Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · EGY-CAI · Metro of Egypt, Arab Rep.

CairoMetro

23
Composite priority
12.9%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
118.37M
Population · 2025
63.2%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
1.3 per 100k
Homicides · 2017

Location

30.04°, 31.24° · ISO EGY-CAI / EGOpen in OpenStreetMap →
Metro proxy

Structural indicators below are national values for Egypt, Arab Rep.. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Cairo specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: 21M+ metro; Egypt youth unemployment masked in national figures

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment12.9%· 30p
2025
Intentional homicides1.3 per 100k· 3p
2017
Internet access74.6%· 29p
2024
Mobile subscriptions97.1 per 100· 65p
2024
Phone ownership97.4%· 3p
2023
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2024
AI usage18.7%· 29p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 2.6p vs 2021
18
Access gap 9.9p vs 2021
25
Impact 5.6p vs 2021
22

Latest signals

2026-07-21 09:07 UTC · run 2026-07-21T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No significant new developments identified in Cairo metro area (last ~60 days from ~May 22–July 21, 2026) that would materially shift the baseline youth instability picture (national male 15-24 unemployment 12.9% in 2025; national instability fuse score 18.4/100).** Searches yielded primarily national-level or older data; Cairo/governorate-specific labor statistics, recent youth-focused events, 2025 NGO/think-tank reports on Cairo youth, or infrastructure changes were not found in public sources.[[1]](https://www.facebook.com/EgyptTodayMag/posts/egypts-unemployment-rate-declined-to-6-of-the-total-labor-force-during-the-first/1444268531048798/)[[2]](https://9cv9recruitment.agency/103-recruitment-in-egypt-statistics-data-trends-for-2026/)

**1. Local labor market/unemployment data (Cairo metro/governorate-specific):** No CAPMAS or other reports with Cairo-specific youth (15-24 or 18-35) unemployment or labor force figures for 2025–2026. National Q1 2026 data (released ~May 2026) shows overall unemployment at 6.0% (down from 6.2% in Q4 2025), with urban unemployment at 8.4% (down from 9.7%). Labor force grew to 35.412 million. Youth data remains at older national levels (e.g., ~15.3% for ages 18–29 per 2025 CAPMAS references in secondary sources; male rates lower than female). No Cairo metro breakdowns.[[1]](https://www.facebook.com/EgyptTodayMag/posts/egypts-unemployment-rate-declined-to-6-of-the-total-labor-force-during-the-first/1444268531048798/)[[2]](https://9cv9recruitment.agency/103-recruitment-in-egypt-statistics-data-trends-for-2026/)

**2. Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35) in Cairo:** No reports of protests, demonstrations, militia activity, mass layoffs in key Cairo industries, or targeted crackdowns specifically in Cairo metro during the period. Broader Egyptian context includes ongoing restrictions on assembly and expression (per HRW World Report 2026), with a March 2026 analysis noting absence of visible youth-led protests even on the Jan. 25, 2026 anniversary of the 2011 uprising due to controls, digital repression, and emigration. Earlier (pre-period) economic protests referenced in 2024–2025 contexts.[[3]](https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2026/country-chapters/egypt)[[4]](https://www.megatrends-afrika.de/en/publication/mta-spotlight-68-egypts-youth-under-president-al-sisi)

**3. NGO/think-tank reports on Cairo youth (published 2025):** No new 2025 reports focused on Cairo metro youth situation identified. Older or national/ongoing efforts referenced include Population Council’s Survey of Young People in Egypt (SYPE) series (latest round 2022, covering Greater Cairo informal areas in prior waves) and various older analyses.[[5]](https://popcouncil.org/project/survey-of-young-people-in-egypt/)

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes in Cairo:** No shutdowns, targeted outages, or major new rollouts reported in the last 60 days. A July 2025 fire at Ramses Central telecom hub in Cairo caused temporary nationwide disruptions (affecting ISPs and services), but this predates the period.[[6]](https://pulse.internetsociety.org/en/blog/2025/07/egypt-internet-outage-another-example-of-the-need-to-spread-your-risk/)[[7]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-07/cairo-building-fire-disrupts-some-telecom-services-across-egypt)

**Overall assessment:** The absence of Cairo-specific recent indicators or escalatory events suggests continuity with the baseline. National unemployment trends show modest improvement, but without local granularity or youth-male breakdowns, no clear signal of change for Cairo metro. Continued monitoring of CAPMAS releases and local reporting recommended, as data gaps limit precision. Sources primarily from web searches (e.g., CAPMAS via Egypt Today, HRW, academic/secondary analyses).
Source discovery
**Cairo-specific (city/governorate-level) non-inference data sources** (focused on public/municipal, sub-national stats, news, monitoring projects, and ACLED filtering; all complement existing country-level feeds like CAPMAS national aggregates, ACLED, etc.):

