Europe & Central Asia · ROU
Romania
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-07 00:00 UTC · run 2026-07-07T00
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth (15-24) or male youth unemployment in Romania appear in the last 60 days (roughly May–early July 2026).** Eurostat and national data continue to show persistently elevated overall youth unemployment, higher than the 2025 baseline of 24.4% for males aged 15-24.[[1]](https://agerpres.ro/english/2026/07/02/may-unemployment-rate-increases-to-6-4pct-youth-unemployment-still-high-at-28-8pct--1572404)[[1]](https://agerpres.ro/english/2026/07/02/may-unemployment-rate-increases-to-6-4pct-youth-unemployment-still-high-at-28-8pct--1572404) Key recent figures (overall youth unemployment rate, ages 15-24, not male-specific): - 28.2% in late 2025/early 2026 periods (e.g., Dec 2025/Jan 2026), the highest in the EU per Eurostat.[[2]](https://www.romania-insider.com/romania-unemployment-young-people-march-2026)[[3]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/613670/youth-unemployment-rates-in-europe/?srsltid=AfmBOorgINKELN8LbIzu6ZWxd22jZ787x0RwuK6hhFOJbmYwpBU-epeb) - 28.8% for the January–March 2026 period (Romanian National Institute of Statistics/INS data released ~July 2, 2026); described as “persistently high” and a cause for concern. Overall seasonally adjusted unemployment rose to 6.4% in May 2026 (up 0.1 pp from April).[[1]](https://agerpres.ro/english/2026/07/02/may-unemployment-rate-increases-to-6-4pct-youth-unemployment-still-high-at-28-8pct--1572404)[[1]](https://agerpres.ro/english/2026/07/02/may-unemployment-rate-increases-to-6-4pct-youth-unemployment-still-high-at-28-8pct--1572404) - Trading Economics/Eurostat notes 26.1% in Dec 2025; other sources track ~28.8% into March 2026.[[4]](https://tradingeconomics.com/romania/youth-unemployment-rate-eurostat-data.html) These figures exceed the 2025 baseline (World Bank modeled ILO estimate for total youth unemployment was ~24.5% annually in 2025).[[5]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSROU) No male-specific breakdowns for 2026 were identified in recent releases. Overall labor market stability is noted, but youth remain the most vulnerable group.[[2]](https://www.romania-insider.com/romania-unemployment-young-people-march-2026) **No significant political, security, or economic events specifically targeting or heavily involving young men (18-35) such as large-scale protests by youth, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or currency/economic shocks were identified in the last 60 days.** Broader political turmoil includes: - A May 2026 government collapse (no-confidence vote against PM Ilie Bolojan) and ongoing instability/negotiations.[[6]](https://newseu.cgtn.com/news/2026-05-06/Romania-plunges-into-political-turmoil-as-government-collapses--1MVCKZr7mr6/p.html) - A June 19, 2026 protest in Bucharest’s Victoria Square (~2,000 demonstrators) against the political establishment, judiciary, and governance issues amid repeated government changes.[[7]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERfWpbid-6c) These are relatively small-scale and not framed as youth-driven or instability escalators. Earlier 2025–early 2026 protests (e.g., over anti-extremism laws or elections) had ended or were outside the 60-day window.[[8]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024%E2%80%932025_Romanian_election_annulment_protests) **Notable 2025 NGO/academic reports on Romania’s youth situation (some released/published into early 2026) include:** - OECD *Education and Skills in Romania: Driving Inclusive Growth* (highlights low labor market participation, vocational tracking, and skills issues).[[9]](https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/education-and-skills-in-romania_594cbb5d-en/full-report/education-and-skills-in-romania-driving-inclusive-growth_caa40633.html) - CPAG report (April 2026) on transitioning youth/NEETs, referencing 2025 OECD findings on early school leaving as a key NEET driver (Romania’s NEET rate was 17.04% in 2024 per World Bank data).[[10]](https://cpag.ro/reports/transitioning-romanian-youth-neets) - UNICEF Romania Annual Report 2025 (Feb 2026 publication).[[11]](https://open.unicef.org/download-pdf?country-name=Romania&year=2025) - UNESCO GEM Report country case study on Romania (notes stagnating early school leaving rates).[[12]](https://www.unesco.org/gem-report/en/2026-gem-report-country-case-studies/romania) These align with ongoing concerns about education-to-work transitions but do not indicate acute new shifts. **No changes to internet/mobile infrastructure access such as shutdowns, major coverage losses, or disruptions were reported for Romania in the period.