Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · EGY-CAI · Metro of Egypt, Arab Rep.

CairoMetro

23
Composite priority
12.9%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
116.54M
Population · 2024
62.9%
Ages 15-64 · 2024
1.3 per 100k
Homicides · 2017

Location

30.04°, 31.24° · ISO EGY-CAI / EGOpen in OpenStreetMap →
Metro proxy

Structural indicators below are national values for Egypt, Arab Rep.. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Cairo specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: 21M+ metro; Egypt youth unemployment masked in national figures

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment12.9%· 30p
2025
Intentional homicides1.3 per 100k· 3p
2017
Internet access74.6%· 29p
2024
Mobile subscriptions97.1 per 100· 65p
2024
Phone ownership97.4%· 3p
2023
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2023
AI usage18.7%· 29p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 2.6p vs 2021
18
Access gap 9.9p vs 2021
25
Impact 5.6p vs 2021
22

Latest signals

2026-06-27 12:00 UTC · run 2026-06-27T12

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No significant Cairo metro-specific developments in the last 60 days (approx. late April–June 27, 2026) that would shift the youth instability picture from the provided national baseline (youth unemployment 15-24 male: 12.9% in 2025; national instability fuse score: 18.4/100).** All available data remains national or urban/rural aggregated, with no granular Cairo governorate or Greater Cairo metropolitan statistics identified.[[1]](https://www.facebook.com/EgyptTodayMag/posts/egypts-unemployment-rate-declined-to-6-of-the-total-labor-force-during-the-first/1444268531048798/)[[2]](https://www.egypttoday.com/Article/1/147185/Unemployment-rate-in-Egypt-declines-to-6-in-Q1-2026)

**1. Local labor market/unemployment data (Cairo metro-specific):** None found. CAPMAS Q1 2026 national report (released ~May 15, 2026) shows overall unemployment at 6.0% (down from 6.2% in Q4 2025), with urban unemployment at 8.4% (improved from 9.7%). Labor force grew to 35.412 million (+1.7%), adding ~583,000 entrants. No youth (15-24) or male-specific breakdowns, and no Cairo/provincial disaggregation. Earlier national youth unemployment (15-24 total) estimates hover around 18.3% (2025 modeled data). Greater Cairo events (e.g., job fairs or training) are promotional rather than data-driven.[[1]](https://www.facebook.com/EgyptTodayMag/posts/egypts-unemployment-rate-declined-to-6-of-the-total-labor-force-during-the-first/1444268531048798/)[[2]](https://www.egypttoday.com/Article/1/147185/Unemployment-rate-in-Egypt-declines-to-6-in-Q1-2026)[[3]](https://english.ahram.org.eg/News/568032.aspx)

**2. Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35) in Cairo:** No reports of protests, militia activity, mass layoffs, or major economic shocks specific to Cairo in the period. Broader analyses (e.g., SWP March 2026 report) note ongoing repression, digital controls, and emigration suppressing youth-led protests nationally, with no large-scale events on/around key dates like Jan. 25, 2026. Small-scale or staged actions (often pro-government or Gaza-related) have occurred in prior years but not recently in Cairo metro. Economic pressures remain national.[[4]](https://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publication/mta-spotlight-68-egypts-youth-under-president-al-sisi)

**3. NGO/think-tank reports on Cairo youth (2025 publications):** No new Cairo-focused reports surfaced in the last 60 days. Relevant earlier/national items include:
- ERF-World Bank Development Dialogue (Jan. 20, 2026) on Egypt’s youth jobs challenge (national; notes need for 1.5M annual jobs vs. ~600k created historically).
- SWP Megatrends Spotlight (March 23, 2026) on Egypt’s youth under al-Sisi (national; highlights socio-economic risks but suppressed mobilization).
- BTI 2026 Egypt Country Report (national; covers economic malaise and restricted civic space, with minor past protests in Cairo informal areas).[[5]](https://theforum.erf.org.eg/2026/01/19/empowering-egypts-young-people-for-the-future-of-work/)[[4]](https://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publication/mta-spotlight-68-egypts-youth-under-president-al-sisi)

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes in Cairo:** No new shutdowns, rollouts, or major outages in the last 60 days. A notable past incident (Ramses Exchange fire, July 2025) caused widespread Greater Cairo and national disruptions but is outside the window. Recent social media mentions of minor landline/mobile issues in Greater Cairo appear tied to older or unrelated events.[[6]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DL0DgKatm80/?hl=en)

**Overall assessment:** National urban unemployment trends show modest improvement, but the lack of Cairo-specific youth data and absence of localized triggers (protests, layoffs, infrastructure shocks) suggest stability relative to baseline. No flagged escalatory developments. Sources are primarily CAPMAS via Egypt Today/Ahram (May 2026) and think-tank analyses from early-mid 2026. Further monitoring of CAPMAS releases or local Cairo governorate data recommended for metro granularity.
Source discovery
**CAPMAS (Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics) – Labor Force Survey / Annual Bulletins and other sub-national releases**  
- URL: https://www.capmas.gov.eg/ (or censusinfo.capmas.gov.eg for metadata/catalog)  
- API: No (public downloads or registration-required microdata via partners)  
- Update frequency: Quarterly/annual (LFS bulletins; governorate-level aggregates)  
- Auth required: None for aggregates; free registration for microdata via ERF/OAMDI  
- Geographic granularity: Governorate (Cairo Governorate / urban Cairo disaggregation available in LFS)[[1]](https://ghdx.healthdata.org/organizations/central-agency-public-mobilization-and-statistics-capmas-egypt)[[2]](https://www.erfdataportal.com/index.php/catalog/305)

