Europe & Central Asia · SWE

Sweden

22
Composite priority
25.2%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
10.60M
Population · 2025
62.4%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
1.1 per 100k
Homicides · 2023

Location

59.33°, 18.06° · ISO SWE / SEOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment25.2%· 66p
2025
Intentional homicides1.1 per 100k· 3p
2023
Internet access95.8%· 3p
2025
Mobile subscriptions140.7 per 100· 30p
2024
Phone ownership90.3%· 19p
2023
Electricity access100.0%· 0p
2024
AI usage23.9%· 3p
2025 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 0.9p vs 2021
40
Access gap 1.8p vs 2021
11
Impact 1.4p vs 2021
21

Latest signals

2026-07-06 00:00 UTC · run 2026-07-06T00

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No significant shifts to the youth instability baseline (male youth unemployment 15-24 at 25.2% for 2025; national instability fuse score 40.3/100) from developments in the last ~60 days (roughly early May to early July 2026).** Sweden shows persistently elevated youth unemployment consistent with or slightly above the baseline, with no reported political/security events, new major reports, or infrastructure disruptions affecting young men (18-35).[[1]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/te_news:558925:0-swedish-jobless-rate-rises-to-9-4/)[[2]](https://ycharts.com/indicators/sweden_youth_unemployment_rate_unadjusted)

### 1. Government/ILO/World Bank Data on Youth or Male Unemployment
Statistics Sweden (SCB) releases monthly Labour Force Survey data (most relevant recent: May 2026, published around mid-June 2026):
- Unadjusted youth unemployment (15-24) reached 28% in May 2026 (206,500 unemployed, including 173,000 full-time students), up from 26.5% in April 2026 and 24.5% in February 2026. Seasonally adjusted: 24.4%.[[1]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/te_news:558925:0-swedish-jobless-rate-rises-to-9-4/)[[2]](https://ycharts.com/indicators/sweden_youth_unemployment_rate_unadjusted)
- Total unemployment: 9.4% in May 2026 (up from 8.7% a year earlier); male total unemployment ~9%.[[1]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/te_news:558925:0-swedish-jobless-rate-rises-to-9-4/)
- Earlier February 2026 SCB data: Youth (15-24) 24.5% unadjusted / 23.2% adjusted; male overall unemployment 9.1%.[[3]](https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subject-area/labour-market/labour-force-supply/labour-force-surveys-lfs/pong/statistical-news/labour-force-surveys-lfs-february-2026/)

One source notes male unemployment for those under 25 at 25.1% (period unspecified but recent context). No new ILO or World Bank modeled estimates or releases appear in the last 60 days; existing data (e.g., FRED/World Bank annual 2025 youth total ~24.3%) aligns with the baseline range.[[4]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSSWE)

Youth unemployment remains structurally high (often inflated by student job-seekers) but shows month-to-month fluctuation without a clear sharp deterioration.

### 2. Political, Security, or Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35)
No reports of protests, coup attempts, militia recruitment, economic shocks, or currency crises in Sweden during the period. Searches across relevant terms yielded no matches. Sweden's labor market shows "slow improvement" overall but with elevated youth figures.[[5]](https://swedenherald.com/article/slow-improvement-in-the-job-market-in-sweden)

### 3. NGO or Academic Reports on Sweden's Youth Situation (2025)
No notable new NGO or academic reports published in 2025 (or early 2026) surfaced within the last 60 days. 
- The OECD Economic Survey of Sweden 2025 (focused on skills and labor market matching) dates to mid-2025.[[6]](https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/2025/06/oecd-economic-surveys-sweden-2025_70cad22e/full-report/strengthening-skills-and-labour-market-matching_3d0464a2.html)
- Broader ILO global trends (Employment and Social Trends 2026) reference 2025 youth data but do not highlight Sweden-specific updates.[[7]](https://researchrepository.ilo.org/view/pdfCoverPage?instCode=41ILO_INST&filePid=13147301370002676&download=true)

### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure Changes
No shutdowns, coverage losses, or negative changes. Developments are neutral-to-positive/ongoing:
- Continued focus on broadband/5G expansion and resilience under national strategies (e.g., "Completely Connected Sweden" targets and 2025-2030 digitalisation strategy).[[8]](https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/digital-connectivity-sweden)
- Telecom regulatory updates in 2026 emphasize infrastructure expansion, fraud prevention, and nationwide coverage (no specific rollout changes or disruptions noted in recent months).[[9]](https://www.twobirds.com/en/insights/2026/sweden-reshaping-of-the-telecoms-landscape-in-2026)
- Sweden is not rushing satellite direct-to-cell services (expected at earliest in ~5 years).[[10]](https://www.telecoms.com/satellite/sweden-in-no-rush-to-roll-out-satellite-direct-to-cell)

