Europe & Central Asia · ESP
Spain
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-24 18:00 UTC · run 2026-06-24T18
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on Spain’s youth (15-24) unemployment or male-specific youth unemployment appear in the last 60 days (roughly late April–June 24, 2026).** Annual/modelled 2025 figures remain the most recent detailed benchmarks and show stability or slight improvement relative to the provided baseline of 23.9% (15-24 male, national, 2025).[[1]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/813014/youth-unemployment-rate-in-spain/?srsltid=AfmBOoq-Y19EtZS98W5rlHKx1VNkU8EHbk5YJ0nKWWkMtpTiZVsOE7fR)[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSESP) - World Bank/ILO modelled estimates and FRED data put total youth (15-24) unemployment at ~24.75% for 2025 (down from 26.63% in 2024).[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSESP)[[3]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/esp/spain/youth-unemployment-rate) - Eurostat reported Spain’s youth unemployment rate at 24.90% as of December 2025.[[4]](https://tradingeconomics.com/spain/youth-unemployment-rate-eurostat-data.html) - INE data cited on Wikipedia for Q4 2025: total youth (15-24) unemployment at 23.01%, with male youth at 22.63% (female 23.47%).[[5]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Youth_unemployment_in_Spain) - Projections (e.g., Macrotrends) suggest a further modest decline to ~24.05% for 2026 overall.[[3]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/esp/spain/youth-unemployment-rate) These align closely with the baseline and do not indicate a sharp deterioration. Broader EU youth unemployment (under 25) stood at 15.1% in April 2026.[[6]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Unemployment_statistics) **Significant political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35) in the last 60 days are limited to ongoing economic pressures rather than acute instability triggers.** No protests tied to coups, militia recruitment, currency crises, or similar were identified. - On or around May 24–25, 2026, thousands rallied in central Madrid against spiraling housing costs and rents (slogan examples include “Housing costs us our lives, let’s lower the prices”). Young participants (e.g., a 28-year-old teacher) highlighted difficulties with high rents, low salaries, and emancipation; the event was organized by tenants’ unions and housing collectives.[[7]](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/thousands-protest-rising-housing-costs-in-spains-capital)[[7]](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/thousands-protest-rising-housing-costs-in-spains-capital)[[8]](https://www.thehour.com/news/world/article/thousands-in-spain-s-capital-protest-increasing-22274382.php) This reflects persistent structural challenges for youth but does not represent a sharp escalation from prior trends. - Earlier or unrelated alerts (e.g., March 2026 demonstrations) fall outside the 60-day window. **Notable NGO or academic reports on Spain’s youth situation from 2025 (no prominent new 2026 publications surfaced in results):** - EU Education and Training Monitor 2025 (Spain country report): Notes declining early school leavers and relatively contained declines in basic skills compared to many EU peers; highlights dual vocational training reforms.[[9]](https://op.europa.eu/webpub/eac/education-and-training-monitor/en/country-reports/spain.html) - Santander/Fad Synthetic Index of Comparative Youth Development: Spain ranks low in the EU on employment and emancipation metrics; youth unemployment (15-29) cited at 29.20% (vs. EU 13.30%), with temporary contracts exceeding 50%.[[10]](https://www.santander.com/en/press-room/insights/the-state-of-youth-in-spain-and-europe)[[10]](https://www.santander.com/en/press-room/insights/the-state-of-youth-in-spain-and-europe) - OECD mid-term evaluation of Spain’s Youth Guarantee Plus Plan 2021–2027 (October 2025).[[11]](https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/mid-term-evaluation-of-spain-s-youth-guarantee-plus-plan-2021-2027_1197d87d-en.html) - Asempleo analysis (December 2025): Youth job quality (under-25s) flagged as Spain’s primary labour market challenge for 2026, despite rising numbers with higher education.[[12]](https://www.staffingindustry.com/news/global-daily-news/youth-job-quality-is-spains-biggest-labour-challenge-asempleo) - Other 2025 items include academic work on second-chance schools and public opinion analyses noting ideological/gender divides among youth.[[13]](https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02673843.2025.2549583)[[14]](https://www.funcas.es/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Focus-2509_Final2.pdf) **Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No shutdowns, outages, or coverage reductions in the period. Focus is on post-2025 Iberian blackout resilience measures and continued 5G expansion: - Ongoing regulatory discussions (e.g., CNMC opinions and Senate references in March 2026) around power backup requirements for mobile networks.[[15]](https://www.ookla.com/articles/iberian-blackout-one-year-on-2026)[[16]](https://www.lightreading.com/regulatory-politics/eurobites-spain-to-mandate-mobile-network-power-backup-report) - Operators advancing 5G (e.g., Movistar at ~95% coverage by end-2025; Vodafone targets and rollout plans through 2026).[[17]](https://insights.opensignal.com/reports/2026/05/spain/mobile-network-experience) **Overall assessment:** Nothing identified would significantly shift the instability picture from the baseline (youth male unemployment ~23.9% in 2025; fuse score 39.1/100). Unemployment data shows continuity or modest improvement; housing protests underscore chronic affordability/emancipation pressures on youth but remain within established patterns rather than signalling acute escalation. Continued monitoring of monthly INE/Eurostat releases and housing policy responses is advisable.
