East Asia & Pacific · PHL-DVO · Metro of Philippines

Davao (Mindanao)Metro

23
Composite priority
6.1%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
115.84M
Population · 2024
66.6%
Ages 15-64 · 2024
4.3 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

7.07°, 125.61° · ISO PHL-DVO / PHOpen in OpenStreetMap →
Metro proxy

Structural indicators below are national values for Philippines. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Davao (Mindanao) specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: Mindanao — separate security/insurgency profile from northern Philippines

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment6.1%· 10p
2025
Intentional homicides4.3 per 100k· 13p
2023
Internet access67.3%· 38p
2024
Mobile subscriptions115.3 per 100· 51p
2024
Phone ownership88.1%· 24p
2023
Electricity access98.0%· 3p
2023
AI usage16.8%· 38p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 3.7p vs 2021
9
Access gap 3.8p vs 2021
31
Impact 1.9p vs 2021
17

Latest signals

2026-06-28 12:00 UTC · run 2026-06-28T12

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**Davao Region (Mindanao) shows a relatively strong local labor market in recent PSA data, with overall unemployment well below the national youth baseline, though January 2026 saw some reversal and external risks (geopolitical/Middle East-related and a major June 2026 earthquake) could pose future pressures on youth employment.** No major protests, militia activity, mass layoffs, crackdowns, or internet/mobile disruptions specific to young men (18-35) in Davao metro were identified in the last ~60 days (late April–June 28, 2026).[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)[[2]](https://mb.com.ph/2026/05/28/davao-region-logs-fewer-unemployed-persons-in-2025)

**1. Local labor market/unemployment data (Davao Region-specific, not national):**
- Full-year 2025 (latest annual figures, reported May–June 2026): Davao Region unemployment rate fell to **2.9%** (from 3.2% in 2024), with employment rate at **97.1%** (up from 96.8%). Unemployed persons: ~73,000 (down from 79,000). Labor force participation rose to **65.4%**. Underemployment dropped to **3.9%** (from 4.4%). Services sector dominated employment (56.4%), followed by agriculture (28%).[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)
- Davao City (metro core): Highest unemployment in the region at **3.8%** (still below national averages). Other provinces lower (e.g., Davao del Sur **1.5%** unemployment, 98.5% employment rate).[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)
- Youth (15-24) specifics for 2025: Employment rate improved to **91.1%** (from 90.4%); NEET rate fell to **12%** (from 13.9%); labor force participation slightly down to **33.3%**.[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)
- January 2026 (more recent snapshot): Unemployment rose to **4.8%** (from 2.9% in January 2025); ~120,000 unemployed.[[3]](https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/content/employment-situation-january-2026-davao-region)[[3]](https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/content/employment-situation-january-2026-davao-region)
- April 2026 context: Davao Region posted one of the highest regional employment rates nationally (**97.5%**).[[4]](https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey)

These figures are significantly lower than the national 2025 youth (15-24 male) unemployment baseline of 6.1%, indicating a relatively stable local picture through 2025 with mixed early 2026 signals. Sources: PSA via SunStar Davao, mb.com.ph, rsso11.psa.gov.ph, and DOLE LMI portal.[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)[[2]](https://mb.com.ph/2026/05/28/davao-region-logs-fewer-unemployed-persons-in-2025)

**2. Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35):**
- **Potential economic shocks (forward-looking, June 2026 reporting)**: Article highlights risks from US-Israel-Iran-related Middle East instabilities, including possible mass OFW repatriation (affecting remittances supporting Mindanao households), agribusiness collapse in Davao plantations (fuel/fertilizer costs leading to lower yields and **mass layoffs**), and broader poverty/security gaps. Mindanao GDP growth was 4.69% in 2025 but vulnerable. No confirmed 2026 layoffs yet.[[5]](https://mindanews.com/mindaviews/2026/06/development-perspectives-when-will-the-economic-situation-in-mindanao-return-to-pre-mideast-instabilities/)
- **June 2026 Mindanao earthquake (mag. 7.8, early June)**: Affected Davao Occidental and nearby areas (states of calamity declared in parts of Sarangani, Davao Occidental, General Santos). Multiple aftershocks; risks to vulnerable groups including youth via disrupted livelihoods, water contamination, and poverty exacerbation in conflict-prone zones. Humanitarian response ongoing as of mid-June.[[6]](https://www.care.org/media-and-press/philippines-earthquake-four-days-after-access-to-isolated-mindanao-communities-remains-urgent/)
- Other: April 6, 2026 Davao City EO creating an Inter-Agency Task Force on Emergency Socioeconomic Crisis Response. Limited protest mentions (e.g., earlier 2026 events not youth/male-specific or recent). No militia or crackdown reports tied to Davao youth in the period.[[7]](https://www.facebook.com/pnagovph/posts/the-davao-city-government-issues-executive-order-no-07-series-of-2026-on-monday-/1359464992896618/)

**3. NGO/think-tank reports on Davao youth (2025–2026):**
- Limited recent publications directly on instability. Youth-focused events (e.g., Actions for Earth Global Youth Summit Davao 2026, NextGen Muslim Innovators Summit) emphasize positive engagement, skills, and entrepreneurship rather than instability. Broader reports (e.g., BTI 2026 Philippines) note national youth unemployment concerns but not Davao-specific spikes. No 2025–early 2026 reports flagging major deterioration in Davao.[[8]](https://manilastandard.net/spotlight/314728818/actions-for-earth-global-youth-summit-davao-2026-empowering-youth-for-responsible-consumption-and-environmental-action.html)

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes:**
- No reports of shutdowns, major outages, or significant rollouts specific to Davao (Mindanao) in the searched results or period.

