Europe & Central Asia · LUX
Luxembourg
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-09-04 09:07 UTC · run 2026-09-04T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major developments in the last ~60 days (roughly early July to early September 2026) significantly alter Luxembourg’s youth instability baseline (male 15-24 unemployment at 23.0% for 2025; national instability fuse score 32.5/100).** Luxembourg remains a low-instability context in Europe & Central Asia, with stable governance, no reported protests/coups/militia activity or economic shocks targeting young men (18-35), and ongoing infrastructure improvements rather than disruptions.[[1]](https://www.infomigrants.net/fr/post/72705/luxembourg--des-syriens-manifestent-devant-les-services-de-limmigration)[[2]](https://statistiques.public.lu/fr/actualites/2026/conjflash-07-26.html) **1. Youth unemployment / male unemployment data releases (government, ILO, World Bank):** Recent data align closely with or show modest improvement versus the 23.0% male 15-24 baseline for 2025, with no new spikes reported in July–September 2026. - World Bank modelled estimates list Luxembourg male youth (15-24) unemployment at 23.0% for 2025.[[3]](https://donnees.banquemondiale.org/indicateur/SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS) - Broader youth (15-24) unemployment stood at 18.6% in 2025 (down from 21.6% peak in 2022–2024) per EU Commission/Eurostat-linked analysis, remaining above the EU average (15.2%) but with an improved unemployment ratio of 6.2%.[[4]](https://ec.europa.eu/transparency/documents-register/api/files/SWD(2026)122?ersIds=de00000001079294)[[5]](https://data.consilium.europa.eu/doc/document/ST-10132-2026-ADD-1/en/pdf) - Monthly figures: Total youth unemployment rose slightly to 20.80% in June 2026 (from 20.20% in May); overall unemployment reached 6.4% in June 2026 (up year-on-year but with rising vacancies). Male 15-24 monthly rates were lower earlier in 2026 (e.g., 18.3% in January).[[6]](https://tradingeconomics.com/luxembourg/youth-unemployment-rate)[[2]](https://statistiques.public.lu/fr/actualites/2026/conjflash-07-26.html)[[7]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LRHU24MALUM156S) - ILO’s *Global Employment Trends for Youth 2026* (August 2026) notes regional increases in Northern, Southern & Western Europe but provides no Luxembourg-specific updates contradicting national figures.[[8]](https://www.ilo.org/sites/default/files/2026-08/9789220437612_PDFA_Web_ENG.pdf) - STATEC/Eurostat and national reports (e.g., July 2026 *Conjoncture Flash*) highlight contrasting signals: rising registered jobseekers alongside employer vacancies, with demand in construction, care, and IT. No male-youth-specific crisis flagged.[[2]](https://statistiques.public.lu/fr/actualites/2026/conjflash-07-26.html)[[9]](https://www.luxtimes.lu/luxembourg/more-jobs-more-unemployment-the-new-face-of-luxembourgs-labour-market/159292015.html) No fresh ILO/World Bank/government releases in the window materially worsen the picture. **2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35):** None of note. A July 30, 2026, protest by ~120 Syrians (mostly adult men) outside immigration services in Luxembourg City focused on asylum/family reunification delays amid a fraud scandal; it was peaceful and not youth- or instability-driven.[[1]](https://www.infomigrants.net/fr/post/72705/luxembourg--des-syriens-manifestent-devant-les-services-de-limmigration) Job-market tightening (selective hiring, higher unemployment at 6.4%) affects juniors but occurs alongside active recruitment and a planned September 2026 careers fair for young professionals.[[10]](https://www.luxtimes.lu/sponsoredcontent/the-must-attend-event-for-launching-your-career-in-luxembourg/160467954.html)[[9]](https://www.luxtimes.lu/luxembourg/more-jobs-more-unemployment-the-new-face-of-luxembourgs-labour-market/159292015.html) No protests, security incidents, militia activity, or shocks (currency, etc.) reported. Broader context includes drought impacts on agriculture and routine union discussions, none youth-specific or destabilizing.[[11]](https://www.tageblatt.lu/) **3. Notable NGO/academic reports on youth (published 2025 or relevant updates):** The primary 2025-relevant report is the *National Youth Report 2025 (Jugendbericht / Rapport national sur la situation de la jeunesse)*, presented March 9, 2026, by the University of Luxembourg’s Centre for Childhood and Youth Research (CCY) with the Ministry of Education, Children and Youth. It covers 2023–2025 data on digital/offline life, well-being (decline noted, especially among females; ~25% report stress/unwellness), NEET rates, and social inequalities amplified by digital factors. It is not instability-focused and predates the 60-day window, but serves as the key recent academic benchmark.[[12]](https://men.public.lu/fr/actualites/communiques-conference-presse/2026/03/09-jugendbericht.html)[[13]](https://www.uni.lu/fhse-en/news/national-youth-report-2025-the-end-of-the-boundary-between-online-and-offline-worlds/) Supporting 2025 data appear in government brochures (e.g., employment/NEET stats from ADEM/Eurostat).[[14]](https://men.public.lu/dam-assets/catalogue-publications/jeunesse/informations-g%C3%A9n%C3%A9rales/brochure-les-jeunes-au-luxembourg.pdf) No new 2025/2026 NGO/academic releases in July–September 2026. **4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes:** Positive expansions with no shutdowns or coverage losses. A June 2026 ILR telecom report (covering 2025 data) notes fiber access up 11.4% to 203,500 lines; VHCN (≥1 Gbps) coverage at 95.9% of households/locations; fiber at 86.6%; 5G high-speed (>1 Gbps) at 78.7% of population (up 2.9 pp). Post Luxembourg retired its legacy analog network in July 2026 as part of an All-IP/fiber transition.[[15]](https://www.ilr.lu/wp-content/uploads/statistiques/ilr-stat-12062026-Rapport-telecom-2025.pdf)[[16]](https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/post-luxembourg-completes-retirement-of-analog-network/) New 5G plans and ongoing rollout continue; no negative access changes.[[17]](https://www.telecompaper.com/news/orange-luxembourg-revamps-mobile-plans-with-travel-data-in-up-to-90-countries--1581312) **Summary flag:** No developments shift the baseline instability assessment. Youth unemployment remains elevated versus the EU but stable-to-improving in recent metrics, with no acute events or infrastructure issues. Continued monitoring of monthly labor data and the digital/well-being findings from the 2025 Youth Report is advisable. Sources include Eurostat, World Bank/FRED, national statistics (STATEC/ADEM), ILR, and Luxembourg Times/InfoMigrants reporting.
