). No Cairo metro breakdowns.[[1]](https://www.facebook.com/EgyptTodayMag/posts/egypts-unemployment-rate-declined-to-6-of-the-total-labor-force-during-the-first/1444268531048798/)[[2]](https://9cv9recruitment.agency/103-recruitment-in-egypt-statistics-data-trends-for-2026/) **2. Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35) in Cairo:** No reports of protests, demonstrations, militia activity, mass layoffs in key Cairo industries, or targeted crackdowns specifically in Cairo metro during the period. Broader Egyptian context includes ongoing restrictions on assembly and expression (per HRW World Report 2026), with a March 2026 analysis noting absence of visible youth-led protests even on the Jan. 25, 2026 anniversary of the 2011 uprising due to controls, digital repression, and emigration. Earlier (pre-period) economic protests referenced in 2024–2025 contexts.[[3]](https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2026/country-chapters/egypt)[[4]](https://www.megatrends-afrika.de/en/publication/mta-spotlight-68-egypts-youth-under-president-al-sisi) **3. NGO/think-tank reports on Cairo youth (published 2025):** No new 2025 reports focused on Cairo metro youth situation identified. Older or national/ongoing efforts referenced include Population Council’s Survey of Young People in Egypt (SYPE) series (latest round 2022, covering Greater Cairo informal areas in prior waves) and various older analyses.[[5]](https://popcouncil.org/project/survey-of-young-people-in-egypt/) **4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes in Cairo:** No shutdowns, targeted outages, or major new rollouts reported in the last 60 days. A July 2025 fire at Ramses Central telecom hub in Cairo caused temporary nationwide disruptions (affecting ISPs and services), but this predates the period.[[6]](https://pulse.internetsociety.org/en/blog/2025/07/egypt-internet-outage-another-example-of-the-need-to-spread-your-risk/)[[7]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-07/cairo-building-fire-disrupts-some-telecom-services-across-egypt) **Overall assessment:** The absence of Cairo-specific recent indicators or escalatory events suggests continuity with the baseline. National unemployment trends show modest improvement, but without local granularity or youth-male breakdowns, no clear signal of change for Cairo metro. Continued monitoring of CAPMAS releases and local reporting recommended, as data gaps limit precision. Sources primarily from web searches (e.g., CAPMAS via Egypt Today, HRW, academic/secondary analyses).
Source discovery
**Cairo-specific (city/governorate-level) non-inference data sources** (focused on public/municipal, sub-national stats, news, monitoring projects, and ACLED filtering; all complement existing country-level feeds like CAPMAS national aggregates, ACLED, etc.): - **Cairo Governorate Electronic Portal – Statistics and Bulletins**: https://www.cairo.gov.eg/en/more/statistics-and-bulletins/ (or Arabic version); No API; updates periodic (e.g., population estimates/graphs for Jan 2026 by area/neighborhood/east-west-north-south/new cities); auth none (free public access); granularity Cairo Governorate + sub-areas/neighborhoods (area 3,085 km², population by zones).[[1]](https://www.cairo.gov.eg/en/more/statistics-and-bulletins/)[[1]](https://www.cairo.gov.eg/en/more/statistics-and-bulletins/) - **Ministry of Planning and Economic Development – National Accounts / GDP by Governorate**: https://mped.gov.eg/Analytics?lang=en (GDP by economic activities/regions/governorates, plus investments); No API (interactive web queries/downloads); annual/quarterly; auth none; granularity governorate level (includes Cairo).[[2]](https://mped.gov.eg/Analytics?lang=en)[[2]](https://mped.gov.eg/Analytics?lang=en) - **CAPMAS (Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics) – Labor Force Survey (LFS) and related bulletins**: https://www.capmas.gov.eg/ or censusinfo.capmas.gov.eg catalog (labor/employment/wages bulletins; governorate-level response rates noted in LFS docs); No public API (detailed data via catalog downloads or requests; some geospatial via geoportal.capmas.gov.eg); periodic (annual/quarterly bulletins, censuses); auth none (free/public); granularity national with some governorate disaggregation possible (urban/rural or finer in select releases).[[3]](https://censusinfo.capmas.gov.eg/metadata-en-v4.2/index.php/catalog?&page=13)[[4]](https://www.erfdataportal.com/index.php/catalog/305) - **CAPMAS Egy-GeoInfo Geoportal (census/statistics GIS)**: geoportal.capmas.gov.eg; Partial API/geospatial access (ArcGIS-based portal for census variables); periodic (census-based, e.g., 2017 with updates); auth none (public access, aggregated to village/shyakha level); granularity ADM1 (governorates incl. Cairo) to ADM3/4 (shyakha/qurya) for Cairo metro areas.[[5]](https://www.esri.com/content/dam/esrisites/en-us/media/fliers/gis-census-cs-egypt-flier-web.pdf) - **Egypt Subnational Administrative Boundaries (COD-AB, sourced from CAPMAS)**: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy; No API (GeoJSON/SHP/GDB/XLSX downloads); static with periodic updates (e.g., version 01, modified 2026); auth none (free); granularity Admin 1 (27 governorates incl. Cairo), Admin 2 (365 regions), Admin 3—directly supports ACLED filtering to Cairo.[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy)[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy) - **ACLED Egypt data with sub-national filtering**: https://acleddata.com/country/egypt (or core ACLED platform); API yes (standard ACLED API); near real-time/ongoing; auth free (registration for full access); granularity Admin1 (Cairo Governorate) / Admin2 via columns like ADMIN1/ADMIN2—filter events to Cairo using boundaries above.[[7]](https://acleddata.com/country/egypt)[[8]](https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/ACLED-Data-Columns_Quick-ReferenceFINAL.pdf) - **Al-Masry Al-Youm Arabic RSS feed (Cairo/Egypt coverage)**: https://www.almasryalyoum.com/rss/rssfeed; RSS (partial API-like); daily; auth none; granularity national with strong Cairo/urban focus.[[9]](https://rss.feedspot.com/arabic_news_rss_feeds/) - **Youm7 (اليوم السابع) Arabic RSS/news API endpoints**: https://m2.youm7.com/rss/rss (or main site RSS); RSS/API-like feeds; daily/high-frequency; auth none; granularity Egypt-wide with Cairo metro emphasis.[[10]](https://m2.youm7.com/rss/rss) **Notes on gaps/limitations**: Few fully public real-time APIs exist at municipal level; most rely on downloads, interactive portals, or RSS. Labor/unemployment sub-national data is strongest via CAPMAS LFS/governorate GDP but often requires aggregation or requests for city-specific extracts. Dedicated ongoing Cairo youth/poverty crisis trackers are scarce in public machine-readable form (more one-off reports from IIED, UN agencies, or academics on urban poverty/slums). No major paid municipal APIs identified. Verify latest access/granularity directly, as portals evolve.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025