East Asia & Pacific · PHL-MNL · Metro of Philippines

ManilaMetro

23
Composite priority
6.1%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
116.79M
Population · 2025
67.1%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
4.3 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

14.60°, 120.98° · ISO PHL-MNL / PHOpen in OpenStreetMap →
Metro proxy

Structural indicators below are national values for Philippines. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Manila specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: 13M+ metro; informal-sector youth

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment6.1%· 10p
2025
Intentional homicides4.3 per 100k· 13p
2023
Internet access67.3%· 38p
2024
Mobile subscriptions115.3 per 100· 51p
2024
Phone ownership88.1%· 24p
2023
Electricity access94.8%· 8p
2024
AI usage16.8%· 38p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 3.7p vs 2021
9
Access gap 4.7p vs 2021
32
Impact 1.7p vs 2021
17

Latest signals

2026-07-17 09:09 UTC · run 2026-07-17T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major shifts detected from the provided baseline (national male youth unemployment 15-24 at 6.1% in 2025; national instability fuse score 9.0/100) in the Manila metro area over the last ~60 days (mid-May to mid-July 2026).**[[1]](https://www.facebook.com/PSAgovph/posts/january-2026-unemployment-ratethe-countrys-unemployment-rate-was-estimated-at-58/1273714388193668/)[[2]](https://psa.gov.ph/content/unemployment-rate-eased-50-percent-march-2026)

**1. Local labor market/unemployment data (Manila metro/NCR-specific):**  
No recent PSA or other official reports provide granular Metro Manila (NCR) or city-level youth unemployment or labor force statistics for 2026. Available data remains national. Recent national figures show overall unemployment at 5.0% (March 2026) and 4.7% (April 2026), with youth (15-24) labor force participation around 30.6% and employment rates ~85-87% in early 2026—consistent with or slightly softer than prior trends but without Manila-specific breakdowns.[[2]](https://psa.gov.ph/content/unemployment-rate-eased-50-percent-march-2026)[[3]](https://psa.gov.ph/content/unemployment-rate-declined-51-percent-labor-market-conditions-improved-february-2026) Underemployment rose nationally to 7.4 million in April 2026. No evidence of Manila-specific mass layoffs or shocks in city industries (e.g., BPO, manufacturing, services).

**2. Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35) in Manila:**  
Several protests occurred in Metro Manila, primarily anti-corruption or political in nature, with potential youth participation but no reports of militia activity, targeted crackdowns on young men, or direct economic shocks tied to youth instability:  
- June 12, 2026 (Independence Day): Progressive groups (including Bagong Alyansang Makabayan) marched along Kalaw Avenue and other Manila sites (~2,500 participants reported), calling for dismantling US bases/missile systems and rejecting certain economic corridors. Demonstrations also occurred in Quezon City and Pasay.[[4]](https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/2245443/fwd-progressive-groups-march-for-genuine-independence)[[4]](https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/2245443/fwd-progressive-groups-march-for-genuine-independence)  
- Late June 2026: Planned/held anti-corruption rallies (e.g., White Ribbon Movement/EDSA People Power Monument on/around June 28; Iglesia Ni Cristo/INC religious group rally starting June 30 at EDSA, moving to Liwasang Bonifacio in Manila on July 2, drawing 14,000+ and causing traffic disruption; class suspensions announced in Manila).[[5]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-30/thousands-stage-flash-protest-in-philippines-crippling-traffic)[[6]](https://www.rappler.com/philippines/religious-civil-society-leaders-anti-corruption-protest-edsa-june-2026/)[[7]](https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/993451/live-updates-iglesia-ni-cristo-rally-at-liwasang-bonifacio-july-2-2026/story/)  
- July 10, 2026: Interfaith rally against corruption at Liwasang Bonifacio, Manila.[[8]](https://www.manilatimes.net/2026/07/10/videos/breaking-protesters-gather-at-liwasang-bonifacio-for-interfaith-rally-against-corruption/2382180)  