**Cairo Governorate Official Portal – Statistics section**  
- URL: http://cairo.gov.eg/en/Pages/Statistics.aspx?SubmID=168 (Arabic version also available)  
- API: No  
- Update frequency: Ad hoc / periodic (population estimates, density, age/sex breakdowns as of mid-2025 shown in PDFs)  
- Auth required: None  
- Geographic granularity: Cairo Governorate / neighborhoods (district-level population density, age groups)[[3]](http://cairo.gov.eg/en/Pages/Statistics.aspx?SubmID=168)

**Ministry of Planning and Economic Development – National Accounts / Regional GDP**  
- URL: https://mped.gov.eg/Analytics?lang=en (GDP by Governorate interactive tool)  
- API: No (interactive web queries/downloads)  
- Update frequency: Annual  
- Auth required: None  
- Geographic granularity: Governorate/economic regions (Cairo-specific GDP by activity)[[4]](https://mped.gov.eg/Analytics?lang=en)

**Economic Research Forum (ERF) Data Portal – Harmonized Labor Force Surveys (LFS) and Egypt Labor Market Panel Surveys (ELMPS)**  
- URL: https://www.erfdataportal.com/  
- API: No (microdata downloads after registration)  
- Update frequency: Annual/periodic (LFS quarterly aggregates; panel waves)  
- Auth required: Free registration + data access agreement  
- Geographic granularity: All governorates (including Cairo); urban/rural and individual-level variables for labor/unemployment/youth analysis[[2]](https://www.erfdataportal.com/index.php/catalog/305)[[2]](https://www.erfdataportal.com/index.php/catalog/305)

**ACLED (via admin boundaries and event data)**  
- URL: https://acleddata.com/ (Egypt country page); boundaries via HDX https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy  
- API: Partial (ACLED API available with free/paid tiers; boundaries downloadable as GeoJSON/SHP)  
- Update frequency: Real-time/weekly updates for events; boundaries static or periodic revisions  
- Auth required: Free registration for ACLED API/data; none for HDX boundaries  
- Geographic granularity: Admin1 (Cairo Governorate as distinct admin1 unit); finer admin2/3 districts available for filtering Cairo events[[5]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy)[[6]](https://acleddata.com/data-use-guide/acled-administrative-divisions)

**Youm7 and Al-Ahram (Arabic) – RSS feeds for local Cairo coverage**  
- URLs: Youm7 (https://www.youm7.com/); Al-Ahram (http://www.ahram.org.eg/ or English mirror)  
- API: No (standard RSS feeds)  
- Update frequency: Real-time / multiple times daily  
- Auth required: None  
- Geographic granularity: National with strong Cairo/Egypt focus (politics, economy, local events, youth/social issues)[[7]](https://rss.feedspot.com/egyptian_news_rss_feeds/)

**Population Council – Survey of Young People in Egypt (SYPE) and related urban/Cairo studies**  
- URL: https://popcouncil.org/project/survey-of-young-people-in-egypt/  
- API: No (reports + data access via request/registration)  
- Update frequency: Periodic waves (2009, 2014, 2016+; Greater Cairo/informal urban focus in later waves)  
- Auth required: None for reports; registration/request for microdata  
- Geographic granularity: National + Greater Cairo / urban informal areas (youth employment, education, poverty, attitudes)[[8]](https://popcouncil.org/project/survey-of-young-people-in-egypt/)

**HDX / COD-AB – Egypt Subnational Administrative Boundaries (for ACLED or other geo-filtering)**  
- URL: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy  
- API: No (direct downloads: GeoJSON, SHP, etc.)  
- Update frequency: Periodic (latest version ~2026)  
- Auth required: None  
- Geographic granularity: Admin 0–3 (Admin1 = 27 governorates including Cairo; Admin2/3 for districts within Cairo Governorate)[[5]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-egy)

These sources emphasize publicly accessible or low-barrier machine-readable or downloadable data at the governorate or sub-governorate level for Cairo. Most lack modern REST APIs; data is typically obtained via downloads, interactive portals, or RSS. Labor and demographic data are strongest via CAPMAS/ERF at governorate resolution. No dedicated municipal open-data API for Cairo was identified beyond the governorate portal’s static PDFs.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
10.421.733.02014202512.9%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
0.82.13.5201420171.3

Internet access

%
30.654.377.92014202474.6%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
82.991.7100.52014202497.1

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
98.899.7100.520142023100.0%

AI usage

%
7.713.619.52014202418.7%

Population

people
96007885.7107033456.0118059026.320142024116538258.0

Working-age share

%
61.062.263.42014202462.9%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.