East Asia & Pacific · PHL-DVO · Metro of Philippines
Davao (Mindanao)Metro
Location
Structural indicators below are national values for Philippines. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Davao (Mindanao) specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: Mindanao — separate security/insurgency profile from northern Philippines
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-28 12:00 UTC · run 2026-06-28T12
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**Davao Region (Mindanao) shows a relatively strong local labor market in recent PSA data, with overall unemployment well below the national youth baseline, though January 2026 saw some reversal and external risks (geopolitical/Middle East-related and a major June 2026 earthquake) could pose future pressures on youth employment.** No major protests, militia activity, mass layoffs, crackdowns, or internet/mobile disruptions specific to young men (18-35) in Davao metro were identified in the last ~60 days (late April–June 28, 2026).[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)[[2]](https://mb.com.ph/2026/05/28/davao-region-logs-fewer-unemployed-persons-in-2025) **1. Local labor market/unemployment data (Davao Region-specific, not national):** - Full-year 2025 (latest annual figures, reported May–June 2026): Davao Region unemployment rate fell to **2.9%** (from 3.2% in 2024), with employment rate at **97.1%** (up from 96.8%). Unemployed persons: ~73,000 (down from 79,000). Labor force participation rose to **65.4%**. Underemployment dropped to **3.9%** (from 4.4%). Services sector dominated employment (56.4%), followed by agriculture (28%).[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases) - Davao City (metro core): Highest unemployment in the region at **3.8%** (still below national averages). Other provinces lower (e.g., Davao del Sur **1.5%** unemployment, 98.5% employment rate).[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases) - Youth (15-24) specifics for 2025: Employment rate improved to **91.1%** (from 90.4%); NEET rate fell to **12%** (from 13.9%); labor force participation slightly down to **33.3%**.[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases) - January 2026 (more recent snapshot): Unemployment rose to **4.8%** (from 2.9% in January 2025); ~120,000 unemployed.[[3]](https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/content/employment-situation-january-2026-davao-region)[[3]](https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/content/employment-situation-january-2026-davao-region) - April 2026 context: Davao Region posted one of the highest regional employment rates nationally (**97.5%**).[[4]](https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey) These figures are significantly lower than the national 2025 youth (15-24 male) unemployment baseline of 6.1%, indicating a relatively stable local picture through 2025 with mixed early 2026 signals. Sources: PSA via SunStar Davao, mb.com.ph, rsso11.psa.gov.ph, and DOLE LMI portal.[[1]](https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/business/davaos-employment-rises-as-joblessness-eases)[[2]](https://mb.com.ph/2026/05/28/davao-region-logs-fewer-unemployed-persons-in-2025) **2. Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35):** - **Potential economic shocks (forward-looking, June 2026 reporting)**: Article highlights risks from US-Israel-Iran-related Middle East instabilities, including possible mass OFW repatriation (affecting remittances supporting Mindanao households), agribusiness collapse in Davao plantations (fuel/fertilizer costs leading to lower yields and **mass layoffs**), and broader poverty/security gaps. Mindanao GDP growth was 4.69% in 2025 but vulnerable. No confirmed 2026 layoffs yet.[[5]](https://mindanews.com/mindaviews/2026/06/development-perspectives-when-will-the-economic-situation-in-mindanao-return-to-pre-mideast-instabilities/) - **June 2026 Mindanao earthquake (mag. 7.8, early June)**: Affected Davao Occidental and nearby areas (states of calamity declared in parts of Sarangani, Davao Occidental, General Santos). Multiple aftershocks; risks to vulnerable groups including youth via disrupted livelihoods, water contamination, and poverty exacerbation in conflict-prone zones. Humanitarian response ongoing as of mid-June.[[6]](https://www.care.org/media-and-press/philippines-earthquake-four-days-after-access-to-isolated-mindanao-communities-remains-urgent/) - Other: April 6, 2026 Davao City EO creating an Inter-Agency Task Force on Emergency Socioeconomic Crisis Response. Limited protest mentions (e.g., earlier 2026 events not youth/male-specific or recent). No militia or crackdown reports tied to Davao youth in the period.[[7]](https://www.facebook.com/pnagovph/posts/the-davao-city-government-issues-executive-order-no-07-series-of-2026-on-monday-/1359464992896618/) **3. NGO/think-tank reports on Davao youth (2025–2026):** - Limited recent publications directly on instability. Youth-focused events (e.g., Actions for Earth Global Youth Summit Davao 2026, NextGen Muslim Innovators Summit) emphasize positive engagement, skills, and entrepreneurship rather than instability. Broader reports (e.g., BTI 2026 Philippines) note national youth unemployment concerns but not Davao-specific spikes. No 2025–early 2026 reports flagging major deterioration in Davao.[[8]](https://manilastandard.net/spotlight/314728818/actions-for-earth-global-youth-summit-davao-2026-empowering-youth-for-responsible-consumption-and-environmental-action.html) **4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes:** - No reports of shutdowns, major outages, or significant rollouts specific to Davao (Mindanao) in the searched results or period. **Overall assessment vs. baseline:** Local Davao Region unemployment remains low (2.9–4.8% range recently) compared to national youth figures, with improvements in 2025 and youth NEET/employment metrics. No immediate events significantly elevating instability (e.g., no spikes in protests, layoffs, or connectivity issues). However, the June 2026 earthquake and potential Middle East conflict spillovers represent downside risks that could pressure youth employment in agribusiness and related sectors if they materialize—monitor for follow-on data. All data scoped to Davao Region where possible.
