Sub-Saharan Africa · GAB

Gabon

47
Composite priority
31.6%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
2.59M
Population · 2025
59.6%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
Homicides ·

Location

0.39°, 9.45° · ISO GAB / GAOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment31.6%· 85p
2025
Intentional homicides
Internet access68.7%· 36p
2024
Mobile subscriptions125.3 per 100· 43p
2024
Phone ownership87.1%· 27p
2023
Electricity access95.1%· 8p
2024
AI usage17.2%· 36p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 5.4p vs 2021
89
Access gap 2.7p vs 2021
30
Impact 3.9p vs 2021
52

Latest signals

2026-07-31 09:07 UTC · run 2026-07-31T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No significant new developments in the last 60 days (approx. June–July 2026) were identified that would materially shift Gabon's youth instability baseline** (male 15-24 youth unemployment at 31.6% for 2025; national instability fuse score 89.1/100).[[1]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=GA)[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSGAB)

### 1. Government/ILO/World Bank Data on Youth or Male Unemployment
- No new national government releases, ILO modeled estimates, or World Bank updates specific to Gabon youth (or male 15-24) unemployment in June–July 2026.
- Latest available modeled ILO/World Bank estimates remain consistent with the baseline: youth (15-24 total) unemployment at 36.28% for 2025 (down marginally from prior years but still >33%).[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSGAB)[[3]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/812006/youth-unemployment-rate-in-gabon/?srsltid=AfmBOorE_uGiBM-_nJ0SNnI1PtkaSREScAkkFCWU3jHEFjZ215yIUSgw)
- A January 22, 2026 World Bank feature reiterated that “more than one-third of people aged 15 to 24 [are] unemployed,” highlighting ongoing skills mismatches addressed via the PRODECE project (no fresh 2026 data releases noted).[[4]](https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2026/01/22/preparing-gabon-youth-for-the-future)

### 2. Political, Security, or Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35)
- No reports of protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, major economic shocks, or currency crises in Gabon during June–July 2026.
- Recent news is limited to non-instability topics such as 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers (Gabon as group runners-up) and sports events.[[5]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_FIFA_World_Cup_qualification_%E2%80%93_CAF_Group_F)
- Earlier context (outside the 60-day window): Social media platforms (Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, TikTok, YouTube) were suspended indefinitely starting February 17, 2026, by the High Authority for Communication (HAC) over “false information” and security concerns; access remained restricted as of mid-to-late February per NetBlocks and others.[[6]](https://www.accessnow.org/press-release/keepiton-social-media-restore-access-in-gabon/)[[7]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2rg2vndk1o)

### 3. Notable NGO or Academic Reports on Gabon’s Youth Situation (Published 2025)
- No new NGO or academic reports published in the June–July 2026 window.
- Key prior 2025 reports (outside the strict 60-day window but relevant for context):
  - Afrobarometer Dispatch No. 1079 (Nov 17, 2025): Survey of 1,200 Gabonese adults (July 2024 fieldwork) notes ~half the population under 20, high youth literacy (91%) but elevated unemployment (estimated 37–40%), skills mismatch with labor market needs in agriculture/construction/extractives, and urban concentration (>80%).[[8]](https://www.afrobarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/AD1079-Gabonese-youth-see-their-country-as-moving-in-the-right-direction-Afrobarometer-13nov25.pdf)
  - Other 2025 references (e.g., IWGIA Indigenous World, UNFPA annual reports) do not indicate major new shifts.[[9]](https://www.iwgia.org/en/articles/iw-2025-gabon)

### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure Changes
- No new shutdowns, rollouts, or coverage changes reported in June–July 2026.
- The February 2026 social media restrictions noted above remain the most recent infrastructure-related development.[[6]](https://www.accessnow.org/press-release/keepiton-social-media-restore-access-in-gabon/)[[7]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2rg2vndk1o)

**Overall assessment**: The baseline indicators appear stable with no acute triggers identified in the recent period. Youth unemployment figures continue to hover in the mid-30% range per modeled estimates, consistent with the provided 31.6% male-specific figure. Continued monitoring of any post-July updates (e.g., potential new ILO data or economic indicators) is recommended. Sources primarily include World Bank data portals, FRED/Statista aggregates, Afrobarometer, and contemporaneous news from BBC/Reuters/Access Now.
Source discovery
**National statistics bureau (Direction Générale de la Statistique / DGS, formerly DGSEE/INSEE Gabon):**  
- Name/URL: Direction Générale de la Statistique (DGS) – https://instatgabon.org/ (or /en for English) and statistical yearbooks at https://instatgabon.org/annuaires-statistiques-du-gabon.  
- API: No (primarily PDF yearbooks, reports, and some Excel/CSV downloads via the African Development Bank-hosted portal at gabon.opendataforafrica.org).  
- Update frequency: Irregular/annual (e.g., statistical yearbooks and surveys like DHS).  
- Auth: None (public downloads).[[1]](https://instatgabon.org/annuaires-statistiques-du-gabon)

**Central bank (Bank of Central African States – BEAC):**  
- Name/URL: Banque des États de l’Afrique Centrale (BEAC) – https://www.beac.int/.  
- API: No (annual reports, economic indicators, and tables with country breakdowns including Gabon; some data via national administrations).  
- Update frequency: Annual/quarterly reports and indicators.  
- Auth: None (public).[[2]](https://www.lloydsbanktrade.com/en/market-potential/gabon/economical-context)

**Regional database – African Development Bank (AfDB) Socio-Economic Database / Open Data for Africa:**  
- Name/URL: AfDB Socio Economic Database (1960–present) via https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/nbyenxf/afdb-socio-economic-database-1960-2020 (includes Gabon breakdowns); also https://www.afdb.org/en/knowledge/statistics.  
- API: Partial (web portal with data explorer, downloads in multiple formats; some integration options via Open Data for Africa platform).  
- Update frequency: Regular updates (annual compendiums and ongoing indicators).  
- Auth: None (public).[[3]](https://www.afdb.org/en/knowledge/statistics)

**Additional notes on other categories:** No dedicated public API was identified for Gabonese finance ministry youth/employment data, specific NGO/think-tank APIs focused on Gabon crisis/poverty tracking, or reliable local news RSS/API feeds (regional outlets like Gabon Review or Jeune Afrique provide coverage but lack structured data APIs). Regional Sub-Saharan sources like AfDB remain the strongest structured option beyond globals already in use. All listed sources are free and publicly accessible.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
30.432.534.52014202531.6%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
No data

Internet access

%
35.653.471.22014202468.7%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
120.6135.4150.320142024125.3

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
85.690.795.82014202495.1%

AI usage

%
8.913.317.82014202417.2%

Population

people
1929220.52285764.52642308.5201420252593130.0

Working-age share

%
58.759.460.12014202559.6%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.