Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · PAK-KHI · Metro of Pakistan
KarachiMetro
Location
Structural indicators below are national values for Pakistan. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Karachi specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: 16M+ pop megacity; political violence, ethnic tensions, youth unemployment masked at national level
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-27 06:00 UTC · run 2026-06-27T06
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new developments in the last 60 days (roughly late April to late June 2026) that significantly alter the baseline youth instability picture for Karachi metro (PAK-KHI).** National youth unemployment (15-24) remains around 9.5-9.6% for 2025 per modeled ILO estimates, with limited city-specific data available.[[1]](https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/series?seid=SLUEM1524ZSPAK)[[2]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.ZS?locations=PK) ### 1. Local Labor Market/Unemployment Data Specific to Karachi - No fresh 2026 Karachi metro or Sindh provincial youth unemployment figures (15-24 or 18-35) were identified. National figures dominate reporting. - A January 2026 District Vulnerability Index Pakistan (DVIP) report by the Population Council noted Karachi Central (Sindh) had one of the lowest unemployment-to-population ratios nationally at ~6%, contrasting with higher ratios elsewhere in Sindh (e.g., up to 22.7% in Sujawal). This suggests relative labor market resilience in core Karachi districts.[[3]](https://fafen.org/dvip-1-in-4-districts-have-20-unemployment-to-population-ratio/) - Broader 2025-26 national labor force data (PBS) and related analyses show overall unemployment trends but do not break out Karachi-specific youth metrics.[[4]](https://www.pbs.gov.pk/labour-force-statistics/) No evidence of mass layoffs in key Karachi industries (e.g., textiles, ports, manufacturing) or acute economic shocks localized to the metro area in the recent period. ### 2. Political/Security/Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35) - **March 2026 protests** (outside the 60-day window): Pro-Iran demonstrations in Karachi following US-Israel strikes turned violent near the US Consulate, with reports of 10+ deaths and dozens injured amid clashes involving young male protesters. These were the most notable recent security incidents tied to youth.[[5]](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/2/fury-on-pakistan-streets-20-dead-after-us-israel-strike-kills-khamenei)[[6]](https://fortune.com/2026/03/01/us-consulate-pakistan-karachi-lahore-islamabad-protest-iran-attack/) - Recent (mid-June 2026 timeframe) national protests by government employees and pensioners over pay/pension cuts amid inflation and IMF pressures do not appear Karachi-specific in available reporting.[[7]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oaaGumBAeyU) - No reports of militia activity, targeted crackdowns, or youth-focused unrest in Karachi during the last 60 days. The 2026 Pakistan Super League (cricket) included matches in Karachi (March-May), with some fan access restored later, but this was not linked to instability.[[8]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Pakistan_Super_League) ### 3. NGO/Think-Tank Reports on Karachi Youth (2025) - No new NGO or think-tank reports specifically on Karachi's youth situation published in 2025 or early 2026 were found. Existing or older resources (e.g., general youth mapping or national analyses) predate the current window. National discussions continue on NEET rates (~28.4% of youth) and graduate unemployment mismatches, but these are not Karachi-disaggregated.[[9]](https://www.facebook.com/ilopakistan/posts/284-of-pakistans-youth-are-in-neet-not-in-education-employment-or-trainingjoin-u/873107941999574/) ### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure Changes in Karachi - **Slowdowns and maintenance-related disruptions** (countrywide, likely impacting Karachi): Scheduled submarine cable maintenance caused slower speeds and possible outages, e.g., April 9-13, 2026 (Transworld) and May 11-18, 2026 (other cables, including shark-damage reports). Evening peak hours were most affected.[[10]](https://www.facebook.com/ConnectedPakistan/posts/pakistan-may-face-internet-slowdown-for-one-week-starting-tomorrowinternet-users/1381182770711784/)[[11]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DW65Yc4DZpI/) - Broader connectivity issues tied to diesel shortages, power outages, and telecom tower downtime (30-40% offline in some reports) have been noted nationally in recent months, with potential effects on IT-dependent youth employment, but no full shutdowns or Karachi-exclusive outages documented in the last 60 days.[[12]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DXv6vItFu2p/?hl=en) **Overall assessment**: No indicators of a significant upward shift in youth instability for Karachi metro relative to the national baseline (9.4% youth unemployment; 19.2/100 fuse score). Karachi Central's low unemployment ratio stands out positively in available district data. Monitoring should continue for any escalation in national economic protests or infrastructure issues that could spill over locally. Sources are primarily from web searches of recent reporting (PBS, Population Council, news outlets); city-specific granularity remains limited.
