East Asia & Pacific · PYF
French Polynesia
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-05 00:00 UTC · run 2026-06-05T00
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No significant new developments in the last 60 days (roughly April–early June 2026) alter the baseline youth instability indicators for French Polynesia (youth unemployment 15-24 male national: 33.2% in 2025; instability fuse score 78.6/100).**[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/french-polynesia/unemployment-youth-total-percent-of-total-labor-force-ages-15-24-wb-data.html)[[2]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/pyf/french-polynesia/unemployment-rate) ### 1. Government/ILO/World Bank Data on Youth or Male Unemployment No new releases or updates from the Institut de la Statistique de la Polynésie Française (ISPF), ILO, or World Bank on youth (15-24) or male-specific unemployment appear in the period. Recent available figures remain consistent with or predate the baseline: - Total unemployment rate: 11.75% (2024 data, unchanged into 2025/early 2026 reporting).[[2]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/pyf/french-polynesia/unemployment-rate) - Broader youth unemployment (15-24 total, modeled ILO estimate): 36.9% (2024).[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/french-polynesia/unemployment-youth-total-percent-of-total-labor-force-ages-15-24-wb-data.html) - Older ISPF reference: Youth (15-29) unemployment at 27.4% in one cited context; another older figure of 22.6% (2021) for the same group.[[3]](https://www.ispf.pf/publication/1286) No 2025–2026 modeled or national estimate updates for the specific male 15-24 cohort. General Pacific/ILO reports (e.g., January 2026 global employment trends) do not isolate French Polynesia.[[4]](https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/01/1166751) ### 2. Political, Security, or Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35) - **Political development (April 13, 2026)**: 15 lawmakers resigned from the ruling Tavini Huiraatira party, forming a breakaway group “A Fano Tia” (“Stay the course”) led by 25-year-old Tematai Le Gayic. This fragmented the Territorial Assembly and highlighted internal rifts over the pace of independence from France. It involves young political actors but has not led to reported protests, violence, militia activity, or broader youth mobilization.[[5]](https://islandsbusiness.com/news-break/chaos-in-french-polynesia-as-young-mps-split-from-ruling-party/) - No protests, coup attempts, economic shocks, currency issues, or youth-specific unrest reported in French Polynesia. Related Pacific territory news (e.g., New Caledonia tensions from 2024–2025) does not extend here.[[6]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_New_Caledonia_unrest) - Routine civil security drills (e.g., RUAHATU 2026 exercise in March and airport crisis simulation in May) reflect preparedness rather than active incidents.[[7]](https://www.polynesie-francaise.pref.gouv.fr/Actualites/Communiques-de-presse/2026/Les-services-se-preparent-a-faire-face-en-cas-de-crise-exercice-interservices-RUAHATU-2026) - Housing affordability challenges noted (prices rose 2024–2025), with some local contestation over development projects (e.g., Raiatea), but these are not framed as youth-driven instability.[[8]](https://la1ere.franceinfo.fr/polynesie/tahiti/polynesie-francaise/l-etat-soutient-la-construction-de-logements-en-polynesie-francaise-avec-le-pays-1687655.html) - Positive youth-focused events include an interfaith Easter gathering with ~800 youth in Papeete (April 6, 2026) and upcoming sports/youth summits.[[9]](https://news-pacific.churchofjesuschrist.org/article/french-polynesia-president-encourages-youth-to-strengthen-faith-in-christ-during-easter-interfaith-event) ### 3. NGO or Academic Reports on Youth Situation (2025) No notable new NGO or academic reports specifically on French Polynesia’s youth instability or unemployment published or highlighted in 2025–early 2026. Broader Pacific or global reports (e.g., ILO global trends, World Population Highlights) do not provide territory-specific updates. A May 2025 French Polynesia SDG progress report exists but focuses on sustainable development broadly, not youth labor metrics.[[10]](https://www.service-public.pf/daie/wp-content/uploads/sites/14/2025/05/RAPPORT_ODD_PF_2024_ANGLAIS.pdf) ### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure No shutdowns, coverage crises, or major rollouts reported. Traveler and operator guides (updated for 2026) describe stable/expanding access via providers like Vini (broadest coverage) and Vodafone French Polynesia, with good 4G/5G in main islands (Tahiti, Moorea, Bora Bora) and 5G limited to Papeete/Tahiti. Remote atolls have more variable service; no systemic changes flagged.[[11]](https://cellesim.com/en/blog/best-esim-for-french-polynesia-2026-avoid-roaming-fees-and-stay-connected)[[12]](https://www.traveltomtom.net/destinations/oceania/french-polynesia/french-polynesia-prepaid-sim-card-guide) **Overall assessment**: The baseline indicators remain unchanged. The April 2026 political party split introduces a minor note of elite-level fragmentation involving young figures but does not indicate escalation toward protests, economic deterioration, or heightened youth instability. No data or events suggest upward pressure on the 33.2% male youth unemployment figure or the 78.6/100 fuse score. Continued monitoring of ISPF releases and local political dynamics is recommended.