Source discovery
**STATEC (Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques du Grand-Duché de Luxembourg) – LUSTAT database** - URL: https://lustat.statec.lu/ (explorer) or https://data.public.lu/ (open data portal) - API: Yes (REST/SMDX-based API at https://lustat.statec.lu/rest/ plus faceted metadata search; examples include dataflow lists and CSV exports) - Update frequency: Varies by dataset (monthly for employment/unemployment, quarterly/annual for others; e.g., labour market indicators updated as recently as June 2026) - Auth required: None (public, free; CC0 licensing on many datasets) Covers unemployment, labour market, employment by activity/age/sex, and related youth-relevant indicators; machine-readable downloads and API access available.[[1]](https://lustat.statec.lu/?lc=en&pg=0&fs%5B0%5D=Topics%2C1%7CPopulation%20and%20employment%23B%23%7CLabour%20market%23B5%23&fc=Topics&snb=41)[[2]](https://api.store/luxembourg-api/le-gouvernement-du-grand-duche-de-luxembourg-api/lustat-database-api-api) **Banque centrale du Luxembourg (BCL)** - URL: https://www.bcl.lu/en/statistics/series_statistiques_luxembourg/05_real_economy/index.html (macroeconomic and labour market tables) - API: No dedicated public API identified (data via web tables; some integration with ECB portals) - Update frequency: Varies (e.g., labour market/employment-unemployment indicators updated January–June 2026 in recent releases) - Auth required: None (public tables; downloadable formats such as Excel implied) Provides labour market indicators, employment/unemployment breakdowns, and economic context useful for youth employment tracking.[[3]](https://www.bcl.lu/en/statistics/series_statistiques_luxembourg/05_real_economy/index.html) **Eurostat (EU statistical office)** - URL: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/ (databrowser for country breakdowns) - API: Yes (SDMX/REST API and bulk downloads available) - Update frequency: Regular (monthly/quarterly for unemployment rates, including youth-specific; annual for many indicators) - Auth required: None (public, free) Covers Europe-wide data with Luxembourg breakdowns for unemployment (including youth 15–24), employment rates, and related labour/poverty indicators; complements World Bank pulls.[[4]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-euro-indicators/w/3-01092026-bp) **Luxembourg news outlets (RSS feeds)** - Examples: Le Quotidien (https://lequotidien.lu/feed), Luxemburger Wort (wort.lu RSS), Luxembourg Times (luxtimes.lu RSS) - API: No dedicated news APIs identified for local outlets (RSS feeds available; third-party aggregators like World News API cover Luxembourg via country code) - Update frequency: Daily/as published - Auth required: None for RSS (public feeds) Reliable for monitoring local youth, employment, poverty, or instability news; RSS enables automated ingestion.[[5]](https://rss.feedspot.com/luxembourg_news_rss_feeds/) **LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg (LIS/LWS databases)** - URL: https://www.lisdatacenter.org/ (Key Figures search/download) - API: Partial/limited (web-based search engine and Excel downloads for pre-computed inequality/poverty key figures; microdata access via registered remote execution or DART tool, not a simple public REST API) - Update frequency: Periodic updates to key figures and databases (quarterly or as new waves added) - Auth required: None for public Key Figures/Excel (registration required for microdata) Provides harmonized cross-national (including Luxembourg) data on poverty, inequality, income, and employment relevant to youth instability; useful supplements to STATEC.[[6]](https://www.lisdatacenter.org/data-access/key-figures/) **Notes**: No prominent public APIs were identified from NGOs/think tanks like LISER beyond report publications and restricted data access. Regional ECA coverage is strongest via Eurostat (EU focus) alongside existing World Bank sources. BCL and STATEC data often overlap or feed into Eurostat. All listed sources are publicly accessible without paid tiers for core use. Verify current endpoints and licensing before integration, as availability can evolve.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2025
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025