Europe & Central Asia · ROU
Romania
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-09-13 09:07 UTC · run 2026-09-13T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**Recent data (primarily from Romania’s National Institute of Statistics/INS via news reports in early September 2026, covering July and Q2 2026 periods) shows youth unemployment (15-24) at elevated quarterly levels of 28.8–30.8%, above the 2025 annual average of ~24.5%.**[[1]](https://www.digi24.ro/digieconomic/consumer/somajul-a-scazut-la-64-in-iulie-dar-numarul-somerilor-ramane-peste-nivelul-de-anul-trecut-somajul-tinerilor-trece-de-30-117153)[[2]](https://actmedia.eu/daily/unemployment-rate-in-romania-rises-to-6.3pct-in-june-2026/120975)[[3]](https://tradingeconomics.com/romania/youth-unemployment-rate) This includes 28.5% for young men and 34.3% for young women in the April–June 2026 period (INS via Digi24, published Sept 1, 2026). Overall unemployment stood at 6.4% in July 2026 (down from 6.7–6.8% prior months), with male rates around 6.2–6.3% in mid-2026.[[4]](https://www.ceicdata.com/en/romania/ilo-unemployment-rate)[[1]](https://www.digi24.ro/digieconomic/consumer/somajul-a-scazut-la-64-in-iulie-dar-numarul-somerilor-ramane-peste-nivelul-de-anul-trecut-somajul-tinerilor-trece-de-30-117153) Annual modeled figures (World Bank/TheGlobalEconomy, FRED) confirm 24.54% youth unemployment for 2025 (up slightly from 23.63% in 2024).[[5]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Romania/youth_unemployment/)[[6]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSROU) No new ILO or World Bank youth-specific releases were identified in the last 60 days (as of mid-September 2026), though Eurostat data referenced in September 2026 reporting noted 26.1% youth unemployment for December 2025.[[7]](https://tradingeconomics.com/romania/youth-unemployment-rate-eurostat-data.html) **No major new political/security shocks (e.g., coups, militia recruitment, or currency crises) directly targeting young men (18-35) in the last 60 days.** However, Romania faces a prolonged political crisis following the May 5, 2026, government dismissal via no-confidence motion. Far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) has risen sharply in polls, reaching ~39.7% support in an early September 2026 INSCOP survey (up from ~38% earlier in the crisis; earlier data showed strong youth appeal for AUR and newer parties).[[8]](https://universul.net/romanian-far-right-boosts-its-already-strong-lead-in-latest-poll/)[[9]](https://romania.europalibera.org/a/tinerii-aleg-sens-si-aur/33586237.html)[[10]](https://universul.net/aurs-rise-in-romania-is-shocking-but-not-surprising-heres-why/) Related events include June 2026 education-sector protests (teachers and students opposing salary/bursary changes) and a planned farmers’ protest for September 15, 2026.[[11]](https://www.libertatea.ro/stiri/protest-sindicate-educatie-bucuresti-17-iunie-2026-noua-lege-educatie-5781486)[[12]](https://www.bta.bg/en/news/balkans/1198711-romanian-farmers-plan-national-protest-in-bucharest-september-15) Drone incursions linked to the Russia-Ukraine conflict prompted Romanian F-16 intercepts in July 2026, but these did not escalate into broader domestic instability.[[13]](https://nypost.com/tag/romania/) An ongoing political impasse (with AUR pushing for early elections or presidential suspension attempts) and rising far-right influence represent a potential risk factor for youth radicalization or discontent, though no direct militia or recruitment signals emerged. **Notable 2025 reports (with 2026 releases or references) highlight persistent structural issues.** Eurostat data released around September 3–4, 2026, showed Romania with the EU’s lowest tertiary education attainment among 25–34-year-olds at 23% in 2025 (vs. EU 44.8%), alongside weak graduate employment outcomes.[[14]](https://jurnalul.ro/stiri/educatie/romania-ultima-ue-tineri-studii-superioare-eurostat-1043381.html) The European Commission’s Education and Training Monitor 2025 noted high early school leaving (16.8% for 18–24 in 2024, well above EU averages) and skills gaps.[[15]](https://op.europa.eu/webpub/eac/education-and-training-monitor/en/country-reports/romania.html) Romania had the EU’s highest NEET rate (15–29) at 19.2% in 2025 (slightly down from 19.4% in 2024; EU average 11%).[[16]](https://www.romania-insider.com/romania-eu-young-people-out-work-education-aug-2026) Other 2025 analyses (e.g., INSCOP National Youth Barometer, FDSC civil society barometer) pointed to employment barriers, low trust in institutions among some groups, and higher NGO engagement/trust among youth.[[17]](https://newmoney.ro/inscop-cum-arata-realitatea-tinerilor-din-romania-principalele-concluzii-ale-barometrului-national-al-tinerilor/)[[18]](https://www.romania-insider.com/survey-romanians-trust-ngos-feb-2026) Save the Children Romania reported over 10,500 missing children cases from May 2025–May 2026, mostly teens.[[19]](https://www.romania-insider.com/missing-children-reports-romania-may-2025) **No significant negative changes to internet/mobile infrastructure.