Latin America & Caribbean · VCT
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-06-29 06:00 UTC · run 2026-06-29T06
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No major new data releases or developments in the last ~60 days (late April–late June 2026) significantly alter the baseline youth unemployment figure (~42.3% for males aged 15-24 nationally in 2025) or the already-maxed instability fuse score.**[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSVCT)[[2]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/vct/st-vincent-and-the-grenadines/youth-unemployment-rate) ### 1. Youth/Male Unemployment Data (Government, ILO, World Bank) Latest available modeled ILO/World Bank estimates (via FRED, Macrotrends, Statista, and Trading Economics) show: - Total youth unemployment (15-24): 41.95% in 2025 (up slightly from 41.85% in 2024).[[1]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSVCT)[[2]](https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/vct/st-vincent-and-the-grenadines/youth-unemployment-rate) - Male youth unemployment (15-24): 41.44% modeled estimate for 2024 (no newer male-specific figure released).[[3]](https://tradingeconomics.com/st-vincent-and-the-grenadines/unemployment-youth-male-percent-of-male-labor-force-ages-15-24-wb-data.html) These align closely with the 42.3% baseline and predate the last 60 days (updated as of early 2026). No new national government labor force survey, ILO country-specific release, or World Bank update for St. Vincent and the Grenadines (VCT/SVG) appears in recent sources.[[4]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.NE.ZS?locations=VC) A Caribbean Development Bank (CDB) *Labour Market Differentials in the Caribbean* study (published/released 2025) notes persistently high regional youth unemployment (often double national averages), greater vulnerability to shocks, slower recovery, and skills/demand-side mismatches. It references SVG in passing on related labor issues but provides no new SVG-specific youth numbers.[[5]](https://www.caribank.org/sites/default/files/publication-resources/Labour%20Market%20Study%20Final%202025.pdf)[[5]](https://www.caribank.org/sites/default/files/publication-resources/Labour%20Market%20Study%20Final%202025.pdf) The IMF’s end-of-mission statement (April 28, 2026, Article IV consultation) highlights economic resilience amid shocks but notes ongoing vulnerabilities, without youth-specific data.[[6]](https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/04/28/pr26130-saint-vincent-and-the-grenadines-imf-staff-completes-2026-article-iv-mission) ### 2. Political/Security/Economic Events Affecting Young Men (18-35) The primary recent development was an April 2026 constitutional controversy and associated protests: - The new government (Prime Minister Godwin Friday, New Democratic Party) proposed bills to amend the 1979 constitution’s rules on foreign allegiance/citizenship for MPs (aimed at clarifying eligibility for dual Canadian-Vincentian citizens, including Friday and another MP). Opposition petitions challenging their eligibility were pending in the Eastern Caribbean Supreme Court (hearings scheduled for July 2026).[[7]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/23/st-vincent-and-grenadines-government-constitutional-amendment-bills-godwin-friday) - Backlash included online outrage, demonstrations near parliament (placards e.g., “constitutional change without the voice of the people”), and former PM Ralph Gonsalves publicly threatening mass protests and “ruination,” explicitly calling on “the young men on the block” to mobilize in defense of the constitution/rule of law.[[8]](https://www.facebook.com/WPG10News/videos/st-vincent-ralph-gonsalves-threatens-protests-and-ruination-over-proposed-amendm/26429594260055500/) - On April 23, 2026, the government paused the bills to allow further public debate.[[7]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/23/st-vincent-and-grenadines-government-constitutional-amendment-bills-godwin-friday)[[7]](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/apr/23/st-vincent-and-grenadines-government-constitutional-amendment-bills-godwin-friday) This episode involved direct appeals to young men and street protests but remained contained (no escalation to violence, coups, militias, or broader economic shocks). A UN/development partners roundtable occurred in June 2026. No currency crises, militia activity, or other major security incidents reported.[[9]](https://www.instagram.com/reel/DZYBkrFFsNH/) ### 3. NGO/Academic Reports on Youth (2025) The CDB 2025 labour market study is the most relevant recent regional report, emphasizing youth disadvantages across client countries (including SVG context) and the need for targeted interventions.[[5]](https://www.caribank.org/sites/default/files/publication-resources/Labour%20Market%20Study%20Final%202025.pdf)[[5]](https://www.caribank.org/sites/default/files/publication-resources/Labour%20Market%20Study%20Final%202025.pdf) No prominent new SVG-specific NGO or academic reports from 2025–2026 were identified in searches. Older or unrelated items (e.g., 2022 UNICEF mention, climate NDC references to youth engagement) do not qualify as new. ### 4. Internet/Mobile Infrastructure No shutdowns, major rollouts, or coverage changes reported in the last 60 days. - 4G LTE remains dominant (Flow and Digicel); 5G largely absent. Rural/Grenadines coverage is patchy.[[10]](https://thingstodoinsaintvincentandthegrenadines.com/connectivity/) - Modest growth in mobile connections (+1.5% into end-2025 per Digital 2026 report).[[11]](https://datareportal.com/reports/digital-2026-saint-vincent-and-the-grenadines) **Summary assessment**: The April 2026 political protests represent the only notable youth-relevant event, with explicit outreach to young men, but it de-escalated without broader instability. Unemployment data remains consistent with the baseline. No factors appear to meaningfully shift the high instability picture.
