Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · PAK-LHE · Metro of Pakistan

LahoreMetro

42
Composite priority
9.4%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
255.22M
Population · 2025
59.4%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
4.3 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

31.55°, 74.34° · ISO PAK-LHE / PKOpen in OpenStreetMap →
Metro proxy

Structural indicators below are national values for Pakistan. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Lahore specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: Punjab capital, 13M+; youth bulge + recent political instability

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment9.4%· 20p
2025
Intentional homicides4.3 per 100k· 13p
2023
Internet access57.3%· 51p
2024
Mobile subscriptions76.9 per 100· 82p
2024
Phone ownership62.1%· 85p
2023
Electricity access95.7%· 7p
2024
AI usage14.3%· 51p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 1.2p vs 2021
19
Access gap 16.3p vs 2021
55
Impact 5.6p vs 2021
33

Latest signals

2026-07-12 09:07 UTC · run 2026-07-12T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major developments in the last 60 days (roughly mid-May to mid-July 2026) appear to significantly shift Lahore metro's youth instability picture from the provided national baseline (youth unemployment 15-24 male ~9.4-9.6% in 2025; national instability fuse score 19.2/100).** Searches yielded limited Lahore-specific labor market data, with most references remaining national or Punjab-provincial. Minor local events (small-scale student protests, resolved internet issues) were noted but do not indicate acute escalation affecting young men aged 18-35.[[1]](https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/series?seid=SLUEM1524ZSPAK)[[2]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DX8XVH6gLBo/)

### 1. Local Labor Market/Unemployment Data (Lahore Metro or Punjab-Specific)
No granular, recent (2026) Lahore city or metro-specific unemployment statistics were identified in official reports. Provincial (Punjab) context includes:
- Approximately 3.5 million people in Punjab's working-age group reported as unemployed, with the provincial unemployment rate exceeding 7%. This has prompted plans for new employment support centers in six major districts, explicitly including Lahore (alongside Faisalabad, Gujranwala, Multan, Rahim Yar Khan, and Sialkot).[[2]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DX8XVH6gLBo/)
- Broader commentary notes persistent challenges with youth joblessness in Punjab amid population growth and limited formal opportunities, though figures predate or align with the 2025 national baseline without clear upward spikes in 2026.[[3]](https://tribune.com.pk/story/2569881/unemployment-soars-amidst-growing-population)

These align with (rather than deviate from) the national youth unemployment baseline. No mass layoffs or industry-specific shocks in Lahore (e.g., textiles, manufacturing) were reported in the period.

### 2. Political/Security/Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35) in Lahore
- **Protests/Rallies**: Limited activity directly tied to youth instability. A student protest was announced for June 3, 2026, outside the British Council on Mozang Road, Lahore, focused on fairness/educational issues. Additional small-scale actions included Punjab University student protests over hostel closures and a residents' protest in Askari 10 following a fatal student accident.[[4]](https://x.com/eyeonpakistan_/status/2061453809575194767)[[5]](https://www.instagram.com/reel/DZ0K6vFodF_/)[[6]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=az70CtijWCI) Earlier (March 2026) protests in Lahore related to regional/international issues (e.g., Iran) or religious groups occurred outside the 60-day window. No evidence of widespread militia activity, youth-led unrest, or crackdowns specific to young men in Lahore during the recent period.
- Broader Punjab/Pakistan context (e.g., Gen Z protest trends elsewhere in the region) does not show spillover into Lahore metro events that would elevate instability scores.

No major economic shocks or security incidents (e.g., targeted at youth cohorts) were flagged for Lahore.

### 3. NGO/Think-Tank Reports on Lahore Youth (Published 2025 or Later)
No new Lahore-specific NGO or think-tank reports from 2025–2026 were identified in searches. General Pakistan-wide discussions on youth unemployment (e.g., skills mismatch, high NEET rates) continue but lack fresh Lahore metro granularity. Punjab government initiatives (e.g., employment centers, skills programs) represent the primary recent response.[[2]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DX8XVH6gLBo/)

### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure Changes in Lahore
- A nationwide submarine cable fault (SMW5/related systems) caused slowdowns and disruptions around early July 2026 (noted July 2–3), resolved by July 3 per the Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA), restoring normal traffic.[[7]](https://www.dawn.com/news/2012653)
- Earlier warnings of potential slowdowns (May 11–18, 2026) due to cable damage (shark-related reports) were national in scope and did not escalate to full shutdowns in Lahore.[[8]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FbO402QMfyE)
- No Lahore-specific or prolonged outages, targeted shutdowns, or new rollouts were reported in the 60-day window that would broadly impact youth connectivity, organizing, or economic activity.

