Latin America & Caribbean · URY
Uruguay
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-05 00:00 UTC · run 2026-07-05T00
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major shifts from the baseline (youth unemployment 15-24 male ~22.9% in 2025; national instability fuse score 43.3/100) in the last ~60 days (roughly early May to early July 2026).** Youth unemployment remains elevated but stable around 23-26% (total/14-24 age group), with no new ILO/World Bank annual releases or male-specific updates. Limited political/security events or infrastructure disruptions were noted, and no evidence of protests, coups, militia activity, or currency crises targeting young men (18-35).[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/uruguay/unemployment-rate/news/530282)[[2]](https://tradingeconomics.com/uruguay/unemployment-rate) ### 1. Government/ILO/World Bank Data on Youth or Male Unemployment - **Monthly labor force data from Uruguay’s Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE), via Trading Economics**: - May 2026: Overall unemployment 7.6% (up slightly from 7.5% in April); youth (14-24) unemployment 25.7%; male unemployment 6.8% (vs. 8.5% female). Youth rates far exceed older groups (e.g., 8.4% for 25-29; under 4% for 35+).[[2]](https://tradingeconomics.com/uruguay/unemployment-rate) - April 2026: Overall 7.5%; youth (14-24) 23.3%; male 6.4%.[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/uruguay/unemployment-rate/news/530282) - March 2026: Overall 7.8%; youth (14-24) 25.9%.[[1]](https://tradingeconomics.com/uruguay/unemployment-rate/news/530282) - **Annual modeled ILO/World Bank estimates** (latest full year): Youth unemployment (15-24 total) 25.149% in 2025 (down from 26.698% in 2024). No 2026 annual update or male-specific (15-24) monthly/quarterly figures identified in recent releases. Earlier national estimates showed male youth unemployment at 24.04% in 2024.[[3]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSURY)[[4]](https://tradingeconomics.com/uruguay/unemployment-youth-male-percent-of-male-labor-force-ages-15-24-national-estimate-wb-data.html) - Broader context (World Bank MPO, referencing Dec 2025): Overall unemployment fell to 7.0% (from 7.4% a year prior), with youth (15-24) noted as a high-unemployment cohort alongside women and Afro-descendants; no new post-May 2026 data.[[5]](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/e408a7e21ba62d843bdd90dc37e61b57-0500032021/related/mpo-ury.pdf) These figures align closely with the 22.9% male youth baseline and show no sharp deterioration. ### 2. Political, Security, or Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35) - No significant protests, coups, militia recruitment, economic shocks, or currency crises reported in Uruguay during the period. Mentions of demonstrations are limited to earlier dates (e.g., Jan 3, 2026, in Montevideo) or unrelated to youth instability.[[6]](https://uy.usembassy.gov/step_vzla2026/) - Ongoing challenges noted in the **BTI 2026 Uruguay Country Report** (covering recent trends): Rising organized crime, homicides linked to drug trafficking, prison overcrowding, and child poverty remain concerns, but these are structural rather than acute new events in the last 60 days. The incoming government (President-elect Yamandú Orsi) faces continuity issues around growth, security, and labor reforms.[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/URY) - Regional Latin American youth protests (e.g., Peru, Argentina) are referenced in some reports but do not extend to Uruguay.[[8]](https://www.boell.de/en/2026/04/18/humour-hope-and-hashtags-how-gen-z-reshaping-protest-latin-america) ### 3. NGO or Academic Reports on Uruguay’s Youth Situation (Published 2025) - **UNICEF Uruguay Annual Report 2025**: Covers mental health, education (including AI/digital aspects), human rights advocacy, and adolescent participation spaces. Focuses on equity, protection from violence, and support for vulnerable children/adolescents; no indication of major new instability flags.[[9]](https://open.unicef.org/download-pdf?country-name=Uruguay&year=2025) - **BTI 2026 Uruguay Country Report**: Discusses persistent issues like child poverty, education gaps (nearly half of youth aged 21–23 lack secondary diplomas), crime, and labor market challenges, while noting high democratic satisfaction. Published/released in 2026 context.[[7]](https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/URY) - No other prominent new 2025 NGO/academic reports surfaced in recent searches. ### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure Changes - **June 19, 2026**: Detected significant connectivity drop/outage in Uruguay (20% anomaly rate across measurements; critical severity per IODA monitoring).[[10]](https://voidly.ai/incident/UY-2026-0023) - **June 23, 2026**: Uruguayan mobile operators joined the GSMA Open Gateway initiative to accelerate API-driven mobile services and innovation (positive rollout/expansion signal).[[11]](https://www.gsma.com/about-us/regions/latin-america-and-the-caribbean/open-gateway-uruguay/) - General assessments (2026): Reliable high-speed internet and mobile coverage; ongoing infrastructure projects (highways, ports) but no widespread shutdowns or coverage regressions beyond the noted single outage.[[12]](https://www.liveandinvestoverseas.com/country-hub/uruguay/infrastructure-in-uruguay/) **Overall assessment**: Data remains consistent with baseline levels; the minor May uptick in overall unemployment and the isolated June internet outage do not indicate a significant shift in youth instability risk. Continued monitoring of monthly INE releases and any 2026 Q2/Q3 labor reports recommended. Sources primarily include Trading Economics/INE, World Bank/FRED, BTI Project, UNICEF, and GSMA.