Source discovery
**ISPF (Institut de la statistique de la Polynésie française) – National statistics office** - URL: https://www.ispf.pf/ (Open Data / Chiffres détaillés / Emploi sections; also mirrored on data.gouv.fr) - API: No (dedicated public API); machine-readable downloads (Excel/CSV via publications and open data portals) - Update frequency: Monthly (e.g., “Emploi salarié du secteur marchand”) and periodic surveys (labor force/employment inquiries) - Auth required: None (public downloads)[[1]](https://www.ispf.pf/)[[2]](https://www.data.gouv.fr/organizations/institut-de-la-statistique-de-la-polynesie-francaise) **IEOM (Institut d’Émission d’Outre-Mer) – Central bank / monetary institute for French overseas territories** - URL: https://www.ieom.fr/ (economic studies, conjoncture reports, business climate indicator ICA) - API: No; PDF reports and tables (some Excel extracts in publications) - Update frequency: Annual/quarterly economic reports and indicators (business confidence, tourism, labor-related economic context) - Auth required: None (public publications)[[3]](https://www.ieom.fr/The-economy-of-French-Polynesia-in-2024) **ADB Data Library / Key Indicators Database (KIDB) – Asian Development Bank regional database** - URL: https://data.adb.org/ and https://kidb.adb.org/ - API: Yes (machine-readable datasets and APIs available) - Update frequency: Regular (key macroeconomic/social indicators); country coverage varies—French Polynesia often limited or absent as it is not a core ADB member - Auth required: None (open access)[[4]](https://www.unescap.org/library/databases)[[4]](https://www.unescap.org/library/databases) **ESCAP Data Explorer / Asia-Pacific SDG Gateway – UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific** - URL: https://www.unescap.org/ (Data Explorer / SDG Gateway) - API: Partial (data explorer supports downloads; some programmatic access via SDG tools) - Update frequency: Periodic (SDG and statistical indicators with Pacific subregion/country breakdowns; French Polynesia included in select Pacific datasets) - Auth required: None (open)[[4]](https://www.unescap.org/library/databases) **newsdata.io French Polynesia Top News API – News aggregation service** - URL: https://newsdata.io/news-sources/french-polynesia-top-news-api - API: Yes (REST API for curated news from local/regional sources) - Update frequency: Real-time / on-demand queries - Auth required: Free tier available; paid plans for higher volume[[5]](https://newsdata.io/news-sources/french-polynesia-top-news-api) **HDX (Humanitarian Data Exchange) – French Polynesia datasets** - URL: https://data.humdata.org/group/pyf - API: No dedicated API (CKAN-based platform with downloads); some datasets support API access via HDX infrastructure - Update frequency: Varies by contributor (crisis, disaster, poverty-related datasets) - Auth required: None (public)[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/group/pyf) These sources focus on direct or regional/official data with machine-readable access where possible, complementing the already-used sources (World Bank, ACLED, etc.). National sources like ISPF provide the most granular youth/labor indicators via downloads; regional databases offer broader context but variable coverage for French Polynesia.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025