Europe & Central Asia · ROU
Romania
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-25 09:09 UTC · run 2026-06-25T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major shifts from the baseline (male youth unemployment 15-24 at 24.4% for 2025; national instability fuse score 33.6/100) based on developments in the last ~60 days (late April–June 2026).**[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSROU) ### 1. Youth/Male Unemployment Data Releases - No new ILO, World Bank, or dedicated national statistics releases on **male** youth (15-24) unemployment appear in the period. The 2025 modeled ILO estimate remains 24.544% (FRED data, updated Feb 2026).[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSROU) - Broader youth (under 25) unemployment stood at 28.2% in December 2025 per Romanian/Eurostat-linked reporting (nearly double the EU average at the time); March 2026 Eurostat tables list Romania youth data as unavailable (“:”). Overall national unemployment edged up to 6.1–6.4% in March 2026.[[2]](https://www.romania-insider.com/romania-unemployment-young-people-march-2026) - EU-wide youth unemployment (under 25) was 15.1% in April 2026 (down from 15.6% prior month). Romania-specific monthly figures remain limited in public Eurostat releases.[[3]](https://www.facebook.com/socialeurope/posts/-in-april-2026-the-youth-unemployment-rate-was-151-in-the-eu-down-from-156-in-th/1480885884079723/) These figures align with or are consistent with the 2025 baseline without indicating a sharp recent deterioration or improvement. ### 2. Political, Security, or Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35) No reported protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, major economic shocks, or currency crises specifically tied to young men in Romania during the period. Searches returned no relevant incidents. ### 3. NGO or Academic Reports on Youth (Published 2025) No notable new NGO or academic reports from 2025 surfaced in recent searches focused on the youth situation. ### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure Changes - No shutdowns, blackouts, or coverage reductions. Ongoing market consolidation (now three mobile operators) and 5G deployment continue, though performance lags CEE peers. - Q1 2026 data (Ookla, published May 27, 2026): Romania’s median mobile download speed was 78.43 Mbps (lowest among CEE peers); 5G availability 39% (up 4 pp YoY).[[4]](https://www.ookla.com/articles/romania-mobile-5g-market-q1-2026) - EU-level updates reference planned fiber rollout to ~945 localities (~4,000 km optical fiber, €94 million) and 5G strategy targets (urban/highway coverage goals originally set for 2025), with implementation measures extending into 2026.[[5]](https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/digital-connectivity-romania) - Opensignal’s May 2026 Mobile Network Experience Report (data period Jan–Mar 2026) provides further performance metrics but no disruption signals.[[6]](https://insights.opensignal.com/reports/2026/05/romania/mobile-network-experience) **Overall assessment**: No developments in the last 60 days appear significant enough to materially alter the baseline instability picture. Youth unemployment metrics remain in line with 2025 levels (with some variation by source/definition between overall vs. male-specific rates), infrastructure is stable-to-improving without restrictions, and no acute political or economic shocks were identified. Continued monitoring of Eurostat national releases for updated male youth breakdowns would be advisable.
Source discovery
**National statistics bureau (INS Romania):** - **Institutul Național de Statistică (INS)**, https://insse.ro/cms/en (or Romanian version). No public API (machine-readable downloads via Statistical Data and Metadata DB, Excel/CSV/TSV formats, plus “Statistics Romania” mobile app). Monthly updates for unemployment/labor/ILO indicators (e.g., seasonally adjusted unemployment). Auth: none (public downloads).[[1]](https://insse.ro/cms/en) **Central bank/finance ministry:** - **Banca Națională a României (BNR)**, https://www.bnr.ro/en/. No official public API for broad economic/youth indicators (annual reports, statistics sections with downloadable data; unofficial community API exists for exchange rates only). Updates vary (monthly/quarterly for key indicators). Auth: none.[[2]](https://www.bnr.ro/en/642-home) **Regional databases (Europe & Central Asia with Romania breakdowns):** - **Eurostat**, https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat (data browser and main tables). Yes, public SDMX 2.1/3.0 REST API (plus bulk downloads in multiple formats). Frequent updates (monthly/quarterly for labor market, youth employment/unemployment, NEET rates). Auth: none (fully public). Excellent Romania/EU coverage.[[3]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/user-guides/data-browser/api-data-access/api-getting-started) - **ECB Data Portal / Statistical Data Warehouse**, https://data.ecb.europa.eu/data/geographical-areas/romania. Yes, API access (SDMX). Varies by series (e.g., quarterly GDP, monthly unemployment). Auth: none (public).[[4]](https://data.ecb.europa.eu/data/geographical-areas/romania) **Local/regional news RSS feeds (reliable Romania coverage):** - **Hotnews.ro RSS**, https://www.hotnews.ro/ (or specific RSS endpoints). RSS feeds (no full API). Daily or near-real-time updates. Auth: none. - **Balkan Insight Romania feed**, https://balkaninsight.com/category/rd/rd-romania/feed/. RSS feed. Regular updates on regional/European issues including Romania. Auth: none.[[5]](https://balkaninsight.com/rss-feeds/) - Additional options from curated lists: Jurnalul, Cotidianul, ZF English, etc., via standard RSS (e.g., Feedspot compilations). All RSS-based, no auth, frequent updates.[[6]](https://rss.feedspot.com/romania_news_rss_feeds/) **NGO/think tank data APIs:** - **ACAPS**, https://www.acaps.org/en/data. Yes, ACAPS API (datasets on crisis/humanitarian indicators; some Romania-relevant). Varies by dataset. Auth: free registration.[[7]](https://www.acaps.org/en/data) - **HDX (Humanitarian Data Exchange)**, https://data.humdata.org/. Partial API (HDX HAPI for standardized indicators). Varies. Auth: none or free account for some features.[[8]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset) These are non-inference, primary or official sources focused on raw or structured data (labor, economic, crisis indicators) suitable for Romania youth instability tracking. Eurostat stands out as the strongest regional complement to your existing sources. Always verify current endpoints and terms on the sites, as availability can change.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025