East Asia & Pacific · PHL-DVO · Metro of Philippines

Davao (Mindanao)Metro

23
Composite priority
6.1%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
116.79M
Population · 2025
67.1%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
4.3 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

7.07°, 125.61° · ISO PHL-DVO / PHOpen in OpenStreetMap →
Metro proxy

Structural indicators below are national values for Philippines. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Davao (Mindanao) specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: Mindanao — separate security/insurgency profile from northern Philippines

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment6.1%· 10p
2025
Intentional homicides4.3 per 100k· 13p
2023
Internet access67.3%· 38p
2024
Mobile subscriptions115.3 per 100· 51p
2024
Phone ownership88.1%· 24p
2023
Electricity access94.8%· 8p
2024
AI usage16.8%· 38p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 3.7p vs 2021
9
Access gap 4.7p vs 2021
32
Impact 1.7p vs 2021
17

Latest signals

2026-07-18 09:07 UTC · run 2026-07-18T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major developments in the last ~60 days (mid-May to July 18, 2026) that significantly shift the youth instability picture for Davao (Mindanao) metro from the provided national baseline (youth unemployment 15-24 male ~6.1% in 2025; national instability fuse score 9.0/100).** Davao Region data continue to show a relatively stronger local labor market than national figures.[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)

**1. Local labor market/unemployment data (Davao-specific, not national):**  
- Annual 2025 PSA data for Davao Region (released ~May/June 2026): Unemployment rate fell to **2.9%** (from 3.2% prior year), with employment rate at **97.1%**. Unemployed persons: ~73,000 (down from ~79,000). Labor force participation rose to 65.4%. Underemployment dropped to 3.9%. Youth (15-24): LFPR 33.3% (slight decline), employment rate improved to **91.1%**, NEET rate improved to **12%** (from 13.9%). Services sector dominates employment (56.4%). Davao City had the region's highest unemployment at 3.8%.[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)[[2]](https://mb.com.ph/2026/05/28/davao-region-logs-fewer-unemployed-persons-in-2025)  
- January 2026: Davao Region unemployment at **4.8%** (PSA).[[3]](https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/content/employment-situation-january-2026-davao-region)  
No May–July 2026 monthly Davao-specific PSA releases were identified in results. Local indicators remain notably better than national rates (national unemployment ~4.7–5.8% in early 2026; youth national ~7%).[[4]](https://www.facebook.com/bncphl/posts/the-countrys-unemployment-rate-rose-to-47-in-april-2026-from-41-a-year-earlier-e/122301054518354398/)

**2. Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35):**  
- **May 1, 2026 (Labor Day)**: Security plans were in place for potential protests in Davao City; a DOLE job fair hired ~200 on the spot (noted in coverage).[[5]](https://www.gmanetwork.com/regionaltv/news/113915/security-plan-in-place-for-labor-day-protests-in-davao-city/story/)  
- **Early July 2026 (~1 week before July 18)**: Militant/progressive groups held a protest along Roxas Avenue in Davao City calling for accountability of Vice President Sara Duterte. Police deployments occurred for related rallies (e.g., >600 officers on July 1 for an INC rally).[[6]](https://www.facebook.com/GMARegionalTVNews/videos/watch-news-update-several-militant-groups-in-davao-city-held-a-protest-along-rox/1546529906980852/)[[7]](https://www.facebook.com/sunstardavaonews/posts/over-600-police-deployed-for-inc-rallymore-than-600-police-officers-were-deploye/1494437436057800/)  
No reports of militia activity, crackdowns, mass layoffs in key industries (e.g., agriculture, services, construction), or major economic shocks targeting young men in the Davao metro area during the period. Older/prior incidents (e.g., 2025 Duterte-related protests) fall outside the 60-day window.

**3. NGO/think-tank reports on Davao youth (published 2025):**  
No new 2025 or 2026 reports specifically addressing Davao/Mindanao youth instability, unemployment, or related risks were identified. Broader Mindanao references (e.g., UN Philippines 2025 results on adolescent health/peacebuilding or peace advocate calls) exist but do not focus on Davao instability indicators or recent data.[[8]](https://philippines.un.org/sites/default/files/2026-04/UN_philippines_annual_results_2025_web_1.pdf)

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes:**  
- A Globe network outage (fiber cuts) affected Visayas and Mindanao (including Davao links) on or around April 23, 2026—outside the 60-day window.[[9]](https://www.facebook.com/ORORESCUE/posts/as-of-0730am-23-april-2026update-from-globe-network-outage-in-visayas-and-mindan/1422273139928732/)  
No reports of shutdowns, major rollouts, or outages in Davao/Mindanao in the last 60 days.

