Sub-Saharan Africa · GAB
Gabon
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-31 09:07 UTC · run 2026-07-31T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No significant new developments in the last 60 days (approx. June–July 2026) were identified that would materially shift Gabon's youth instability baseline** (male 15-24 youth unemployment at 31.6% for 2025; national instability fuse score 89.1/100).[[1]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=GA)[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSGAB) ### 1. Government/ILO/World Bank Data on Youth or Male Unemployment - No new national government releases, ILO modeled estimates, or World Bank updates specific to Gabon youth (or male 15-24) unemployment in June–July 2026. - Latest available modeled ILO/World Bank estimates remain consistent with the baseline: youth (15-24 total) unemployment at 36.28% for 2025 (down marginally from prior years but still >33%).[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSGAB)[[3]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/812006/youth-unemployment-rate-in-gabon/?srsltid=AfmBOorE_uGiBM-_nJ0SNnI1PtkaSREScAkkFCWU3jHEFjZ215yIUSgw) - A January 22, 2026 World Bank feature reiterated that “more than one-third of people aged 15 to 24 [are] unemployed,” highlighting ongoing skills mismatches addressed via the PRODECE project (no fresh 2026 data releases noted).[[4]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2026/01/22/preparing-gabon-youth-for-the-future) ### 2. Political, Security, or Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35) - No reports of protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, major economic shocks, or currency crises in Gabon during June–July 2026. - Recent news is limited to non-instability topics such as 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers (Gabon as group runners-up) and sports events.[[5]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_FIFA_World_Cup_qualification_%E2%80%93_CAF_Group_F) - Earlier context (outside the 60-day window): Social media platforms (Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube) were suspended indefinitely starting February 17, 2026, by the High Authority for Communication (HAC) over “false information” and security concerns; access remained restricted as of mid-to-late February per NetBlocks and others.[[6]](https://www.accessnow.org/press-release/keepiton-social-media-restore-access-in-gabon/)[[7]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2rg2vndk1o) ### 3. Notable NGO or Academic Reports on Gabon’s Youth Situation (Published 2025) - No new NGO or academic reports published in the June–July 2026 window. - Key prior 2025 reports (outside the strict 60-day window but relevant for context): - Afrobarometer Dispatch No. 1079 (Nov 17, 2025): Survey of 1,200 Gabonese adults (July 2024 fieldwork) notes ~half the population under 20, high youth literacy (91%) but elevated unemployment (estimated 37–40%), skills mismatch with labor market needs in agriculture/construction/extractives, and urban concentration (>80%).[[8]](https://www.afrobarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/AD1079-Gabonese-youth-see-their-country-as-moving-in-the-right-direction-Afrobarometer-13nov25.pdf) - Other 2025 references (e.g., IWGIA Indigenous World, UNFPA annual reports) do not indicate major new shifts.[[9]](https://www.iwgia.org/en/articles/iw-2025-gabon) ### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure Changes - No new shutdowns, rollouts, or coverage changes reported in June–July 2026. - The February 2026 social media restrictions noted above remain the most recent infrastructure-related development.[[6]](https://www.accessnow.org/press-release/keepiton-social-media-restore-access-in-gabon/)[[7]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2rg2vndk1o) **Overall assessment**: The baseline indicators appear stable with no acute triggers identified in the recent period. Youth unemployment figures continue to hover in the mid-30% range per modeled estimates, consistent with the provided 31.6% male-specific figure. Continued monitoring of any post-July updates (e.g., potential new ILO data or economic indicators) is recommended. Sources primarily include World Bank data portals, FRED/Statista aggregates, Afrobarometer, and contemporaneous news from BBC/Reuters/Access Now.
Source discovery
**National statistics bureau (Direction Générale de la Statistique / DGS, formerly DGSEE/INSEE Gabon):** - Name/URL: Direction Générale de la Statistique (DGS) – https://instatgabon.org/ (or /en for English) and statistical yearbooks at https://instatgabon.org/annuaires-statistiques-du-gabon. - API: No (primarily PDF yearbooks, reports, and some Excel/CSV downloads via the African Development Bank-hosted portal at gabon.opendataforafrica.org). - Update frequency: Irregular/annual (e.g., statistical yearbooks and surveys like DHS). - Auth: None (public downloads).[[1]](https://instatgabon.org/annuaires-statistiques-du-gabon) **Central bank (Bank of Central African States – BEAC):** - Name/URL: Banque des États de l’Afrique Centrale (BEAC) – https://www.beac.int/. - API: No (annual reports, economic indicators, and tables with country breakdowns including Gabon; some data via national administrations). - Update frequency: Annual/quarterly reports and indicators. - Auth: None (public).[[2]](https://www.lloydsbanktrade.com/en/market-potential/gabon/economical-context) **Regional database – African Development Bank (AfDB) Socio-Economic Database / Open Data for Africa:** - Name/URL: AfDB Socio Economic Database (1960–present) via https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/nbyenxf/afdb-socio-economic-database-1960-2020 (includes Gabon breakdowns); also https://www.afdb.org/en/knowledge/statistics. - API: Partial (web portal with data explorer, downloads in multiple formats; some integration options via Open Data for Africa platform). - Update frequency: Regular updates (annual compendiums and ongoing indicators). - Auth: None (public).[[3]](https://www.afdb.org/en/knowledge/statistics) **Additional notes on other categories:** No dedicated public API was identified for Gabonese finance ministry youth/employment data, specific NGO/think-tank APIs focused on Gabon crisis/poverty tracking, or reliable local news RSS/API feeds (regional outlets like Gabon Review or Jeune Afrique provide coverage but lack structured data APIs). Regional Sub-Saharan sources like AfDB remain the strongest structured option beyond globals already in use. All listed sources are free and publicly accessible.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025