Europe & Central Asia · ROU

Romania

21
Composite priority
24.4%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
19.02M
Population · 2025
64.3%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
1.1 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

44.45°, 26.10° · ISO ROU / ROOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment24.4%· 64p
2025
Intentional homicides1.1 per 100k· 3p
2023
Internet access91.3%· 8p
2024
Mobile subscriptions119.8 per 100· 47p
2024
Phone ownership98.6%· 0p
2023
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2024
AI usage22.8%· 9p
2024 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 3.9p vs 2021
34
Access gap 8.1p vs 2021
13
Impact 4.2p vs 2021
21

Latest signals

2026-07-07 00:00 UTC · run 2026-07-07T00

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth (15-24) or male youth unemployment in Romania appear in the last 60 days (roughly May–early July 2026).** Eurostat and national data continue to show persistently elevated overall youth unemployment, higher than the 2025 baseline of 24.4% for males aged 15-24.[[1]](https://agerpres.ro/english/2026/07/02/may-unemployment-rate-increases-to-6-4pct-youth-unemployment-still-high-at-28-8pct--1572404)[[1]](https://agerpres.ro/english/2026/07/02/may-unemployment-rate-increases-to-6-4pct-youth-unemployment-still-high-at-28-8pct--1572404)

Key recent figures (overall youth unemployment rate, ages 15-24, not male-specific):
- 28.2% in late 2025/early 2026 periods (e.g., Dec 2025/Jan 2026), the highest in the EU per Eurostat.[[2]](https://www.romania-insider.com/romania-unemployment-young-people-march-2026)[[3]](https://www.statista.com/statistics/613670/youth-unemployment-rates-in-europe/?srsltid=AfmBOorgINKELN8LbIzu6ZWxd22jZ787x0RwuK6hhFOJbmYwpBU-epeb)
- 28.8% for the January–March 2026 period (Romanian National Institute of Statistics/INS data released ~July 2, 2026); described as “persistently high” and a cause for concern. Overall seasonally adjusted unemployment rose to 6.4% in May 2026 (up 0.1 pp from April).[[1]](https://agerpres.ro/english/2026/07/02/may-unemployment-rate-increases-to-6-4pct-youth-unemployment-still-high-at-28-8pct--1572404)[[1]](https://agerpres.ro/english/2026/07/02/may-unemployment-rate-increases-to-6-4pct-youth-unemployment-still-high-at-28-8pct--1572404)
- Trading Economics/Eurostat notes 26.1% in Dec 2025; other sources track ~28.8% into March 2026.[[4]](https://tradingeconomics.com/romania/youth-unemployment-rate-eurostat-data.html)

These figures exceed the 2025 baseline (World Bank modeled ILO estimate for total youth unemployment was ~24.5% annually in 2025).[[5]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSROU) No male-specific breakdowns for 2026 were identified in recent releases. Overall labor market stability is noted, but youth remain the most vulnerable group.[[2]](https://www.romania-insider.com/romania-unemployment-young-people-march-2026)

**No significant political, security, or economic events specifically targeting or heavily involving young men (18-35) such as large-scale protests by youth, coup attempts, militia recruitment, or currency/economic shocks were identified in the last 60 days.** Broader political turmoil includes:
- A May 2026 government collapse (no-confidence vote against PM Ilie Bolojan) and ongoing instability/negotiations.[[6]](https://newseu.cgtn.com/news/2026-05-06/Romania-plunges-into-political-turmoil-as-government-collapses--1MVCKZr7mr6/p.html)
- A June 19, 2026 protest in Bucharest’s Victoria Square (~2,000 demonstrators) against the political establishment, judiciary, and governance issues amid repeated government changes.[[7]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERfWpbid-6c)

These are relatively small-scale and not framed as youth-driven or instability escalators. Earlier 2025–early 2026 protests (e.g., over anti-extremism laws or elections) had ended or were outside the 60-day window.[[8]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024%E2%80%932025_Romanian_election_annulment_protests)

**Notable 2025 NGO/academic reports on Romania’s youth situation (some released/published into early 2026) include:**
- OECD *Education and Skills in Romania: Driving Inclusive Growth* (highlights low labor market participation, vocational tracking, and skills issues).[[9]](https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/education-and-skills-in-romania_594cbb5d-en/full-report/education-and-skills-in-romania-driving-inclusive-growth_caa40633.html)
- CPAG report (April 2026) on transitioning youth/NEETs, referencing 2025 OECD findings on early school leaving as a key NEET driver (Romania’s NEET rate was 17.04% in 2024 per World Bank data).[[10]](https://cpag.ro/reports/transitioning-romanian-youth-neets)
- UNICEF Romania Annual Report 2025 (Feb 2026 publication).[[11]](https://open.unicef.org/download-pdf?country-name=Romania&year=2025)
- UNESCO GEM Report country case study on Romania (notes stagnating early school leaving rates).[[12]](https://www.unesco.org/gem-report/en/2026-gem-report-country-case-studies/romania)

These align with ongoing concerns about education-to-work transitions but do not indicate acute new shifts.

