Latin America & Caribbean · VIR
Virgin Islands (U.S.)
Location
Priority breakdown
0 = lowest · 100 = highest
Composite = mean of available dimensions, 5th-95th percentile clipped, direction-adjusted. Instability (unemployment, violence) raises score with value. Access (internet, devices, electricity, AI) raises score with absence.
Trajectory
2015–2026 · replay
How the scores moved.
Scores recomputed historically by replaying each year's indicator values through the current normalizer. Useful for direction, less so for absolute magnitude. World Bank series lag 1-2 years.
Latest signals
2026-07-03 00:00 UTC · run 2026-07-03T00
What the signals agent found, in the last ~60 days.
Live web search via Grok, scoped to this country. Structural indicators above lag by 1-2 years; this section is what changed recently.
Signals
**No new official government, ILO, or World Bank releases on youth (15-24) or male-specific unemployment for the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI/VIR) were identified in the last 60 days (roughly May–early July 2026).** Existing modeled/estimated figures remain the most recent available, aligning with the baseline (e.g., World Bank youth male unemployment 15-24 at 20.6% for 2025; total youth unemployment around 24.2% for 2025 per FRED and other aggregators).[[1]](https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS?locations=JO)[[2]](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SLUEM1524ZSVIR)[[3]](https://statisticsoftheworld.com/country/us-virgin-islands/youth-unemployment) **Positive labor market notes (not youth-specific):** On May 8, 2026, the USVI Department of Labor (VIDOL) announced the territory had fully repaid its federal Title XII Unemployment Insurance loan principal ($11,888,166 on April 30, 2026), restoring solvency to the UI Trust Fund and eliminating FUTA credit reductions for employers in 2026. Insured unemployment rates stayed low (e.g., 0.49–0.74% in May–June 2026 per FRED). VIDOL highlighted strong participation in 2026 summer youth employment programs. A June 16, 2026, update referencing KIDS COUNT data noted lower overall unemployment, higher graduation rates, rising incomes, and improved family outcomes.[[4]](https://www.vidol.gov/news/virgin-islands-achieves-historic-milestone-in-elimination-of-federal-unemployment-debt/)[[5]](https://www.vi.gov/kids-count-data-confirms-virgin-islands-families-are-seeing-real-progress-under-bryan-roach-administration/)[[6]](https://www.facebook.com/USVIDOL/posts/press-release-vidol-announces-strong-response-to-2026-summer-youth-employment-pr/1469533528549834/) **No significant political, security, or economic shocks** (protests/coups/militia activity/currency issues) specifically tied to young men (18-35) in the last 60 days. Routine events included festivals (e.g., St. Thomas Carnival April 26–May 2; various June–July events) and budget/legislative activity.[[7]](https://vacationvi.com/usvi-events-and-festivals-2026/)[[8]](https://www.visitusvi.com/carnivals-festivals/) **Notable infrastructure/power issues with secondary effects:** Multiple island-wide blackouts occurred, including a total blackout on St. Thomas and St. John over the May 30–31, 2026 weekend (second in the period; linked to mechanical faults at a power plant and WAPA operational instability) and another on June 18, 2026. These caused temporary internet/connectivity drops (e.g., via providers like VI Powernet) and prompted a small resident protest/rally outside the Legislature on June 2, 2026, over WAPA reliability. Power issues have broader economic and daily-life impacts but do not appear to represent a major escalation from prior patterns. No deliberate internet/mobile shutdowns, major new rollouts, or coverage changes were reported.[[9]](https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2026-05-31/blackout-hits-u-s-virgin-islands-for-second-time-this-weekend)[[10]](https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2026/05/31/Virgin-Islands-blackouts/6001780275047/)[[11]](https://stthomassource.com/content/2026/06/02/residents-rally-outside-legislature-as-wapa-outages-fuel-frustration/) **NGO/academic reports:** The main 2025 youth-focused item is the St. Croix Foundation’s KIDS COUNT USVI Data Book (“When Data Speaks: The Voices of Our Children”) and dashboard, released November 2025 (with related updates referencing progress in June 2026). A USVI Department of Health 2025 Epidemiology Annual Report came out in April 2026. No major new NGO or academic youth reports from 2025 (or 2026) appeared in recent coverage.[[12]](https://www.stxfoundation.org/news/kids-count-and-speak-in-new-report-on-usvi-youth/)[[13]](https://stthomassource.com/content/2025/11/19/kids-count-and-speak-in-new-report-on-usvi-youth/) **Overall assessment:** No developments in the last 60 days appear to significantly shift the instability picture from the provided baseline (youth male unemployment 20.6% in 2025; national fuse score 58.9/100). The UI debt repayment and summer youth program activity are modestly positive; recurring power outages represent ongoing challenges with limited protest activity but no broader unrest or data revisions. Sources are primarily official USVI government sites, FRED/World Bank data portals, and local news.