Source discovery
**Bullet list of relevant non-inference data sources for Uruguay (focusing on labor, employment, economic indicators, and related youth instability metrics).** These supplement the already-used sources (World Bank, ACLED, etc.). Information is based on official sites and data portals as of mid-2026; verify current status directly as APIs/downloads can change.[[1]](https://www4.ine.gub.uy/Anda5/index.php/opendata)[[2]](https://www.ine.gub.uy/) **National statistics bureau (INE - Instituto Nacional de Estadística):** - **Name/URL**: Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) Uruguay – Continuous Household Survey (Encuesta Continua de Hogares/ECH) and labor/unemployment data; https://www.ine.gub.uy/ and open data catalog https://www4.ine.gub.uy/Anda5/ - **API**: Partial (mentions legacy Google Fusion Tables API for open data tables; primarily machine-readable downloads like Excel/CSV/microdata via catalog). - **Update frequency**: Monthly/quarterly for labor indicators (e.g., unemployment, employment rates by age/gender). - **Auth required**: None (free public downloads; registration sometimes needed for microdata). **Central bank/finance ministry:** - **Name/URL**: Banco Central del Uruguay (BCU) – Statistics and economic indicators (includes labor-related and youth employment proxies via broader economic data); https://www.bcu.gub.uy/ (Statistics-Studies section) and exchange rates API. - **API**: Yes (exchange rates via https://cotizaciones.bcu.gub.uy/; broader statistics via downloads/portals; third-party wrappers exist). - **Update frequency**: Daily (exchange rates), monthly/quarterly (economic indicators). - **Auth required**: None (free public access). **Regional databases (LAC with Uruguay breakdowns):** - **Name/URL**: Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) Data Portal – Social Indicators of Latin America and the Caribbean (household survey-based, includes labor/employment/poverty); https://data.iadb.org/ - **API**: No (primarily downloads and interactive exploration; some datasets exportable). - **Update frequency**: Periodic updates (ongoing from 1990s onward, country-level). - **Auth required**: None (free public access). - **Name/URL**: ECLAC/CEPALSTAT (CEPAL) – Regional statistical database with LAC country breakdowns (labor, employment, SDGs); https://statistics.cepal.org/ - **API**: No (downloads and queries via portal). - **Update frequency**: Regular (annual or as new official data available). - **Auth required**: None (free public access). **Local/regional news RSS feeds or APIs:** - **Name/URL**: Various Uruguayan outlets via aggregators (e.g., El País, La República, Montevideo Portal); monitored by services like World News API or Newsdata.io Uruguay feeds. - **API**: Yes (via third-party like https://worldnewsapi.com/ or https://newsdata.io/ for Uruguay sources; native RSS often available on individual sites). - **Update frequency**: Real-time/daily. - **Auth required**: None for basic RSS; free tier or paid for full API access (e.g., rate limits on free plans). **NGO/think tank public data APIs:** - **Name/URL**: Uruguay Open Data Portal (catalogodatos.gub.uy) aggregating INE and other public sources (includes labor/poverty datasets); https://catalogodatos.gub.uy/ - **API**: Partial (catalog supports downloads; some linked datasets have APIs). - **Update frequency**: Varies by source (often monthly/quarterly). - **Auth required**: None (free public). Additional notes: Many sources emphasize downloadable structured data (CSV/Excel) over full REST APIs. Youth-specific breakdowns (e.g., ages 15-24 unemployment) appear in INE ECH releases and are aggregated in IDB/World Bank (already used). No dedicated youth crisis-monitoring NGO API was identified as prominently public for Uruguay. Always check terms for bulk/machine-readable use.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025