Europe & Central Asia · MNE
Montenegro
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-08 12:00 UTC · run 2026-06-08T12
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major shifts to the baseline youth instability picture in Montenegro over the last ~60 days (roughly April–early June 2026).** Youth unemployment data remains consistent with the provided 2025 baseline (~24.4–25.9% for ages 15–24 overall; male-specific modeled ILO estimates align closely), with no new government, ILO, or World Bank releases updating 2026 figures.[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSMNE)[[2]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS?locations=ME)[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSMNE) **Unemployment data (point 1):** The latest available modeled ILO/World Bank estimates show Montenegro’s youth unemployment rate (15–24) at 24.438% for 2025 (FRED/World Bank, updated Feb 2025 data release context). Earlier 2024 figures were 23.952–25.92%. No quarterly or 2026-specific updates from Monstat, ILO, or World Bank appear in recent sources. Broader national unemployment hovered around 11.2% in Q1 2025 per Labour Force Survey data referenced in policy overviews. High long-term youth unemployment and NEET concerns persist structurally but show no acute worsening.[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSMNE)[[3]](https://national-policies.eacea.ec.europa.eu/youthwiki/chapters/montenegro/31-general-context) **Political/security/economic events affecting young men 18–35 (point 2):** The most notable recent event was the Botun/Zeta wastewater treatment plant protests, which began in late 2025 as local environmental/health concerns and escalated in January 2026 with roadblocks, demonstrations (including on routes from Podgorica), and police detentions (e.g., 54 people on/around Dec 30, 2025). These involved local residents and gained political dimensions (e.g., involvement of figures like Milan Knežević, threats to coalition stability, identity/regional framing), but they were not youth-led or primarily focused on young men. By early 2026, talks were agreed upon; no evidence of continuation, radicalization into broader unrest, militia activity, or economic shocks (e.g., currency issues) in the April–June period.[[4]](https://europeanwesternbalkans.com/2026/01/23/how-environmental-protests-in-botun-evolved-into-identity-questions/)[[5]](https://balkans.liveuamap.com/en/2025/30-december-13-police-detain-54-people-from-botun-protest)[[6]](https://me.usembassy.gov/daily-demonstrations-and-roadblocks/) Other context includes ongoing coalition frictions and EU accession pressures noted in early 2026 outlooks, plus an OSCE Parliamentary Assembly visit (March 22–25, 2026) focused on countering terrorism, organized crime links, and preventing online youth radicalization/violent extremism via “School Dialogues.” This reflects proactive monitoring rather than an active crisis. No protests, coup attempts, or recruitment drives tied to young men reported recently.[[7]](https://www.oscepa.org/en/documents/ad-hoc-committees-and-working-groups/ad-hoc-committee-on-countering-terrorism/5501-report-of-the-official-visit-of-the-osce-pa-ad-hoc-committee-on-countering-terrorism-to-montenegro-22-25-march-2026/file) **NGO/academic reports on youth (point 3):** No new Montenegro-specific NGO or academic reports on youth unemployment, radicalization, or instability published in 2025–early 2026 were identified in searches. Global reports (e.g., UNESCO GEM 2026 Youth Report on youth participation in education decision-making, released around International Day of Education) are available but not country-focused. Earlier references include 2025 education strategy updates and UNICEF-linked violence prevention work. A 2024 Regional Cooperation Council mapping of youth policies remains the most recent detailed Montenegro overview.[[8]](https://www.unesco.org/gem-report/en/publication/2026youthreport)[[9]](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/helping-children-montenegro-grow-up-safe-strong-supported-unicef-qotde) **Internet/mobile infrastructure (point 4):** No shutdowns, coverage reductions, or major rollout changes reported for Montenegro in 2026. Penetration stood at ~89.7% (566,000 users) at end-2025. Urban/coastal areas have strong fixed and mobile (LTE ~98% population coverage per older plans) access; rural/mountainous areas remain patchier with mobile data as backup. Broader Q1 2026 global disruption reports (e.g., Cloudflare) do not mention Montenegro. National broadband/5G strategies continue from prior years with no acute 2026 changes noted.[[10]](https://minicondos.me/internet-and-utilities-in-montenegro-in-2026-reliability-for-daily-life/)[[11]](https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2026-montenegro) **Summary flag:** Nothing in the searched period indicates a significant upward shift in youth instability risk relative to the 24.7% male youth unemployment baseline or 49.5/100 fuse score. Structural challenges (high youth joblessness, political polarization) remain, with routine monitoring (e.g., OSCE radicalization prevention) ongoing. Sources are primarily World Bank/FRED, European Western Balkans, OSCE, and related policy sites; URLs provided in citations. Further targeted Monstat or ILO database checks could confirm any unreleased Q2 2026 data.
Source discovery
**MONSTAT (Statistical Office of Montenegro)** - URL: https://www.monstat.org/eng/ (Labour Force Survey releases and data pages) - API: No (primarily web releases, tables, and file downloads) - Update frequency: Quarterly (LFS unemployment/labor data); other indicators vary (annual/monthly) - Auth required: None (public access and downloads) Useful for official unemployment, employment, and labor force data (including youth-relevant breakdowns where available).[[1]](http://www.monstat.org/eng/novosti.php?id=4060)[[2]](http://www.monstat.org/eng/) **Montenegro Open Data Portal (data.gov.me)** - URL: https://data.gov.me/en/ - API: Partial/unknown (catalogue of machine-readable datasets from government bodies; some may support standard open data APIs like CKAN) - Update frequency: Varies by dataset (frequent for economic/labor-related releases) - Auth required: None (public open data) Includes categories such as Labor and Social Welfare, Statistics, and Finance; aggregates data from MONSTAT and ministries for potential youth/economic indicators.[[3]](https://www.opengovpartnership.org/members/montenegro/commitments/me0067/)[[4]](https://data.gov.me/en/) **Central Bank of Montenegro (CBCG)** - URL: https://www.cbcg.me/en (statistical data section) - API: No (web tables, reports, and downloads for monetary/financial statistics) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly (interest rates, FDI, inflation, payment system stats) - Auth required: None (public) Provides economic indicators relevant to youth employment context (e.g., broader labor market proxies via finance data); limited direct youth employment stats.[[5]](https://www.cbcg.me/en)[[6]](https://www.cbcg.me/en/about-us/legislation/regulations/statistics) **ILOSTAT (Europe and Central Asia regional focus)** - URL: https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/ (country-level breakdowns available) - API: Yes (bulk download facility, data explorer, and programmatic access) - Update frequency: Varies (annual/quarterly labor statistics) - Auth required: None (free/open access) Covers labor market indicators (unemployment, youth employment/NEET where available) with Montenegro-specific data in the ECA region.[[7]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/) **Balkan Insight (regional news RSS)** - URL: https://balkaninsight.com/category/bi/montenegro/feed/ (Montenegro-specific feed) - API: No (RSS feed for news/articles) - Update frequency: As published (daily/ongoing coverage) - Auth required: None (public RSS) Reliable source for local/regional news on youth, instability, employment, and economic issues in Montenegro.[[8]](https://balkaninsight.com/rss-feeds/) **Notes**: No strong evidence of dedicated public APIs for youth-specific labor data from the national statistics office or central bank (primarily downloads or web tables). Regional sources like ILOSTAT supplement with consistent ECA breakdowns. Open data portal and RSS feeds offer additional accessible, non-inference options. Always verify current availability and formats directly, as these can evolve. Existing sources (e.g., World Bank) already cover many modeled estimates.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025