Europe & Central Asia · MNE
Montenegro
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-04 00:00 UTC · run 2026-07-04T00
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major developments in the last ~60 days (since early May 2026) significantly shift Montenegro’s youth instability baseline (male youth unemployment 15-24 at 24.7% for 2025; national instability fuse score 49.5/100).** Available data remain consistent with prior figures, with no new official releases on youth or male-specific unemployment, no notable protests/security incidents targeting or involving young men (18-35), and no infrastructure disruptions. EU accession progress offers a mildly positive signal but is not youth- or instability-focused.[[1]](https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/international-ministerial-meetings/2026/06/15/montenegro/)[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSMNE) **1. Youth/male unemployment data (government, ILO, World Bank):** No new national LFS releases or ILO/World Bank updates specific to youth (15-24) or males in the last 60 days. The most recent modeled figures align closely with the baseline: - Youth unemployment rate (15-24 total, modeled ILO estimate): 24.44% (or 24.438%) for 2025, up slightly from 23.95% in 2024.[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSMNE)[[3]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/812253/youth-unemployment-rate-in-montenegro/?srsltid=AfmBOoppUEqijqhUrbR8jXHaFqiIEwmWcumGcIWcrwpsfhnSCxG3X_VH)[[4]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/mne/montenegro/youth-unemployment-rate) - Broader context from earlier 2025 LFS (Q1): overall unemployment 11.2%; activity/employment rates for 15–89 noted but no youth breakdown in recent summaries. Q4 2025 LFS showed overall unemployment at 10.9%.[[5]](https://national-policies.eacea.ec.europa.eu/youthwiki/chapters/montenegro/31-general-context)[[6]](https://monstat.org/eng/novosti.php?id=4318) World Bank/ILOSTAT data through 2024–2025 show no sharp changes; male-specific youth rates are not newly disaggregated in recent sources. No evidence of rapid deterioration or improvement that would alter the ~24.7% baseline picture. **2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35):** No reports of protests, demonstrations, coup attempts, militia recruitment, economic shocks, or currency issues in Montenegro during May–early July 2026. Earlier patterns (e.g., protests tied to a January 2025 Cetinje incident or late-2024 student solidarity actions) are noted in retrospective reports but predate the window.[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE) The political environment appears relatively stable or “more politically stable” heading into 2026 per analyses, with risks of episodic boycotts or social fatigue rather than acute unrest.[[8]](https://china-cee.eu/2026/02/20/montenegro-monthly-briefing-outlook-for-montenegro-2026-between-formal-progress-and-structural-deficits/) Organized crime remains a background concern (attempted killings noted into 2024), but no youth-specific mobilization or escalation is reported.[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE) Positive note: On 15 June 2026, Montenegro provisionally closed EU negotiation chapters 2 (free movement of workers) and 28 (consumer and health protection) at the 27th Accession Conference. This continues gradual EU progress but has no direct, immediate impact on youth employment or instability metrics.[[1]](https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/international-ministerial-meetings/2026/06/15/montenegro/) **3. NGO/academic reports on youth (2025 publications):** No major new NGO or academic reports on Montenegro’s youth situation released or prominently covered in the last 60 days. Relevant 2025-era items include: - BTI 2026 Montenegro Country Report (retrospective on developments through ~2025), noting persistent challenges like clientelism, rule-of-law issues, and socioeconomic strains but no acute youth crisis or recent flare-ups.[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE)[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/MNE) - Education Reform Strategy 2025–2035 (adopted earlier in 2025). - Earlier UNICEF, RCC, and UN-related youth engagement items (e.g., U-Report, Youth Parliament in late 2024). These do not indicate shifts from baseline conditions. **4. Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No shutdowns, coverage changes, or new rollouts reported for Montenegro. General assessments note reliable urban/coastal access with mobile as backup in rural areas; no disruptions flagged.[[9]](https://minicondos.me/internet-and-utilities-in-montenegro-in-2026-reliability-for-daily-life/) Global shutdown incidents in this period were concentrated elsewhere (e.g., Iran, Iraq).[[10]](https://pulse.internetsociety.org/en/shutdowns/) **Summary flag:** Nothing identified would materially alter the provided baseline. Youth unemployment remains elevated but stable per 2025 data; the environment shows continuity rather than escalation in political/security or infrastructure risks. Continued monitoring of MONSTAT LFS releases and EU-related developments is recommended for future updates. Sources primarily include World Bank/FRED modeled estimates, MONSTAT via secondary summaries, BTI Project, and EU accession reporting.
Source discovery
**Statistical Office of Montenegro (MONSTAT) – Labour Force Survey and related indicators** - URL: https://www.monstat.org/eng/ (Labour Force Survey section: http://www.monstat.org/eng/page.php?id=22&page_id=22) - API: No (public tables, reports, and file downloads) - Update frequency: Quarterly/annual (LFS-based unemployment, youth unemployment, employment) - Auth required: None (public access)[[1]](http://www.monstat.org/eng/page.php?id=22&page_id=22) **Central Bank of Montenegro (CBCG) – Bulletin and monetary/financial statistics** - URL: https://www.cbcg.me/en/publications/regular-publications/cbcg-bulletin (and payment system statistics pages) - API: No (monthly PDF bulletins with statistical tables; some raw data excerpts) - Update frequency: Monthly - Auth required: None (public)[[2]](https://www.cbcg.me/en/publications/regular-publications/cbcg-bulletin) **Employment Agency of Montenegro (ZZZCG / Zavod za zapošljavanje Crne Gore)** - URL: https://www.zzzcg.me/me/ - API: No (reports and indicators on registered unemployment/employment; cited as source for monthly rates) - Update frequency: Monthly or more frequent for key labour market indicators - Auth required: None (public)[[3]](https://tradingeconomics.com/montenegro/unemployment-rate) **ILOSTAT – Europe and Central Asia regional database (country-level breakdowns)** - URL: https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/ - API: Partial (bulk downloads, data tools, and snapshot exports; no full public REST API noted for all indicators) - Update frequency: Regular (annual/periodic labour force, youth employment, NEET, working poverty indicators) - Auth required: None (free open access)[[4]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/) **Balkan Insight – Montenegro news RSS feed** - URL: https://balkaninsight.com/category/bi/montenegro/feed/ (and related regional feeds) - API: Partial (standard RSS/Atom feeds for reliable regional coverage of politics, economy, youth issues) - Update frequency: As published (near real-time) - Auth required: None (public)[[5]](https://balkaninsight.com/rss-feeds/) No Montenegro-specific public APIs were identified for the central bank, national statistics office, or major local NGOs/think tanks focused on youth/poverty/crisis monitoring (e.g., UNICEF ECA or HDX datasets provide useful indicators but are not Montenegro-exclusive APIs). Regional sources like the Western Balkans Regular Economic Report (World Bank) or EU-SILC-derived data appear in secondary compilations but are not primary new sources beyond the ones already in use. All listed sources are publicly accessible without paid tiers.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025