Europe & Central Asia · MNE

Montenegro

23
Composite priority
24.7%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
623.1K
Population · 2025
63.8%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
0.8 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

42.46°, 19.26° · ISO MNE / MEOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment24.7%· 65p
2025
Intentional homicides0.8 per 100k· 2p
2023
Internet access88.9%· 11p
2024
Mobile subscriptions221.7 per 100· 0p
2024
Phone ownership94.8%· 9p
2023
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2024
AI usage22.2%· 11p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 19.4p vs 2021
50
Access gap 3.5p vs 2021
6
Impact 8.3p vs 2021
18

Latest signals

2026-07-04 00:00 UTC · run 2026-07-04T00

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major developments in the last ~60 days (since early May 2026) significantly shift Montenegro’s youth instability baseline (male youth unemployment 15-24 at 24.7% for 2025; national instability fuse score 49.5/100).** Available data remain consistent with prior figures, with no new official releases on youth or male-specific unemployment, no notable protests/security incidents targeting or involving young men (18-35), and no infrastructure disruptions. EU accession progress offers a mildly positive signal but is not youth- or instability-focused.[[1]](https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/international-ministerial-meetings/2026/06/15/montenegro/)[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSMNE)

**1. Youth/male unemployment data (government, ILO, World Bank):**  
No new national LFS releases or ILO/World Bank updates specific to youth (15-24) or males in the last 60 days. The most recent modeled figures align closely with the baseline:  
- Youth unemployment rate (15-24 total, modeled ILO estimate): 24.44% (or 24.438%) for 2025, up slightly from 23.95% in 2024.[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSMNE)[[3]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/812253/youth-unemployment-rate-in-montenegro/?srsltid=AfmBOoppUEqijqhUrbR8jXHaFqiIEwmWcumGcIWcrwpsfhnSCxG3X_VH)[[4]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/mne/montenegro/youth-unemployment-rate)  
- Broader context from earlier 2025 LFS (Q1): overall unemployment 11.2%; activity/employment rates for 15–89 noted but no youth breakdown in recent summaries. Q4 2025 LFS showed overall unemployment at 10.9%.[[5]](https://national-policies.eacea.ec.europa.eu/youthwiki/chapters/montenegro/31-general-context)[[6]](https://monstat.org/eng/novosti.php?id=4318)  
World Bank/ILOSTAT data through 2024–2025 show no sharp changes; male-specific youth rates are not newly disaggregated in recent sources. No evidence of rapid deterioration or improvement that would alter the ~24.7% baseline picture.

**2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35):**  
No reports of protests, demonstrations, coup attempts, militia recruitment, economic shocks, or currency issues in Montenegro during May–early July 2026. Earlier patterns (e.g., protests tied to a January 2025 Cetinje incident or late-2024 student solidarity actions) are noted in retrospective reports but predate the window.[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE)  

The political environment appears relatively stable or “more politically stable” heading into 2026 per analyses, with risks of episodic boycotts or social fatigue rather than acute unrest.[[8]](https://china-cee.eu/2026/02/20/montenegro-monthly-briefing-outlook-for-montenegro-2026-between-formal-progress-and-structural-deficits/) Organized crime remains a background concern (attempted killings noted into 2024), but no youth-specific mobilization or escalation is reported.[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE)

Positive note: On 15 June 2026, Montenegro provisionally closed EU negotiation chapters 2 (free movement of workers) and 28 (consumer and health protection) at the 27th Accession Conference. This continues gradual EU progress but has no direct, immediate impact on youth employment or instability metrics.[[1]](https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/international-ministerial-meetings/2026/06/15/montenegro/)

**3. NGO/academic reports on youth (2025 publications):**  
No major new NGO or academic reports on Montenegro’s youth situation released or prominently covered in the last 60 days. Relevant 2025-era items include:  
- BTI 2026 Montenegro Country Report (retrospective on developments through ~2025), noting persistent challenges like clientelism, rule-of-law issues, and socioeconomic strains but no acute youth crisis or recent flare-ups.[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE)[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE)  
- Education Reform Strategy 2025–2035 (adopted earlier in 2025).  
- Earlier UNICEF, RCC, and UN-related youth engagement items (e.g., U-Report, Youth Parliament in late 2024).  

