Latin America & Caribbean · URY
Uruguay
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-08-24 09:07 UTC · run 2026-08-24T09
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth (or specifically male youth) unemployment in Uruguay appear in the last 60 days (roughly late June–August 24, 2026) that significantly update or shift the 22.9% baseline for males aged 15-24 (2025 national figure).**[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/uruguay/unemployment-rate/news/537176)[[2]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Uruguay/youth_unemployment/) Modeled ILO/World Bank estimates place overall youth unemployment (15-24) at 25.15% for 2025 (down from 26.7% in 2024), with national unemployment around 7–7.6% in mid-2026.[[3]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSURY)[[2]](https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/Uruguay/youth_unemployment/) Recent national statistics (Instituto Nacional de Estadística via Trading Economics) show youth unemployment (ages 14-24) at 21.3% in June 2026 (down from 25.7% in May 2026 and 23.3% in April), with overall male unemployment lower than female (e.g., 5.7% vs. 8.5% in June).[[4]](https://tradingeconomics.com/uruguay/unemployment-rate) The ILO’s *Global Employment Trends for Youth 2026* (published August 11, 2026) notes a projected slight decline in youth employment in Latin America and the Caribbean due to demographic shifts but does not provide Uruguay-specific updates or contradict the baseline.[[5]](https://www.ilo.org/sites/default/files/2026-08/9789220437612_PDFA_Web_ENG.pdf) **Security and crime developments are the most notable recent factor potentially affecting young men (18-35).** On July 20, 2026, Uruguay’s Interior Ministry reported 195 homicides in the first half of 2026, a 6.6% increase year-over-year.[[6]](https://thedialogue.org/analysis/what-factors-are-fueling-uruguays-security-challenges)[[6]](https://thedialogue.org/analysis/what-factors-are-fueling-uruguays-security-challenges) Many victims have criminal convictions (57% in H1 2026 data), with 75% killed by firearms; prisons are described as recruitment hotspots for gangs amid rising organized crime and drug trafficking. Public security ranks as the top national concern (over 50% in recent surveys), prompting controversial government measures like deploying army armored vehicles in high-risk areas.[[6]](https://thedialogue.org/analysis/what-factors-are-fueling-uruguays-security-challenges) The BTI 2026 Uruguay Country Report (covering developments through 2025 into the current period) highlights worsening homicides linked to drug trafficking, prison overcrowding, and related social issues as persistent challenges.[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/URY)[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/URY) No large-scale protests, coup attempts, or militia recruitment targeting or involving young men were reported in the period. US State Department advisories (updated July 2026/2025 data) note elevated crime risks, including homicide.[[8]](https://uy.usembassy.gov/travel-advisory-for-uruguay/) **No notable new NGO or academic reports specifically on Uruguay’s youth situation published in 2025 were identified in the last 60 days.** The BTI 2026 report and UNICEF’s Uruguay Annual Report 2025 (released February 2026) address broader socioeconomic and security issues, including child poverty and education, but predate the window.[[9]](https://open.unicef.org/download-pdf?country-name=Uruguay&year=2025)[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/URY) Earlier 2026 CESCR reviews commended education enrollment gains while raising questions on other areas.[[10]](https://www.ungeneva.org/en/news-media/meeting-summary/2026/02/examen-de-luruguay-au-cescr-les-experts-se-penchent-notamment) **Internet/mobile infrastructure saw minor developments but no major shutdowns or coverage collapses.** An IODA-detected connectivity anomaly (20% rate) occurred around June 15, 2026.[[11]](https://voidly.ai/incident/UY-2026-0021) On June 23, 2026, Uruguayan mobile operators joined the GSMA Open Gateway initiative, introducing tools like SIM Swap and Number Verification to combat online fraud—a positive infrastructure/security enhancement.[[12]](https://www.gsma.com/about-us/regions/latin-america-and-the-caribbean/open-gateway-uruguay/) No widespread outages or policy-driven changes were noted. **Overall assessment:** Unemployment data remains broadly consistent with or slightly improved from the baseline, with no major statistical releases altering the picture. Rising homicide and organized crime trends (detailed in July 2026 reports) represent the clearest potential upward pressure on youth instability indicators, particularly for young men, given victim demographics and gang involvement—warranting monitoring against the 43.3/100 fuse score. No other acute shocks (economic, political, or infrastructural) were evident in the period. Sources include World Bank/ILO data portals, Trading Economics, The Dialogue, BTI Project, and official ministry releases.
Source discovery
**National statistics bureau (INE - Instituto Nacional de Estadística):** - **Name**: Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) Uruguay / Catálogo Nacional de Datos Abiertos - **URL**: https://www.ine.gub.uy/ or https://catalogodatos.gub.uy/ (national open data catalog including INE datasets) - **API**: Partial (mentions of legacy Google Fusion Tables API; primarily machine-readable downloads in CSV/XML/JSON via national portal) - **Update frequency**: Quarterly or monthly for labor/unemployment data (e.g., Continuous Household Survey / ECH) - **Auth required**: None (open data) **Central bank (BCU - Banco Central del Uruguay):** - **Name**: Banco Central del Uruguay (BCU) – Estadísticas y Estudios / Cotizaciones API - **URL**: https://www.bcu.gub.uy/ (Statistics-Studies section) or https://cotizaciones.bcu.gub.uy/ for exchange rates; broader series via national catalog - **API**: Yes (public endpoints for cotizaciones/exchange rates and some indicators; other data via downloads or catalog) - **Update frequency**: Daily/weekly for financial indicators; monthly/quarterly for economic/labor-related series - **Auth required**: None (public APIs and open data) **Regional databases (LAC-focused with Uruguay breakdowns):** - **Name**: CEPALSTAT (ECLAC Statistical Data Portal) - **URL**: https://statistics.cepal.org/portal/cepalstat/ (Open Data API section) - **API**: Yes (dedicated Open Data API for indicators; R package wrappers available) - **Update frequency**: Regular updates (annual/periodic for labor, social, and economic indicators with country breakdowns) - **Auth required**: None (public) - **Name**: IDB Open Data (Inter-American Development Bank) / Social Indicators of Latin America and the Caribbean + Latin Macro Watch - **URL**: https://data.iadb.org/ - **API**: Yes (API access to datasets, indicators, and metadata; covers labor, employment, social indicators) - **Update frequency**: Periodic (varies by dataset; ongoing updates for LAC indicators including Uruguay) - **Auth required**: None (public/open data) **Local/regional news RSS feeds or APIs:** - **Name**: World News API (Uruguay sources) or Newsdata.io (Uruguay breaking news) - **URL**: https://worldnewsapi.com/docs/news-sources/uruguay-news-api/ or https://newsdata.io/news-sources/uruguay-breaking-news-api - **API**: Yes (dedicated news APIs pulling from Uruguayan outlets) - **Update frequency**: Real-time/daily (hundreds of articles daily) - **Auth required**: Free tier with limits or paid (API key typically required) - **Name**: Global Voices (Uruguay RSS) - **URL**: https://globalvoices.org/feeds/ (country-specific feeds) - **API/RSS**: Yes (RSS feeds) - **Update frequency**: As published (irregular but reliable regional coverage) - **Auth required**: None **NGO/think tank with public data API:** Limited dedicated public APIs identified for crisis/poverty tracking specific to Uruguay. Related open data efforts exist via Data Uruguay or ILDA (regional), but primarily catalogs/downloads rather than live APIs. Check the national open data catalog (catalogodatos.gub.uy) for NGO-contributed Uruguay datasets on poverty/labor.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2025
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025