Europe & Central Asia · SWE
Sweden
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-24 09:08 UTC · run 2026-06-24T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**Recent developments (last ~60 days, from ~late April 2026) show youth unemployment in Sweden remaining elevated but stable or slightly declining around the baseline of 25.2% (15-24 male, national, 2025), with no major new ILO/World Bank Sweden-specific releases identified.**[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/sweden/youth-unemployment-rate)[[2]](https://tradingeconomics.com/sweden/unemployment-rate) **Key data points (primarily overall youth 15-24, as male-specific breakdowns are less frequently updated in recent monthly releases):** - May 2026: Youth unemployment rate at 24.40% (seasonally adjusted; down from 24.60% in April 2026). Unadjusted figures were higher (e.g., ~28% in May). Source: Eurostat via Trading Economics.[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/sweden/youth-unemployment-rate)[[2]](https://tradingeconomics.com/sweden/unemployment-rate) - April 2026: Youth rate around 24.6–26.5% in various reports (Sweden among the highest in the EU).[[3]](https://www.destatis.de/Europa/EN/Topic/Population-Labour-Social-Issues/Labour-market/EULabourMarketCrisis.html)[[4]](https://ycharts.com/indicators/sweden_youth_unemployment_rate_unadjusted) - Annual 2025: ~24.3%.[[5]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSSWE)[[6]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/swe/sweden/youth-unemployment-rate) - SCB (Statistics Sweden) releases (e.g., February 2026 data): Youth (15-24) unemployment ~23.2–24.5%.[[7]](https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subject-area/labour-market/labour-force-supply/labour-force-surveys-lfs/pong/statistical-news/labour-force-surveys-lfs-february-2026/) - Male-specific trends (limited recent granularity): Recent monthly figures around 25–27.8% in available series.[[8]](https://ycharts.com/indicators/sweden_male_youth_unemployment_rate)[[9]](https://ycharts.com/indicators/sweden_male_youth_unemployment_rate_trend) No significant new ILO or World Bank Sweden-specific labor data releases in the period; global ILO reports reference broader trends without Sweden highlights.[[10]](https://researchrepository.ilo.org/view/pdfCoverPage?instCode=41ILO_INST&filePid=13147301370002676&download=true) World Bank data remains anchored to earlier years (e.g., 2022 or annual 2024/2025 aggregates).[[11]](https://humancapital.worldbank.org/en/economy/SWE)[[12]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Sweden/youth_unemployment/) **Political/security/economic events affecting young men (18-35):** Limited major escalations directly tied to broad youth instability. Notable items include protests in April 2026 (e.g., a large pro-US demonstration in Stockholm on April 11 with up to 10,000 expected participants, assessed as peaceful; and confrontations at the Defence Expo Sweden in mid-April over Israeli arms companies, involving activists and security responses).[[13]](https://se.usembassy.gov/security-alert-u-s-embassy-stockholm-sweden-april-10-2026/)[[14]](https://www.facebook.com/anews/videos/security-confronted-activists-at-defence-expo-sweden-using-close-range-force-as-/1672505650429288/)[[15]](https://www.instagram.com/reel/DXOoyLjCfYg/?hl=en) In June 2026, the government dropped plans to allow imprisonment of serious offenders as young as 13 (lack of parliamentary support), amid mentions of young suspects (including teens) in attacks on Israeli-linked sites and potential Iran-linked gang recruitment of Swedish gang members.[[16]](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0qy0dqldqjo) The coalition also backed down on some deportations of young adults.[[17]](https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/06/02/sweden-s-right-wing-and-far-right-coalition-backs-down-on-deportations-of-young-adults_6754037_4.html?srsltid=AfmBOoqPQfX84kSUOKe78KFH-LBg5RzJhQCkLalWj01ydNznrrrgK3FH) No coups, widespread militia activity, or economic shocks/currency crises reported. **NGO/academic reports on Sweden’s youth situation (2025 publications):** Several from late 2025/early 2026, with limited brand-new releases in the exact window. Examples include the Generation Report 2025 (Ungdomsbarometern, Feb 2025 release; youth 15–24 prioritizing personal finance over broader issues).[[18]](https://swedenherald.com/article/swedish-youth-prioritize-personal-finance-over-social-issues) A June 2026 European Court of Auditors special report on EU cohesion policy for youth employment references Sweden’s youth unemployment at 18.2% (likely a 15–29 metric).[[19]](https://www.eca.europa.eu/en/publications/SR-2026-15) The Youth Progress Index 2025 (European Youth Forum, Nov 2025) ranks Sweden highly in some dimensions.[[20]](https://www.youthforum.org/files/Youth-Progress-Index-2025.pdf) A Nordic Welfare Centre status report on children/youth in persistent low-income families launched around Feb 2026.[[21]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YoiFx8mAFC0) Youth climate litigation (Aurora group) continued into early 2026.[[22]](https://earth.org/swedish-youth-sue-government-over-climate-inaction/) **Internet/mobile infrastructure:** No shutdowns, major coverage gaps, or negative rollouts reported. Sweden maintains very high access (e.g., ~99% broadband mobile connections per 2025–2026 data; strong 4G/5G coverage and speeds, with ongoing expansions).[[23]](https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2026-sweden)[[24]](https://www.roafly.com/blog/how-to-get-internet-in-sweden) A notable policy shift: Nationwide ban on mobile phones in schools (ages 7–16) effective from the 2026–27 academic year (announced ~May/June 2026) to reduce distractions and support learning.[[25]](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/cnbc-tv18_sweden-schoolban-backtobooks-activity-7470151959929507841-1fF_)[[26]](https://www.npr.org/2026/06/09/g-s1-126967/sweden-set-to-ban-mobile-phones-in-schools) **Assessment vs. baseline:** No developments appear to signal a significant shift in the instability picture (youth unemployment stable/slightly improved near 24–25%; isolated protests and gang-related security notes but no systemic shocks). Continued monitoring of monthly SCB/Eurostat releases and gang/violence trends is warranted. Sources primarily include Trading Economics/Eurostat, SCB, and news outlets as linked above.