These do not indicate shifts from baseline conditions.

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure:**  
No shutdowns, coverage changes, or new rollouts reported for Montenegro. General assessments note reliable urban/coastal access with mobile as backup in rural areas; no disruptions flagged.[[9]](https://minicondos.me/internet-and-utilities-in-montenegro-in-2026-reliability-for-daily-life/) Global shutdown incidents in this period were concentrated elsewhere (e.g., Iran, Iraq).[[10]](https://pulse.internetsociety.org/en/shutdowns/)

**Summary flag:** Nothing identified would materially alter the provided baseline. Youth unemployment remains elevated but stable per 2025 data; the environment shows continuity rather than escalation in political/security or infrastructure risks. Continued monitoring of MONSTAT LFS releases and EU-related developments is recommended for future updates. Sources primarily include World Bank/FRED modeled estimates, MONSTAT via secondary summaries, BTI Project, and EU accession reporting.
Source discovery
**Statistical Office of Montenegro (MONSTAT) – Labour Force Survey and related indicators**  
- URL: https://www.monstat.org/eng/ (Labour Force Survey section: http://www.monstat.org/eng/page.php?id=22&page_id=22)  
- API: No (public tables, reports, and file downloads)  
- Update frequency: Quarterly/annual (LFS-based unemployment, youth unemployment, employment)  
- Auth required: None (public access)[[1]](http://www.monstat.org/eng/page.php?id=22&page_id=22)

**Central Bank of Montenegro (CBCG) – Bulletin and monetary/financial statistics**  
- URL: https://www.cbcg.me/en/publications/regular-publications/cbcg-bulletin (and payment system statistics pages)  
- API: No (monthly PDF bulletins with statistical tables; some raw data excerpts)  
- Update frequency: Monthly  
- Auth required: None (public)[[2]](https://www.cbcg.me/en/publications/regular-publications/cbcg-bulletin)

**Employment Agency of Montenegro (ZZZCG / Zavod za zapošljavanje Crne Gore)**  
- URL: https://www.zzzcg.me/me/  
- API: No (reports and indicators on registered unemployment/employment; cited as source for monthly rates)  
- Update frequency: Monthly or more frequent for key labour market indicators  
- Auth required: None (public)[[3]](https://tradingeconomics.com/montenegro/unemployment-rate)

**ILOSTAT – Europe and Central Asia regional database (country-level breakdowns)**  
- URL: https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/  
- API: Partial (bulk downloads, data tools, and snapshot exports; no full public REST API noted for all indicators)  
- Update frequency: Regular (annual/periodic labour force, youth employment, NEET, working poverty indicators)  
- Auth required: None (free open access)[[4]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/)

**Balkan Insight – Montenegro news RSS feed**  
- URL: https://balkaninsight.com/category/bi/montenegro/feed/ (and related regional feeds)  
- API: Partial (standard RSS/Atom feeds for reliable regional coverage of politics, economy, youth issues)  
- Update frequency: As published (near real-time)  
- Auth required: None (public)[[5]](https://balkaninsight.com/rss-feeds/)

No Montenegro-specific public APIs were identified for the central bank, national statistics office, or major local NGOs/think tanks focused on youth/poverty/crisis monitoring (e.g., UNICEF ECA or HDX datasets provide useful indicators but are not Montenegro-exclusive APIs). Regional sources like the Western Balkans Regular Economic Report (World Bank) or EU-SILC-derived data appear in secondary compilations but are not primary new sources beyond the ones already in use. All listed sources are publicly accessible without paid tiers.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
18.430.342.22014202524.7%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
0.32.65.0201420230.8

Internet access

%
61.976.490.92014202488.9%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
155.6191.1226.620142024221.7

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
97.298.8100.520142024100.0%

AI usage

%
15.519.122.72014202422.2%

Population

people
622839.1624941.0627042.920142025623129.0

Working-age share

%
63.365.667.82014202563.8%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.