**Overall Assessment**: The situation in Lahore metro remains consistent with the national baseline. Punjab-level unemployment figures and minor localized protests/infrastructure hiccups do not indicate a significant upward shift in youth instability risk. Continued monitoring of Punjab employment centers and any escalation in student/youth mobilization is recommended. Sources are primarily news and social media reports; official Lahore-specific statistical releases were not surfaced in recent searches.
Source discovery
**Here is a compiled list of relevant Lahore-specific (city/district or Punjab-provincial) data sources based on public web searches.** These focus on non-inference, accessible statistical, event, or monitoring data suitable for youth instability tracking. Details on APIs, frequency, access, and granularity are noted where available from sources; many official sites emphasize downloads over APIs.[[1]](https://bos.punjab.gov.pk/dataset)[[2]](https://www.pbs.gov.pk/labour-force-statistics/)

- **Bureau of Statistics, Punjab (BOS Punjab) – Publications and Datasets Portal**: URL https://bos.punjab.gov.pk/dataset. No public API (machine-readable micro-datasets and publication downloads in various formats). Updates: Periodic/annual (e.g., Punjab Development Statistics reports up to recent years). Auth: None (public downloads). Granularity: Provincial (Punjab) with district-level breakdowns available in some surveys/datasets (Lahore district included).[[1]](https://bos.punjab.gov.pk/dataset)

- **Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) Labour Force Survey (LFS) reports and tables**: URL https://www.pbs.gov.pk/labour-force-statistics/. No public API (PDF reports, tables, and some microdata access via request or downloads). Updates: Annual (latest 2024-25 report) with quarterly elements in some releases; provincial rural/urban breakdowns. Auth: None (public reports). Granularity: National + provincial (Punjab-specific unemployment, youth NEET, employment indicators); limited or no consistent city-level (Lahore) disaggregation.[[2]](https://www.pbs.gov.pk/labour-force-statistics/)[[3]](https://www.pbs.gov.pk/docs/labour-force-survey-section/)

- **Lahore-focused news outlets with RSS feeds** (examples: Lahore News, The Lahore Times): URLs such as https://lahorenews.tv/ or https://www.lhrtimes.com/ (RSS endpoints like /feed/). Partial API-like via standard RSS/Atom feeds (no dedicated REST API noted). Updates: Daily or near-real-time. Auth: None. Granularity: City-specific (Lahore-focused coverage of local events, politics, economy).[[4]](https://rss.feedspot.com/pakistan_news_rss_feeds/)

- **Centre for Economic Research in Pakistan (CERP)**: URL https://www.cerp.org.pk/. No public API (research reports, project datasets, and analytics from field studies; some data may be available via collaboration or publications). Updates: Project-based/irregular. Auth: None for publications (potential paid/custom data access). Granularity: Punjab/Lahore-specific (poverty alleviation, urban development, youth/education monitoring projects).[[5]](https://www.cerp.org.pk/)

- **ACLED (sub-national filtering via admin boundaries)**: URL https://acleddata.com/ (or country page https://acleddata.com/country/pakistan). Yes, API/platform access for querying/filtering. Updates: Ongoing/real-time event coding. Auth: Free registration for full access (tiered). Granularity: Sub-national (admin1 = Punjab province; admin2/district level for Lahore/Lahore Cantonment/etc.; admin3 possible in some data). Use district names or codes to filter events to Lahore.[[6]](https://acleddata.com/methodology/acled-codebook)[[7]](https://www.ecoi.net/en/file/local/2130044/ACCORD_ACLED_DATA_BRIEFING_Pakistan_Q22025_en.pdf)

Additional notes: Punjab BOS and PBS are the primary official statistical sources (district coverage in Punjab is stronger than city-specific). No dedicated Lahore municipal statistics bureau with a public API was identified; data flows through provincial/national offices. For boundaries supporting ACLED or other geospatial filtering, Pakistan COD-AB datasets on HDX (data.humdata.org) provide admin levels down to districts. Local RSS and CERP offer complementary qualitative/event or project-specific urban/youth insights. Always verify current access/terms directly, as availability can change.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
3.67.010.5201420259.4%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
3.04.86.7201420234.3

Internet access

%
6.233.661.02014202457.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
56.268.580.82014202476.9

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
89.692.996.22014202495.7%

AI usage

%
1.68.415.22014202414.3%

Population

people
210988254.4234742100.5258495946.620142025255219554.0

Working-age share

%
56.858.459.92014202559.4%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.