Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan · SYR

Syrian Arab Republic

68
Composite priority
29.5%
Male youth unemployment · 2025
25.62M
Population · 2025
66.7%
Ages 15-64 · 2025
Homicides ·

Location

33.51°, 36.31° · ISO SYR / SYOpen in OpenStreetMap →

Priority breakdown

0 = lowest · 100 = highest

Male youth unemployment29.5%· 78p
2025
Intentional homicides
Internet access33.8%· 80p
2018
Mobile subscriptions71.2 per 100· 86p
2024
Phone ownership
Electricity access89.3%· 17p
2024
AI usage8.4%· 80p
2018 · est.

Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.

Trajectory

20152026 · replay

How the scores moved.

Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.

Fuse 7.3p vs 2021
73
Access gap 1.4p vs 2021
66
Impact 2.6p vs 2021
69

Latest signals

2026-08-08 09:08 UTC · run 2026-08-08T09

What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.

Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.

Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on Syrian youth (or male-specific) unemployment appear in the last 60 days (roughly June–early August 2026).** Existing modeled ILO/World Bank estimates for 2025 remain the most recent benchmarks: total youth unemployment (15–24) at approximately 33.1% and male youth unemployment cited in the baseline at 29.5%.[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSSYR)[[2]](https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/syria-country-policy-and-information-notes/country-and-policy-information-note-humanitarian-situation-syria-june-2026-accessible)

A June 2026 UK FCDO humanitarian note references the ILO’s 2025 figures (total unemployment ~13.6%, youth 33.1%) while cautioning that labor market data remains limited and outdated. It notes persistently high unemployment, especially among youth, with many in daily/temporary or informal jobs (83% of the labor market informal per related ILO references).[[2]](https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/syria-country-policy-and-information-notes/country-and-policy-information-note-humanitarian-situation-syria-june-2026-accessible) A July 2026 analysis cites varying estimates (World Bank ~14% overall in 2025; Syrian Economy Minister ~60% youth unemployment) and highlights strains from returnees.[[3]](https://tempestmag.org/2026/07/frustration-and-anger-on-syrias-streets/)

**Significant events affecting young men (18–35) center on protests and economic discontent rather than coups or large-scale militia recruitment spikes.** ACLED data records 41 demonstrations in the first half of June 2026 (40% of all protests that period) demanding transitional justice and opposing reinstatement of former regime figures, concentrated in Aleppo, Idlib, Deir ez-Zor, Hama, Homs, and Rural Damascus.[[4]](https://acleddata.com/expert-comment/what-behind-syrias-new-wave-protests)[[4]](https://acleddata.com/expert-comment/what-behind-syrias-new-wave-protests) Broader 2026 protest waves (including farmers, transport workers, nurses, teachers, university students, and others) have focused on economic issues such as low wheat procurement prices, high fuel/electricity costs, reduced subsidies, wage disputes, and governance shortcomings.[[5]](https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/syrias-protest-wave-governance-stress-test)[[5]](https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/syrias-protest-wave-governance-stress-test)

Economic hardship remains acute, with over 90% below the poverty line and ongoing inflation/currency pressures noted into mid-2026; this disproportionately affects young men in informal or returnee-heavy labor markets.[[6]](https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2026/country-chapters/syria)[[2]](https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/syria-country-policy-and-information-notes/country-and-policy-information-note-humanitarian-situation-syria-june-2026-accessible) Positive diplomatic developments in July 2026 (UN Secretary-General visit 25–26 July; US intent to rescind Syria’s state sponsor of terrorism designation announced ~8 July; related pipeline cooperation) signal potential longer-term stabilization and reintegration support but have not yet translated into visible youth employment gains.[[7]](https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/monthly-forecast/2026-08/syria-94.php)

No reports of major coup attempts or accelerated militia recruitment targeting young men in the period. Some analyses note risks that sanctions relief or transition dynamics could affect support bases among unemployed conservative young men.[[8]](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/8/syria-grapples-with-unrest-as-government-faces-old-and-new-threats)

**Notable 2025/early 2026 NGO or UN reports on youth include the UNFPA Situation Report on the Crisis in Syria (May–June 2026),** which highlights compounding humanitarian pressures, renewed hostilities, flooding, and displacement affecting youth (among others) alongside scaled-up SRH/GBV services.[[9]](https://www.unfpa.org/resources/situation-report-crisis-syria-may-june-2026) The UK FCDO’s June 2026 humanitarian note and related analyses underscore youth unemployment and livelihood barriers.[[2]](https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/syria-country-policy-and-information-notes/country-and-policy-information-note-humanitarian-situation-syria-june-2026-accessible)[[2]](https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/syria-country-policy-and-information-notes/country-and-policy-information-note-humanitarian-situation-syria-june-2026-accessible) Earlier or overlapping 2025–2026 reports (e.g., HRW World Report 2026, BTI 2026 Syria Country Report, UNICEF, SNHR on child protection) emphasize economic crisis, displacement, and limited opportunities but predate or fall outside the strict 60-day window.[[6]](https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2026/country-chapters/syria)[[10]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/SYR)