Source discovery
**Karachi/Sindh-specific non-inference data sources (focusing on public, accessible options beyond the listed country-level ones):** - **Sindh Bureau of Statistics (SBOS) / Planning & Development Department, Government of Sindh**: sbos.sindh.gov.pk (and related publications like Development Statistics of Sindh PDFs); no public API identified (PDF/machine-readable downloads available); updates vary (e.g., annual or periodic reports like 2020 edition); auth none (public downloads); geographic granularity: Sindh province-wide, with some district/Karachi breakdowns in reports.[[1]](https://sbos.sindh.gov.pk/)[[2]](https://sbos.sindh.gov.pk/files/SBOS/Development%20Statistics/DS-2020%20(25-01-2022).pdf) - **Sindh Data Portal (SBOS-supported)**: devx1.d4dpak.com; no public API confirmed (web portal with domain-specific insights); update frequency not specified (ongoing development indicators); auth none (public access); geographic granularity: Sindh province, covering sectors like demography, education, health, crimes (potentially filterable to Karachi).[[3]](https://devx1.d4dpak.com/)[[3]](https://devx1.d4dpak.com/) - **Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) Labour Force Survey (LFS) and related microdata/reports**: pbs.gov.pk (LFS reports and microdata access); no general public API (downloads/microdata requests); annual or periodic (e.g., 2020–21, 2024–25 editions); auth none/free registration for microdata in some cases; geographic granularity: national/provincial with district-level disaggregation possible in surveys or secondary analyses (e.g., Karachi districts referenced in reports).[[4]](https://www.pbs.gov.pk/)[[5]](https://webapps.ilo.org/surveyLib/index.php/catalog/7929/data-dictionary/FA_PAK_LFS_2021_FULL?file_name=PAK_LFS_2021_FULL) - **Pakistan COD-AB Subnational Administrative Boundaries (for ACLED filtering)**: data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-pak (GeoJSON/SHP/XLSX downloads); no API (static files); updated periodically (e.g., modified 2026, expected yearly); auth none (public); geographic granularity: admin levels 0–3 for Pakistan, including Sindh province and Karachi districts (enables precise event filtering).[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-pak) - **Dawn (English/local coverage, Karachi-focused)**: dawn.com (RSS feed: dawn.com/feeds/home or similar category feeds); no dedicated news API (RSS available); near real-time/continuous updates; auth none; geographic granularity: national with strong Karachi/Sindh coverage (articles/events).[[7]](https://rss.feedspot.com/pakistan_news_rss_feeds/) - **The Express Tribune (English/local coverage, Karachi-focused)**: tribune.com.pk (RSS feeds e.g., tribune.com.pk/feed/business, /world, etc.); no dedicated news API (RSS available); near real-time/continuous updates; auth none; geographic granularity: national with strong Karachi/Sindh coverage (articles/events).[[8]](https://tribune.com.pk/rss) - **Karachi Metropolitan Corporation (KMC)**: kmc.gos.pk; no public statistics API identified (budget/tender/law downloads available); updates as needed (e.g., budgets); auth none; geographic granularity: Karachi municipal level (limited statistical indicators).[[9]](https://kmc.gos.pk/) Additional notes: No prominent public APIs were identified for municipal/provincial stats or labor data (mostly PDFs, portals, or microdata downloads). ACLED itself supports subnational filtering via admin codes/boundaries. Local think tank/NGO projects (e.g., urban poverty or youth tracking) were less prominent in results as structured data sources with APIs/downloads; RSS/news provides event-level signals. Verify current access/status directly, as portals evolve.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025