** Ongoing/positive developments include 5G rollout strategies (targeting urban areas, highways, etc., with measures into 2026), mobile market consolidation (Q1 2026 analysis noting Romania ranking lower on speeds among CEE peers), and Opensignal’s May 2026 mobile experience report (data from Jan–Mar 2026).[[13]](https://www.ookla.com/articles/romania-mobile-5g-market-q1-2026)[[14]](https://insights.opensignal.com/reports/2026/05/romania/mobile-network-experience)[[15]](https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/digital-connectivity-romania) No #KeepItOn-style alerts or disruptions specific to Romania (unlike some neighbors or other regions). **Assessment relative to baseline:** Youth unemployment remains elevated (overall ~28.8% recently vs. 24.4% male baseline for 2025), consistent with prior trends but not showing dramatic worsening in new data. Political events reflect instability but at limited scale without youth-specific mobilization or escalation. No infrastructure or other shocks noted. Nothing identified would significantly alter the instability fuse score picture. Sources are primarily Eurostat, INS (via Agerpres), Trading Economics, and specialized reports.
Source discovery
**National statistics bureau (INS Romania / TEMPO-Online database):** - Name/URL: National Institute of Statistics (INS) TEMPO-Online database (https://insse.ro/cms/en or direct TEMPO access via insse.ro). - API: No (no public API; R package exists for bulk access). - Machine-readable downloads: Yes (CSV/Excel exports available). - Update frequency: Varies (monthly/quarterly for labor/unemployment data). - Auth: None (free public access).[[1]](https://www.revistadestatistica.ro/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/RRS-4_2017_A041.pdf) **Central bank/finance ministry (BNR - National Bank of Romania):** - Name/URL: BNR Statistical Data (https://www.bnr.ro/en/2382-statistical-data or main site bnr.ro). - API: Partial/no official full API (limited/third-party APIs for exchange rates; primarily reports and tables). - Machine-readable downloads: Yes (tables and datasets downloadable). - Update frequency: Varies (monthly/quarterly for economic indicators). - Auth: None (free public access).[[2]](https://www.bnr.ro/en/2382-statistical-data) **Regional database (Eurostat):** - Name/URL: Eurostat (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat; labor force and youth indicators databrowser). - API: Yes (SDMX/API access for bulk/programmatic use). - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly (e.g., unemployment, youth employment). - Auth: None (free, no key required for core data).[[3]](https://tradingeconomics.com/romania/youth-unemployment-rate-eurostat-data.html) **National employment agency (ANOFM - National Agency for Employment):** - Name/URL: ANOFM job vacancies portal (https://www.anofm.ro/ or https://www.anofm.ro/locuri-de-munca-vacante/). - API: No (web portal/listings; no public API). - Machine-readable downloads: Limited/partial (vacancy listings viewable; potential scraping or manual export). - Update frequency: Ongoing/real-time listings. - Auth: None (free public access).[[4]](https://www.anofm.ro/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/ANOFM-guide-ENG.pdf) **News RSS feeds (reliable English-language coverage of Romania):** - Name/URL: Romania Insider (and similar; see curated lists like Feedspot Romania News RSS). - API/RSS: Yes (standard RSS feeds available). - Update frequency: Daily. - Auth: None (free).[[5]](https://rss.feedspot.com/romania_news_rss_feeds/) **Regional/NGO data (examples with potential monitoring relevance):** - Name/URL: Friedrich Ebert Stiftung Romania Social Monitor (monitorsocial.ro or related). - API: No (reports and data visualizations; downloads possible). - Update frequency: Periodic (e.g., annual or project-based poverty/youth monitoring). - Auth: None (free). - Other: HDX humanitarian/poverty datasets for Romania (data.humdata.org, country-specific). No dedicated public API.[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/?q=People+in+need&groups=rou&force_layout=desktop&page=5) These focus on direct, non-modeled sources with Romania breakdowns. Eurostat stands out as the strongest regional/Europe option with robust API support for youth labor indicators. Verify current access/details directly, as portals evolve.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025