Europe & Central Asia · FIN
Finland
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-24 12:00 UTC · run 2026-06-24T12
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major developments in the last 60 days (roughly late April–June 24, 2026) significantly alter Finland’s youth instability baseline (male 15-24 youth unemployment at 22.2% nationally in 2025 data; national instability fuse score 40.1/100).** Youth unemployment remains elevated but stable at levels consistent with or slightly varying around the baseline depending on the exact metric and source (total vs. male; monthly/seasonally adjusted vs. annual). No acute political/security events, protests, economic shocks, or infrastructure disruptions affecting young men (18-35) were identified.[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/finland/youth-unemployment-ratio-15-24-eurostat-data.html)[[2]](https://tradingeconomics.com/finland/youth-unemployment-rate) **1. Youth unemployment data/releases (ILO/World Bank or national):** No new ILO or World Bank releases specific to Finland’s youth or male youth unemployment in the period. World Bank/ILO-linked data remain anchored to earlier periods (e.g., national estimates accessed March 2026 or modeled estimates through 2025).[[3]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.NE.ZS?locations=FI)[[3]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.NE.ZS?locations=FI) National Statistics Finland and related reporting show persistently high youth rates: - April 2026 monthly youth unemployment rate reached 28.0% (up from 24.3% in March 2026 per Trading Economics/Statistics Finland data).[[2]](https://tradingeconomics.com/finland/youth-unemployment-rate) - Earlier 2026 figures (e.g., February) showed non-seasonally adjusted youth (15-24) unemployment at 24.6% (trend rate 22.9%).[[4]](https://stat.fi/en/publication/cmfp8h79k9vzt08urs1183am0) - Annual projections/estimates: 2025 around 21.5%; 2026 forecast ~22.1%.[[5]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/fin/finland/youth-unemployment-rate) A May 19, 2026 Finnish government labour market forecast (Ministry of Economic Affairs and Employment) projected overall unemployment at ~10.2% for 2026, with ~42,000 young unemployed (stable/slightly fluctuating in out-years) and long-term unemployment peaking around summer 2026 before declining. Employment growth expected to strengthen in 2027–2028.[[6]](https://valtioneuvosto.fi/en/-/1410877/labour-market-forecast-long-term-unemployment-to-start-declining-after-summer-2026)[[6]](https://valtioneuvosto.fi/en/-/1410877/labour-market-forecast-long-term-unemployment-to-start-declining-after-summer-2026) Male-specific youth (15-24) figures aligning precisely with the 22.2% baseline were not newly released; overall male unemployment has trended higher than female in recent monthly data (e.g., March 2026).[[7]](https://yle.fi/a/74-20221991) **2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35):** None identified involving protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or major economic shocks/currency issues specific to this group. Broader economic reporting notes a fragile/uneven recovery in 2026 amid higher energy prices and global volatility (OECD Economic Outlook, June 2026).[[8]](https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-economic-outlook-volume-2026-issue-1_2d1956f0-en/full-report/finland_78e69ced.html) A minor US Embassy demonstration alert (March 6, 2026) fell outside the window. General OECD/EU context shows Finland with elevated overall unemployment (e.g., among higher rates in the bloc) but no acute youth-specific instability triggers.[[9]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DV6ahgPiT7w/) **3. NGO or academic reports on Finland’s youth situation (2025 publications or later references):** - References to the OECD Education at a Glance 2025 report (cited June 2026) highlight challenges including social exclusion, rising mental health needs, low employment prospects, and declining life satisfaction/optimism among young people (tertiary attainment for 25-34 slightly down). Finnish Youth Council/Nuorisotutkimus noted intergenerational issues and gloom about the future.[[10]](https://www.facebook.com/YLENews/posts/are-the-kids-alright-young-people-in-finland-face-social-exclusion-mental-health/1648559453941489/) - Earlier 2025 items (e.g., Finland’s renewed Youth, Peace and Security National Action Plan 2025–2028, published ~Dec 2025; NUMO study noting €71.4 million state allocation to youth work in 2025) provide context but predate the window.[[11]](https://cnxus.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/UM_2025_6eng.pdf)[[12]](http://numo.org.ua/en/page/how-youth-policy-works-in-finland-a-study-by-the-rivne-regional-team-of-numo/) - Finnish Youth Research Society and related bodies continue multidisciplinary work, with no major new 2026 releases flagged in searches. **4. Internet/mobile infrastructure access:** No shutdowns, rollouts, or coverage changes reported for Finland. Global discussions of disruptions (e.g., elsewhere in Q1 2026) do not involve Finland, which maintains strong digital connectivity policies and broadband investments.[[13]](https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/digital-connectivity-finland) **Overall assessment:** Data reinforce ongoing elevated youth unemployment pressures (broadly aligned with the 22.2% male baseline) amid a sluggish labour market, with government forecasts pointing to gradual improvement later in 2026–2028 rather than immediate deterioration. No events or reports signal a significant upward shift in instability risk for young men. Continued monitoring of monthly Statistics Finland releases and the next labour market forecast would be warranted. Sources primarily include Statistics Finland (stat.fi), Trading Economics, Finnish Government (valtioneuvosto.fi), OECD, World Bank data pages, and Yle.
