Sub-Saharan Africa · SDN-KRT · Metro of Sudan
KhartoumMetro
Location
Structural indicators below are national values for Sudan. World Bank / ILO don't publish city-level series. The metro pin exists so signals-agent runs can scope live web search to Khartoum specifically. City-radius event filtering (ACLED) is on the roadmap.Why this metro: Active civil war; youth conscription / displacement
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-07 12:00 UTC · run 2026-07-07T12
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No Khartoum metro-specific labor market or unemployment data was identified for the last 60 days (roughly May–early July 2026).** The national baseline (youth unemployment 15-24 male at 11.8% in 2022; national instability fuse score 29.5/100) remains the most recent granular figure available; broader conflict-driven economic damage has pushed overall unemployment sharply higher since the 2023 war began, with informal employment dominant and few formal opportunities.[[1]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/SDN)[[1]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/SDN) **Security and conflict events in Khartoum metro (affecting young men 18-35):** - Drone strikes escalated in late April–early May 2026, shattering months of relative calm under SAF control of the capital. Strikes hit Khartoum International Airport (May 4, disrupting all flights) and other sites in Khartoum and Omdurman (April 28–May 5). Sudan accused external actors (Ethiopia/UAE facilitation, denied by those parties); civilian and infrastructure impacts reported.[[2]](https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2026-06/sudan-39.php)[[3]](https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/drones-shatter-months-relative-calm-khartoum-hit-airport-2026-05-04/)[[4]](https://media.un.org/unifeed/en/asset/d357/d3570096) - UN/OHCHR data: Drone strikes killed over 1,000 civilians nationwide in the first five months of 2026 (with hundreds in/near Khartoum-area incidents earlier in the period); additional reports of strikes killing civilians (e.g., five in one Khartoum incident per NGO).[[5]](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/15/drone-warfare-kills-over-1000-in-sudan-in-2026-as-strikes-multiply-un)[[6]](https://apnews.com/article/sudan-deaths-2026-88f883750a3846c237fa3a62add55d7f)[[7]](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/2/khartoum-drone-strike-kills-five-sudan-ngo-reports) - Broader context: SAF holds Khartoum metro; RSF uses long-range drones against SAF-held areas. Returns and reconstruction occur amid damaged infrastructure and risks (e.g., explosive hazards). No widespread militia takeovers or mass protests/crackdowns specifically flagged in the metro in this window, but ongoing attrition and civilian targeting heighten risks for young men via recruitment, displacement, or economic fallout.[[2]](https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2026-06/sudan-39.php) **Returns and economic strain:** Millions are returning to Khartoum (concentrated there alongside Al Jazirah), with over 1 million already noted and projections for >2 million more in 2026 alone amid national returns nearing 4 million. This strains damaged water, health, electricity, and urban infrastructure, likely worsening youth job scarcity in a war-shattered economy (extreme poverty risks rising sharply).[[8]](https://www.iom.int/news/4-million-returns-sudan-risk-amid-fragile-conditions-iom-warns)[[9]](https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/04/1167341) **NGO/think-tank reports on Khartoum youth (2025 publications):** Limited new 2025-specific reports surfaced focused narrowly on Khartoum youth. The Bertelsmann Transformation Index (BTI) 2026 Sudan Country Report notes skyrocketing unemployment and poverty since the war (from ~11.4% pre-war baseline), with livelihoods destroyed and jobs tied to military connections; informal sector at ~94% pre-war and likely worse now. Broader humanitarian analyses (e.g., IOM, UNDP/ISS) highlight displacement, returns, and economic reversal equivalent to >30 years but do not isolate Khartoum youth metrics.[[1]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/SDN)[[1]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/SDN)[[10]](https://www.undp.org/geneva/press-releases/war-has-set-sudans-economy-back-more-30-years-and-extreme-poverty-could-hit-60-new-analysis-warns) **Internet/mobile infrastructure changes:** One significant connectivity drop reported May 3, 2026 (66% of network tests failing). Prior conflict damage to towers, power/fuel issues, and targeted attacks (e.g., data centers) have caused recurring problems; no full nationwide shutdowns noted in the exact window, but outages remain a risk in active conflict zones like Khartoum.[[11]](https://voidly.ai/incident/SD-2026-0014) **Assessment vs. baseline:** No data indicates a major shift in the specific youth unemployment figure or national fuse score. However, recent drone escalations (April–May 2026), large-scale returns to damaged Khartoum infrastructure, and persistent conflict-related economic destruction represent negative pressures that could worsen local youth instability through heightened insecurity, service collapse, and job scarcity. Continued monitoring of returns and drone activity is warranted. All figures/dates drawn from cited sources; no contradictory local stats found.
