Europe & Central Asia · ESP
Spain
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-08-30 09:07 UTC · run 2026-08-30T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**Recent youth unemployment data (primarily from Spanish INE/EPA releases in late July 2026 and Eurostat figures through June 2026) shows modest declines from the 2025 baseline of 23.9% for males aged 15-24.**[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/spain/youth-unemployment-rate)[[2]](https://www.elboletin.com/el-paro-juvenil-en-espana-baja-al-2377-en-el-segundo-trimestre-de-2026/) - Overall youth unemployment (typically 15-24 or under-25): 23.4% in June 2026 (down from 24% in May; Eurostat). Q2 2026 (Apr-Jun): 23.77% (down 0.77 pp quarterly and year-on-year from 24.54%).[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/spain/youth-unemployment-rate)[[2]](https://www.elboletin.com/el-paro-juvenil-en-espana-baja-al-2377-en-el-segundo-trimestre-de-2026/)[[3]](https://www.jujindata.com/country/spain/youth-unemployment-rate-current) - Male-specific figures are limited in the most recent releases but show lower rates than females overall. Q1 2026 (20-24 males): 20.67%. May 2026 male youth unemployment: ~22%.[[4]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/488278/youth-unemployment-rate-20-24-years-old-in-spain-by-gender/)[[5]](https://ycharts.com/indicators/spain_male_youth_unemployment_rate_unadjusted) - Broader context: Spain’s general unemployment fell to ~9.87-10.1% in Q2/June 2026, with strong job creation (+486,000 occupied in Q2). Youth rates remain among Europe’s highest (EU ~15.2-15.5% in mid-2026).[[2]](https://www.elboletin.com/el-paro-juvenil-en-espana-baja-al-2377-en-el-segundo-trimestre-de-2026/)[[6]](https://www.larazon.es/economia/paro-resiste-junio-6-espana-sigue-cola-bloque-roza-podio-desempleo-juvenil_202607306a6b25c771b42a0b5dced498.html) No new major ILO or World Bank Spain-specific releases were identified in the last 60 days (the ILO’s August 2026 *Global Employment Trends for Youth* notes rising global youth unemployment to 12.4% in 2025 and high rates in Northern/Southern/Western Europe at 15%, but does not highlight Spain-specific shifts beyond existing trends).[[7]](https://www.ilo.org/resource/news/youth-unemployment-rises-young-people-face-harder-road-decent-work) **Significant events affecting young men (18-35) in the last 60 days center on the Ceuta migrant crisis (late July–August 2026) and related political tensions.**[[8]](https://www.euractiv.com/news/clashes-in-spains-ceuta-month-after-mass-migrant-influx/) - **Ceuta influx (July 30-31, 2026 peak)**: An estimated 49,000–72,000 people (predominantly young Moroccan men, plus some sub-Saharan Africans and minors) crossed from Morocco into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta. Many returned quickly, but thousands (estimates 5,000–10,000) remained, leading to overcrowding in shelters, beach camps, and streets. This triggered local protests, clashes with police in late August (e.g., beach disturbances, fires, sit-ins blocking aid), and incidents like migrants throwing stones at soldiers. The crisis involved security, humanitarian, and hygiene concerns; it heightened tensions between locals (including young men) and authorities/migrants.[[8]](https://www.euractiv.com/news/clashes-in-spains-ceuta-month-after-mass-migrant-influx/)[[9]](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/31/world/europe/young-men-poured-into-ceuta-seeking-work.html)[[10]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Ceuta_migrant_crisis) - Broader political discontent: Protests in Madrid (late August) against PM Sánchez over corruption allegations drew thousands. Youth surveys highlight frustration with taxes, housing costs, and economic precarity (e.g., 35-38% of 18-39 year-olds in one poll favored abolishing taxes).[[11]](https://www.surinenglish.com/spain/spanish-tax-opposition-triples-youth-revolt-against-20260824160340-nt.html)[[12]](https://www.brusselstimes.com/2149099/thousands-protest-for-prime-ministers-resignation-in-madrid) - No reports of coups, militia recruitment, or currency/economic shocks. These developments, particularly Ceuta, represent a notable localized security and migration hotspot potentially elevating instability risks for young men (both locals and arrivals) compared to the national baseline. **Notable NGO/academic reports from 2025-2026 (with some releases or coverage in/near the period):** - ICER (*Instituto de Ciencias del Empleo y las Relaciones Laborales*) report (Aug 26, 2026): Higher education reduces youth unemployment (e.g., 17.31% for 20-24 with higher ed in Q2 2026 vs. 19.88% overall for the age group), but lack of experience is a bigger barrier; notes a slight rise in unemployment for some young educated groups year-on-year.[[13]](https://www.elconfidencial.com/empleo/2026-08-26/estudios-superiores-desempleo-experiencia-jovenes-1hms-1svm_4412520/) - Earlier 2026 reports (e.g., Fundación SM *Jóvenes Españoles 2026*, PwC/Círculo de Empresarios on youth well-being lagging 1995 levels, CJE emancipation observatory showing record-low 14.5% youth emancipation in 2025) underscore persistent housing, precarity, and value shifts but predate the strict 60-day window.