Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · JOR

Jordan

40
Composite priority
37.9%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
11.55M
Population · 2024
64.8%
Ages 15-64 · 2024
1.0 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

31.95°, 35.93° · ISO JOR / JOOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment37.9%· 100p
2025
Intentional homicides1.0 per 100k· 2p
2023
Internet access95.6%· 3p
2024
Mobile subscriptions69.6 per 100· 87p
2024
Phone ownership86.1%· 29p
2023
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2023
AI usage23.9%· 3p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 1.3p vs 2021
66
Access gap 5.7p vs 2021
24
Impact 4.8p vs 2021
40

Latest signals

2026-06-06 12:00 UTC · run 2026-06-06T12

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major shifts from the baseline (youth unemployment 15-24 male ~37.9% in 2025; national instability fuse score 66.1/100) in the last ~60 days (roughly April–early June 2026).** High youth unemployment persists as a structural issue, with no new ILO/World Bank releases or government data specifically updating male youth (15-24) figures beyond confirming the elevated range. Limited political/security events affecting young men (18-35) and no reported changes to internet/mobile infrastructure.[[1]](https://www.worldbank.org/ext/en/country/jordan)[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSJOR)

**1. Unemployment data/releases:**  
- World Bank modeled ILO estimates show total youth (15-24) unemployment at 38.876% for 2025 (down slightly from 39.053% in 2024). Male-specific recent modeled figures (e.g., 39.79% in 2024) align closely with the 37.9% baseline.[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSJOR)[[3]](https://tradingeconomics.com/jordan/unemployment-youth-male-percent-of-male-labor-force-ages-15-24-modeled-ilo-estimate-wb-data.html)  
- Jordan Department of Statistics (DoS) Q1 2026 data (released ~May 2026): Overall unemployment fell to 16.1% (down 0.5 pp YoY); Jordanian male unemployment at 17.9% (down 0.7 pp YoY). No youth breakdown in the latest quarterly release, but earlier patterns confirm youth concentration.[[4]](https://www.facebook.com/almamlakaen/posts/jordans-department-of-statistics-announced-that-the-overall-unemployment-rate-fe/122328762230232941/)  
- March 2026 IGC report (using Jordan Labour Market Panel Survey/JLMPS 2025 data): Unemployment heavily concentrated among youth—e.g., ~67% for ages 15-19 (small labor force share), 43% for 20-24, and 26% for 25-29. Male rates lower than female but still structurally high; overall labor force participation low at ~37%.[[5]](https://www.theigc.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/Al-Masaeid-Final-Report-March-2026.pdf)[[5]](https://www.theigc.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/Al-Masaeid-Final-Report-March-2026.pdf)  
- February 2026 Jordan Labour Market Assessment (UNHCR, data collected to Dec 2025): Persistent high unemployment/underemployment among youth, women, and refugees.[[6]](https://reliefweb.int/report/jordan/jordan-labour-market-assessment-report-february-2026)  
No Q2 2026 or post-Q1 youth-specific ILO/World Bank updates identified.

**2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35):**  
- Pro-Palestine protests/demonstrations ongoing at low levels, with authorities banning some planned events (e.g., April 3, 2026, protests over Al-Aqsa Mosque closures and related issues). Crackdowns (arrests, cybercrimes law enforcement) noted in broader 2025–2026 reporting, but no major escalations, coups, militia recruitment, or economic shocks (e.g., currency crises) in the last 60 days.[[7]](https://www.facebook.com/news.kalerbarta/posts/the-jordanian-ministry-of-interior-has-officially-banned-all-protests-planned-fo/122245846550140002/)[[8]](https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2026/country-chapters/jordan)  
- Economic context: World Bank notes 2.8% GDP growth for 2025 (up from 2.6% in 2024), supported by agriculture/manufacturing/services; Q3 2025 unemployment at 21.4% (male 18%). Inflation contained (~1.1% Jan 2026). No acute shocks reported.[[1]](https://www.worldbank.org/ext/en/country/jordan)  
- Positive youth engagement examples: Young Jordanians in the US launched initiatives promoting Jordanian products tied to the 2026 FIFA World Cup (announced ~May 2026).[[9]](https://www.facebook.com/thejordantimes/posts/a-group-of-young-jordanians-based-in-the-us-has-launched-a-national-initiative-a/1388506336657556/)

