Europe & Central Asia · LUX
Luxembourg
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-25 12:00 UTC · run 2026-06-25T12
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major developments in the last ~60 days (late April–June 2026) significantly alter Luxembourg’s youth instability baseline (male youth unemployment 15-24 at 23.0% for 2025; national instability fuse score 32.5/100).** The country remains stable with no reported protests, security incidents, economic shocks, or infrastructure disruptions affecting young men (18-35).[[1]](https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-economic-outlook-volume-2026-issue-1_2d1956f0-en/full-report/luxembourg_fcff5fb9.html)[[2]](https://gouvernement.lu/en/actualites/agenda.gouvernement2024+en+actualites+toutes_actualites+discours+2026+05-mai+19-frieden-etat-nation.html) **1. Youth/male unemployment data releases (ILO, World Bank, government):** No new Luxembourg-specific ILO, World Bank, or national government releases on youth or male unemployment in the last 60 days. Global ILO *Employment and Social Trends 2026* (Jan 2026) notes a 2025 global youth unemployment rate of 12.4% with projections for slight declines thereafter, but provides no Luxembourg breakdown.[[3]](https://researchrepository.ilo.org/view/pdfCoverPage?instCode=41ILO_INST&filePid=13147301370002676&download=true)[[4]](https://www.ilo.org/publications/flagship-reports/employment-and-social-trends-2026) Recent indicators show youth unemployment (15-24, total) at or near 20–21%: - 20.30% in April 2026 (up slightly from 20.20% in March 2026).[[5]](https://tradingeconomics.com/luxembourg/youth-unemployment-rate) - 2025 annual figure: 21.467% (FRED modeled ILO estimate, updated Feb 2026).[[6]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSLUX) Overall unemployment remains low/moderate (e.g., ~6.3% range in early 2026). Limited recent male youth-specific figures align closely with or slightly below the 23.0% baseline (one indicator ~20%). No evidence of sharp deterioration.[[7]](https://tradingeconomics.com/luxembourg/unemployment-rate-eurostat-data.html)[[8]](https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/luxembourg/unemployment-rate) **2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35):** None identified. No protests, coup attempts, militia activity, or youth-specific economic shocks reported. Luxembourg’s OECD Economic Outlook (June 2026) projects modest GDP growth of 0.7% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027 amid global uncertainty.[[1]](https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-economic-outlook-volume-2026-issue-1_2d1956f0-en/full-report/luxembourg_fcff5fb9.html) A May 19, 2026 state-of-the-nation address emphasized social cohesion amid broader European challenges (energy costs, inflation) but highlighted no acute youth unrest or instability.[[2]](https://gouvernement.lu/en/actualites/agenda.gouvernement2024+en+actualites+toutes_actualites+discours+2026+05-mai+19-frieden-etat-nation.html) Broader “Gen Z protest” discussions reference other countries only.[[9]](https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty-research/policy-topics/advocacy-social-movements/gen-z-protesting-corruption-worldwide-will)[[10]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gen_Z_protests) **3. NGO/academic reports on youth (published 2025):** The Youth Report 2025 (University of Luxembourg collaboration, focusing on the digital world) was anticipated or in preparation by late 2024/early 2025; no new 2025 or 2026 publications or major findings surfaced in the last 60 days.[[11]](https://www.youth-in-luxembourg.lu/stakeholder/ccy-en/page/3/)[[12]](https://chronicle.lu/category/at-home/52701-luxembourg-youth-policy-to-focus-on-empowering-young-people) Ongoing or earlier Centre for Childhood and Youth Research (CCY) work is noted but not newly released. **4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes:** No shutdowns, coverage losses, or disruptive rollouts. Ongoing/planned transitions include phasing out 2G/3G by 2030 (announced earlier) alongside 5G expansion and ultra-high-speed broadband initiatives. A February 2026 Luxembourg Connectivity Report provides a positive snapshot of telecom infrastructure; no post-April changes flagged.[[13]](https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/digital-connectivity-luxembourg)[[14]](https://www.luxtimes.lu/luxembourg/luxembourg-prepares-to-switch-off-2g-and-3g-services/100919766.html) **Overall assessment:** The instability picture remains consistent with the baseline. Youth unemployment indicators are stable-to-slightly improved versus the cited 23.0% figure, with no events suggesting escalation in political, security, or access risks. Continued monitoring of monthly labor data and the next OECD/ILO updates is recommended. Sources primarily include World Bank/FRED, Trading Economics, OECD, ILO, and Luxembourg government sites.
Source discovery
**National Statistics Bureau (STATEC):** - **Name**: STATEC (National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies) - LUSTAT database - **URL**: https://lustat.statec.lu/ (main portal: https://statistiques.public.lu/en.html) - **API**: Partial (data explorer with table views and exports; no full public REST API documented for bulk programmatic access) - **Update frequency**: Varies by indicator (monthly/quarterly/annual for labor/unemployment data) - **Auth required**: None (public access; downloads available in Excel/CSV formats) **Central Bank (Banque Centrale du Luxembourg - BCL):** - **Name**: BCL Macroeconomic Indicators / Labour Market Statistics - **URL**: https://www.bcl.lu/en/statistics/series_statistiques_luxembourg/05_real_economy/index.html - **API**: No (primarily XLS/Excel table downloads for employment, unemployment, and economic indicators) - **Update frequency**: Frequent (e.g., updates noted in June 2026 for labour market tables; monthly/quarterly cadence) - **Auth required**: None (free public downloads) **Regional/European Databases:** - **Name**: Eurostat (youth employment/unemployment indicators with Luxembourg breakdowns) - **URL**: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat (data browser and bulk download section) - **API**: Yes (SDMX REST API and JSON endpoints for programmatic access) - **Update frequency**: Monthly/quarterly/annual depending on dataset - **Auth required**: None (free; registration optional for some bulk features) - **Name**: OECD Data Explorer (includes Luxembourg economic/labor indicators) - **URL**: https://data.oecd.org/ (API docs: https://www.oecd.org/en/data/insights/data-explainers/2024/09/api.html) - **API**: Yes (dedicated API for querying indicators) - **Update frequency**: Varies (often quarterly/annual for employment data) - **Auth required**: None (free public access) **Other Structured Sources (e.g., FRED for Luxembourg youth unemployment):** - **Name**: FRED (St. Louis Fed) - Youth Unemployment Rate for Luxembourg - **URL**: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSLUX - **API**: Yes (FRED API v2 with JSON/XML output) - **Update frequency**: Annual (with historical data to 1991) - **Auth required**: Free API key (account registration required) **Notes on Additional Categories:** - No prominent Luxembourg-specific central government finance ministry standalone public API for youth/economic data was identified beyond BCL/STATEC linkages. - Regional news RSS feeds (e.g., from RTL Luxembourg, Luxemburger Wort) exist for monitoring but lack structured data APIs for quantitative instability tracking. - No dedicated NGO/think tank public APIs specifically for Luxembourg crisis/poverty tracking were found in searches (general European sources like those already in use cover this).
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025