Latin America & Caribbean · LCA
St. Lucia
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-06 06:00 UTC · run 2026-06-06T06
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No significant new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth (15-24) or male youth unemployment in St. Lucia were identified in the last 60 days (approximately April 7–June 6, 2026).**[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSLCA) The most recent modeled ILO/World Bank estimate shows overall youth unemployment (15-24) at 20.251% for 2025 (down from 21.294% in 2024).[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSLCA)[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSLCA) This aligns closely with the provided baseline of 21.3% (15-24 male, national, 2025). Earlier local data from the St. Lucia government’s Q1 2025 Labour Force Snapshot (released ~mid-2025) reported youth unemployment (15-29 definition) rising to 21.4% from 16.3% in Q4 2024.[[2]](https://stats.gov.lc/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Labour-Force-Statistical-Snapshot-1st-Qtr.-2025-1.pdf) No fresher quarterly or gender-disaggregated updates appear in the period. The January 2026 IMF Article IV consultation noted a significant recent decline in youth unemployment and confidence in the Youth Economy Agency’s role in entrepreneurship.[[3]](https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2026/003/article-A001-en.xml) **Significant political/security/economic events (last 60 days):** Rising public focus on violent crime and gang activity, particularly gun violence affecting communities. Key developments include: - United Workers Party (UWP) press conference on May 19, 2026, highlighting “frightening erosions of public safety” and national security concerns.[[4]](https://www.facebook.com/unitedpacsaintlucia/videos/the-full-uwp-press-conference-from-may-19-2026-with-major-questions-sharp-warnin/1537148888086484/) - Prime Minister Philip J. Pierre’s May 27, 2026, call for a “united national response to crime and security challenges.”[[5]](https://www.facebook.com/opmsaintlucia/posts/for-immediate-releasemay-27-2026prime-minister-pierre-calls-for-a-united-nationa/1396891432466359/) - Ongoing police operations (e.g., Gangs, Narcotics and Firearms Unit actions reported around May 12, 2026).[[6]](https://www.instagram.com/reel/DYPgCnvjB-X/) Travel advisories note increased gun violence (especially in Vieux Fort) and potential for demonstrations to turn violent.[[7]](https://travel.gc.ca/destinations/saint-lucia) No protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or currency/economic shocks specifically tied to young men (18-35) were reported. Crime trends disproportionately involve or impact youth and could elevate risks of instability via gang involvement or community tensions, potentially shifting the national instability fuse score (baseline 68.0/100) upward if unaddressed. **Notable NGO/academic or official reports on youth (published 2025 or launched recently):** The Saint Lucia National Youth Policy 2025–2030 was officially launched on May 15, 2026, at Derek Walcott Square under the theme “Empowering Youth for the Future.” It features eight strategic pillars focused on education, skills training, lifelong learning, empowerment, and participation.[[8]](https://www.instagram.com/reel/DYUQbNCt06-/)[[9]](https://www.facebook.com/SaintLuciaGovernment/videos/the-saint-lucia-national-youth-policy-20252030-official-launch/875500114820738/) This government-led initiative represents a forward-looking development that could support mitigation of youth instability factors. No other major independent NGO or academic reports specifically on St. Lucia’s youth situation from 2025 were identified in recent searches. **Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No shutdowns, coverage disruptions, or major rollouts/changes reported in the last 60 days (or recent period). Zero internet shutdowns occurred in the prior 12 months.[[10]](https://pulse.internetsociety.org/en/reports/LC) 4G LTE coverage remains solid island-wide via Flow and Digicel (stronger in key areas like Castries, Rodney Bay, Vieux Fort); 5G is minimal. A minor Flow broadband price adjustment (2.5%) took effect May 1, 2025 (outside the window).[[11]](https://www.facebook.com/unitedpacsaintlucia/posts/customers-are-set-to-see-a-flow-st-lucia-internet-price-increase-take-effect-on-/704446818575085/) **Assessment vs. baseline:** No data shifts the youth unemployment figure (21.3% baseline) materially. The May 2026 crime/security emphasis represents the most notable development, with potential to worsen instability indicators for young men through heightened violence exposure or recruitment risks. The new National Youth Policy launch is a positive counter-development. Overall picture remains stable but warrants monitoring of crime trends. Sources include World Bank/FRED modeled data, St. Lucia government statistics, IMF reports, and official/government social media announcements from May 2026.