Source discovery
**No dedicated municipal statistics bureau or public API for Khartoum State was identified** (national CBS handles state-level outputs; Khartoum State government sites appear archived or inactive). Data availability is limited overall due to ongoing conflict since 2023, with many sources irregular or one-off. Here are relevant Khartoum-specific (city/state/provincial) sources identified: - **Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) Sudan – Khartoum State data** (national office with state disaggregation): http://www.cbs.gov.sd/ (or archived mirrors); no API (downloads only, e.g., XLS/CSV census and projections); irregular/infrequent updates (e.g., 2008 census extracts, older population projections by state); auth none/free; granularity: Khartoum State (admin level 1, includes metro areas).[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khartoum_State)[[2]](https://www.sesric.org/databases-nso-detail.php?c_code=48) - **Sudan Labor Market Panel Survey (SLMPS) 2022 (CBS + ERF)**: http://erfdataportal.com/index.php/catalog/265; no public API (microdata access via portal/request); one-time (2022, planned repeats every ~6 years); auth free/registration likely; granularity: national with regional breakdowns (explicit Khartoum region).[[3]](http://erfdataportal.com/index.php/catalog/265) - **IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) Sudan**: https://dtm.iom.int/sudan (and API at dtm.iom.int/data-and-analysis/dtm-api); yes, public API (plus downloads/dashboards); frequent/round-based (mobility updates, emergency tracking, monthly snapshots; EET within days of events); auth none/free (API requires registration for full access in some cases); granularity: admin 0–2 (states including Khartoum State, localities).[[4]](https://dtm.iom.int/data-and-analysis/dtm-api)[[5]](https://dtm.iom.int/sudan) - **Sudan news RSS feeds (multiple outlets covering Khartoum events)**: e.g., Sudan Tribune (sudantribune.com), Dabanga (dabangasudan.org), Al Tagyheer, Sudanile (see aggregated lists like rss.feedspot.com/sudan_news_rss_feeds/); RSS feeds available (no dedicated APIs for most); near real-time/daily; auth none/free; granularity: event/location-specific (Khartoum metro focus in coverage).[[6]](https://rss.feedspot.com/sudan_news_rss_feeds/) - **Newsdata.io Sudan News API**: https://newsdata.io/news-sources/sudan-news-api; yes, API; real-time/live updates; auth free tier/paid plans; granularity: country-level with topic/location filtering (includes Khartoum).[[7]](https://newsdata.io/news-sources/sudan-news-api) - **UN-Habitat Urban Sector Studies for Khartoum State**: https://unhabitat.org/urban-sector-studies-and-capacity-building-for-khartoum-state-2 (report PDFs); no API (static reports/downloads); one-off (e.g., ~2009 studies on urban poverty/squatter areas); auth none/free; granularity: Khartoum State/urban neighborhoods.[[8]](https://unhabitat.org/urban-sector-studies-and-capacity-building-for-khartoum-state-2) - **IDeaMapSudan (geo-spatial urban poverty mapping, Khartoum)**: https://www.ideamapsnetwork.org/project/ideamap-sudan; project outputs (maps/models, no live API mentioned); periodic/academic updates; auth none/free; granularity: Khartoum metro/urban areas (poverty, built environment).[[9]](https://www.ideamapsnetwork.org/project/ideamap-sudan) - **ACLED subnational data + Sudan admin boundaries (COD-AB)**: ACLED (acleddata.com/country/sudan; free account for full data) + boundaries on HDX (data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-sdn); ACLED partial API/export tools; boundaries: downloads (shapefile/GeoJSON/XLS); ACLED ongoing (daily/near real-time events); boundaries static/reference; auth ACLED free registration; boundaries none/free; granularity: admin 1 (Khartoum State) + admin 2 (localities) for precise filtering.[[10]](https://data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ab-sdn)[[11]](https://acleddata.com/country/sudan) - **OCHA/ReliefWeb Khartoum State profiles and HDX Sudan datasets**: reliefweb.int (search Khartoum State) + data.humdata.org (Sudan filter); mostly downloads/reports (some APIs via HDX tools); variable (crisis updates); auth none/free; granularity: state/local (Khartoum-specific humanitarian/displacement profiles).[[12]](https://reliefweb.int/report/sudan/ocha-sudan-khartoum-state-profile-march-2023) Additional notes: Sub-national labor/unemployment beyond SLMPS or older CBS surveys is scarce and rarely city-disaggregated. Local Arabic news RSS (e.g., via the listed outlets) provides the most timely Khartoum coverage. Most sources lack modern APIs due to Sudan's data infrastructure challenges.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025