Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · PAK-LHE · Metro of Pakistan

LahoreMetro

41
Composite priority
9.4%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
251.27M
Population · 2024
59.0%
Ages 15-64 · 2024
4.3 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

31.55°, 74.34° · ISO PAK-LHE / PKOpen in OpenStreetMap →
Metro proxy

Structural indicators below are national values for Pakistan. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Lahore specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: Punjab capital, 13M+; youth bulge + recent political instability

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment9.4%· 20p
2025
Intentional homicides4.3 per 100k· 13p
2023
Internet access57.3%· 51p
2024
Mobile subscriptions76.9 per 100· 82p
2024
Phone ownership62.1%· 85p
2023
Electricity access95.6%· 7p
2023
AI usage14.3%· 51p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 1.2p vs 2021
19
Access gap 16.3p vs 2021
55
Impact 5.7p vs 2021
32

Latest signals

2026-06-27 09:07 UTC · run 2026-06-27T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major developments in the last 60 days (roughly late April–June 27, 2026) indicate a significant shift in youth instability indicators for Lahore metro from the provided baseline (national youth unemployment 15-24 male at 9.4% for 2025; national instability fuse score 19.2/100).** Data remains sparse at the strict Lahore metro/city level; most available figures are provincial (Punjab) or national.[[1]](https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/series?seid=SLUEM1524ZSPAK)[[2]](https://gallup.com.pk/post/34471)

**1. Local labor market/unemployment data (Lahore metro specific):** No new official Lahore city- or metro-specific unemployment rates or labor market reports were identified for 2026. Provincial (Punjab) context includes an older Gallup estimate of overall unemployment at 6.7% with youth (15-29) at 10.9% (higher for educated females); a recent social media reference notes Punjab unemployment exceeding 7% with ~3.5 million working-age unemployed and provincial plans for employment support centers. Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) Labour Force Survey data is available at broader levels but not newly broken down for Lahore.[[2]](https://gallup.com.pk/post/34471)[[3]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DX8XVH6gLBo/)

**2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35) in Lahore:** 
- Muharram observances (Ashura period, peaking around June 25-26, 2026) involved large processions and majalis in Lahore (81 processions and 386 majalis reported on one day), with heavy Punjab Police deployment (tens of thousands province-wide, including Lahore-specific plans and flag marches). Events were reported as peaceful with no major incidents or youth-specific unrest noted. Mobile/internet services were suspended in sensitive areas.[[4]](https://www.dawn.com/news/2010935/new-security-model-for-muharram-executed)[[5]](https://tribune.com.pk/story/2615028/muharram-9-processions-continue-nationwide-under-tight-security)
- Earlier or unrelated protests (e.g., religious/political marches in prior periods or non-Lahore events like Kashmir clashes) do not indicate new youth-driven instability in Lahore. No reports of militia activity, mass layoffs in key Lahore industries (textiles, manufacturing, services), or economic shocks specific to the metro area.[[6]](https://www.osac.gov/Content/Report/714cdee8-620f-4c9b-8a49-1cec2392dad8)
- Broader context (e.g., Gen Z frustrations in Pakistan) exists but lacks Lahore-specific recent triggers or escalations.[[7]](https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/opinion/2026/03/02/security-minded-pakistan-gen-z-protesters-find-no-outlet-their-discontent)

**3. NGO/think-tank reports on Lahore youth (published 2025 or later):** Limited direct hits. PBS initiated nationwide training (May 16-24, 2026, including Lahore sessions) for the PSLM District-Level Survey 2026–27, which introduces a new Youth Development Index (YDI) module for district-level data on youth (education, health, employment, etc.). This will cover Lahore and support future monitoring but results are not yet available. A University of Lahore symposium (June 6, 2026) discussed youth financial inclusion barriers using nationwide data. Planned youth summits in Lahore (e.g., November–December 2026) are forward-looking events, not analytical reports.[[8]](https://www.instagram.com/reel/DYjAcnAIPtW/)[[9]](https://minutemirror.com.pk/pslm-district-level-survey-2026-training-held-in-lahore-559224/)

