Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · LBN

Lebanon

34
Composite priority
23.3%
Male youth unemployment · 2023
5.81M
Population · 2024
63.7%
Ages 15-64 · 2024
2.2 per 100k
Homicides · 2020

Location

33.89°, 35.51° · ISO LBN / LBOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment23.3%· 60p
2023
Intentional homicides2.2 per 100k· 6p
2020
Internet access80.6%· 22p
2024
Mobile subscriptions74.0 per 100· 84p
2022
Phone ownership90.7%· 18p
2023
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2023
AI usage20.2%· 21p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 6.8p vs 2021
42
Access gap 1.3p vs 2021
29
Impact 3.6p vs 2021
35

Latest signals

2026-06-24 06:00 UTC · run 2026-06-24T06

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No new official updates to youth unemployment data in the last 60 days (roughly late April–June 2026).** World Bank modeled ILO estimates for youth unemployment (15-24, total) remain at 22.744–23.55% for 2023, with the most recent data access noted around January 2026.[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSLBN)[[2]](https://tradingeconomics.com/lebanon/unemployment-youth-total-percent-of-total-labor-force-ages-15-24-wb-data.html)[[3]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=LB) Older CAS/ILO survey data (2022) continues to be referenced, showing national unemployment at 29.6% and youth unemployment (15-24) at 47.8% (nearly double the adult rate), with male unemployment at 28.4% overall (higher for youth).[[4]](https://blog.blominvestbank.com/ilo-lebanons-employment-ratio-falls-to-30-6-and-youth-unemployment-rises-to-47-8/)[[5]](https://blog.blominvestbank.com/cas-ilo-unemployment-is-at-29-6-and-youth-unemployment-at-47-8-in-lebanon/) A February 2026 analysis noted rates exceeding 50% for 15-24 year olds amid ongoing crisis, but without fresh official figures.[[6]](https://www.baynetna.media/en/is-lebanons-economic-recovery-in-2026-a-myth-for-youth-employment/) This leaves the baseline (23.3% for 15-24 males in 2023) unchanged by new releases.

**Major escalation in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict since early March 2026 dominates youth instability risks for men aged 18-35.** Key developments include intensified fighting, Israeli ground operations and buffer zone establishment in southern Lebanon, airstrikes (e.g., coordinated wave on April 8 killing over 300), and Hezbollah rocket/drone responses.[[7]](https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2026-05/lebanon-38.php) By late April 2026, Lebanese government figures reported at least 2,489 killed and 7,719 injured since March 2, with over 1 million internally displaced (>20% of the population).[[7]](https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2026-05/lebanon-38.php)[[8]](https://www.rescue.org/article/lebanon-crisis-what-happening-and-how-help) This has sharply worsened food insecurity (1.24 million facing acute levels per IPC) and disrupted livelihoods/income opportunities, particularly in conflict zones.[[7]](https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2026-05/lebanon-38.php)

Young men face heightened risks from militia involvement (e.g., Hezbollah), combat exposure, displacement-driven economic shocks, and informal sector pressures. Protests occurred, including by Lebanese Americans in Washington, D.C., on June 5, 2026, criticizing government/U.S./Israeli actions amid displacement and casualties.[[9]](https://www.facebook.com/tmjnewsnetwork/posts/on-june-5-2026-lebanese-americans-protested-at-an-event-taking-place-the-residen/1440175371475620/) A fragile/violated ceasefire context persists, with economic contraction, poverty (already ~80% pre-escalation), and infrastructure damage compounding baseline instability. This represents a significant negative shift from the 41.8/100 fuse score, driven by mass displacement, casualties, and livelihood collapse.

**Limited new 2025/2026 NGO or academic reports specifically on youth in the last 60 days.** Earlier 2025 analyses (e.g., November 2025 AUB visualization) highlighted rising youth unemployment despite increasing tertiary enrollment, contrasting with global/OECD trends.[[10]](https://sites.aub.edu.lb/datavisualization/2025/11/17/education-vs-youth-unemployment-trends-in-lebanon-jordan/) UNRWA issued an April 2026 emergency response update for Lebanon (launched March 4), focusing on shelters and aid amid displacement.[[11]](https://www.unrwa.org/resources/reports/unrwa-situation-report-7-lebanon-emergency-response-2026) Broader 2024–early 2025 reports (e.g., ETF country fiche) reiterate ~30% national and ~50% youth unemployment, plus high NEET rates.[[12]](https://www.etf.europa.eu/sites/default/files/2025-04/Country%20Fiche_Lebanon_2024_EN_web%20%281%29.pdf) No major new flagship youth-specific publications flagged in the search window.

