Sub-Saharan Africa · SOM
Somalia, Fed. Rep.
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-26 09:08 UTC · run 2026-07-26T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No new official government, ILO, or World Bank releases on Somalia’s youth (15-24) or male unemployment were identified in the last 60 days (late May–July 26, 2026).** The baseline figure of 32.4% (15-24 male, national, 2025) aligns closely with modeled estimates showing total youth unemployment (15-24) around 34.23% for 2025 (up slightly from 34.14% in 2024) and 33.93% in early 2024 data.[[1]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/som/somalia/youth-unemployment-rate)[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSSOM) Recent commentary (July 21, 2026) notes that youth unemployment has remained persistently high for nearly a decade due to limited job opportunities, contributing to emigration pressures among young Somalis.[[3]](https://iol.co.za/news/opinion/2026-07-21-somalia-a-nation-of-youthso-why-are-its-young-people-leaving/) **Security developments:** A U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) airstrike targeted al-Shabaab militants near Welmaro (about 103 km north of Kismayo) in southern Somalia on June 19, 2026, conducted in coordination with the Somali federal government. Such operations can influence militia recruitment dynamics involving young men (18-35) amid ongoing counterterrorism efforts.[[4]](https://www.fsxbusiness.com/us-conducts-airstrike-against-al-shabaab) No reports of large-scale protests, coup attempts, or major economic shocks/currency crises specifically tied to young men were found in the period. **NGO/academic reports:** No major new 2025–2026 NGO or academic publications focused specifically on Somalia’s youth instability situation were identified from the last 60 days. Earlier 2025 materials (e.g., education crisis briefs noting high out-of-school rates and attacks on schools affecting boys via recruitment risks) and the Bertelsmann Transformation Index (BTI) 2026 Somalia report provide broader context on youth, civil society, and instability but predate the window.[[5]](https://eiehub.org/country-briefs/country-brief-somalias-education-crisis)[[6]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/SOM) **Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No shutdowns or coverage reductions reported. Positive developments include Hormuud Telecom’s May 6, 2026, launch of a smartphone financing plan (initial rollout of 10,000 devices, scaling to 100,000 across Somalia) to boost digital access.[[7]](https://techafricanews.com/2026/05/06/hormuud-telecom-launches-smartphone-financing-plan-to-boost-digital-access-in-somalia/) Late-2025 data (Digital 2026: Somalia report) showed 11.5 million mobile connections (58.1% of population) and 5.47 million internet users (27.6% penetration), with Starlink’s August 2025 rollout continuing to support expansion into 2026.[[8]](https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2026-somalia) **Overall assessment:** No developments in the last 60 days indicate a significant shift from the baseline (high youth unemployment at ~32–34% and elevated instability fuse score). Persistent high youth joblessness and ongoing al-Shabaab-related security operations remain key contextual factors for young men. Continued monitoring of modeled unemployment updates and security incidents is recommended.
Source discovery
**Here are relevant non-inference data sources specific or highly useful for Somalia (Federal Republic), focused on the requested categories.** These complement the already-used sources (World Bank, ACLED, etc.) and emphasize youth-relevant indicators like unemployment, labor, economic conditions, poverty, and crisis data. Details are based on official sites and portals (as of mid-2026). - **Somali National Bureau of Statistics (SNBS)**: https://nbs.gov.so/ — No dedicated public API (data via reports, PDFs, and some downloads); unemployment rate (e.g., 21.4%), CPI, GDP, poverty estimates, and labor-related releases available. Update frequency: periodic (e.g., annual CPI/GDP, ad-hoc reports like Joint Monitoring Report). Auth required: none (public downloads).[[1]](https://nbs.gov.so/) - **Ministry of Finance – Somalia (MoF)**: https://mof.gov.so/ — No public API (data via PDF/Excel downloads of budgets, fiscal reports, debt bulletins, revenue, and economic indicators). Covers youth employment/economic context via budget and fiscal data. Update frequency: quarterly/annual (e.g., budget documents, debt reports). Auth required: none (public publications).[[2]](https://mof.gov.so/) - **African Development Bank (AfDB) Statistical Data Portal / Open Data for Africa (Africa Information Highway)**: https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/ (or AfDB country pages) — Yes, partial API (API Explorer available; socio-economic database with country breakdowns for Somalia). Includes economic, labor, and development indicators. Update frequency: ongoing/variable (1960–2026 coverage, periodic updates). Auth required: none/free.[[3]](https://dataportal.opendataforafrica.org/nbyenxf/afdb-socio-economic-database-1960-2020) - **Humanitarian Data Exchange (HDX) – Somalia datasets + HDX HAPI**: https://data.humdata.org/group/som (or https://data.humdata.org/hapi) — Yes, full API (HDX HAPI for standardized humanitarian indicators; bulk downloads also available). Covers crisis monitoring, poverty, displacement, and related data from NGOs/multiple sources with Somalia breakdowns. Update frequency: frequent/real-time as new datasets added. Auth required: none (public API).[[4]](https://data.humdata.org/group/som) - **Somalia RSS news feeds (curated via Feedspot and local sources)**: https://rss.feedspot.com/somalia_rss_feeds/ (aggregates reliable local/regional outlets) — Yes, RSS feeds function as lightweight APIs. Covers local/regional news on Somalia (youth, instability, economy). Update frequency: real-time/as published. Auth required: none (standard RSS).[[5]](https://rss.feedspot.com/somalia_rss_feeds/) These sources prioritize machine-readable or programmatically accessible options where possible. National-level data in Somalia remains limited (often PDF/report-based due to capacity constraints), so regional portals like AfDB and HDX provide stronger structured access. Always verify current endpoints and terms directly, as availability can evolve.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025