**No changes to internet/mobile infrastructure access such as shutdowns, major coverage losses, or disruptions were reported for Romania in the period.** Ongoing/positive developments include 5G rollout strategies (targeting urban areas, highways, etc., with measures into 2026), mobile market consolidation (Q1 2026 analysis noting Romania ranking lower on speeds among CEE peers), and Opensignal’s May 2026 mobile experience report (data from Jan–Mar 2026).[[13]](https://www.ookla.com/articles/romania-mobile-5g-market-q1-2026)[[14]](https://insights.opensignal.com/reports/2026/05/romania/mobile-network-experience)[[15]](https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/digital-connectivity-romania) No #KeepItOn-style alerts or disruptions specific to Romania (unlike some neighbors or other regions).

**Assessment relative to baseline:** Youth unemployment remains elevated (overall ~28.8% recently vs. 24.4% male baseline for 2025), consistent with prior trends but not showing dramatic worsening in new data. Political events reflect instability but at limited scale without youth-specific mobilization or escalation. No infrastructure or other shocks noted. Nothing identified would significantly alter the instability fuse score picture. Sources are primarily Eurostat, INS (via Agerpres), Trading Economics, and specialized reports.
Source discovery
**National statistics bureau (INS Romania / TEMPO-Online database):**  
- Name/URL: National Institute of Statistics (INS) TEMPO-Online database (https://insse.ro/cms/en or direct TEMPO access via insse.ro).  
- API: No (no public API; R package exists for bulk access).  
- Machine-readable downloads: Yes (CSV/Excel exports available).  
- Update frequency: Varies (monthly/quarterly for labor/unemployment data).  
- Auth: None (free public access).[[1]](https://www.revistadestatistica.ro/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/RRS-4_2017_A041.pdf)

**Central bank/finance ministry (BNR - National Bank of Romania):**  
- Name/URL: BNR Statistical Data (https://www.bnr.ro/en/2382-statistical-data or main site bnr.ro).  
- API: Partial/no official full API (limited/third-party APIs for exchange rates; primarily reports and tables).  
- Machine-readable downloads: Yes (tables and datasets downloadable).  
- Update frequency: Varies (monthly/quarterly for economic indicators).  
- Auth: None (free public access).[[2]](https://www.bnr.ro/en/2382-statistical-data)

**Regional database (Eurostat):**  
- Name/URL: Eurostat (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat; labor force and youth indicators databrowser).  
- API: Yes (SDMX/API access for bulk/programmatic use).  
- Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly (e.g., unemployment, youth employment).  
- Auth: None (free, no key required for core data).[[3]](https://tradingeconomics.com/romania/youth-unemployment-rate-eurostat-data.html)

**National employment agency (ANOFM - National Agency for Employment):**  
- Name/URL: ANOFM job vacancies portal (https://www.anofm.ro/ or https://www.anofm.ro/locuri-de-munca-vacante/).  
- API: No (web portal/listings; no public API).  
- Machine-readable downloads: Limited/partial (vacancy listings viewable; potential scraping or manual export).  
- Update frequency: Ongoing/real-time listings.  
- Auth: None (free public access).[[4]](https://www.anofm.ro/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/ANOFM-guide-ENG.pdf)

**News RSS feeds (reliable English-language coverage of Romania):**  
- Name/URL: Romania Insider (and similar; see curated lists like Feedspot Romania News RSS).  
- API/RSS: Yes (standard RSS feeds available).  
- Update frequency: Daily.  
- Auth: None (free).[[5]](https://rss.feedspot.com/romania_news_rss_feeds/)

**Regional/NGO data (examples with potential monitoring relevance):**  
- Name/URL: Friedrich Ebert Stiftung Romania Social Monitor (monitorsocial.ro or related).  
- API: No (reports and data visualizations; downloads possible).  
- Update frequency: Periodic (e.g., annual or project-based poverty/youth monitoring).  
- Auth: None (free).  
- Other: HDX humanitarian/poverty datasets for Romania (data.humdata.org, country-specific). No dedicated public API.[[6]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/?q=People+in+need&groups=rou&force_layout=desktop&page=5)

These focus on direct, non-modeled sources with Romania breakdowns. Eurostat stands out as the strongest regional/Europe option with robust API support for youth labor indicators. Verify current access/details directly, as portals evolve.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
15.920.525.12014202524.4%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
0.61.42.2201420231.1

Internet access

%
51.172.794.32014202491.3%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
113.0118.5124.020142024119.8

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
97.999.2100.520142024100.0%

AI usage

%
12.818.123.52014202422.8%

Population

people
18949174.419464625.019980075.62014202519020271.0

Working-age share

%
63.865.968.02014202564.3%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.