**Assessment:** Davao Region labor data (especially 2025 annual) indicate lower unemployment and improving youth metrics compared to national baselines, which would not elevate the instability fuse. Recent protests appear contained with standard policing; no escalatory events or infrastructure disruptions noted. Continued monitoring of PSA monthly releases and local protest developments is advisable, as Davao-specific monthly youth breakdowns remain limited in public reporting. Sources primarily include PSA via SunStar/ regional sites and news on events.
Source discovery
**Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) OpenSTAT Database**  
- URL: https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/Database (PXWeb API endpoint: https://openstat.psa.gov.ph:443/PXWeb/api/v1/en)  
- API: Yes (PXWeb API)  
- Update frequency: Varies by dataset (often quarterly/annual for sub-national stats)  
- Auth required: None (public/open)  
- Geographic granularity: National and sub-national (regions/provinces/cities, including Davao Region/XI and specific provinces/cities like Davao City)[[1]](https://dateno.io/registry/catalog/cdi00001278/)

**PSA Regional Statistical Services Office XI (Davao Region) – RSSO XI**  
- URL: https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/ (includes Regional Social and Economic Trends/RSET and provincial pages)  
- API: No (primarily downloads and reports; OpenSTAT integration for some data)  
- Update frequency: Annual or as released (e.g., quarterly highlights, annual compendia)  
- Auth required: None (public)  
- Geographic granularity: Davao Region (Region XI) and its provinces/cities (Davao City, Davao del Norte, etc.)[[2]](https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/regional-social-and-economic-trends)

**Open Data Philippines (data.gov.ph) and related government portals**  
- URL: https://data.gov.ph/ (plus PSA public use files at https://psada.psa.gov.ph/catalog/central)  
- API: Partial (some portals offer APIs; many CSV/Excel downloads)  
- Update frequency: Varies (government datasets, often annual or on release)  
- Auth required: None (public/open)  
- Geographic granularity: Sub-national, including regional/provincial/city-level Philippine data (filterable for Davao)[[3]](https://data.gov.ph/)

**Davao Today RSS Feed**  
- URL: https://davaotoday.com/feed/  
- API: No (RSS feed; machine-readable XML)  
- Update frequency: Daily or near-daily (news/events)  
- Auth required: None (public)  
- Geographic granularity: Davao City and nearby areas in Mindanao[[4]](https://rss.feedspot.com/philippines_news_rss_feeds/)

**ACLED (sub-national filtering for Philippines)**  
- URL: https://acleddata.com/country/philippines (Explorer + data downloads; admin boundaries via HDX COD-AB: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-phl)  
- API: Partial (data access via myACLED account/downloads; Explorer for filtering)  
- Update frequency: Weekly or more frequent updates; aggregated files weekly  
- Auth required: Free account for full access/downloads  
- Geographic granularity: Sub-national (Admin 1/2 levels; filterable to Davao Region/provinces/cities using region codes or boundaries)[[5]](https://acleddata.com/country/philippines)

**Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS) – SERP-P and publications**  
- URL: https://www.pids.gov.ph/ (SERP-P portal: https://serp-p.pids.gov.ph/)  
- API: No (primarily research papers, databases, and downloads)  
- Update frequency: Ongoing (research releases; varies)  
- Auth required: None (public)  
- Geographic granularity: National with some sub-national/regional studies (Davao/Mindanao coverage in socioeconomic, poverty, or youth-related reports)[[6]](https://www.pids.gov.ph/)

These focus on publicly accessible, machine-readable or downloadable sources with sub-national coverage for Davao (Mindanao). Labor/unemployment data is available via PSA OpenSTAT (e.g., Labor Force Survey disaggregations). No dedicated municipal API for Davao City was identified beyond national/regional PSA channels.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
5.27.08.8201420256.1%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
3.87.411.0201620234.3

Internet access

%
31.256.381.32014202467.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
103.8129.1154.520142024115.3

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
88.493.598.72014202494.8%

AI usage

%
7.814.120.42014202416.8%

Population

people
102725543.4110277046.0117828548.620142025116786962.0

Working-age share

%
61.864.767.62014202567.1%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.