**Overall assessment vs. baseline:** Local Davao Region unemployment remains low (2.9–4.8% range recently) compared to national youth figures, with improvements in 2025 and youth NEET/employment metrics. No immediate events significantly elevating instability (e.g., no spikes in protests, layoffs, or connectivity issues). However, the June 2026 earthquake and potential Middle East conflict spillovers represent downside risks that could pressure youth employment in agribusiness and related sectors if they materialize—monitor for follow-on data. All data scoped to Davao Region where possible.
Source discovery
**PSA Regional Statistical Services Office XI (RSSO XI) / OpenSTAT (Davao Region data portal)**  
- https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/ and https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/ (PXWeb interface)  
- API: Yes (PXWeb API at https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/PXWeb/api/v1/en)  
- Update frequency: Varies by dataset (e.g., Labor Force Survey quarterly/monthly at regional level)  
- Auth: None (open data)  
- Geographic granularity: Davao Region (Region XI) primary; some provincial/city-level tables or small-area estimates (e.g., poverty, labor indicators)[[1]](https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/)[[2]](https://dateno.io/registry/catalog/cdi00001278/)

**PSA Labor Force Survey (LFS) regional/provincial releases (via OpenSTAT or RSSO XI)**  
- https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey and RSSO XI pages (e.g., employment situation reports for Davao Region)  
- API: Partial (via OpenSTAT PXWeb API; raw microdata via request or PSADA archive)  
- Update frequency: Quarterly (with monthly elements post-2021); annual provincial summaries  
- Auth: None for aggregates; possible request for detailed files  
- Geographic granularity: Region XI (Davao) standard; disaggregation to provinces (e.g., Davao del Norte/Sur) and select cities in tables/visualizations[[3]](https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey)[[4]](https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/content/employment-situation-january-2026-davao-region)

**Philippine Standard Geographic Code (PSGC) API**  
- https://psgc.gitlab.io/api/  
- API: Yes (REST API for regions, provinces, cities, municipalities, barangays)  
- Update frequency: Periodic (based on PSA updates; current as of mid-2022 in source)  
- Auth: None  
- Geographic granularity: Full hierarchy down to barangay level, including Davao City and Davao Region provinces (useful for mapping/filtering)[[5]](https://psgc.gitlab.io/api/)

**Philippines COD-AB Administrative Boundaries (HDX)**  
- https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-phl  
- API: No (direct downloads: GeoJSON, Shapefile, XLSX)  
- Update frequency: Periodic updates (latest ~2026)  
- Auth: None  
- Geographic granularity: Admin levels 0–4 (regions, provinces, cities/municipalities, barangays); includes Davao Region (XI) and Davao City for ACLED event filtering or sub-national analysis[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-phl)

**Davao Today RSS Feed**  
- https://davaotoday.com/feed/  
- API: No (RSS feed)  
- Update frequency: Daily  
- Auth: None  
- Geographic granularity: Davao City and surrounding Mindanao areas (local news on politics, business, society)[[7]](https://rss.feedspot.com/philippines_news_rss_feeds/)

**MindaNews RSS Feed**  
- https://mindanews.com/feed/  
- API: No (RSS feed)  
- Update frequency: Daily/regular (Mindanao-focused)  
- Auth: None  
- Geographic granularity: Mindanao-wide with strong Davao coverage (news on regional issues, conflict, development)[[7]](https://rss.feedspot.com/philippines_news_rss_feeds/)

No dedicated municipal statistics bureau for Davao City with a public API or bulk machine-readable downloads was identified beyond PSA regional channels. Limited evidence of specialized think tank/NGO/academic projects providing ongoing public machine-readable datasets (vs. one-off reports) specific to Davao youth/poverty/crisis monitoring. ACLED already supports Philippines filtering; combine with the PSGC/HDX boundaries or region codes for Davao (Region XI) precision.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
5.27.08.8201420256.1%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
3.87.411.0201620234.3

Internet access

%
31.256.381.32014202467.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
103.8129.1154.520142024115.3

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
88.493.598.72014202398.0%

AI usage

%
7.814.120.42014202416.8%

Population

people
102801006.8109805400.0116809793.220142024115843670.0

Working-age share

%
61.864.567.12014202466.6%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.