Europe & Central Asia · MNE
Montenegro
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-08-20 09:07 UTC · run 2026-08-20T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on Montenegro-specific youth (or male) unemployment figures in the last 60 days (roughly June 20–August 20, 2026).** The latest available modeled ILO/WB estimates align with the provided baseline: youth male (15-24) unemployment at 24.7% for 2025, with youth total unemployment around 24.4% for the same year.[[1]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS?locations=ME)[[2]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=AF) The ILO’s *Global Employment Trends for Youth 2026* report (published August 11, 2026) focuses on global/regional aggregates (global youth unemployment at 12.4% in 2025) without new Montenegro-specific data.[[3]](https://www.ilo.org/sites/default/files/2026-08/9789220437612_PDFA_Web_ENG.pdf) **No significant political, security, or economic events in the last 60 days specifically targeting or heavily involving young men (18-35), such as large-scale protests, coups, militia recruitment, or currency/economic shocks.** Earlier context (e.g., 2025 protests linked to cost-of-living issues or a January 2025 Cetinje incident) appears in broader 2026 reports like BTI, but nothing recent or youth-specific at scale.[[4]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE)[[5]](https://europeandemocracyhub.epd.eu/the-2025-surge-in-global-protests-is-continuing-in-2026/) Organized crime remains a background security concern (rival groups, public incidents into 2024), but there are no militias or guerrillas.[[4]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE) EU accession progress includes provisional closure of negotiation chapters (e.g., Chapters 2 and 28 in June 2026, with further activity in July), which could indirectly support economic opportunities but does not represent an immediate shock or instability trigger.[[6]](https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/international-ministerial-meetings/2026/06/15/montenegro/) **Notable NGO/academic reports on youth from 2025 are limited in the results; the Bertelsmann Transformation Index (BTI) 2026 Montenegro Country Report provides relevant context on ongoing political instability, youth vulnerability (e.g., higher poverty risks for ages 18-24 at ~25.8% in earlier data), and governance challenges, though its review period primarily covers developments through ~2024–mid-2025.**[[4]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE)[[4]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE) An OSCE parliamentary visit in March 2026 featured NGO inputs on youth, polarization/radicalization risks, and digital issues, but this falls outside the 60-day window.[[7]](https://www.oscepa.org/en/documents/ad-hoc-committees-and-working-groups/ad-hoc-committee-on-countering-terrorism/5501-report-of-the-official-visit-of-the-osce-pa-ad-hoc-committee-on-countering-terrorism-to-montenegro-22-25-march-2026/file) **Internet/mobile infrastructure saw a detected connectivity anomaly/outage on June 20, 2026 (99% anomaly rate per IODA monitoring), but no evidence of intentional government shutdowns.** Broader trends show improving mobile performance (e.g., strong download speeds and coverage by operators like One, Crnogorski Telekom, and Mtel in 2026 data).[[8]](https://voidly.ai/incident/ME-2026-0022)[[9]](https://ohayu.com/blog/best-montenegro-mobile-operators/) **Nothing identified would significantly shift the baseline instability picture** (youth male unemployment 24.7% in 2025; national fuse score 49.5/100). Developments remain consistent with prior trends of moderate political volatility, high youth unemployment, and steady (if imperfect) infrastructure access. EU accession steps offer a modestly positive long-term signal for economic integration and youth opportunities. Sources include World Bank data portals, BTI 2026 report, ILO publications, and monitoring sites (specific URLs cited inline where available).
Source discovery
**National Statistics Bureau (MONSTAT - Statistical Office of Montenegro)** - Name/URL: Statistical Office of Montenegro (MONSTAT), https://www.monstat.org/eng/ - API: No (releases, tables, and PDFs; some data in structured formats like Excel/CSV via specific releases or databases) - Update frequency: Quarterly (e.g., Labour Force Survey releases) and annual for key indicators like unemployment/labor - Auth required: None (public downloads)[[1]](https://www.monstat.org/eng/) **Central Bank (CBCG - Central Bank of Montenegro)** - Name/URL: CBCG Statistics (real economy, employment, earnings, fiscal developments), https://www.cbcg.me/en/statistics and https://www.cbcg.me/en/statistics/statistical-data/real-economy - API: No (monthly/quarterly data tables and ZIP downloads of indicators including employment and economic metrics) - Update frequency: Monthly, quarterly, and annual - Auth required: None (public)[[2]](https://www.cbcg.me/en/statistics/statistical-data/real-economy) **National Open Data Portal** - Name/URL: Montenegro Open Data Portal, https://data.gov.me/ - API: Partial/unknown (central repository for government datasets; some machine-readable formats) - Update frequency: Varies by dataset (ongoing publication of official data) - Auth required: None (public)[[3]](https://www.opengovpartnership.org/members/montenegro/commitments/me0067/) **Regional Database (EBRD - European Bank for Reconstruction and Development)** - Name/URL: EBRD Montenegro country page and data, https://www.ebrd.com/home/what-we-do/where-we-invest/montenegro.html - API: No (project data, economic indicators, and country reports with breakdowns) - Update frequency: Periodic (project and economic updates) - Auth required: None (public)[[4]](https://www.ebrd.com/home/what-we-do/where-we-invest/montenegro.html) **Regional/International (UNECE - UN Economic Commission for Europe)** - Name/URL: UNECE Montenegro statistical resources and SDG platform, https://unece.org/technical-cooperation/montenegro - API: No (supports national SDG reporting platform and data dissemination; country data via MONSTAT linkages) - Update frequency: Project-based/periodic updates - Auth required: None (public)[[5]](https://unece.org/technical-cooperation/montenegro) **News RSS (Balkan Insight)** - Name/URL: Balkan Insight Montenegro RSS, https://balkaninsight.com/category/bi/montenegro/feed/ - API: RSS feed (reliable regional coverage of Montenegro) - Update frequency: As published (ongoing) - Auth required: None (public RSS)[[6]](https://balkaninsight.com/rss-feeds/) **News RSS (Global Voices)** - Name/URL: Global Voices Montenegro RSS, https://globalvoices.org/-/world/eastern-central-europe/montenegro/ - API: RSS feed (country-specific coverage) - Update frequency: As published (ongoing) - Auth required: None (public RSS)[[7]](https://globalvoices.org/feeds/) **NGO/Humanitarian Data (HDX - Humanitarian Data Exchange)** - Name/URL: HDX Montenegro datasets (poverty, indicators, subnational), https://data.humdata.org/ (search/filter by Montenegro/MNE) - API: Partial (CSV downloads and some API-like access via platform) - Update frequency: Varies (humanitarian and development datasets) - Auth required: None (public)[[8]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/?ext_subnational=1&groups=mne&vocab_Topics=poverty&res_format=CSV) These are the most relevant accessible, non-inference sources identified beyond the ones already in use. MONSTAT and CBCG provide the strongest direct labor/economic indicators for youth instability tracking. No dedicated public APIs were found for the national sources; data is primarily via downloads or structured releases. Regional options like EBRD add ECA context with country detail.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2025
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025