Source discovery
**PSA Regional Statistical Services Office XI (RSSO XI) / OpenSTAT (Davao Region data portal)** - https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/ and https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/ (PXWeb interface) - API: Yes (PXWeb API at https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/PXWeb/api/v1/en) - Update frequency: Varies by dataset (e.g., Labor Force Survey quarterly/monthly at regional level) - Auth: None (open data) - Geographic granularity: Davao Region (Region XI) primary; some provincial/city-level tables or small-area estimates (e.g., poverty, labor indicators)[[1]](https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/)[[2]](https://dateno.io/registry/catalog/cdi00001278/) **PSA Labor Force Survey (LFS) regional/provincial releases (via OpenSTAT or RSSO XI)** - https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey and RSSO XI pages (e.g., employment situation reports for Davao Region) - API: Partial (via OpenSTAT PXWeb API; raw microdata via request or PSADA archive) - Update frequency: Quarterly (with monthly elements post-2021); annual provincial summaries - Auth: None for aggregates; possible request for detailed files - Geographic granularity: Region XI (Davao) standard; disaggregation to provinces (e.g., Davao del Norte/Sur) and select cities in tables/visualizations[[3]](https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey)[[4]](https://rsso11.psa.gov.ph/content/employment-situation-january-2026-davao-region) **Philippine Standard Geographic Code (PSGC) API** - https://psgc.gitlab.io/api/ - API: Yes (REST API for regions, provinces, cities, municipalities, barangays) - Update frequency: Periodic (based on PSA updates; current as of mid-2022 in source) - Auth: None - Geographic granularity: Full hierarchy down to barangay level, including Davao City and Davao Region provinces (useful for mapping/filtering)[[5]](https://psgc.gitlab.io/api/) **Philippines COD-AB Administrative Boundaries (HDX)** - https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-phl - API: No (direct downloads: GeoJSON, Shapefile, XLSX) - Update frequency: Periodic updates (latest ~2026) - Auth: None - Geographic granularity: Admin levels 0–4 (regions, provinces, cities/municipalities, barangays); includes Davao Region (XI) and Davao City for ACLED event filtering or sub-national analysis[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-phl) **Davao Today RSS Feed** - https://davaotoday.com/feed/ - API: No (RSS feed) - Update frequency: Daily - Auth: None - Geographic granularity: Davao City and surrounding Mindanao areas (local news on politics, business, society)[[7]](https://rss.feedspot.com/philippines_news_rss_feeds/) **MindaNews RSS Feed** - https://mindanews.com/feed/ - API: No (RSS feed) - Update frequency: Daily/regular (Mindanao-focused) - Auth: None - Geographic granularity: Mindanao-wide with strong Davao coverage (news on regional issues, conflict, development)[[7]](https://rss.feedspot.com/philippines_news_rss_feeds/) No dedicated municipal statistics bureau for Davao City with a public API or bulk machine-readable downloads was identified beyond PSA regional channels. Limited evidence of specialized think tank/NGO/academic projects providing ongoing public machine-readable datasets (vs. one-off reports) specific to Davao youth/poverty/crisis monitoring. ACLED already supports Philippines filtering; combine with the PSGC/HDX boundaries or region codes for Davao (Region XI) precision.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025