Earlier 2026 protests (e.g., February) involved clashes near Malacañang but fall outside the 60-day window. No reports of escalated violence, youth-specific mobilization, or security incidents significantly raising instability risks in Manila.[[9]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025%E2%80%932026_Philippine_anti-corruption_protests)

**3. NGO/think-tank reports on Manila's youth (2025/2026):**  
No new Manila-specific reports identified from 2025 or 2026. Broader/national references include ongoing concerns over youth employment challenges, red-tagging of civil society, and projects like the Kaliwa Dam (impacting water supply for Manila but with Indigenous displacement noted in older contexts). National Youth Commission statistics updates appear from mid-2025.[[10]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/PHL)

**4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes in Manila:**  
- Positive developments: Globe expanded 5G rollout in Q1 2026 (408 new cell sites; outdoor coverage reached 98% across Metro Manila and major cities).[[11]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DYPGu-jFq9n/?hl=en)  
- Potential minor disruptions: Reports of fiber cut incidents around May 12, 2026, affecting connectivity (texts, browsing, mobile data) in parts of Metro Manila and nearby provinces; described as unusual but not a full shutdown.[[11]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DYPGu-jFq9n/?hl=en)  
- Ongoing national transition: Phased 3G shutdown targeted for completion by end-2026 to support 4G/5G (no Manila-specific impacts reported recently). No government-directed outages or major rollbacks noted.[[12]](https://www.ookla.com/articles/controlled-network-testing-manila-2026)

**Overall assessment:** Developments are limited to routine national labor trends (no Manila granularity), recurring but contained protests with mixed participant demographics, and incremental connectivity improvements with isolated minor incidents. Nothing identified indicates a significant upward shift in youth instability risks for Manila metro relative to the national baseline. Continued monitoring of PSA regional releases and protest escalations is recommended. Sources primarily from PSA, news outlets (Inquirer, Rappler, Al Jazeera, Manila Times), and Wikipedia summaries of events.
Source discovery
**PSA OpenSTAT (Philippine Statistics Authority open data platform)**  
- URL: https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/ (PXWeb API: https://openstat.psa.gov.ph:443/PXWeb/api/v1/en)  
- API: Yes (PXWeb)  
- Update frequency: Varies by dataset (monthly/quarterly/annual)  
- Auth required: None (open)  
- Geographic granularity: National to sub-national (regions incl. NCR/Metro Manila, provinces, cities/municipalities; some city/municipal-level via Small Area Estimation)[[1]](https://dateno.io/registry/catalog/cdi00001278/)[[2]](https://openstat.psa.gov.ph/)

**PSA Labor Force Survey (LFS) provincial/annual statistics (via OpenSTAT or direct releases)**  
- URL: https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey (tables/press releases); data via OpenSTAT  
- API: Partial (via OpenSTAT PXWeb)  
- Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly surveys; annual provincial summaries  
- Auth required: None  
- Geographic granularity: National, regional (NCR), provincial; limited direct city-level (NCR often proxies for Metro Manila cities like Manila)[[3]](https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey)[[4]](https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey/press-release/node/1684077703)

