Europe & Central Asia · SWE
Sweden
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-08-28 09:07 UTC · run 2026-08-28T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**Recent SCB Labour Force Survey (LFS/AKU) data from June 2026 shows youth unemployment (15–24 overall) at 24.9% seasonally adjusted and smoothed (up from recent months; non-adjusted 31.4%, or 280,000 unemployed youth, of whom 149,000 were full-time students).**[[1]](https://www.scb.se/hitta-statistik/statistik-efter-amne/arbetsmarknad/utbud-av-arbetskraft/arbetskraftsundersokningarna-aku/pong/statistiknyhet/arbetskraftsundersokningarna-juni-2026/)[[2]](https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subject-area/labour-market/labour-force-supply/labour-force-surveys-lfs/pong/statistical-news/labour-force-surveys-lfs-june-2026/) Male-specific figures (15–24) reached 27.4% in June 2026 (153,100 unemployed males), up from 25.2% in May 2026.[[3]](https://www.ceicdata.com/en/sweden/unemployment-by-age-new-methodology/unemployment-male-15-to-24-years)[[4]](https://datosmacro.expansion.com/paro/suecia?sc=M) This is close to or slightly above the 2025 baseline of 25.2% for males 15–24 (national). Overall male unemployment (15–74) was 10.6% vs. 9.1% for females in June (non-adjusted).[[1]](https://www.scb.se/hitta-statistik/statistik-efter-amne/arbetsmarknad/utbud-av-arbetskraft/arbetskraftsundersokningarna-aku/pong/statistiknyhet/arbetskraftsundersokningarna-juni-2026/) No new ILO or World Bank releases on Swedish youth or male unemployment were identified in the last 60 days (late June–late August 2026). SCB’s June and July 2026 releases (published ~July 24 and August 21) provide the most recent official updates.[[1]](https://www.scb.se/hitta-statistik/statistik-efter-amne/arbetsmarknad/utbud-av-arbetskraft/arbetskraftsundersokningarna-aku/pong/statistiknyhet/arbetskraftsundersokningarna-juni-2026/)[[5]](https://www.scb.se/hitta-statistik/statistik-efter-amne/arbetsmarknad/utbud-av-arbetskraft/arbetskraftsundersokningarna-aku/pong/statistiknyhet/arbetskraftsundersokningarna-juli-2026/) Annual 2025 youth unemployment (15–24) stood at 24.3% (second-highest in the EU).[[6]](https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subject-area/labour-market/labour-force-supply/labour-force-surveys-lfs/pong/statistical-news/labour-force-surveys-lfs-20261---theme2/) **No major new political, security, or economic shocks (e.g., widespread protests, coups, militia recruitment, or currency crises) directly targeting or disproportionately affecting young men (18–35) in the last 60 days.** Ongoing contextual issues include gang violence and youth recruitment into organized crime, with prevention programs highlighted in Stockholm.[[7]](https://www.politico.eu/article/inside-stockholms-fight-to-keep-children-out-of-gangs/) A notable incident: On August 21, 2026, an 18-year-old former student (male) carried out a sword attack at Brinell high school in Fagersta, killing one 17-year-old girl and injuring several others (including teenage boys). Police shot and detained the suspect. Investigations are examining possible links to online communities promoting school violence or a TikTok account referencing prior Swedish mass violence and Anders Behring Breivik.[[8]](https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/21/europe/swedish-school-sword-attack-intl)[[9]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/22/seventeen-year-old-girl-killed-in-sword-attack-at-school-in-sweden) Other 2026 developments (some outside the strict 60-day window but recent) include arrests of young men linked to Islamist extremism/terrorism planning and reports of escalating violent online networks (e.g., 764) involving youth.[[10]](https://iacsp-nctn.org/sweden-2026)[[11]](https://swedenherald.com/article/expo-violent-764-network-is-escalating-says-researcher) A June 2026 FEPS policy brief and related analysis highlight Sweden’s pronounced Gen Z gender divide, with young men shifting rightward politically amid shared experiences of instability (housing, labor precarity, crime), while young women lean more progressive.[[12]](https://feps-europe.eu/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Shared-instability-divergent-interpretations.pdf)[[12]](https://feps-europe.eu/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Shared-instability-divergent-interpretations.pdf) **Notable 2025 reports on Sweden’s youth situation (published or covering trends into 2025/early 2026):** - SOM-institutet’s “Svenska ungdomstrender 1986–2024” (November 2025): Documents widening gender gaps among youth (16–24), with a majority of young men (52%) identifying as right-leaning (highest on record) vs. 24% left-leaning; young women more left-leaning. Young men increasingly critical of immigration/refugee intake.[[13]](https://www.gu.se/nyheter/ny-rapport-svenska-ungdomstrender)[[13]](https://www.gu.se/nyheter/ny-rapport-svenska-ungdomstrender) - FEPS “Shared instability, divergent interpretations” (June 2026, drawing on 2025 focus groups): Analyzes Gen Z gender divide in Sweden driven by shared instability but differing interpretations (order/governance for young men).