East Asia & Pacific · PYF
French Polynesia
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-08-05 09:08 UTC · run 2026-08-05T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No significant new developments in the last 60 days (roughly June–early August 2026) that would materially shift French Polynesia’s youth instability baseline (male youth unemployment 15-24 at 33.2% for 2025; national instability fuse score 78.6/100).**[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/french-polynesia/unemployment-youth-total-percent-of-total-labor-force-ages-15-24-wb-data.html)[[2]](https://www.macrotrends.net/datasets/global-metrics/countries/pyf/french-polynesia/youth-unemployment-rate) **1. Government/ILO/World Bank data on youth or male unemployment:** No new releases or updates specific to French Polynesia’s youth (15-24) or male unemployment rates appear in the period. Existing modeled ILO/World Bank figures remain the most recent detailed ones (e.g., total youth unemployment ~36.5–36.9% for 2024–2025 estimates; overall unemployment ~11.7% recently cited in regional comparisons).[[3]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSPYF)[[4]](https://www.facebook.com/seastats/posts/french-polynesia-records-the-highest-unemployment-in-east-asia-pacific-at-117-fo/1006101071761744/)[[5]](https://donnees.banquemondiale.org/indicateur/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS?locations=PF) The Institut de la statistique de la Polynésie française (ISPF) completed data collection for its Enquête Emploi 2026 (employment survey covering the Society Islands, with fieldwork ending around June 2026), but no youth- or gender-disaggregated results have been published yet. Earlier 2026 figures show total unemployment declining to ~8.7% in Q1 2026, supported by tourism-related job creation (~1,800 direct jobs noted in one April 2026 report).[[6]](https://www.ispf.pf/ispf/enquete/EE2026)[[7]](https://pacificpost.ai/2026/04/19/pf-le-chomage-recule-a-87-au-t1-2026-le-tourisme-tire-lemploi-local-vers-le-haut-2/) **2. Political, security, or economic events affecting young men (18-35):** None identified. No protests, coups, militia activity, or major economic shocks/currency issues specific to French Polynesia in the window. Regional coverage focuses on New Caledonia’s earlier unrest or global trends. Positive developments include ongoing marine protected area (MPA) expansions (building on 2025 UN Ocean Conference announcements, with further pledges into 2026), which could support fisheries and tourism jobs.[[8]](https://globalconservation.org/news/kbdyyaq84bbah62cu45netkxzcsgjz) Military exercises (e.g., MARARA 26 in June 2026) and occasional drug seizure references exist but do not indicate heightened youth-related instability.[[9]](https://www.dvidshub.net/news/568273/us-french-and-pacific-leaders-strengthen-partnerships-during-marara-26) **3. NGO/academic reports on youth situation (published 2025):** No notable new 2025-dated NGO or academic reports focused on French Polynesian youth unemployment, employment, or instability were identified in recent searches. Broader items include a May 2025 French Polynesia SDG progress report and a 2026 UNICEF Children’s Climate Risk Report (territory included but not youth-instability specific).[[10]](https://www.service-public.pf/daie/wp-content/uploads/sites/14/2025/05/RAPPORT_ODD_PF_2024_ANGLAIS.pdf)[[11]](https://data.unicef.org/resources/childrens-climate-risk-report-2026/) **4. Internet/mobile infrastructure changes:** No shutdowns, major rollouts, or coverage shifts reported. A French parliamentary measure (approved ~July 2026) to ban social media for those under 15 has prompted reactions in French Polynesia and could indirectly limit youth digital access, though implementation details and timing (potentially September onward) remain pending.[[12]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ev6T4FLgvpg) **Summary flag:** Nothing in the last 60 days indicates a meaningful change to the baseline picture. Youth unemployment data gaps persist pending ISPF 2026 survey results. Continued monitoring of ISPF releases and any spillover from regional (e.g., New Caledonia) or French policy developments is recommended.
Source discovery
**ISPF (Institut de la statistique de la Polynésie française) – National statistics institute** - URL: https://www.ispf.pf/ (data/publications section; open data via related portals like tefenua.data.gov.pf) - API: No (machine-readable downloads/exports available in common formats) - Update frequency: Varies (labor/unemployment surveys and indicators often annual or periodic; census/recensement data less frequent) - Auth: None (public/open data)[[1]](https://www.ispf.pf/)[[2]](https://www.tefenua.data.gov.pf/) **IEOM (Institut d’émission d’outre-mer) – Central bank for French Pacific territories (incl. French Polynesia)** - URL: https://www.ieom.fr/ (French Polynesia economic overview/reports section) - API: No (annual economic reports and indicators available as downloads/PDFs or tables) - Update frequency: Annual (economic overviews and key indicators) - Auth: None (public)[[3]](https://www.ieom.fr/?lang=en)[[4]](https://www.ieom.fr/French-Polynesia-Economic-overview?lang=en) **ADB Data Library / Key Indicators Database (Asian Development Bank)** - URL: https://data.adb.org/ (and https://kidb.adb.org/ for API access); includes Pacific island data breakdowns - API: Yes (RESTful/SDMX API for Key Indicators Database) - Update frequency: Varies (annual/periodic key economic and development indicators) - Auth: None (public; free access)[[5]](https://data.adb.org/)[[6]](https://kidb.adb.org/api) **Pacific Data Hub (Pacific Community / SPC)** - URL: https://pacificdata.org/ (country filter for FP/French Polynesia; economy, population, employment, and related datasets) - API: Partial/no dedicated public API (extensive open datasets with machine-readable downloads across topics) - Update frequency: Varies (ongoing additions from SPC and partners; many annual or periodic indicators) - Auth: None (public/open data portal)[[7]](https://pacificdata.org/)[[7]](https://pacificdata.org/) **Tahiti Infos (local news – reliable FP coverage)** - URL: https://www.tahiti-infos.com/ (RSS feed available via country news feed lists) - API: No (RSS feed for machine-readable access) - Update frequency: High (daily/ongoing news) - Auth: None (public RSS)[[8]](https://github.com/yavuz/news-feed-list-of-countries) **Global Voices – Tahiti feed (regional news aggregator)** - URL: https://globalvoices.org/-/world/oceania/tahiti/ (RSS feeds by country/region) - API: No (RSS feeds available) - Update frequency: Periodic (as stories are published) - Auth: None (public RSS)[[9]](https://globalvoices.org/feeds/) These are primary or regional sources beyond the already-used global ones (e.g., World Bank, ACLED). National/regional coverage for youth-specific labor or instability proxies is often limited to periodic surveys or aggregated indicators; direct youth employment APIs are scarce. Check each site for latest download formats and any updates to access methods.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025