Source discovery
**Statistics Sweden (SCB) – Labour Force Surveys (LFS) and related labour/unemployment data** - URL: https://www.scb.se/en/ (statistical database: https://www.statistikdatabasen.scb.se/pxweb/en/ssd/; PxWeb API docs: https://www.scb.se/PxWebApi_v2-en or https://www.scb.se/globalassets/vara-tjanster/px-programmen/pxwebapi1.0_description_2024.pdf) - API: Yes (PxWeb API v1/v2; returns JSON, JSON-stat, etc.; machine-readable downloads also available) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly (LFS unemployment, employment by age, etc.) - Auth required: None (open data, CC0 policy)[[1]](https://www.scb.se/PxWebApi_v2-en)[[2]](https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Data:Unemployment_in_Sweden.tab) **Sveriges Riksbank (Swedish Central Bank) – Macro indicators, forecasts & outcomes (including labour market/unemployment)** - URL: https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/statistics/macro-indicators/forecasts-and-outcomes/ (API portal: https://developer.api.riksbank.se/) - API: Yes (REST API for forecasts/outcomes since 2020; also separate API for interest/exchange rates) - Update frequency: Quarterly (labour market variables); more frequent for some series - Auth required: None (open; registration optional via portal for some use)[[3]](https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/statistics/macro-indicators/forecasts-and-outcomes/)[[4]](https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/statistics/macro-indicators/forecasts-and-outcomes/retrieving-forecasts-and-outcomes-via-api/) **Eurostat – Unemployment statistics (EU-LFS, youth unemployment, country breakdowns for Europe)** - URL: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat (databrowser: e.g., une_rt_m or related datasets; API: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/json-and-xml) - API: Yes (REST/JSON API; bulk downloads) - Update frequency: Monthly (youth unemployment rates by country, including Sweden) - Auth required: None (free/open)[[5]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Unemployment_statistics) **ILOSTAT – Europe & Central Asia labour statistics (country-level youth/unemployment indicators)** - URL: https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/ (or main ILOSTAT bulk/API) - API: Yes (ILOSTAT API/bulk downloads; also via World Bank/others) - Update frequency: Annual/periodic (modelled and survey-based) - Auth required: None (free)[[6]](https://ilostat.ilo.org/data/europe-and-central-asia/) **OECD – Youth unemployment rate and labour market indicators (Sweden & Europe)** - URL: https://www.oecd.org/en/data/indicators/youth-unemployment-rate.html (data.oecd.org or stats.oecd.org) - API: Yes (OECD API / SDMX / bulk) - Update frequency: Monthly/quarterly/annual - Auth required: None (free)[[7]](https://www.oecd.org/en/data/indicators/youth-unemployment-rate.html) **NewsAPI.org or World News API – Sweden news sources** - URL: https://newsapi.org/s/sweden-news-api or https://worldnewsapi.com/docs/news-sources/sweden-news-api/ - API: Yes (news aggregation APIs; covers ~70+ Swedish sources) - Update frequency: Real-time/daily (headlines, articles) - Auth required: Free tier (limited calls) or paid plans[[8]](https://newsapi.org/s/sweden-news-api) **Save the Children Sweden – Child poverty / vulnerability reports (relevant for youth instability proxies)** - URL: https://resourcecentre.savethechildren.net/ (search Sweden child poverty reports) - API: No (primarily PDF/reports; some data tables) - Update frequency: Annual - Auth required: None (free downloads)[[9]](https://resourcecentre.savethechildren.net/document/a-new-reality-save-the-children-swedens-child-poverty-report-2025) **Nordic Statistics / Nordic Welfare Centre – Labour market, NEET, youth indicators (Nordic/Sweden breakdowns)** - URL: https://www.nordicstatistics.org/areas/labour-market/ - API: Partial/limited (data matrices; some bulk) - Update frequency: Quarterly/annual - Auth required: None (free)[[10]](https://www.nordicstatistics.org/areas/labour-market/) These are non-inference, publicly accessible sources focused on raw/official statistics or feeds. SCB and Riksbank provide the strongest Sweden-specific machine-readable options for labour/youth employment data. Eurostat/OECD/ILOSTAT add strong Europe & Central Asia regional coverage with Sweden disaggregations. No major paid-only or auth-heavy sources were identified for core indicators.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025