**3. NGO/academic reports on youth (published 2025, with some 2026 releases using 2025 data):**  
- March 2026 IGC/JLMPS-based analysis and February 2026 UNHCR Labour Market Assessment (as above) highlight persistent school-to-work transition challenges, high NEET rates, and youth concentration in unemployment.[[5]](https://www.theigc.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/Al-Masaeid-Final-Report-March-2026.pdf)[[6]](https://reliefweb.int/report/jordan/jordan-labour-market-assessment-report-february-2026)  
- Earlier 2025 reports (e.g., Anera May 2025 situation report, UNICEF indicators) note youth unemployment ~39–46% range and high NEET (~40%), but these predate the 60-day window.[[10]](https://www.anera.org/blog/jordan-situation-report-may-2025/)[[11]](https://open.unicef.org/download-pdf?country-name=Jordan&year=2025)  
- BTI 2026 Jordan Country Report (covering developments into 2025/early 2026): Notes lowered minimum parliamentary age to 25 to boost youth participation; ongoing economic pressures but no acute new youth-specific instability triggers.[[12]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/JOR)

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure:**  
No reported shutdowns, rollouts, or coverage changes specific to Jordan in the period. Broader regional monitoring highlights shutdowns elsewhere (e.g., Iran, Uganda) but nothing for Jordan.[[13]](https://news.gatech.edu/news/2026/01/16/irans-latest-internet-blackout-extends-phones-and-starlink)

**Overall assessment:** Data remains consistent with the high baseline youth unemployment (no downward trend sufficient to alter the picture materially). No significant escalatory events for young men or infrastructure disruptions. Ongoing structural challenges (youth joblessness, low participation) continue to underpin instability risks, with pro-Palestine activism as a persistent but contained factor. Sources primarily from World Bank, Jordan DoS, UNHCR/ReliefWeb, and academic summaries accessed via recent searches.
Source discovery
**Jordan Department of Statistics (DoS) – Employment and Unemployment / Labour Force Surveys**  
- URL: https://dosweb.dos.gov.jo/labourforce/employment-and-unemployment/ (main site: https://dosweb.dos.gov.jo/)  
- API: No (public downloads of reports, tables, questionnaires; raw data via formal request)  
- Update frequency: Quarterly (Labour Force Survey rounds) + annual reports  
- Auth required: None for published/public data downloads; fees or official request for raw/unpublished data  

**Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) – Economic and Monetary Indicators**  
- URL: https://www.cbj.gov.jo/ (economic indicators and archives sections)  
- API: No (web tables, PDFs, and indicator pages with downloads)  
- Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly for key indicators (inflation, growth, debt, etc.); some labor-related economic context  
- Auth required: None  

**Jordan Open Government Data Portal (CKAN-based)**  
- URL: https://www.opendata.gov.jo/  
- API: Yes (standard CKAN Action API for dataset discovery, metadata, and resources; supports JSON/CSV etc.)  
- Update frequency: Ongoing (thousands of datasets from government entities, including economy/business, population, social development, labor-related)  
- Auth required: None (free public access)  

**UN ESCWA Arab Development Portal (ADP)**  
- URL: https://data.unescwa.org/ (country pages for Jordan; data catalog)  
- API: No/partial (data catalog with downloads, visualizations, SDG tracking; no dedicated public API noted)  
- Update frequency: Regular updates from national and UN sources (covers Arab/MENA countries including Jordan)  
- Auth required: None  

**Jordan News Agency (Petra) – Official News Feed**  
- URL: https://petra.gov.jo/ (English/Arabic news sections)  
- API/RSS: Partial (official news site with live feeds; RSS available via standard news aggregators or site; mobile apps for full access; no dedicated developer API)  
- Update frequency: Daily/real-time news coverage (reliable local/regional source)  
- Auth required: None  

Additional notes:  
- The Open Data Portal aggregates data from DoS, Ministry of Labour, and others, providing machine-readable formats (CSV, Excel, etc.) for unemployment, labor, and economic indicators.  
- Regional coverage (MENA/Arab states) is strongest via ESCWA/ADP; no prominent public APIs found for youth-specific crisis/poverty tracking from NGOs/think tanks in searches.  
- These complement the listed sources (e.g., World Bank, ACLED) with primary Jordanian government and regional Arab data. Always verify current access/terms on sites, as open data policies can evolve.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
22.032.543.12014202537.9%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
0.41.52.6201420231.0

Internet access

%
42.270.999.62014202495.6%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
57.9104.4151.02014202469.6

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
99.399.9100.520142023100.0%

AI usage

%
10.617.824.92014202423.9%

Population

people
8570816.710172293.011773769.32014202411552876.0

Working-age share

%
61.263.365.32014202464.8%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.