Sub-Saharan Africa · GAB
Gabon
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-04 00:00 UTC · run 2026-06-04T00
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank data releases on youth (or male-specific) unemployment in Gabon were identified in the last ~60 days (roughly April–early June 2026).** Existing modeled estimates remain consistent with high rates around 36% for total youth unemployment (ages 15-24).[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSGAB)[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSGAB) - World Bank/FRED modeled ILO estimates (updated/released around early 2026) show 2025 youth unemployment (total, 15-24) at 36.281% (vs. 36.283% in 2024 and 36.407% in 2023). National estimates and breakdowns by gender are not newly updated in recent sources.[[2]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=GA)[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSGAB) - The provided baseline (31.6% for 15-24 males, national, 2025) aligns directionally with these figures; total rates are reported near or above 36%, with some 2024 references noting youth unemployment approaching 40% amid skills mismatches.[[3]](https://africa24tv.com/gabon-youth-unemployment-rate-estimated-at-over-36/)[[3]](https://africa24tv.com/gabon-youth-unemployment-rate-estimated-at-over-36/) - Broader ILO *Employment and Social Trends 2026* (referencing November 2025 data) discusses global/regional youth trends (e.g., slight projected declines in some upper-middle-income contexts post-2025) but contains no Gabon-specific updates or new national figures.[[4]](https://researchrepository.ilo.org/view/pdfCoverPage?instCode=41ILO_INST&filePid=13147301370002676&download=true) **No significant new political, security, or economic shocks specifically targeting or disproportionately affecting young men (18-35) in the last 60 days.** Gabon appears in a post-2023 coup stabilization phase following the April 2025 presidential election win by transitional leader Brice Clotaire Oligui Nguema.[[5]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/GAB)[[6]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Gabonese_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat) - Searches for protests, coups, militia activity, or acute economic shocks (e.g., currency issues) in April–May 2026 yielded no major domestic incidents. Mentions include routine diplomatic/economic ties (e.g., with Angola) and unrelated regional news.[[7]](https://www.instagram.com/reel/DYFMyO0oNfB/) - Related but slightly earlier context (Feb 2026 social media suspension amid protests/strikes) saw temporary lifts in April 2026; however, new verification regulations (Feb 2026) impose real-name/ID requirements with heavy fines/prison risks for non-compliance.[[8]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/13/concern-gabon-social-media-clampdown-human-rights)[[8]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/13/concern-gabon-social-media-clampdown-human-rights) - May 2026 reporting highlights ongoing human rights concerns over digital clampdowns and arrests (e.g., opposition figure in April linked to older cases), with diaspora protests noted in Paris (April 25, 2026). No widespread domestic youth-led unrest reported.[[8]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/13/concern-gabon-social-media-clampdown-human-rights) **Notable NGO/academic reports on Gabon's youth situation from 2025 (none newly published in the last 60 days).** Key prior releases include: - Afrobarometer Dispatch No. 1079 (Nov 17, 2025): Based on July 2024 survey; notes high youth literacy (~91%) but unemployment estimated at 37–40%, skills mismatches, and positive youth views on national direction. Over 80% urban youth population highlighted.[[9]](https://www.afrobarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/AD1079-Gabonese-youth-see-their-country-as-moving-in-the-right-direction-Afrobarometer-13nov25.pdf) - BTI 2026 Gabon Country Report: Covers 2023–early 2025 transition (post-coup national dialogue, 2024 referendum, 2025 elections); emphasizes inequality and poverty amid resource wealth.[[5]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/GAB)[[5]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/GAB) - World Bank feature (Jan 22, 2026) on youth skills/education initiatives to address unemployment.[[10]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2026/01/22/preparing-gabon-youth-for-the-future) **Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No new nationwide shutdowns or major coverage/rollout changes reported in April–May 2026. The Feb 2026 social media suspension (Meta platforms, TikTok, etc., citing “false information” and security) was temporarily lifted in April but followed by stricter user-verification rules.[[11]](https://cipesa.org/2026/02/keepiton-authorities-must-reverse-social-media-shutdown-order-and-restore-access-in-gabon/)[[8]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/13/concern-gabon-social-media-clampdown-human-rights)[[8]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/13/concern-gabon-social-media-clampdown-human-rights) May 2026 coverage notes persistent concerns over curtailed freedoms, potentially impacting youth communication/organization. **Assessment vs. baseline (youth male unemployment 31.6% in 2025; instability fuse 89.1/100):** No findings indicate a significant upward or downward shift. Unemployment data remains stably high (~36% total youth); the political environment shows continued post-transition consolidation without acute new escalations in the window. Lingering digital restrictions and isolated opposition actions represent incremental pressures on freedoms that could indirectly affect youth mobilization or grievances, but nothing rises to a major instability pivot. Sources are primarily modeled estimates and reporting from World Bank, FRED, ILO-adjacent, Guardian, and regional outlets (URLs in citations). Further monitoring of parliamentary elections or new labor data releases is recommended.