[[14]](https://oji.fundacion-sm.org/nuestros-estudios/jovenes-espanoles2026/)[[15]](https://www.infobae.com/espana/2026/06/29/la-generacion-mas-preparada-de-la-historia-vive-peor-que-hace-30-anos-la-vivienda-y-trabajos-precarios-condenan-a-los-jovenes-a-malvivir/) **Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No shutdowns, major coverage losses, or negative changes reported. Positive/ongoing developments include: - 5G population coverage at ~99%, with expansions (e.g., MasOrange to 93.4%+ of population; new rural “5G Redes muy rurales” plan with €17.9M funding announced ~July 2026).[[16]](https://www.larazon.es/tecnologia-consumo/operadoras/5g-llega-99-poblacion-espana-acaba-lanzar-plan-urgente-179-millones-no-dejar-atras-espana-vaciada_202607316a6c7d6ba5690f04735c71b5.html) - June 2026 royal decree requiring mobile network backups (≥4 hours during blackouts) for large operators.[[17]](https://www.technology.org/2026/06/29/spain-mobile-network-backup-power-decree/) - Minor localized issues (e.g., network outages in late June, post-wildfire recovery in Extremadura in August, ongoing 3G phase-out in select provinces), but no systemic access disruptions.[[18]](https://www.lavanguardia.com/vida/20260630/11579050/yoigo-masmovil-caida-red-deja-servicio-telefono-operadoras-espana.html)[[19]](https://www.cope.es/emisoras/extremadura/noticias/extremadura-recupera-telecomunicaciones-hurdes-danos-incendio-20260827_3425809.html) **Overall assessment vs. baseline (23.9% male youth unemployment 2025; 39.1/100 instability fuse):** Modest unemployment declines could mildly ease pressures, but the Ceuta crisis introduces fresh security, migration, and protest dynamics involving young men, potentially raising localized instability risks. Structural issues (housing, precarity, political discontent) persist per recent reports. No transformative shifts; continued monitoring of Ceuta and youth economic sentiment is warranted. Sources primarily include Eurostat/INE via Trading Economics, El Boletín, El Confidencial, Reuters, NYT, HRW, and others (URLs in citations).
Source discovery
**INE (Instituto Nacional de Estadística / National Statistics Institute)**: https://www.ine.es/ (INEbase open data portal and specific EPA labor tables); API: Yes (public JSON API via wstempus service with OpenAPI/Swagger docs; also direct CSV/JSON/PC-Axis downloads); Update frequency: Quarterly (e.g., Encuesta de Población Activa/EPA labor force survey with youth unemployment breakdowns by age/sex/region); Auth: None (public).[[1]](https://ine.es/dyngs/DAB/en/index.htm?cid=1722)[[2]](https://datos.gob.es/es/catalogo/ea0010587-tasas-de-paro-por-nacionalidad-sexo-y-comunidad-autonoma-epa-identificador-api-4249) **Banco de España (Bank of Spain)**: https://www.bde.es/ (Statistics section and BIEST database); API: Yes (public JSON Statistics web service for series data and metadata); Update frequency: Varies (daily to quarterly/monthly for economic/financial indicators, including labor/economic context); Auth: None (public).[[3]](https://www.bde.es/webbe/en/estadisticas/recursos/api-estadisticas-bde.html) **Eurostat**: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/ (data browser for EU indicators); API: Yes (REST APIs including STATISTICS, SDMX 2.1/3.0); Update frequency: Quarterly/annual (youth unemployment rates and related labor indicators with Spain country breakdowns); Auth: None (public). (Strong regional/Europe & Central Asia relevance via harmonized EU-LFS data.)[[4]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/user-guides/data-browser/api-data-access/api-introduction) **EAPN España Observatorio de la Pobreza (NGO/think tank poverty tracker)**: https://www.observatoriopobreza.org/ (Banco de Datos section); API: No (tables, indicators, and report downloads); Update frequency: Annual (e.g., State of Poverty reports with AROPE/poverty/exclusion indicators, including youth breakdowns); Auth: None (public).[[5]](https://www.observatoriopobreza.org/) **Spanish news outlets (RSS feeds for local/regional coverage)**: Examples include EL PAÍS (https://feeds.elpais.com/mrss-s/pages/ep/site/elpais.com/portada or similar), El Mundo, elDiario.es, and others; API: No (standard RSS/Atom feeds; some third-party news APIs aggregate them); Update frequency: Real-time to daily; Auth: None (public). Reliable for Spain-specific context on youth/economic issues.[[6]](https://rss.feedspot.com/spanish_news_rss_feeds/) **Additional notes**: - INE and Banco de España are the primary Spain-specific official sources for unemployment/labor and economic indicators (complementing your existing World Bank pulls). Eurostat adds strong Europe-wide comparability. - Poverty/youth-focused NGO data (e.g., EAPN) is typically report- or table-based rather than API-driven. - Ministry of Economy BDSICE offers downloadable CSV time series on economic indicators but is not API-focused. - All listed sources are publicly accessible with no-cost/no-auth options for core data. Check individual endpoints for rate limits or terms.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2025
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025