Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · PAK-KHI · Metro of Pakistan

KarachiMetro

42
Composite priority
9.4%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
255.22M
Population · 2025
59.4%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
4.3 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

24.86°, 67.01° · ISO PAK-KHI / PKOpen in OpenStreetMap →
Metro proxy

Structural indicators below are national values for Pakistan. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Karachi specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: 16M+ pop megacity; political violence, ethnic tensions, youth unemployment masked at national level

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment9.4%· 20p
2025
Intentional homicides4.3 per 100k· 13p
2023
Internet access57.3%· 51p
2024
Mobile subscriptions76.9 per 100· 82p
2024
Phone ownership62.1%· 85p
2023
Electricity access95.7%· 7p
2024
AI usage14.3%· 51p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 1.2p vs 2021
19
Access gap 16.3p vs 2021
55
Impact 5.6p vs 2021
33

Latest signals

2026-07-11 09:07 UTC · run 2026-07-11T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major updates to local Karachi-specific youth (15-24 or 18-35) unemployment or labor market data in the last 60 days (roughly mid-May to mid-July 2026).** National figures remain the relevant baseline (youth unemployment 15-24 around 9.5–12.5% in recent estimates, with overall unemployment ~7.1% in FY 2025-26 per Economic Survey references).[[1]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DX_edMpkdMZ/)[[2]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DZnTm-JgTOn/?hl=en)

No Sindh- or Karachi-metro-specific labor force surveys, provincial stats, or city-level reports on youth joblessness, graduate unemployment, or industry layoffs (e.g., in textiles, ports, or manufacturing) were identified in recent searches. An earlier District Vulnerability Index Pakistan (DVIP) 2025 report (noted January 2026) highlighted variation within Sindh, with Karachi Central showing a low unemployment-to-population ratio (~5.7%) compared to other districts, but this predates the search window.[[3]](https://fafen.org/dvip-1-in-4-districts-have-20-unemployment-to-population-ratio/)

**Security incident of note:** On the night of June 27, 2026 (or early June 28), militants from Jamaat-ul-Ahrar (a TTP-linked faction) carried out a vehicle-borne improvised explosive device (VBIED) attack followed by gunfire on a Sindh Rangers (paramilitary) facility/headquarters in the Gulistan-e-Jauhar area of Karachi. Three Rangers personnel were killed and four injured; security forces killed six militants and captured one.[[4]](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/three-pakistani-rangers-killed-karachi-attack-dawn-newspaper-reports-2026-06-27/)[[5]](https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/pakistan-karachi-explosion-gunfire-updates/article71155477.ece) This urban attack in Karachi (a major commercial center) represents heightened militant activity in the city and falls squarely in the last 60 days. It has the potential to affect young men (18-35) through security force recruitment/mobilization, possible militant recruitment dynamics, or broader urban insecurity, though no direct links to youth-specific instability (e.g., mass protests or radicalization spikes) were reported in immediate coverage.

Earlier protests (March 1, 2026) outside the US Consulate in Karachi over regional events resulted in casualties but fall outside the 60-day window.[[6]](https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2026-03-01/22-killed-120-wounded-in-pakistan-as-protesters-try-to-storm-u-s-consulate) Budget-related protests and warnings (e.g., Jamaat-e-Islami calls from Karachi in mid-June 2026) occurred nationally but yielded no confirmed large-scale Karachi-specific labor or youth-led actions in the period.[[7]](https://www.thenews.pk/print/1419803-ji-warns-of-nationwide-protests-if-budget-increases-public-tax-burden)

**NGO/think-tank reports:** No new 2025 or 2026 reports specifically focused on Karachi youth employment, instability, or related indicators were located. The National Commission on the Rights of Child’s *State of Children in Pakistan 2025* references Karachi in the context of localized health/outbreak issues (e.g., SITE Town) but does not address youth labor markets or instability metrics.[[8]](https://ncrc.gov.pk/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/State-of-Children-2025.cdr_.pdf) Broader reports (e.g., Global Terrorism Index 2026) discuss Pakistan-level trends, including youth radicalization concerns, without Karachi-specific updates.