**Internet/mobile infrastructure saw at least one notable disruption:** Sharp drop in internet traffic reported around 14–15 June 2026 linked to damage/sabotage of an international undersea communications cable, alongside mentions of blackouts and telecom issues.[[11]](https://www.instagram.com/p/DN3opER5GxE/)[[12]](https://www.facebook.com/100070528780317/posts/-widespread-internet-outage-reported-in-syria-following-sabotage-of-internationa/1047544524273164/) Earlier localized actions (e.g., Kobani January 2026) and other outages (e.g., Sweida 2025) are outside the window; a July 2026 detection of significant connectivity drop was also noted in monitoring data.[[13]](https://voidly.ai/incident/SY-2026-0604) No widespread new national shutdowns or major rollout/coverage expansions reported in the period.

**Assessment relative to baseline (youth male unemployment 29.5% in 2025; instability fuse 73.1/100):** No data shift on unemployment. Persistent June 2026 protests (political accountability + economic grievances involving students and workers) and ongoing economic pressures indicate sustained or elevated short-term tensions among youth/young men, potentially sustaining or slightly elevating instability risks despite diplomatic progress. Internet disruptions could temporarily hinder youth communication or mobilization. No transformative positive developments in employment or infrastructure.
Source discovery
**National statistics sources (limited public access due to conflict impacts on capacity):**

- **Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) Syria** (also linked to Planning and Statistics Authority): https://cbssyr.sy/ (archived/main site; related portal at https://psc.gov.sy/); No API; Updates via Statistical Yearbooks, Labour Force Surveys, and labor/unemployment tables (irregular/annual where available, e.g., 2024 LFS referenced in reports); Auth: none (public PDF/table downloads or registration for some GHDx-hosted files). Machine-readable downloads limited to static tables/PDFs; recent data often cited via UNDP/World Bank.[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_Bureau_of_Statistics_(Syria))[[2]](https://psc.gov.sy/site2/index-EN.htm)[[3]](https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/2025-02/undp-sy-seia-final_0.pdf)

- **Central Bank of Syria (CBS)**: https://cb.gov.sy/ (Directorate of Economic Research/Statistical Bulletin); No API; Updates via statistical bulletins and economic tables (monthly/quarterly where produced); Auth: none (public downloads). Covers monetary, balance-of-payments, and related economic indicators; labor/youth specifics indirect.[[4]](https://cb.gov.sy/index.php?page=dept&ex=2&dir=councils&lang=2&service=5&cat_id=39)[[5]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_Bank_of_Syria)

**Regional databases (MENA/AP-focused with Syria breakdowns):**

- **Arab Development Portal (ESCWA/UN)**: https://data.unescwa.org/ (or country-specific like syria.unescwa.org); Partial API (explicit query support for datasets); Updates ongoing/regional (varies by indicator, e.g., labor, economic, youth metrics); Auth: none/free (public access with API endpoints for integration). Includes Syria-specific labor force, unemployment, and economic indicators with country breakdowns.[[6]](https://data.unescwa.org/)[[7]](https://qatar.unescwa.org/Datacatalog/Dataset/escwa/aim/By%20Group)

**News/RSS and monitoring sources (reliable coverage):**

- **Syria RSS feeds aggregator (Feedspot-curated)**: https://rss.feedspot.com/syria_rss_feeds/ (includes sources like Syria News RSS, The Syria Campaign); No dedicated API (standard RSS); Updates real-time/daily; Auth: none. Aggregates reliable regional/local coverage for instability/youth-related events.[[8]](https://rss.feedspot.com/syria_rss_feeds/)

- **NewsData.io or World News API (Syria-specific endpoints)**: https://newsdata.io/ or https://worldnewsapi.com/ (country=SY filters); Yes API; Updates real-time/daily (45+ articles/day from Syrian sources); Auth: free tier or paid (API key required). Structured news data for monitoring.[[9]](https://newsdata.io/news-sources/syria-news-api)[[10]](https://worldnewsapi.com/docs/news-sources/syria-news-api/)

**NGO/think tank data sources (limited public APIs):**

No prominent public data APIs identified for crisis monitoring or poverty tracking specific to Syria beyond already-used sources (e.g., ACLED) or general UN/World Bank portals. Regional think tanks like Carnegie Middle East Center or ERF provide reports but not structured APIs. Check ESCWA or UN OCHA Syria pages for supplementary dashboards (no API noted).

Full run history: /sources

Trends · 2014–2026

Each dimension, over time.

Male youth unemployment

%
27.930.533.02014202529.5%

Intentional homicides

per 100k
No data

Internet access

%
27.630.934.32014201833.8%

Mobile subscriptions

per 100
67.878.489.02014202471.2

Phone ownership

%
No data

Electricity access

%
85.588.190.72014202489.3%

AI usage

%
6.57.78.9201420188.4%

Population

people
18679706.622407130.526134554.42014202525620427.0

Working-age share

%
54.461.067.62014202566.7%

Provenance

Where the numbers come from.

Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.