Source discovery
**INE (Instituto Nacional de Estadística / Spanish Statistical Office)** — https://www.ine.es/en/ (INEbase data portal and operations like Economically Active Population Survey/EAPS for unemployment, activity/employment rates by age/sex/province, quarterly). API: Yes (INEbase OpenAPI / JSON via Swagger UI; also OGC API Features for some data). Update frequency: Quarterly (labor/unemployment data). Auth: None/free (public).[[1]](https://www.ine.es/en/)[[2]](https://www.ine.es/dyngs/INEbase/en/categoria.htm?c=Estadistica_P&cid=1254735976595) **Banco de España (Bank of Spain)** — https://www.bde.es/ (statistics section; economic/financial indicators, some labor/employment-related via broader economic stats). API: Yes (dedicated Statistics web service/API for direct data download/integration). Update frequency: Varies (monthly/quarterly for many series). Auth: None/free (public).[[3]](https://www.bde.es/wbe/en/estadisticas/temas/instituciones-financieras/anuncios-instituciones-financieras/nuevo-servicio-web-api-para-la-descarga-de-datos-del-banco-de-espana.html)[[4]](https://www.bde.es/webbe/en/estadisticas/recursos/api-estadisticas-bde.html) **Eurostat** — https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat (EU labor force/unemployment statistics with Spain breakdowns, including youth unemployment rates). API: Yes (SDMX/RESTful web services). Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly/annually depending on indicator. Auth: None/free (public).[[5]](https://tradingeconomics.com/spain/youth-unemployment-rate-eurostat-data.html)[[6]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Unemployment_statistics) **European Central Bank (ECB) Data Portal** — https://data.ecb.europa.eu/ (macroeconomic, financial, and related indicators with country breakdowns including Spain). API: Yes (SDMX 2.1 RESTful web service). Update frequency: Varies (daily to quarterly). Auth: None/free (public).[[7]](https://data.ecb.europa.eu/help/api/overview) **HDX (Humanitarian Data Exchange) – Spain group / HAPI** — https://data.humdata.org/group/esp (humanitarian/crisis/poverty-related indicators and datasets for Spain). API: Partial (HDX HAPI for standardized indicators; bulk downloads otherwise). Update frequency: Varies by dataset/source. Auth: None/free (public).[[8]](https://data.humdata.org/group/esp)[[9]](https://data.humdata.org/hapi) **EL PAÍS RSS** (and other Spanish outlets) — https://feeds.elpais.com/mrss-s/pages/ep/site/elpais.com/portada (or full RSS list at servicios.elpais.com/rss/); also El Confidencial (rss.elconfidencial.com), eldiario.es (www.eldiario.es/rss/), The Local ES (feeds.thelocal.com/rss/es). API/RSS: RSS feeds (machine-readable; no full REST API). Update frequency: Near real-time/as published. Auth: None/free.[[10]](https://github.com/plenaryapp/awesome-rss-feeds) **World News API (Spain sources)** — https://worldnewsapi.com/ (monitors 1,000+ Spain news sources). API: Yes. Update frequency: Daily (thousands of items). Auth: Free tier available (paid plans for higher limits).[[11]](https://worldnewsapi.com/docs/news-sources/spain-news-api/) These complement the already-used global sources (e.g., World Bank, Eurostat overlaps with some labor data but provides deeper EU/Spain granularity). Regional Europe-focused options like Eurostat and ECB are particularly relevant for Europe & Central Asia coverage with Spain disaggregations. No strong Spain-specific NGO/think-tank public APIs were identified for youth/poverty/crisis tracking (mostly reports or downloads via HDX/Eurostat).
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025