Source discovery
**Here are relevant non-inference data sources for Gabon (focusing on labor/unemployment, economic/youth indicators, and related topics), based on official and regional portals. Many provide machine-readable downloads (CSV, Excel, etc.) via open data platforms, though dedicated public APIs are rare or partial. They supplement your existing sources (e.g., World Bank, ACLED).**[[1]](https://instatgabon.org/en)[[2]](https://www.beac.int/) - **Direction Générale de la Statistique (DGS / instatgabon.org)** — National statistics bureau (unemployment, labor, population, economic/social indicators). URL: https://instatgabon.org/en (includes Open Data portal and survey data). API: No (or partial/undocumented); machine-readable downloads and queries available via portal. Update frequency: Periodic (surveys, key figures like unemployment ~quarterly/annual where available; latest noted T3 2019 unemployment 35.2%). Auth: None (public).[[1]](https://instatgabon.org/en) - **Banque des États de l'Afrique Centrale (BEAC)** — Central bank for CEMAC (including Gabon); economic/monetary/financial indicators, balance of payments, monetary emission stats (relevant to youth employment/economic context). URL: https://www.beac.int/ (Base de Données Économiques, Monétaires et Financières and related sections). API: No (downloads/tables). Update frequency: Regular (monthly/quarterly/annual series). Auth: None (public).[[2]](https://www.beac.int/) - **African Development Bank (AfDB) Statistical Data Portal / Open Data for Africa** — Regional SSA database with country breakdowns (socio-economic, governance, infrastructure, national accounts; Gabon-specific series). URL: https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ (or AfDB statistics section). API: Partial (SDMX/Open Data Platform 2.0 support for interoperability; bulk downloads). Update frequency: Regular (annual/periodic updates across indicators). Auth: None (public; some advanced features may require registration).[[3]](https://www.re3data.org/repository/r3d100011929) - **Gabon actu (and similar local outlets like L'Union, Gabonreview.com)** — Local/regional news covering Gabon politics, economy, society (youth/unemployment context via RSS). URLs: Gabon actu (search rss.feedspot.com/gabon_news_rss_feeds/); L'Union (lunion.fr or sonapresse); Gabonreview.com. API: No (RSS feeds for syndication; third-party news APIs like NewsData.io aggregate Gabon sources with country=GA parameter). Update frequency: Daily/real-time. Auth: None for RSS (public); paid for commercial news APIs.[[4]](https://rss.feedspot.com/gabon_news_rss_feeds/) - **ILOSTAT (Gabon country profile)** — Labor statistics with Gabon breakdowns (unemployment, youth NEET, employment surveys; complements national data). URL: https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/country-profiles/gab/. API: Yes (data explorer/tools for downloads; bulk options). Update frequency: Periodic (based on national surveys like Gabon's 2010 Employment/Unemployment Survey; modeled estimates more frequent). Auth: None (public/free access).[[5]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/country-profiles/gab/) Notes: Dedicated public APIs are uncommon for these national/regional sources (portals emphasize downloads/queries instead). BEAC and AfDB cover CEMAC/SSA broadly with Gabon disaggregation. News RSS are reliable for qualitative/monitoring context but not structured data. Verify latest availability directly, as portals evolve. No prominent free/paid NGO/think-tank APIs specific to Gabon crisis/poverty tracking were identified beyond general sources like your existing list.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025