Source discovery
**Statistics Finland (Tilastokeskus) – Labour Force Survey and related labour/unemployment data** - URL: https://stat.fi/til/tyti/index_en.html (main labour pages) and https://stat.fi/en/services/statistical-data-services/open-data-and-interfaces (open data) - API: Yes (PxWeb API; supports XLSX, CSV, JSON, JSON-stat, XML exports from databases) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly for labour force and unemployment indicators (including youth-relevant breakdowns) - Auth required: None (free, open data under CC BY 4.0)[[1]](https://stat.fi/en/services/statistical-data-services/open-data-and-interfaces/interface-use-of-databases) **Bank of Finland (Suomen Pankki) Open Data Portal (joint with FIN-FSA)** - URL: https://www.suomenpankki.fi/en/statistics/open-data/ and https://portal.boffsaopendata.fi/ - API: Yes (Timeseries API and other open APIs for economic/financial indicators) - Update frequency: Varies (monthly/quarterly for economic and labour-market-related series) - Auth required: None (free; API key signup may be needed for some endpoints)[[2]](https://www.suomenpankki.fi/en/statistics/open-data/) **Eurostat (EU statistical office) – Labour market and youth unemployment data for Finland** - URL: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat (databrowser and bulk download sections) - API: Yes (REST/SDMX API and bulk downloads; country-level breakdowns available) - Update frequency: Monthly (unemployment rates) and quarterly/annually (youth-specific and detailed labour indicators) - Auth required: None (free public access)[[3]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Unemployment_statistics) **ILOSTAT – Europe and Central Asia regional labour statistics (country breakdowns including Finland)** - URL: https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/ - API: Partial (bulk downloads and Data Explorer; some programmatic access via ILOSTAT tools) - Update frequency: Annual/periodic updates for youth employment/unemployment indicators - Auth required: None (free)[[4]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/) **OECD Data Explorer – Employment, unemployment, and youth labour market indicators (Finland breakdowns)** - URL: https://data-explorer.oecd.org/ - API: Yes (data access and explorer tools support exports/APIs) - Update frequency: Quarterly/annual for labour force and unemployment data - Auth required: None (free)[[5]](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) **Yle (Finnish Broadcasting Company) RSS feeds – National news coverage including labour/economic/youth topics** - URL: Yle.fi RSS endpoints (searchable via site or aggregators like https://rss.feedspot.com/finland_rss_feeds/) - API: No (RSS feeds only) - Update frequency: Daily/real-time as published - Auth required: None (public RSS)[[6]](https://rss.feedspot.com/finland_rss_feeds/) **Helsingin Sanomat (major Finnish newspaper) RSS feeds – Reliable domestic coverage of economic and social issues** - URL: Available via hs.fi or aggregated Finland RSS lists (e.g., feedspot.com) - API: No (RSS feeds) - Update frequency: Daily - Auth required: None (public RSS)[[6]](https://rss.feedspot.com/finland_rss_feeds/) **KEHA Centre (Employment and Economic Development Offices) – Register-based employment service statistics (complements survey data)** - URL: Referenced via Statistics Finland/Bank of Finland analyses; integration monitoring at tyomarkkinatori.fi - API: Limited/partial (some statistics available via national portals; not a primary public API) - Update frequency: Monthly/ongoing register updates - Auth required: None for public aggregates These sources provide direct, machine-readable or downloadable data on unemployment, labour force participation, youth employment, and related economic indicators for Finland, complementing the already-used global sources. Regional options like Eurostat and ILOSTAT explicitly include Europe & Central Asia country-level detail. News RSS feeds enable monitoring of local context/instability signals. All listed are publicly accessible without paid tiers.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025