**PSA City/Municipal-Level Poverty Estimates (Small Area Estimation - SAE)**  
- URL: PSA poverty statistics pages (e.g., releases with Excel tables on psa.gov.ph); some via FOI or OpenSTAT  
- API: No (Excel downloads/tables)  
- Update frequency: Periodic (e.g., 2018/2021/2023 releases)  
- Auth required: None (public releases)  
- Geographic granularity: City and municipal level (covers Manila and other NCR cities/municipalities)[[5]](https://www.foi.gov.ph/agencies/psa/apis-2024-municipality-and-city-level/)[[6]](https://www.facebook.com/psaantique2/posts/%F0%9D%90%84%F0%9D%90%AF%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%AB%F0%9D%90%B2-%F0%9D%90%AD%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%B0%F0%9D%90%A7-%F0%9D%90%A2%F0%9D%90%A7-%F0%9D%90%80%F0%9D%90%A7%F0%9D%90%AD%F0%9D%90%A2%F0%9D%90%AA%F0%9D%90%AE%F0%9D%90%9E-%F0%9D%90%AC%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%AC-%F0%9D%90%9D%F0%9D%90%AB%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%A9-%F0%9D%90%A2%F0%9D%90%A7-%F0%9D%90%A9%F0%9D%90%A8%F0%9D%90%AF%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%AB%F0%9D%90%AD%F0%9D%90%B2-%F0%9D%90%A7%F0%9D%90%AE%F0%9D%90%A6%F0%9D%90%9B%F0%9D%90%9E%F0%9D%90%AB%F0%9D%90%ACin-2023-611-percent-or-11-out-/1335317528633848/)

**Philippines Subnational Administrative Boundaries (COD-AB, useful for ACLED filtering)**  
- URL: https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-phl (GeoJSON/SHP downloads)  
- API: No (downloads)  
- Update frequency: Periodic updates (latest version ~2026)  
- Auth required: None  
- Geographic granularity: Admin 0–4 (regions incl. NCR, provinces, cities/municipalities like Manila)[[7]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-phl)

**ACLED Philippines dataset (subnational filtering)**  
- URL: https://acleddata.com/country/philippines (Explorer/platform; boundaries from HDX above)  
- API: Partial (registered users; data export/filtering by admin1/admin2/location)  
- Update frequency: Ongoing (real-time or near-real-time events)  
- Auth required: Free registration for full access/API  
- Geographic granularity: Subnational (admin1 like NCR for Metro Manila area; admin2/precise locations for Manila events)[[8]](https://acleddata.com/country/philippines)[[9]](https://acleddata.com/methodology/acled-codebook)

**Manila Standard / other Manila-focused news RSS feeds**  
- URL: https://manilastandard.net/feed/all (or /rss); similar for Philstar, Manila Times, etc.  
- API: No (RSS feeds)  
- Update frequency: Real-time/as published  
- Auth required: None  
- Geographic granularity: Local Manila/Metro Manila coverage (English primary; some Tagalog/Filipino content)[[10]](https://github.com/plenaryapp/awesome-rss-feeds)[[11]](https://www.manilatimes.net/rss)

**Open Data Philippines (general government portal, includes agency data)**  
- URL: https://data.gov.ph/  
- API: Varies by dataset (some machine-readable)  
- Update frequency: Varies  
- Auth required: None  
- Geographic granularity: National/sub-national as provided by agencies (potential Manila-relevant stats)[[12]](https://data.gov.ph/)

**PIDS (Philippine Institute for Development Studies) / SERP-P research portal**  
- URL: https://serp-p.pids.gov.ph/ (or pids.gov.ph)  
- API: No (publications/datasets from studies)  
- Update frequency: Ongoing research releases  
- Auth required: None  
- Geographic granularity: National/regional/sub-national (poverty, youth, urban issues; Manila/Metro Manila studies)[[13]](https://pidswebs.pids.gov.ph/CDN/INFOCUS/pidsupdates71.html)

No dedicated public API or machine-readable portal was identified for the Manila city government itself (unlike some other cities like Baguio). Sub-national labor/poverty data is strongest at the NCR/regional or provincial level via PSA, with city-level via SAE estimates. News RSS provides timely local signals. Always verify latest availability and exact Manila/NCR disaggregation on the sites.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
5.27.08.8201420256.1%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
3.87.411.0201620234.3

Internet access

%
31.256.381.32014202467.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
103.8129.1154.520142024115.3

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
88.493.598.72014202494.8%

AI usage

%
7.814.120.42014202416.8%

Population

people
102725543.4110277046.0117828548.620142025116786962.0

Working-age share

%
61.864.767.62014202567.1%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.