[[12]](https://feps-europe.eu/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Shared-instability-divergent-interpretations.pdf) Other relevant outputs include MUCF reports on NEETs/outside-the-labor-force youth and academic work on gang involvement/mortality disparities.[[14]](https://www.mucf.se/taxonomy/term/335)[[15]](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0277953625004605) **No major changes to internet/mobile infrastructure access (e.g., shutdowns or broad coverage shifts) in the last 60 days.** The 2G/3G phaseout was largely completed in 2025 (controlled, with some local coverage impacts and device compatibility issues for emergency calls noted in follow-up reports); Telia’s 2G network remains until end-2027.[[16]](https://pts.se/en/news-and-press-releases/controlled-shutdown-of-2g-and-3g-networks/)[[17]](https://pts.se/nyheter-och-pressmeddelanden/kontrollerad-nedstangning-av-2g--och-3g-nat/) On or around August 28, 2026, two undersea fiber-optic cables in the Baltic Sea were severed (one Finland–Germany near Öland; one Lithuania–Gotland/Sweden), raising sabotage suspicions; this is under investigation but appears isolated rather than a nationwide shutdown.[[18]](https://www.marinetechnologynews.com/news/sabotage-undersea-cables-baltic-642417) **Assessment vs. baseline:** Youth male unemployment remains in a similar range to the 25.2% 2025 baseline, with a June 2026 uptick to 27.4% that warrants monitoring but does not represent a sharp departure. The August 2026 school attack by an 18-year-old male (with possible online radicalization/violence links) is a high-profile security incident that could elevate concerns about youth instability and male-perpetrated violence. Persistent gender-political divides and gang/youth crime issues are contextual factors. No events appear to dramatically shift the national instability fuse score (40.3/100) in the immediate term. Sources are primarily official SCB releases and reputable news/academic outlets.
Source discovery
**Statistics Sweden (SCB) Statistical Database (PxWeb) API** - URL: https://www.scb.se/en/services/open-data-api/pxwebapi/api-for-the-statistical-database/ (and https://api.scb.se/OV0104/v2/doris/en/ssd/ for v2) - API: Yes (PxWebApi v2; supports JSON/CSV/etc. queries for tables) - Update frequency: Monthly (e.g., Labour Force Surveys/AKU on unemployment, employment, NEET for ages 15-24/15-34, youth labor status by sex/age/birth region) - Auth: None (open/public access; no registration required for standard use)[[1]](https://www.scb.se/en/services/open-data-api/pxwebapi/api-for-the-statistical-database/)[[2]](https://www.statistikdatabasen.scb.se/goto/en/ssd/ArbStatusM) **Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank) APIs** - URL: https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/statistics/macro-indicators/forecasts-and-outcomes/retrieving-forecasts-and-outcomes-via-api/ (and related endpoints for rates/exchange rates) - API: Yes (REST APIs) - Update frequency: As published (economic forecasts/outcomes, interest rates, exchange rates, macro indicators relevant to youth employment/economic conditions) - Auth: None for basic use (rate-limited by IP; free registration in API portal for higher limits)[[3]](https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/statistics/macro-indicators/forecasts-and-outcomes/retrieving-forecasts-and-outcomes-via-api/) **Eurostat (regional Europe & Central Asia coverage with Sweden breakdowns)** - URL: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/ (data browser; SDMX/REST endpoints) - API: Yes (REST/SDMX 2.1/3.0 APIs for datasets) - Update frequency: Annual/quarterly (youth unemployment rates 15-24, employment, NEET, labor force indicators by country/NUTS regions) - Auth: None (open/public)[[4]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/user-guides/data-browser/api-data-access/api-introduction) **Arbetsförmedlingen (Swedish Public Employment Service) Open Data** - URL: https://data.arbetsformedlingen.se/ (catalog includes APIs like JobEd Connect) - API: Yes (JSON APIs and data files; e.g., JobEd Connect for education-job matching) - Update frequency: Varies (job market statistics, registered unemployment, youth programs) - Auth: None (public/open data)[[5]](https://data.arbetsformedlingen.se/) **Ekonomifakta (data aggregator/think tank site)** - URL: https://www.ekonomifakta.se/ (sections on arbetsmarknad/sysselsättning/ungdomsarbetslöshet) - API: No (web interface with charts/tables; sources SCB/Eurostat) - Update frequency: Frequent/ongoing (monthly/updated aggregates on youth unemployment, employment rates) - Auth: None (public access; downloadable data)[[6]](https://www.ekonomifakta.se/sakomraden/arbetsmarknad/sysselsattning/sysselsattning_1208762.html) These focus on direct, machine-readable or downloadable primary/official sources for unemployment, labor, youth-specific (e.g., NEET, 15-24 rates), and related economic indicators. SCB provides the most granular Sweden youth/labor data via API; Eurostat adds regional ECA context. No paid auth required for core access. News RSS feeds were not identified as reliably structured/public APIs in searches.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2025
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025