Europe & Central Asia · LUX
Luxembourg
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-07 06:00 UTC · run 2026-07-07T06
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major developments in the last 60 days (roughly May–early July 2026) significantly shift Luxembourg’s youth instability picture from the provided baseline (male 15-24 youth unemployment at 23.0% in 2025; national instability fuse score 32.5/100).** Luxembourg remains a stable, high-income context with no reported protests, security incidents, economic shocks, militia activity, or infrastructure disruptions on a scale that would elevate risks for young men (18-35).[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/luxembourg/youth-unemployment-rate)[[2]](https://lu.usembassy.gov/security-alert-demonstration-may-9-2026/) **1. Youth/male unemployment data releases** No new government, ILO, or World Bank releases specific to Luxembourg youth or male unemployment in the last 60 days. Available monthly data (Eurostat via Trading Economics) shows the overall youth unemployment rate (15-24, national estimate) at **19.80% in May 2026**, down slightly from 20.20% in April 2026 (source: Eurostat).[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/luxembourg/youth-unemployment-rate)[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/luxembourg/youth-unemployment-rate) Annual projections/estimates for 2026 indicate around **20.38%** (down from 21.47% in 2025).[[3]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/lux/luxembourg/youth-unemployment-rate) No male-specific (15-24) updates were identified to compare directly against the 23.0% 2025 baseline; overall figures suggest modest improvement rather than deterioration. Broader OECD and ILO global/regional reports (early 2026) note stable or slightly declining youth unemployment trends in high-income countries but contain no Luxembourg-specific flags.[[4]](https://www.oecd.org/en/data/insights/statistical-releases/2026/05/unemployment-rates-updated-may-2026.html) **2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35)** - **May 9, 2026**: Small, planned peaceful demonstration in Luxembourg City by Déi jonk Lénk (youth/left-leaning group), proceeding toward the U.S. Embassy area. U.S. Embassy security alert noted expected traffic but no escalation risks.[[2]](https://lu.usembassy.gov/security-alert-demonstration-may-9-2026/) - **June 17, 2026**: Protest in Luxembourg City focused on women’s rights in Afghanistan (not youth- or male-specific).[[5]](https://today.rtl.lu/pictures/luxembourg-city-protest-for-womens-rights-in-afghanistan-17-june-2026-1978599806) - **Early July 2026**: Rally supporting a teacher dismissed over social media posts related to Gaza (youth/student involvement noted).[[6]](https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/7/2/rally-for-luxembourg-teacher-fired-over-pro-gaza-posts) No reports of larger protests, economic shocks, currency issues, coup attempts, or militia recruitment targeting or involving young men. Broader European or global Gen Z protest coverage does not reference Luxembourg.[[7]](https://www.cfr.org/articles/how-global-gen-z-protests-have-shocked-and-transformed-governments)[[8]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gen_Z_protests) **3. NGO or academic reports on youth (published 2025)** The **National Youth Report 2025** (“The End of the Boundary Between Online and Offline Worlds”) examines youth aged 12–29, with emphasis on digital integration, opportunities, and challenges. It was highlighted in university/news coverage around March 2026 (published on a five-year cycle).[[9]](https://www.uni.lu/fhse-en/news/national-youth-report-2025-the-end-of-the-boundary-between-online-and-offline-worlds/)[[10]](https://www.youth-in-luxembourg.lu/) No other notable 2025-dated Luxembourg-specific NGO/academic reports surfaced in recent searches. **4. Internet/mobile infrastructure** A reported internet outage occurred on **June 20, 2026**, with ~74% of network tests in Luxembourg failing to reach services (noted as an incident but no indication of prolonged or widespread shutdown).[[11]](https://voidly.ai/incident/LU-2026-0007) The February 2026 Luxembourg Connectivity Report provides a broader snapshot of telecom infrastructure but does not flag recent changes.[[12]](https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/digital-connectivity-luxembourg) No evidence of systematic shutdowns, coverage reductions, or major new rollouts in the period. **Summary flag**: Youth unemployment shows a modest downward trend in the most recent monthly data (total rate ~19.8% in May 2026). Isolated small-scale peaceful demonstrations occurred but do not indicate rising instability. The single noted internet incident was short-term. No data or events point to a material increase in risks for young men relative to the baseline. Sources are primarily Eurostat/Trading Economics, official embassy alerts, and Luxembourg-focused academic/news sites.
Source discovery
**STATEC (National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies) – LUSTAT / statistiques.public.lu** - URL: https://statistiques.public.lu/en.html or https://lustat.statec.lu/ - API: Partial (data available via national open data portal data.public.lu; some third-party wrappers exist, but primary access is downloads) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly for labor/unemployment data - Auth required: None (free downloads, machine-readable formats like Excel/CSV) **Banque Centrale du Luxembourg (BCL) – Macroeconomic indicators / labor market tables** - URL: https://www.bcl.lu/en/statistics/series_statistiques_luxembourg/05_real_economy/index.html - API: No (Excel table downloads for employment/unemployment indicators) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly - Auth required: None (free) **Eurostat (via databrowser / REST API)** - URL: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/ (or direct API endpoints) - API: Yes (REST/SMDX API for youth unemployment, labor force data with Luxembourg breakdowns) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly - Auth required: None (free) **OECD Data Explorer (Luxembourg country data)** - URL: https://data-explorer.oecd.org/ - API: Partial (bulk downloads and some programmatic access) - Update frequency: Quarterly/annual for employment indicators - Auth required: None (free) **Luxembourg Open Data Portal (data.public.lu) – STATEC and other official datasets** - URL: https://data.public.lu/ - API: Partial (datasets often include API/webservice options per high-value dataset rules) - Update frequency: Varies (aligned with source agencies) - Auth required: None (free, machine-readable) **RTL Today RSS feeds** - URL: https://today.rtl.lu/rss (multiple feeds, e.g., headlines, news) - API: RSS (not full REST API) - Update frequency: Real-time/daily - Auth required: None **Luxemburger Wort / L'Essentiel RSS feeds** - URL: Check individual sites (e.g., https://www.wort.lu/ or https://www.lessentiel.lu/ for RSS links); L'Essentiel has confirmed public RSS - API: RSS feeds - Update frequency: Daily/real-time - Auth required: None **Newsdata.io Luxembourg News API** - URL: https://newsdata.io/news-sources/luxembourg-news-api - API: Yes - Update frequency: Live/up-to-the-minute - Auth required: Free tier with API key (paid for higher volume) **ECB Data Portal (includes Luxembourg via BCL contributions)** - URL: https://data.ecb.europa.eu/ - API: Yes (SDMX RESTful API) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly for relevant indicators - Auth required: None (free) These focus on direct, non-inference sources with labor/economic/youth-relevant data or monitoring potential for Luxembourg. STATEC and Eurostat are the strongest for unemployment/labor metrics. No major dedicated NGO/think-tank public APIs specific to Luxembourg crisis/poverty tracking were prominently identified in searches (regional ones like Eurostat cover this).
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025