** Romania maintains high very high-capacity network (VHCN) coverage (~96.45% in 2025, above EU average) and fiber-to-the-premises (~96.25%), with ongoing 5G expansion (availability ~39% in Q1 2026) and market shifts (Digi overtaking Orange in mobile internet share).[[20]](https://www.parlament.gv.at/dokument/XXVIII/EU/79686/imfname_11637258.pdf)[[21]](https://www.romania-insider.com/digi-overtakes-orange-jun-2026) Isolated low-confidence connectivity alerts appeared in early September 2026 monitoring data, but these were not widespread or confirmed as shutdowns/rollbacks.[[22]](https://voidly.ai/ro) Access remains strong overall, with no evidence of deliberate restrictions. **Potential shifts from baseline (24.4% male youth unemployment 2025; 33.6/100 instability fuse):** Recent quarterly youth unemployment rates (28–31%) exceed the annual baseline and could indicate deterioration, particularly if sustained. Combined with political polarization (AUR surge, youth appeal to radical options in prior polling) and entrenched education/NEET challenges, this warrants monitoring for upward pressure on instability indicators. No acute economic shocks or infrastructure disruptions were noted. Sources primarily include INS via Romanian media (e.g., Digi24.ro, Agerpres.ro), World Bank/FRED aggregates, Eurostat references, and INSCOP polling reports from September 2026.
Source discovery
**National Institute of Statistics (INSSE) – TEMPO-Online database** - URL: http://statistici.insse.ro/tempoins/ (English interface available; labor force, employment/unemployment by demographics/age/region) - API: Partial (interactive web query tool with Excel/CSV downloads; no official public REST API, but third-party wrappers like INS+ at ins.gov2.ro or GitHub projects expose SDMX-style or simplified APIs) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly/annual (labor force survey data; e.g., unemployment rates and employment by age/sex/region) - Auth required: None (public access and downloads)[[1]](http://statistici.insse.ro/tempoins/?page=tempo3&lang=en&ind=FOM103D)[[2]](https://insse.ro/cms/en) **Agenția Națională pentru Ocuparea Forței de Muncă (ANOFM) – Registered unemployment data via data.gov.ro** - URL: https://data.gov.ro/organization/agentia-nationala-pentru-ocuparea-fortei-de-munca (monthly CSV datasets on registered unemployed, rates, by age/education/sex/compensation type) - API: No (direct CSV downloads per month; some third-party aggregators reference it) - Update frequency: Monthly - Auth required: None (public open data portal)[[3]](https://data.gov.ro/en/organization/agentia-nationala-pentru-ocuparea-fortei-de-munca)[[4]](https://data.gov.ro/en/user/anofm) **National Bank of Romania (BNR) – Statistical indicators (monetary, balance of payments, FDI, etc.)** - URL: https://www.bnr.ro/en/2632-statistical-indicators (press releases, tables, and interactive database for economic/monetary data relevant to youth employment/economic context) - API: No official public API for full statistics (exchange rates available via XML feeds or third parties; some commercial wrappers exist) - Update frequency: Monthly (monetary indicators, reserves); quarterly/annual for others (e.g., FDI, balance of payments) - Auth required: None (public dissemination)[[5]](https://www.bnr.ro/en/2632-statistical-indicators)[[5]](https://www.bnr.ro/en/2632-statistical-indicators) **Eurostat (Europe & Central Asia / EU country breakdowns, including youth/NEET/employment indicators)** - URL: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat (youth employment/unemployment/NEET datasets with NUTS2 regional breakdowns for Romania) - API: Yes (SDMX REST/web service API for data queries and bulk downloads) - Update frequency: Regular (monthly/quarterly/annual depending on indicator; e.g., youth unemployment, NEET rates) - Auth required: None (free public API)[[6]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/api/dissemination/catalogue/toc/legacy_txt?lang=EN) **TheAPI.ro (aggregated Romanian public data layer, including BNR rates and related indicators)** - URL: https://theapi.ro/ - API: Yes (REST JSON/XML endpoints; covers companies, BNR exchange rates, geography) - Update frequency: Real-time/as per underlying sources (e.g., daily BNR rates with history) - Auth required: JWT token (free during beta; no card required)[[7]](https://theapi.ro/) **Additional notes**: - EURES (European Employment Services) Job Search API provides Romania-specific vacancy and labor market statistics (REST endpoints; no auth for public stats). - No prominent local news RSS APIs or NGO/think-tank public data APIs specific to Romania youth instability/poverty tracking were identified beyond the above (Eurostat and INSSE cover most core needs). Regional ECA bodies like the EBRD or UNECE offer some data but lack Romania-specific public APIs beyond what Eurostat/World Bank already provide. All listed sources are free/public or low-barrier.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2025
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025