**Internet/mobile access disrupted by conflict-related damage, with no reported deliberate shutdowns or major new rollouts.** Israeli strikes damaged at least 18 telecommunications towers (per UNDP), causing prolonged outages in southern Lebanon and Beirut suburbs—lasting months in heavily impacted areas post-2024 ceasefire and into 2026 fighting.[[13]](https://freedomhouse.org/country/lebanon/freedom-net/2025) This affects youth access to information, remote work/education, job searches, and communication, potentially increasing vulnerability or reliance on alternative networks. No nationwide shutdowns noted for Lebanon (unlike some regional examples).

**Summary flag:** The March–June 2026 conflict escalation is the primary driver shifting the instability outlook, through displacement (>1 million), casualties, livelihood destruction, and infrastructure damage—far outweighing stagnant unemployment metrics. Young men (18-35) are disproportionately exposed via security dynamics, economic fallout, and service disruptions. Sources include World Bank/ILO data portals, Security Council Report, UN OCHA/UNRWA updates, and media reporting on events through June 2026.
Source discovery
**Here are relevant non-inference data sources for Lebanon (with coverage of broader MENA, Afghanistan, and Pakistan where applicable), focused on youth-relevant indicators like unemployment/labor, economic metrics, and crisis/poverty tracking. These complement the listed sources (World Bank, ACLED, etc.).** Information is based on official sites and documentation as of mid-2026; always verify current status for APIs/downloads.

- **Central Administration of Statistics (CAS) Lebanon** — http://www.cas.gov.lb/ (or direct sections like labor force publications). No public API; machine-readable downloads (PDF/Excel reports, some microdata from surveys like Labour Force and Household Living Conditions Survey 2018-2019 or follow-up LFS 2022). Irregular updates (survey-based, e.g., annual or ad-hoc labor/unemployment reports with youth breakdowns). Auth: none (public downloads).[[1]](https://globaledge.msu.edu/global-resources/resource/168)[[2]](https://blog.blominvestbank.com/cas-ilo-unemployment-is-at-29-6-and-youth-unemployment-at-47-8-in-lebanon/)

- **Banque du Liban (BDL) Economic & Financial Data** — https://www.bdl.gov.lb/economicandfinancialdata.php. No API; extensive tables and series on economic indicators (imports/exports, monetary aggregates, construction, electricity, etc.; indirect links to employment/economy via proxies). Monthly/quarterly updates for many series. Auth: none (public access/downloads).[[3]](https://www.bdl.gov.lb/economicandfinancialdata.php)

- **UN ESCWA Data Hub for the Arab Region (UNDHA)** — https://data.unescwa.org/ (or https://www.unescwa.org/portal/data). No dedicated public API mentioned; searchable database with tables, charts, maps, and downloads (country breakdowns for Arab states including Lebanon; covers SDGs, labor/economy, national accounts). Periodic updates from national sources and ESCWA studies. Auth: none (free unrestricted access). Covers MENA broadly.[[4]](https://www.unescwa.org/portal/data)

- **Asian Development Bank (ADB) Data Library / Key Indicators Database (KIDB)** — https://data.adb.org/ (API: https://kidb.adb.org/api for SDMX/REST). Yes, APIs available (including for KIDB); datasets, dashboards, and downloads with country breakdowns (strong coverage for Afghanistan and Pakistan on economic/labor indicators; limited or none for Lebanon as it is outside core ADB members). Regular updates (annual/key indicators). Auth: none for public data/API access.[[5]](https://data.adb.org/)

- **LBCI News RSS Feeds** — https://www.lbcgroup.tv/rss/en (English). RSS feeds (no dedicated API, but standard RSS consumption). Frequent/daily updates on Lebanon news, including economic, political, and youth-relevant topics. Auth: none. Reliable local source for real-time context.[[6]](https://www.lbcgroup.tv/rss/en)

- **Open Data Lebanon** — https://www.opendatalebanon.org/en. No API mentioned; citizen-curated platform with searchable public datasets and downloads (aggregates government/NGO data on various topics including economy). Irregular/variable updates. Auth: none. Useful aggregator for Lebanon-specific open data.[[7]](https://www.opendatalebanon.org/en)

Additional notes: No strong evidence of public APIs from the Lebanese Finance Ministry or dedicated youth-employment portals beyond the above. For NGOs/think tanks with APIs, sources like HDX (humanitarian data for Lebanon) or ReliefWeb offer downloads/APIs but are more crisis-focused and already partially overlapping with ACLED/World Bank. Regional options like the Arab Monetary Fund or others were not identified with strong public machine-readable access for these indicators.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
18.423.228.02014202323.3%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
1.73.14.5201420202.2

Internet access

%
72.277.883.42014202480.6%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
67.071.475.82014202274.0

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
99.299.8100.520142023100.0%

AI usage

%
17.819.521.22014202420.2%

Population

people
5640792.36087433.56534074.7201420245805962.0

Working-age share

%
62.465.568.52014202463.7%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.