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes in Lahore:** Nationwide warnings of slowdowns/outages in mid-May 2026 linked to submarine cable damage (affecting services across Pakistan, including Lahore). Muharram-related partial suspensions of mobile services in sensitive Lahore areas around June 25-26, 2026. No prolonged or youth-targeted shutdowns reported.[[10]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FbO402QMfyE)[[5]](https://tribune.com.pk/story/2615028/muharram-9-processions-continue-nationwide-under-tight-security)

**Overall assessment:** Nothing identified would materially elevate the instability picture for Lahore youth beyond the low baseline fuse score. Ongoing data collection (e.g., PSLM/YDI) may provide more granular Lahore-specific insights later. National figures remain the closest proxy, with no evidence of rapid deterioration locally. Sources primarily include PBS, Dawn, Tribune, Gallup, and official social media channels.
Source discovery
**Bullet list of Lahore-specific (city/provincial) non-inference data sources:**

- **Bureau of Statistics, Punjab (BoS Punjab)**: https://bos.punjab.gov.pk/ — No public API (downloads via site/portal); periodic/annual (e.g., Punjab Development Statistics reports); none/free auth; provincial (Punjab) and some divisional (Lahore Division) granularity, with Lahore-relevant stats on demographics, economy, and development.[[1]](https://bos.punjab.gov.pk/)[[2]](https://bos.punjab.gov.pk/downloads)

- **Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) Labour Force Survey (LFS)**: https://www.pbs.gov.pk/labour-force-statistics/ — No API (PDF reports + possible microdata access); annual (latest 2024-25); none/free; provincial granularity (Punjab rural/urban breakdowns for labor force, unemployment, youth employment indicators).[[3]](https://www.pbs.gov.pk/labour-force-statistics/)[[4]](https://www.pbs.gov.pk/)

- **Punjab Open Government Data initiatives / BoS data portal references**: https://bos.punjab.gov.pk/ (and related gov portals); partial/no dedicated public API confirmed (focus on downloads and forms); varies by dataset (periodic); none/free; provincial/divisional, with potential Lahore-specific extracts via request or portal.[[5]](https://opendata.com.pk/dataset/bureau-of-statistics-bos-government-of-the-punjab)

- **The Urban Unit (Punjab Planning & Development)**: https://urbanunit.gov.pk/ — No public API (project reports, GIS data, dashboards like AQI); project/periodic updates; none/free; urban/Lahore district and metropolitan granularity (urban planning, master plans, socio-economic surveys, environmental data).[[6]](https://urbanunit.gov.pk/)

- **Lahore-specific news RSS feeds** (e.g., Lahore News, The Lahore Times): https://lahorenews.tv/ and https://www.lhrtimes.com/ (plus major outlets like Dawn/Jang Lahore sections); RSS feeds available (no dedicated news API for most); real-time/daily; none/free; city-level (Lahore-focused coverage, including Urdu-language options).[[7]](https://rss.feedspot.com/pakistan_news_rss_feeds/)

- **ACLED subnational data + Pakistan COD admin boundaries (HDX)**: https://acleddata.com/country/pakistan and https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-pak — API available via ACLED (free account for full access); real-time/ongoing events; free (with account); subnational (admin level 1-3; filter to Punjab province or Lahore district boundaries for events).[[8]](https://acleddata.com/country/pakistan)[[9]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-pak)

- **Additional provincial labor/poverty references** (e.g., Punjab-specific LFS extracts or MPI studies via PBS/BoS): Provincial portals and reports; mostly downloads/PDFs; periodic; none/free; Punjab/Lahore division or district level for unemployment and multidimensional poverty.[[10]](https://labour.punjab.gov.pk/system/files/PET_2013_2.pdf)

No widespread public machine-readable APIs were identified for core statistical bureaus (primarily PDF/Excel downloads or request forms); Lahore Metropolitan Corporation data appears limited to indirect references via provincial sources. ACLED already supports subnational filtering. Verify current access and formats directly, as availability can change.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
3.67.010.5201420259.4%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
3.04.86.7201420234.3

Internet access

%
6.233.661.02014202457.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
56.268.580.82014202476.9

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
89.692.896.12014202395.6%

AI usage

%
1.68.415.22014202414.3%

Population

people
211304285.6232766905.5254229525.420142024251269164.0

Working-age share

%
56.858.259.52014202459.0%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.