Source discovery
**Statistical Office, Government of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines** (https://stats.gov.vc/): National statistics bureau site with labour force survey (LFS) results, unemployment, employment by sector, and related indicators (e.g., 2017/2022 LFS reports). No public API (data via web pages, subject sections like Labour and Time Use, and PDF/Excel downloads). Update frequency: Irregular (survey-based, e.g., LFS reports; some indicators updated annually or as released). Auth: None (public downloads).[[1]](https://stats.gov.vc/) **Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB)** (https://www.eccb-centralbank.org/statistics): Regional central bank providing SVG-specific economic/financial indicators (e.g., CPI, national accounts, monetary surveys, fiscal data, balance of payments). No public API (interactive tables, country breakdowns for SVG, PDF reports). Update frequency: Quarterly/annual (e.g., economic reviews, CPI updates). Auth: None (public access).[[2]](https://www.eccb-centralbank.org/statistics) **ECLAC CEPALSTAT** (https://statistics.cepal.org/): Regional LAC database (ECLAC) with SVG country breakdowns for economic, social, labour, and SDG-related indicators. Partial API/open data access (mentions of Open Data/API for bulk extraction alongside downloads). Update frequency: Varies by indicator/dataset (ongoing updates from national sources). Auth: None for open data/API.[[3]](https://statistics.cepal.org/portal/cepalstat/index.html?lang=en) **CARICOM Statistics** (https://statistics.caricom.org/): Regional Caribbean statistical portal with SVG-specific datasets (e.g., census, population, education). No public API (official datasets for view/download). Update frequency: Periodic (census rounds, thematic datasets). Auth: None (public downloads).[[4]](https://statistics.caricom.org/) **OECS Data Dissemination Portal / iTech Mission platform** (https://oecs.itechmission.org/ or related OECS portals): OECS regional platform with comparable country-level data for SVG (economic, social, labour indicators). No public API (web-based data portal with downloads/visualizations). Update frequency: Varies (regional compilations). Auth: None (public access).[[5]](https://oecs.int/en/statistics-in-the-eastern-caribbean) **St. Vincent Times RSS feed** (https://www.stvincenttimes.com/feed): Local SVG news source with reliable coverage of national/economic/youth-related stories. RSS feed available (no dedicated data API). Update frequency: Daily. Auth: None (public RSS).[[6]](https://rss.feedspot.com/caribbean_news_rss_feeds/) **World News API – Saint Vincent and the Grenadines sources** (https://worldnewsapi.com/docs/news-sources/saint-vincent-and-the-grenadines-news-api/): Aggregated news API covering SVG local/regional outlets. API: Yes. Update frequency: Real-time/live. Auth: Likely free tier or paid (standard news API model; check site for details).[[7]](https://worldnewsapi.com/docs/news-sources/saint-vincent-and-the-grenadines-news-api/) No prominent public APIs were identified from NGOs/think tanks specifically focused on SVG crisis/poverty/youth monitoring beyond the above regional/national sources. Existing pulls (e.g., World Bank) already cover modeled ILO unemployment estimates.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2023 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2024 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2023
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2024
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025