- **Cairo Governorate Electronic Portal – Statistics and Bulletins**: https://www.cairo.gov.eg/en/more/statistics-and-bulletins/ (or Arabic version); No API; updates periodic (e.g., population estimates/graphs for Jan 2026 by area/neighborhood/east-west-north-south/new cities); auth none (free public access); granularity Cairo Governorate + sub-areas/neighborhoods (area 3,085 km², population by zones).[[1]](https://www.cairo.gov.eg/en/more/statistics-and-bulletins/)[[1]](https://www.cairo.gov.eg/en/more/statistics-and-bulletins/)
- **Ministry of Planning and Economic Development – National Accounts / GDP by Governorate**: https://mped.gov.eg/Analytics?lang=en (GDP by economic activities/regions/governorates, plus investments); No API (interactive web queries/downloads); annual/quarterly; auth none; granularity governorate level (includes Cairo).[[2]](https://mped.gov.eg/Analytics?lang=en)[[2]](https://mped.gov.eg/Analytics?lang=en)
- **CAPMAS (Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics) – Labor Force Survey (LFS) and related bulletins**: https://www.capmas.gov.eg/ or censusinfo.capmas.gov.eg catalog (labor/employment/wages bulletins; governorate-level response rates noted in LFS docs); No public API (detailed data via catalog downloads or requests; some geospatial via geoportal.capmas.gov.eg); periodic (annual/quarterly bulletins, censuses); auth none (free/public); granularity national with some governorate disaggregation possible (urban/rural or finer in select releases).[[3]](https://censusinfo.capmas.gov.eg/metadata-en-v4.2/index.php/catalog?&page=13)[[4]](https://www.erfdataportal.com/index.php/catalog/305)
- **CAPMAS Egy-GeoInfo Geoportal (census/statistics GIS)**: geoportal.capmas.gov.eg; Partial API/geospatial access (ArcGIS-based portal for census variables); periodic (census-based, e.g., 2017 with updates); auth none (public access, aggregated to village/shyakha level); granularity ADM1 (governorates incl. Cairo) to ADM3/4 (shyakha/qurya) for Cairo metro areas.[[5]](https://www.esri.com/content/dam/esrisites/en-us/media/fliers/gis-census-cs-egypt-flier-web.pdf)
- **Egypt Subnational Administrative Boundaries (COD-AB, sourced from CAPMAS)**: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy; No API (GeoJSON/SHP/GDB/XLSX downloads); static with periodic updates (e.g., version 01, modified 2026); auth none (free); granularity Admin 1 (27 governorates incl. Cairo), Admin 2 (365 regions), Admin 3—directly supports ACLED filtering to Cairo.[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy)[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy)
- **ACLED Egypt data with sub-national filtering**: https://acleddata.com/country/egypt (or core ACLED platform); API yes (standard ACLED API); near real-time/ongoing; auth free (registration for full access); granularity Admin1 (Cairo Governorate) / Admin2 via columns like ADMIN1/ADMIN2—filter events to Cairo using boundaries above.[[7]](https://acleddata.com/country/egypt)[[8]](https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/ACLED-Data-Columns_Quick-ReferenceFINAL.pdf)
- **Al-Masry Al-Youm Arabic RSS feed (Cairo/Egypt coverage)**: https://www.almasryalyoum.com/rss/rssfeed; RSS (partial API-like); daily; auth none; granularity national with strong Cairo/urban focus.[[9]](https://rss.feedspot.com/arabic_news_rss_feeds/)
- **Youm7 (اليوم السابع) Arabic RSS/news API endpoints**: https://m2.youm7.com/rss/rss (or main site RSS); RSS/API-like feeds; daily/high-frequency; auth none; granularity Egypt-wide with Cairo metro emphasis.[[10]](https://m2.youm7.com/rss/rss)

**Notes on gaps/limitations**: Few fully public real-time APIs exist at municipal level; most rely on downloads, interactive portals, or RSS. Labor/unemployment sub-national data is strongest via CAPMAS LFS/governorate GDP but often requires aggregation or requests for city-specific extracts. Dedicated ongoing Cairo youth/poverty crisis trackers are scarce in public machine-readable form (more one-off reports from IIED, UN agencies, or academics on urban poverty/slums). No major paid municipal APIs identified. Verify latest access/granularity directly, as portals evolve.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
10.421.733.02014202512.9%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
0.82.13.5201420171.3

Internet access

%
30.654.377.92014202474.6%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
82.991.7100.52014202497.1

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
98.899.7100.520142024100.0%

AI usage

%
7.713.619.52014202418.7%

Population

people
95861666.7107947324.5120032982.320142025118365995.0

Working-age share

%
61.062.463.72014202563.2%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.