**Overall assessment**: Data confirms sustained high youth unemployment (hovering 24-28% range recently, with male youth near baseline levels), but no acute triggers or escalations in the last 60 days that would meaningfully alter the instability picture. Monitor upcoming SCB releases for trends. Sources primarily from SCB, Trading Economics, OECD, and related analyses.
Source discovery
**Statistics Sweden (SCB) Statistical Database (PxWeb / PxWebApi 2)**  
- URL: https://www.statistikdatabasen.scb.se/pxweb/en/ssd/ (main portal) or https://www.scb.se/en/services/open-data-api/pxwebapi/  
- API: Yes (REST/JSON, JSON-stat, SDMX/PC-Axis formats; PxWebApi 2 launched Oct 2025)  
- Update frequency: Varies by table (e.g., Labour Force Survey/unemployment data monthly or quarterly)  
- Auth required: None (public/open; rate limits apply: max 30 calls/10 seconds per IP, 150,000 data cells per query)[[1]](https://www.scb.se/en/services/open-data-api/pxwebapi/)[[2]](https://pxdata.stat.fi/api1.html)

**Sveriges Riksbank (Swedish central bank) – Forecasts and Outcomes API (labor market/economic indicators)**  
- URL: https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/statistics/macro-indicators/forecasts-and-outcomes/ (with API portal at developer.api.riksbank.se)  
- API: Yes (REST API for forecasts/outcomes from 2020 onward, plus related economic series)  
- Update frequency: Quarterly (tied to Monetary Policy Reports) for labor market variables; more frequent for some indicators  
- Auth required: None/public (open API; portal supports user registration for convenience)[[3]](https://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/statistics/macro-indicators/forecasts-and-outcomes/retrieving-forecasts-and-outcomes-via-api/)

**Eurostat (EU statistical office) – Databases covering Sweden (youth unemployment, labor market)**  
- URL: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/ or https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/  
- API: Yes (multiple REST APIs including Statistics API/JSON-stat and SDMX dissemination)  
- Update frequency: Monthly (e.g., unemployment rates) or as per specific datasets  
- Auth required: None (fully public/open)[[4]](https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/user-guides/data-browser/api-data-access/api-introduction)

**Nordic Statistics database (PxWeb-based, includes Sweden labor market data)**  
- URL: https://pxweb.nordicstatistics.org/pxweb/en/Nordic%20Statistics/  
- API: Yes (PxWeb API, similar to SCB)  
- Update frequency: Varies (labor market indicators often annual or more frequent via source LFS data)  
- Auth required: None (public)[[5]](https://www.nordicstatistics.org/areas/labour-market/)

**Swedish news outlets – RSS feeds (reliable coverage of youth/economic issues)**  
- URL examples: Major sources like SVT, Dagens Nyheter, or aggregated lists at https://rss.feedspot.com/sweden_news_rss_feeds/ (individual outlet RSS endpoints)  
- API: Partial (RSS feeds are machine-readable; commercial aggregators like NewsAPI.org or World News API offer Sweden-specific endpoints but are typically paid)  
- Update frequency: Real-time/as published  
- Auth required: None for direct RSS; paid tiers for aggregator APIs[[6]](https://rss.feedspot.com/sweden_news_rss_feeds/)

**Notes on additional categories**:  
- No prominent public NGO/think tank APIs were identified for Sweden-specific youth crisis/poverty monitoring (e.g., Save the Children Sweden issues periodic child poverty reports but no open API; Swecris research database has an API but is not outcome-focused). Regional options like OECD or UNECE overlap with Eurostat coverage for Europe & Central Asia country breakdowns but add limited unique Sweden value beyond already-used sources.[[7]](https://resourcecentre.savethechildren.net/document/a-new-reality-save-the-children-swedens-child-poverty-report-2025)

These are non-inference, directly accessible sources focused on raw or official statistics/downloads. All listed support machine-readable access suitable for integration.

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
18.021.925.72014202525.2%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
0.41.01.7201420231.1

Internet access

%
88.792.596.32014202595.8%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
122.2132.2142.220142024140.7

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
99.5100.0100.520142024100.0%

AI usage

%
21.823.124.42014202523.9%

Population

people
9624069.210146365.010668660.82014202510596620.0

Working-age share

%
61.762.763.82014202562.4%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.