Source discovery
**Virgin Islands (U.S.) / USVI-specific or relevant non-inference data sources (focusing on labor, economic/youth indicators, regional LAC coverage, news, and NGO data):** - **Virgin Islands Department of Labor (VIDOL) / VIeWS (e.g., LAUS unemployment, QCEW, CES employment/wages)**: https://www.vidol.gov/labor-statistics/ and https://www.vidolviews.org/ (subpages like /laus, /qcew, /ces); machine-readable downloads via Data Download Center (e.g., complete files); no API; monthly (unemployment/LAUS) or quarterly; none/free.[[1]](https://www.vidol.gov/labor-statistics/)[[1]](https://www.vidol.gov/labor-statistics/) - **U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) – USVI-specific series (e.g., Economy at a Glance, LAUS, CES, QCEW for Virgin Islands)**: https://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.vi.htm; public Data API (JSON, free with optional registration for higher limits); monthly; none/free (rate limits apply without key).[[2]](https://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.vi.htm) - **CEPALSTAT (ECLAC/UN) – LAC regional statistical databank with country breakdowns (includes USVI/Virgin Islands (U.S.))**: https://statistics.cepal.org/portal/cepalstat/index.html?lang=en; API available (api-cepalstat.cepal.org); varies by indicator (annual or more frequent); none/free.[[3]](https://statistics.cepal.org/portal/cepalstat/index.html?lang=en)[[4]](https://rogermariolopez.com/en/post/25-09-cepal-inflacion/) - **KIDS COUNT Data Center (Annie E. Casey Foundation, with St. Croix Foundation for USVI)**: https://datacenter.aecf.org/ (USVI-specific child/youth/economic indicators, including unemployment/poverty); data exports/downloads (CSV etc.); no dedicated API; annual or periodic updates; none/free.[[5]](https://datacenter.aecf.org/data/tables/6917-unemployment-rate)[[6]](https://www.stxfoundation.org/news/usvi-and-national-kids-count-data-align-on-how-geography-shapes-child-well-being/) - **WTJX Newsfeed (local NPR affiliate for USVI)**: https://wtjxnewsfeed.podbean.com/ (RSS feed: https://feed.podbean.com/wtjxnewsfeed/feed.xml); no API; frequent (news-driven); none/free.[[7]](https://wtjxnewsfeed.podbean.com/) - **Global Voices – US Virgin Islands section**: https://globalvoices.org/-/world/caribbean/us-virgin-islands/; RSS feeds available; no dedicated data API; ongoing/news-driven; none/free.[[8]](https://globalvoices.org/feeds/) - **Federal Reserve Bank of New York – US Virgin Islands regional economic profile**: https://www.newyorkfed.org/regional-economy/profiles/us-virginislands; limited indicators (e.g., employment, income); no API mentioned; periodic; none/free.[[9]](https://www.newyorkfed.org/regional-economy/profiles/us-virginislands) No dedicated central bank or finance ministry public API/data portal specific to USVI youth/economic indicators was identified (as a U.S. territory, relevant data routes through federal sources like BLS or FRBNY). No additional NGO/think tank public APIs specifically for crisis/poverty monitoring in USVI were found beyond the above. World Bank and similar are already excluded per query.
Full run history: /sources
Trends · 2014–2026
Each dimension, over time.
Male youth unemployment
%Intentional homicides
per 100kInternet access
%Mobile subscriptions
per 100Phone ownership
%Electricity access
%AI usage
%Population
peopleWorking-age share
%Provenance
Where the numbers come from.
Every dimension in the priority score has a public, citable source. Window 2014–2026. Signed-input pipeline lands with v2.
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Latest data | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Unemployment (15-24, male) | Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force) SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Unemployment (15+, male) | Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force) SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS | World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates | 2025 | ↑ priority |
Violence | Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people) VC.IHR.PSRC.P5 | UNODC · via World Bank | 2023 | ↑ priority |
Internet access | Individuals using the Internet (% of population) IT.NET.USER.ZS | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Mobile subscriptions | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people) IT.CEL.SETS.P2 | ITU · via World Bank | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Electricity access | Access to electricity (% of population) EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7 | 2024 | ↓ priority |
AI usage Estimate · proxy | AI tool usage (surveyed) | DataReportal / GWI (survey) % of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration. | 2025 | ↓ priority |
Population (context) | Population, total SP.POP.TOTL | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Working-age share (context) | Population ages 15-64 (% of total) SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS | UN Population Division · via World Bank | 2025 | context |
Phone ownership | Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population) | ITU (via Our World in Data) | 2024 | ↓ priority |
Freedom (intervention axis) | Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free) | Freedom House (via Our World in Data) | 2025 | ↓ priority |
- Unemployment (15-24, male)↑ priority
Male youth unemployment, 15-24 (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.1524.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Unemployment (15+, male)↑ priority
Male unemployment, 15+ (% male labor force)
SL.UEM.TOTL.MA.ZS
World Bank · ILOSTAT modeled estimates
Latest data · 2025
- Violence↑ priority
Intentional homicides (per 100,000 people)
VC.IHR.PSRC.P5
Latest data · 2023
- Internet access↓ priority
Individuals using the Internet (% of population)
IT.NET.USER.ZS
Latest data · 2024
- Mobile subscriptions↓ priority
Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)
IT.CEL.SETS.P2
Latest data · 2024
- Electricity access↓ priority
Access to electricity (% of population)
EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS
IEA / World Bank Tracking SDG7
Latest data · 2024
- AI usage↓ priority
AI tool usage (surveyed)
Latest data · 2025
% of internet users who used any AI tool in the past month (DataReportal / GWI), converted to % of population using internet penetration.
- Population (context)context
Population, total
SP.POP.TOTL
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Working-age share (context)context
Population ages 15-64 (% of total)
SP.POP.1564.TO.ZS
UN Population Division · via World Bank
Latest data · 2025
- Phone ownership↓ priority
Individuals owning a mobile phone (% of population)
Latest data · 2024
- Freedom (intervention axis)↓ priority
Freedom in the World — total score 0-100 (higher = more free)
Freedom House (via Our World in Data)
Latest data · 2025