**Internet/mobile infrastructure:** From May 11–18, 2026, PTCL (and other providers) warned of potential internet slowdowns or service degradation during evening/peak hours across Pakistan due to maintenance/repairs on a submarine cable (reports also reference possible shark damage). This affected Karachi users alongside the rest of the country but was framed as temporary maintenance rather than a deliberate shutdown or outage.[[9]](https://www.dawn.com/news/1999160)[[10]](https://www.facebook.com/ConnectedPakistan/posts/pakistan-may-face-internet-slowdown-for-one-week-starting-tomorrowinternet-users/1381182770711784/) No full or targeted shutdowns/rollouts specific to Karachi were noted in the window.

**Overall assessment:** No developments were found that would significantly shift Karachi’s instability picture from the provided national baseline (youth unemployment 9.4% male 15-24 in 2025; fuse score 19.2/100). The June 27 Rangers attack stands out as the most relevant recent security event with potential ripple effects on urban youth dynamics in Karachi, warranting monitoring for follow-on protests, security measures, or militant activity. All other areas (local data, reports, infrastructure) show continuity or limited temporary impacts. Further targeted local sources (e.g., Sindh labor department releases or Karachi-specific think tanks like SPDC) may yield additional detail if available.
Source discovery
**Karachi-specific (city/provincial) non-inference data sources** (focusing on public/machine-readable options; all are free/none auth unless noted):

- **Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) Labour Force Survey (LFS) reports and tables** — https://www.pbs.gov.pk/labour-force-statistics/ — No API (PDF reports + tables); annual (latest 2024-25); none auth; provincial (Sindh) + some district-level disaggregation in reports or via secondary analyses (e.g., Karachi districts).[[1]](https://www.pbs.gov.pk/labour-force-statistics/)

- **Commissioner Karachi Division (Sindh govt)** — https://commissionerkarachi.gos.pk/ (incl. population/census pages) — No API (web pages + occasional downloads); irregular updates; none auth; Karachi Division/city-level.[[2]](https://commissionerkarachi.gos.pk/population)

- **Express Tribune RSS feeds** (multiple categories, Karachi coverage) — https://tribune.com.pk/rss (e.g., /feed/business, /feed/world, etc.; Karachi-specific sections available via site) — RSS (partial API equivalent); real-time/daily; none auth; city/provincial news granularity.[[3]](https://tribune.com.pk/rss)

- **UN-Habitat Urban Indicators Database** (city-level urban/poverty/slums/youth-relevant indicators) — https://data.unhabitat.org/ — Yes (REST API + GeoJSON/CSV downloads); annual or periodic; none auth; city-level (includes Karachi).[[4]](https://data.unhabitat.org/pages/getting-started)

- **HDX Pakistan COD-AB administrative boundaries** (for ACLED filtering) — https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-pak — No full API (GeoJSON/SHP/XLSX downloads); periodic updates; none auth; admin1 (Sindh province), admin2 (Karachi districts e.g. Karachi Central), admin3.[[5]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-pak)

- **ACLED Pakistan data** (subnational filtering) — https://acleddata.com/country/pakistan (Explorer + data access) — Partial (platform API/explorer; bulk downloads for registered users); real-time/ongoing; free registration (none/paid tiers); admin1 (Sindh), admin2 (Karachi districts).[[6]](https://acleddata.com/country/pakistan)

- **FAFEN / Population Council District Vulnerability Index Pakistan (DVIP)** (district unemployment-to-population and related) — https://fafen.org/dvip-1-in-4-districts-have-20-unemployment-to-population-ratio/ (based on PBS + other) — No API (report + derived data); periodic (e.g. 2025 report); none auth; district-level (Karachi Central and other Sindh districts).[[7]](https://fafen.org/dvip-1-in-4-districts-have-20-unemployment-to-population-ratio/)

- **NewsData.io Pakistan News API** (covers local outlets incl. Karachi) — https://newsdata.io/news-sources/pakistan-technology-news-api — Yes (API); real-time; free tier + paid; national with city coverage.[[8]](https://newsdata.io/news-sources/pakistan-technology-news-api)

Additional local Urdu news RSS options (e.g., Daily Ummat Karachi, Daily Khabrain) are available via aggregators like RSS Feedspot but lack dedicated public APIs. No dedicated public municipal open data portal or API was identified for Karachi Division/Sindh beyond the above.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
3.67.010.5201420259.4%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
3.04.86.7201420234.3

Internet access

%
6.233.661.02014202457.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
56.268.580.82014202476.9

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
89.692.996.22014202495.7%

AI usage

%
1.68.415.22014202414.3%

Population

people
210988254.4234742100.5258495946.620142025255219554.0

Working-age share

%
56.858.459.92014202559.4%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.