Source discovery
**Here are relevant non-inference data sources specific or highly applicable to St. Lucia (focusing on unemployment, labor/youth employment, economic indicators, and related instability factors).** These supplement the sources you already use. Details are based on official sites and public documentation; most emphasize downloadable tables (Excel/CSV/PDF) rather than structured APIs.[[1]](https://stats.gov.lc/)[[2]](https://www.eccb-centralbank.org/statistics) - **Central Statistical Office of Saint Lucia (CSO)**: https://stats.gov.lc/ (data section: https://stats.gov.lc/data/). No public API (primarily tables, graphs, and downloads for labour force, unemployment, population, education, etc.). Update frequency: Periodic (e.g., labour force surveys; varies by indicator). Auth: None (free public access).[[1]](https://stats.gov.lc/)[[3]](https://stats.gov.lc/data/) - **Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB) Statistics**: https://www.eccb-centralbank.org/statistics (country breakdowns for Saint Lucia). No public API (tables, dashboards, and downloadable reports/PDFs/Excel for monetary, fiscal, economic indicators including employment-related proxies). Update frequency: Quarterly or annual (e.g., fiscal accounts, monetary surveys). Auth: None (free public access).[[2]](https://www.eccb-centralbank.org/statistics)[[4]](https://www.eccb-centralbank.org/statistics-category/central-government-fiscal-accounts-2/central-government-fiscal-accounts/a) - **ECLAC/CEPAL Statistics Databank**: https://statistics.cepal.org/ (St. Lucia country data with regional LAC breakdowns). No dedicated public API noted (databank queries with export options for indicators like unemployment rate by sex). Update frequency: Annual or as new data available. Auth: None (free public access).[[5]](https://statistics.cepal.org/portal/databank/index.html?lang=en&indicator_id=127&members=146,242) - **Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) Data Portal / Social Indicators of Latin America and the Caribbean**: https://data.iadb.org/ (or https://data.iadb.org/dataset/social-indicators-of-latin-america-and-the-caribbean). Partial/no full public API for all datasets (primarily downloads and query tools for labor, education, poverty, and social indicators with country breakdowns). Update frequency: Varies (annual or periodic updates). Auth: None (free public access).[[6]](https://data.iadb.org/dataset/social-indicators-of-latin-america-and-the-caribbean) - **LABLAC (Labor Database for Latin America and the Caribbean)**: https://www.cedlas.econo.unlp.edu.ar/wp/en/estadisticas/lablac/. No public API noted (microdata-based labor statistics downloads for LAC countries including St. Lucia where available). Update frequency: Periodic (based on national surveys). Auth: None (free public access, registration may be required for some microdata).[[7]](https://www.cedlas.econo.unlp.edu.ar/wp/en/estadisticas/lablac/) - **Global Voices St. Lucia RSS Feed** (reliable regional coverage): https://globalvoices.org/-/world/caribbean/saint-lucia/ (RSS available via site feeds). API: No (RSS feeds for news/articles on social/economic issues). Update frequency: As published (irregular but ongoing). Auth: None.[[8]](https://globalvoices.org/feeds/) - **Caribbean Development Bank (CDB) Publications/Resources**: https://www.caribank.org/ (country pages and reports for St. Lucia). No public data API (project reports, studies, and occasional data tables on economic/youth issues). Update frequency: Ad hoc/project-based (annual reports, studies). Auth: None (free public access).[[9]](https://www.caribank.org/countries-and-members/borrowing-members/saint-lucia) No strong evidence of public machine-readable APIs (REST/JSON) from the national CSO, ECCB, or most regional LAC sources for St. Lucia-specific labor/youth data—access is mainly via web downloads or queries. Open data initiatives exist but have not yet produced widespread APIs. For news, RSS is the primary lightweight option; general news APIs (e.g., NewsAPI) can supplement but are not St. Lucia-specific. Always verify current access methods directly on sites, as portals evolve.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025